We are here J at. So fi Stadium where Thursday night the NFL
season will kick off finally. Yes. Yeah,
yeah
sure. But whatever the the we're here,
nothing else matters. The the NFL season will finally kick
off
here at so fi Stadium where the Bills
play at the Rams
on NBC and peacock football night in America, kicks
everything off and so you Are the co-host of the BET The Edge
podcast. I just learned
five minutes ago,
be honest with you, I didn't know.
And so we thought we'd take a look at the Rams and bills from
a Betty perspective here.
Bill's wind total are is 11 and a half you Takin
you, taking the / - 140 or
the under it plus 120.
I would lay in the on do if I had to choose one. The bills
have the highest wind total of any teams not even particularly
close either and they've been anointed as the team. Sure, you
don't usually say teams that have this much of a gap to
the rest of
the competition.
The shorter Super Bowl. Favorite in recent memory was
the Patriots back in 2017. The yearly got Brandon Cooks and it
was cooks and Amendola and picaro
Kelsey and I will pull us through 75 to win. Super Bowl
the bills. This year plus 600
and they are the favorite I think rightfully so because
they just they have the best team on paper and the reason
that I would separate them from the Chiefs, the charges is that
they just have the easiest division
and that's why there - 225
to win the division and the second favorite is
the Dolphins, whereas the Chiefs and Chargers have to deal with
each other. So I mean, do you agree that your bills?
You're taking them at plus, 600 you like them,
I wouldn't Take them at plus 600 at the price, but I agree
that I should have the shortest odds, just because they have
such a good chance of winning the division and they are
the clear class of the IFC. But
yeah, I don't think that there's so much distance
between them and the rest of the pack. Do you think they're
clearly the best team
in the NFL?
What spot makes me part? There is clearly the word clearly do
I think that the best team? Yes. Do I think they're clearly
the best team? No, I mean I think
I think if they get I think if the Packers get anything out of
their pass catchers, I think the Packers have a Relation,
you know, like I think the Chargers in the mix. I think
the Chiefs are in the mix.
I think you could,
you know, let's see. But I don't think the Buccaneers are
out of that conversation. So I so no. I mean,
on paper. Do they have the best team do they have? Yes.
Are they clearly the best team?
No, I'm not ready to say that as well. I'm surprised though
you would take the under on the wind. I would I would haven't
had. I would worry. I've got the had a really easy schedule
last year and I still didn't get the once Aid this year,
they've got the 11th hardest schedule in the lake
and they have weaknesses. The offensive line is an amazing.
They've never been able to run the ball in the Josh Allen era
really and then their quarterback situation as well
which were davyous wide bang on the pop-up list.
Going to rely heavily on Caillou a lamb who should be
good but when he's going to be covering Cooper cup and Alan
Robinson in his first start, so I would have a few reservations
about the bills but I'm sure they'll be fine. It's just 12
and 5 is a lot of
wins. Fantasy wise. We do expect them to put up a lot of
points. I think Josh island is the clear. Qb1, pretty much
everyone in the industry. Has some is that Stefon Diggs is
a top. Wide receiver. I don't think anyone counts that
I'm big on Gabriel Davis. I'm not alone in that. A lot of
people like Gabriel Davis, have a big breakout year. It's one
of those annoying things I've been on game Davis time for
like, a year and a half and make no mistake. Like,
I got a lot of stuff wrong to like, it's not like, but I'm
just, you know, gay. I always felt like game day was when he
was my guys in your style now and not, right. I've had them
on,
go back and look like a year and a half ago. Talking about,
you know, talk about this guy, how about every Dynasty team.
Adam is a rookie
and I do, I have one every Dynasty team, but one
But yeah, now we're one sort of on board with Gabriel Davis,
but I'm still still believer in him and I love, we talked about
this in a previous show,
but I love the Futures. Bet of most touchdown catches
this season for Gabriel Davis where the odds were, what was
it? Amanda was north of 30 to 1. You get across 44
a tame as well. It's going to have a lot of touchdowns. Yeah
and I do think Devon Singletary could have a good year here as
well. They have James Cook, they have Zack Moss but Cooks
a rookie more of a third-down back.
