DONALD TRUMP, IN A WORLD OF TROUBLE.
HE NEEDS TO WIN
VIRGINIA, VIRGINIA USED TO BE A RED STATE, PRESIDENT OBAMA HAS
WON IT A COUPLE OF TIMES, MUCH MORE BLUE THIS TIME, EVEN IN MY
PROJECTIONS A WHILE AGO WHEN I THOUGHT IT WOULD BE A CLOSE RACE
I THOUGHT HILLARY CLINTON WOULD STILL WIN VIRGINIA.
HE CAN WIN
THE ELECTION WITHOUT VIRGINIA BUT IT WOULD'VE BEEN NICE TO GET
WHAT WAS A RED STATE FOR A LONG TIME IN HIS COLUMN, IT LOOKS
LIKE HE WON'T BE DOING THAT.
ACCORDING TO NBC NEWS --
SO ONCE YOU PULL OUT OF THE STATE AND PULL YOUR STAFF FROM
THERE AND YOUR ADS FROM THAT STATE, THAT MEANS YOU'VE GIVEN
UP, YOU THINK HER LEAD IS TOO LARGE.
AND IF HE HAS GIVEN UP
VIRGINIA, I WILL SHOW YOU WHY THAT MEANS IS THIS CLOSE TO
LOSING.
BUT NOT QUITE YET.
LET ME TELL YOU THE REPERCUSSIONS OF
HOW THIS GOES DOWN, OF COURSE PEOPLE ON THE GROUND WORKING FOR
TRUMP ARE LIVID.
THE RECENTLY FIRED VIRGINIA STATE CHAIRMAN
COREY STEWART WAS MAD, HE WAS FIRED BECAUSE HE WAS DOING A
GROSS PROTEST IN FRONT OF THE RNC WHEN TRUMP STARTED A WAR
WITH OTHER REPUBLICANS, BUT ANYWAY HE RAN VIRGINIA FOR TRUMP
FOR A LONG TIME, AND HE SAYS --
THE GUYS ON THE GROUND,
WHENEVER THE NATIONAL TEAM
DECIDES TO PULL OUT, THEY ALWAYS GET MAD AND THINK THEY COULD
HAVE WON THE STATE, THEY ARE OPTIMISTIC, THAT IS WHY THERE ON
THE GROUND WORKING FOR THAT CANDIDATE.
BUT I THINK THE
INTERESTING PART OF THAT AS HE SAYS, WHY DIDN'T THEY RUN ADS?
THAT IS BECAUSE YOUR CANDIDATE IS INCOMPETENT AND HE WENT AND
BEGGED FOR MONEY FROM ALL THE REPUBLICAN DONORS, HE PRETENDS
HE IS SELF FUNDING HIS CAMPAIGN, HE IS NOT, HE WENT TO SHELDON
ADELSON, ALL THE REGULAR CAST OF CHARACTERS AMONG REPUBLICAN
DONORS, BUT COULDN'T GET ENOUGH MONEY SO HE SAID I DON'T NEED
THE MONEY.
IT TURNS OUT YOU NEEDED THE MONEY, YOU SCHMUCK.
NOT ONLY DID YOU HAVE NOT ENOUGH MONEY FOR ADS, YOU DIDN'T HAVE
ENOUGH MONEY TO SUSTAIN YOUR OPERATION ON THE GROUND.
NOW A
BATTLEGROUND STATE IS OUT OF PLAY FOR DONALD TRUMP, PATHETIC.
I SAID THE REASON THAT HILLARY CLINTON WOULD WIN IS BECAUSE OF
HIS INCOMPETENCE.
IF YOU RUN AN INCOMPETENT CAMPAIGN AT SOME
POINT CATCHES UP TO YOU, IT IS CATCHING UP TO HIM NOW.
LET ME
GIVE YOU MORE CONTEXT.
