This is screen test brought to you by
KENS 5 and we're going to the Oscars,
breaking down the films and performances.
Nominated for the six major awards
ahead of the 2021 Academy Awards.
I'm Jackson Floyd and I'm David Lynch and
in this video we're breaking down the best
lead actress race who we think will win,
who we think should win.
Who has the momentum at this point.
About 2 1/2 weeks out of the Oscars
at the point they were recording this,
so the nominees for best Actress this year
are Frances Mcdorman for Nomadland caring.
Terry Mulligan,
excuse me for promising young woman,
Viola Davis from my Rainey's black
bottom Vanessa Kirby for pieces of
a woman Andra day for the United
States versus Billie Holiday.
So last year Jackson,
the if the horse race for
best Lead Actress last year,
basically started before the horse
race even began when the first trailers
for Judy came out and it was one of
those moments where it's like she.
She personifies, you, know,
Renee Zellweger personifies Judy Garland.
She's our best practice winner
at the narrative.
Calcified early is just one of those.
Developments,
which is a very interesting 'cause.
It leads to very little drama down the road.
She ended up winning the Oscar as
well as all the necessary precursors.
This year is the extreme opposite.
This is the most chaotic race
heading into into the Oscars.
There.
There's pretty much no one is
clearly in pole position and in a
way that's this is the race has
given us the drama that allowed
people were searching for from the
expanded Oscars season this year.
Yeah, and I think the Oscars have been
needing a category with drama like this.
You know, we've seen some that have felt
like locks throughout the entire season.
Nomadland being best pictures
are far ahead frontrunner.
Chadwick Boseman for best doctor, actor.
Even though he didn't win the Baptist,
you know, still the presumed frontrunner
for that almost a lock if he doesn't win.
I think that be one of the
shocks of the night.
It surprises me that phrase spectreman
isn't the front runner for this,
as one of two actual actors in the front
Runner race for Best Picture in Nomadland.
You know this is going to far
away champion film of the season.
So far, closeout seems to be kind
of reaping the benefits of that for
the movie that she put together.
But friendship Norman in the front room.
Why do you think that's the case?
I
think part of it might be that you
know a part of the conversation
is always if nomadland,
which definitely does seem to be have
at least director locked in is a strong
front runner in screenplay cinematography,
picture handful of others. You know.
I think whenever you have a movie like that,
the conversation you have to think about also
how much love will it give to nomadland?
Do we want to recognize Frances Mcdormand,
who has already won two Oscars?
She's been very well recognized.
The Oscars did not do thankfully did
not do the whole career retrospective.
Way down the line with her,
she's been recognized throughout her career.
If she were to win this,
she would be only the I believe the
third or fourth women to actress
in Oscars history to win a trio of
awards behind Katharine Hepburn.
Meryl Streep and Ingrid Bergman
only an all only seven people in
Oscars history won three awards,
so she would join Pretty esteemed
Company there.
I think she'd be a fantastic
representative of that club,
but I think that's part of the reason why.
I'm not saying Mcdorman in
in the front or position,
even though she has a she's like
everyone else in this category.
Except perhaps Vanessa Kirby,
she has really solid chance.
Yeah,
another thing that
stands out from this category.
Two only one black male woman
has won lead actress before
that was Halle Berry and 1001.
We've got two nominated this year.
2 black women needed for their performances.
Viola Davis and under day strong stances
for either one of those to be the second.
This is also I guess this makes
Viola Davis the most nominated
black actress in Oscars history.
She's only one the one award best
Supporting Actress in 2016 for Fences.
She was also previously nominated
for Doubt and the Help.
This is her second best Actress nomination.
The help she did not win for the help.
What do you think of chances this year?
Do you think she's the one who should win
or will win to wow is she the one Who
Will Win the award this year? I guess.
Well, it's interesting that you bring
up her and Andrew Day because you
know when he when he think about who
are the Oscars is tended to recognize
in recent years it's it tends to
be the best impersonation, right?
It was last year and I think
they have skewed.
That's tended to be the narrative.
Moreover, in the best actor and best
supporting Actor side of things
with Gary Oldman for Darkest Hour,
Rami Malek for Bohemian Rhapsody and not
so much on the actor side of things.
But it's.
Funny when you talk about Viola
Davis and under day because there
are the two nominees in the best
actors field that were that are
playing real life historical figures,
and I think that's the that's
the big reason why why you can't
really count under day?
Are the ratios one just the Golden Globe?
As far as the best lead
actress horse race goes?
But and she's in a pretty.
She's in the movie that probably has
garnered the least amount of of a claim
as far as the movies in this cropping go.
But she's but.
In a way that also makes her far away that
the best element of it the most standout,
the biggest standout element
so you know and it makes it.