Monsters a healthy scratch. It multiple times last year.
I like to have been Singletary. Who's going way late
in drafts? Let's move over to the Rams here, their win. Total
is 10 and a half. You taking the over or the under both our,
it - 110.
Yeah, I would probably lean slightly to the OVA. I just
think that lost years Stafford. Stafford went through this
three week 5 is last year where he was just throwing two
opponents for fun and he just couldn't get rot. I think that
he will have less
interceptions Matthew Stafford. Led the league in interceptions
last year. I think that will come down. I think Now Alan
Robinson is a much better number two other than anyone
they had last year. He's better than Robert Woods, he's better
than
Odell Beckham and just having that to take some pressure off
of cup. Matthew Stafford was throwing
touchdowns to Cooper cup and triple coverage and they were
just connecting because they're that good. He's gonna be more
spaced offense while it about a little bit about the offensive
line. Losing Whitworth
also maybe some questions on the defense without Von Miller,
but I think this is the rock solid team and Sean McVeigh is.
Now the closest thing to
the Bill Belichick
The same, just wins games every year. So I would lean slightly
over. They're going to have a stiff test from the Niners. Not
the easiest run either. I mean playing the bills week, what
they've
underdogs to the bills in week 1?
But home? Yeah, I just think this is a, it's an 11 and 16
that is rightfully favorite
for the NFC West. Yeah, I like that call as well
fantasy wise. If we just
go there to talk about
what we expect here,
Cooper cups, the number one wide receiver.
I do think Stafford and Ensign are both going undervalued,
a little bit and wraps. The the elbow concerns about Stafford,
sort of dropped, his stock. You know, is his ATP. And
while there it's something, they're going to quote monitor,
they haven't signed any one. They haven't done any moves.
That make you think that they're
really worried about it. I mean, they're going all in
with Matthew Stafford here,
Allen Robinson. I've been all in on him, all preseason. He's
finally is ATP. Starting to creep up, I still don't think
it's where it should be, as I happen to top 15
fantasy wide receiver this year,
I'm nervous about the running backs though.
I see cam Akers going way too high.
He was on my hate list again,
I think this is a running back by committee. I think Darrell
Henderson is going to be used more than people realize.
I am concerned about the offensive line as well. And
the weird one was when Sean McVeigh did not want to play Kieran
Williams,
Yeah, that came out of that word in the third preseason
game and you're like a day, 3 draft pick, you're not playing
in the
third preseason game and it's because he said we think he's
gonna have a significant role this year.
I don't know that he's going to have a role that, you know, his
fantasy relevant. But if he's going to get enough touches,
that
they're worried about losing him to injury and a preseason game.
The, the
if Cam Akers is getting only half these touches than,
I think
he absolutely does not return. The top 17 running back
valuable, he's been drafted, like I'm out on Acres this
year. No I would be as well.
He's got a long way to come back again. The Achilles.
That's the worst injuries that you can have basically and he
didn't show anything in the playoffs obviously he's had
more time now but a lot of questions about
car makers on the running game a market. The cam Akers is
probably not going to feature in is the NFL and AP
win a market. Now,
it's gonna be two guys playing tomorrow, not who are pretty
high up on the odds board, including the number one guy,
Josh Allen, A plus 700. And then it look a little bit
further down, Matthew, Stafford, plus 1500
with six guys in between them. This is a Quarterback Award. Now,
if you like between Allen and stuff it up the prices,
I still like I still if I had to take the to I just take
I think Josh sounds a better bet because if the Bills win Josh
is going to get the award.
If the Rams win, maybe it's Stafford, maybe it's cup, maybe it's
Jalen Ramsey. I don't know on that list. I'd prefer I prefer
my homes.