STEWART ALSO SAID --
I TOLD YOU, HE DOESN'T KNOW WHAT HE'S DOING --
AND HE SAYS WHEN YOU DO THAT, IT MAKES IT, QUOTE --
THAT'S RIGHT, THAT'S WHY PEOPLE TOLD HIM TO RAISE ENOUGH
MONEY IF HE WAS GOING TO GO IN THAT DIRECTION.
IF YOU WANTED TO
GO IN AN HONEST DIRECTION AND RAISE MONEY FROM THE AMERICAN
PEOPLE, THAT IS ONE PATH.
BUT HE WENT THIS PATH, AND HE FAILED
AT IT BECAUSE HE IS A MISERABLE FAILURE.
NOW LET'S LOOK AT
THE
CONSEQUENCES, NBC NEWS SAYS --
LET ME BREAK THAT DOWN FOR YOU, BECAUSE I'VE DONE THE
ELECTORAL MATH.
IN ORDER FOR DONALD TRUMP TO WIN IF HE
DOESN'T HAVE VIRGINIA, HE MUST WIN FLORIDA, NORTH CAROLINA, AND
OHIO, THOSE ARE NOT NEGOTIABLE.
AND RIGHT NOW HE IS LOSING IN
ALL THREE STATES, NORTH CAROLINA IS VERY CLOSE, OHIO IS
SURPRISINGLY CLOSE, HE IS LOSING ON THE AVERAGE OF THE POLLING IN
OHIO BUT IN THE LAST POLL HE WAS UP BY ONE IN OHIO.
BUT THE FACT
THAT HILLARY CLINTON IS NOT BLOWING AWAY AND ALL OF THOSE
STATES IS UNBELIEVABLE, BUT OKAY, FINE.
IT DOESN'T MATTER,
HE HAS TO WIN ALL THREE OF THEM, IT IS NOT NEGOTIABLE.
IF HE
LOSES ANY OF THEM HE IS DONE, HE CANNOT WIN WITH THE MAP AS IT
IS.
SO I'M GOING TO ASSUME FOR THE PURPOSES OF THIS
CONVERSATION THAT HE WINS THOSE THREE STATES.
THE FOURTH STATE
HE HAS TO WIN HIS PENNSYLVANIA.
THAT MEANS IF THOSE ARE THE FOUR
THEY ARE CONCENTRATING ON, THAT MEANS THEY HAVE NO CHANCE OF
WINNING MICHIGAN, WISCONSIN, MAINE, AND COLORADO.
IF YOU
DON'T HAVE A CHANCE OF WINNING THOSE AND YOU JUST ELIMINATED
VIRGINIA, THAT MEANS YOU HAVE TO WIN PENNSYLVANIA.
IT'S NOT CLOSE
IN PENNSYLVANIA, IT'S NOT CLOSE.
SO IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD
TODAY, NO WAY HE WINS PENNSYLVANIA.
I DON'T KNOW WHAT
IS GOING TO HAPPEN IN UNDER A MONTH THAT IS SO DEVASTATING TO
MOVE THOSE NUMBERS THAT MUCH IN PENNSYLVANIA.
IF THAT IS HIS
HOPE, IT IS NOT A GOOD HOPE.
I WOULD NOT PIN YOUR HOPES ON
THAT.
IT'S NOT QUITE YET OVER BECAUSE REQUESTED CANNOT PULL
AWAY FROM HIM IN FLORIDA AND OHIO, AS MADDENING AND
UNBELIEVABLE AS IT IS, GIVEN ALL THE THINGS THAT HAVE COME OUT
ABOUT DONALD TRUMP, THE POLLING IN OHIO WHERE TRUMP IS LEADING
BY ONE IS AFTER THE TAPES CAME OUT.
SO IT IS NOT OVER YET, BUT
IF HE THINKS HE THINKS HE NEEDS TO WIN PENNSYLVANIA BECAUSE HE
HAS GIVEN UP ON VIRGINIA, THEN IT IS THIS CLOSE TO OVER.