That's an interesting narrative surrounding
valid Davison under day in this category,
if I were to put my money right now,
about two weeks out and who I think will win,
I think you know, it's like we said,
if this category couldn't be more chaotic,
which is why it makes it really exciting,
right?
I think at this point.
I like, I'm pulling inaudible.
I was thinking it was mcdorman.
I think it might actually be violent Davis.
I think that the Academy wants
to is is going to.
Want to recognize 11 are preeminent
preeminent actresses and someone who's kind
of defined the last half decade or so.
Even longer.
As far as giving stand up
performances on the screen and being
recognized at least nomination wise,
rightfully for everyone.
And you know,
I remember that there's a little
bit of Category 5 in fences.
Came around that people were saying
she should have been nominated in
Best Lead alongside Denzel Washington
instead of Best Supporting Actress.
I think that part of the Academy
will try to course correct itself
and and recognize Viola Davis
for Mahrez black bottoms here.
What do you think?
I agree, I think this is the year.
Viola Davis takes Homer
first Best actress award.
Deservedly so, but I don't think the
Academy Awards is going to shy away
from the chance to recognize her an
recognize another black woman in this role.
I will say it's funny.
I do think she will win an jumping
ahead here. I think she should win.
However, I have a pet peeve for actresses
or actors in roles of performances
where they lip sync you know,
and Violet if Davis does sing
in a couple of notable scenes.
But the main performances of
Moranis aren't her singing under
Dedusting as Billie Holiday.
No, she does Superformance
is there and he loves that.
So yeah, I know Malik,
who was like even that even
though he was lip syncing.
But exactly and you know
some of the performance like
Walking Phoenix, his actual voice.
He may not sound just like Johnny Cash,
but I think what he does with the
emotions of the performances in the
Rhonda Superformance in that movie
that offers offers some things.
And not saying that's missing
from Viola Davis performance.
I think she does a great job lip syncing.
I mean it's one of my favorite lip syncing.
Performance distance Anjelica Houston as
Tina Turner throwing it back there I I
do think Viola Davis will win this award,
very deservedly so that kind of
creates an interesting category here.
David where we've got, I think both of us.
If you watch our previous best actor video,
thought Chadwick Boseman was
the front runner.
That means that's the best actor.
Best actress awards for Moranis,
Blacks, Madre, nice black bottom.
How many times has one film taking
home both lead actor awards.
So here's where it gets
really interesting.
'cause yeah, if you if you will watch it.
If you go over to watch
our best lead actor video,
that should be up right now.
We both predicted that
Bozeman would take it home,
although there is possibly a slight
a slight chance of an upset there
coming from Anthony Hopkins who won
the BAFTA just a couple days ago.
As we're recording this.
But then I think is the clear front
runner and it makes it interesting.
Really interesting,
'cause if what we think might happen
Oscar night at this point does
happen in Viola Davis takes this
home that would make my Rainey's
black bottom only the eighth film
I believed in Oscars history to win
both lead actor and Lisa Lee actress.
Categories behind a handful of movies
such as network on Golden Pond Sounds,
Little Lambs,
that has not happened since 1997.
With as good as it gets when Jack
Nicholson and Helen Hunt took home
both those lead actor statuettes.
The interesting thing is that
all each of those seven movies
that previously won both the lead
actor in lead actors categories,
each one of those were nominated
for Best Picture.
If if what happens on Oscar night,
this year is that Chadwick Boseman,
Viola Davis do indeed win
their respective categories.
That would make it the first time.
That's happened where the movie that
they were nominated for Marines Black
Bottom was not nominated for Best Picture,
which I think would throw a bit of a throw.
A lot of skepticism or or kind of
raised eyebrows at the Academy
because because a lot of people
had it pegged as a as a really
strong contender for best picture.
There were eight nominees this year.
It's even more ironic that this is
the last year before The Academy Is
announced that beginning next year in 2020,
they're going to go to affirm 10
going from that year on outs.
And I think if you were think about
who would have taken those 910 slots,
it would have been more rainy.
So if it if it were to get both of
these lead actor in this category
lead actress category,
so would it would just make that
make that question.
A lot of people have ring all
the more louder.
Why didn't it get it best
Best Picture nomination?
So yeah, as a matter drama there
it's purely speculation on my part,
but I wonder if that the Netflix
ification of it all plays into this.
We talked about it in the best
picture awards to five Bloods,
wasn't there either right?
One film that that might
deserve garner recognition,
further recognition in the
Academy Awards than just the.
One or two words that garnered.
I think it's got what best
score is the award in Korea.
So so maybe you know the fact that
they already had bank was the one the
Netflix movie that was going to be
the best film Best Picture nominee.
Maybe that hurts more.
A nice chances definitely garners it's
going to garner a lot of controversy
and discussion if we think you
know best actor and best actress,
do you go home to Chadwick Boseman,
Viola Davis all that being said,
David, I don't think I asked you yet.