I'd prefer Brady,
I'd prefer Herbert,
I'd prefer Lamar Jackson.
I think all those guys have better odds. I think all those
guys have a better chance to win given the odds. I mean,
like, again, like Hawks win like
it's gonna be bright. It's Tom Brady. Right? You know
again because people are sort of counting them out, right?
I mean like you know, same with if the Chiefs win without
Tyreke Hill,
it's going to be my home on our, the Chargers take its it
is, it's a narrative award is what it is. And so the Chargers
take that next step, it's going to be Herbert. And we've talked
about Lamar Jackson and his contract year.
Yep, I'm with you on Josh Allen / Stafford at the prices as
well. And the thing to remember about MVP, this is a team award
as much as an A Quarterback Award, we're 13 of the past 17
MVP winners have been on one seeds.
So if you're looking at the bills, the bills are plus 275
to get. The one said I wouldn't touch that just back. Josh
Allen plus 700 to win MVP, you're getting a much better
price. It's hugely correlated if you're pricing an MVP
Market,
just take the team's once adults and just multiply it by
2. And that's your starting point. So I think that Josh
Allen is in play there. Now, another Market NFL offensive
player of the year where
the guy was He plays out here, had a pretty good Super Bowl.
Cooper cop, who was the third favorite
for 0 p. 0 y. Now this is a tough, a tough market for me
mouth to you because I was holding a 70 to 1 Jonathan
Taylor.
Oh po. Why? Ticket last year? Yeah, and Cooper cuff. He took
that ticket into his very very reliable hands and he just
ripped it up. Yeah, front of my eyes. He won the award, he was
the deserving winner.
He's been to your hard drive. He did. And then Joshua Allen
is plus 2200. This has become more of an award.
For non quarterbacks
it goes. The history of this award is that if there is
a historic Elite skill position player, it goes there if
there's not it defaults to the most prolific quarterback.
So of those say those top three guys Taylor cup
Jefferson, who do you like the most? I like Jefferson. I was
looking at that list. I give me Justin Jefferson. I mean, we're
going to end. This is a way to tease
my bold prediction segment, but you heard in segment one,
I'm in other Vikings this year. I think they have a big year
and I think Justin Jefferson
his talent that scheme
Good quarterback.
He has a chance to have a truly magical year. So I think just
in terms of the odds
think it's unlikely, the Cooper cup repeats.
I agree with you like
Davante Adams. If he has a monster year in Las Vegas,
I think he could be there. But feels like Justin. Jefferson to
me is where I place my money. I think so. And the thing about
this award to is that it goes to the player who is
the identity of their offense, Kubrick up became the
Rams offense because so much of Stafford's production
just went to cup.
Jefferson will be the
Offense. He will get the credit over Kirk Cousins.
Same thing with Jonathan Taylor in Indianapolis
and so I think someone like jamaa Chase. He suffers because
he's got jobar are taking away credit from him.
A lot of people like to look at the odds for quarterbacks in
this award because quarterbacks do when this award 50% of
the time.
But the thing there to remember is that it generally goes to
the most statistically prolific quarterback doesn't value
winning as much. And the way to think about that is that Peyton
Manning and Tom Brady, they would win MVPs
Drew Brees. He's win, offensive player of the year. She was
getting the five thousand yard seasons, so that's just
something to think about is that
guys like Herbert. And Stafford, they have a shot at
5,000 yards,
which I think it's important again, as you head into
fantasy, drafts this year more importantly than ever. I think
it, I am in on trying to get an elite quarterback and we always
talk about the quarterback upgrade
and the importance of a good quarterback to have those
record-setting seedings. That's what we think.
Justin Jefferson going to have this year.
d.com.
Just want to. Thank you so much for watching, what you just
watched or at least being too lazy to click out of it. After
the, you know, autoplay just kept it going. So either way,
thank you so much for just letting it scroll by your screen.
And now I'd like to ask you respectfully, respectfully,
respectfully. Okay, respectfully,
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