Should Viola Davis win the award,
I think she should.
This is, I think you can make a strong.
You can make the strong
strong case that out of the.
Four acting categories this year.
This is the strongest one I think.
Probably the weakest of the group might be.
Might be Vanessa Kirby, but even then,
that's that's just a little bit insane to
say because I think almost in any other
year she would be one of those two or
three frontrunners for what she doesn't.
Pieces of a woman just putting in a very,
incredibly wrong,
captivating performance at this
is an incredibly strong category.
And but I think I think you
know we're recording this again,
as we say to accept from Oscar Night and
part of the magic of this category of
these movies that are nominated enough.
These performances at that is that they
each offer something very, very different.
You know what?
Kerry Mulligan doesn't promising
young woman is is is really,
really fascinating for much different reasons
than what Frances Mcdorman doesn't nomadland,
which isn't there.
Both performances that are on a
quiet tune to a certain extent,
for widely different reasons.
And the movies that they're in.
So I think Viola Davis stands
out as the best of the bunch.
Personally,
even though there's so much to like
about all the performances here,
I think that she's she's,
you know,
she's a performer that takes a role in
and totally mix it around and takes
bold directions with it takes captivating,
unpredictable directions with it,
and even though it might not
be her voice we hear when when,
when she's singing in those
performances in that movie,
I think that it's the most alive wire and
fascinating performance in this punch in.
In a group of fasting for,
so I think
she should win yeah, and and if Viola
Davis does go home empty handed or
are we if I lose him tinted are we?
Are we feeling any outrage on the night
of you know where are you on the outrage
meter I out of five I would give
it a .5 probably just 'cause again
like we said there's so much fast,
fantastic, fascinating drama in
this category and we're going to be.
We're going to be predicting who may or may
not win up until the morning of the Oscars.
You know, there were we're at the point
where people are going to start coming
out with their final predictions,
and they might be adjusting.
Every day or every hour, just you know,
because that's how that's how
wild this horse races been.
Each of the each of the four major
front runners in this category.
You know they've all as far as the
precursors that that can be awarded
to actions leading up to the Oscars,
they've gone, too.
They've got two different nominees
in this category.
Frances Mcdorman received the most recent
jolt of Momentum when she won the BAFTA.
Viola Davis won the SAG award.
Andra Day won the Golden
Globe back couple months ago.
Carey Mulligan.
Won the top honor from the
Critics Choice Association.
That hasn't happened a
whole lot in Oscars history,
where the precursors were that
spread out across the nominee.
So just the fact that we have
this much drama in this category
and in this strong of a category
that I'm just going to be,
I'm just excited about what that
whatever might happen on Oscar night,
so it won't be that outraged.
I'm
with you. I like, I said earlier.
I think the Oscars needs a little bit
of drama heading into the Oscars night.
You know, you don't want
everything set in stone,
so this category does provide that relief.
In that sense, yeah?
I mean, I've just incredible
performances across the board,
and I wouldn't be surprised.
For him to come home right,
it's the aghori that most kind
of justifies why we had an
Oscars expanded eligibility,
which of course has roots in the pandemic.
But but still, yeah, I, I do
want to just say, you know Vanessa Kirby.
While she may be the outlier here
in terms of her chances at winning
what she does in pieces of a woman is
outstanding and I think she's really set
the groundwork to kind of be someone in
the vein of Charlize Therone. You know,
an actress who in genre Bend if you will,
who can be an A list action star.
You know we saw her in Hobbs and Shaw hold
her own with the Rock and Jason Statham.
You know that's easy to do and she's
also just an incredible dramatic actor.
Most people know her as her portrayal of
Princess Margaret in the Crown as well.
Be interesting to see her.
Maybe do some more romantic comedies.
You know, that's the angle that
Charlize throne has kind of hit
that that Vanessa Kirby hasn't.
But you don't see very many actresses who
can who can cross the lines like that.
And I think she's a tremendous talent who
will be doing that for years to come.
Will see her again in this category.
Yeah,
I mean, it's
just fascinating 'cause the
Hollywood breakout for her was
a little movie called mission.
Possible fallout, right?
So just the fact that there was any
considered her breakout on when it
comes to film and and kind of starting
with a subversive role is is has
been really fascinating at already
marks a really interesting trajectory
for her and I totally agree I could
totally see see here kind of taking a
similar career path as Charlize Theron,
and being just really multifaceted,
that extent and so Hollywood is
already seems to recognize that
which is great absolutely well that's
going to wrap up a conversation
on the best actress category.
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To catch all of our discussions
on the major nominations,
I'm Jackson Floyd and I'm David Lynch.
Thank you for watching and make sure
to tune in to cancel five.com/retest
for all of our pre Oscars coverage,
including a little bit closer.
This ceremony will have a rundown of
all our predictions for every category.
Enjoy the show.