The appearance of ChatGPT was quite shocking
And it may bring significant changes to some occupations
The demand for internet talents will thus reduce
Which human jobs will be replaced at first?
Those are easy and repeatable
Such as customer service and translators
There’s also a great risk for employees who prepare financial statements
Office365 has actually inserted ChatGPT
Into Word, PowerPoint and Excel
AI is capable of completing a lot of tasks
For example, in law offices
There’re some employees who’re responsible for sorting out previous cases
However, ChatGPT can collect cases
Through conversations
And it can offer you more accurate results
Illustrators, programmers
Some of them will be replaced
Front-end designing is comparatively more modularized
Now sometimes ChatGPT and Midjourney are combined
The user provides a sketch
And the final version can be finished within several minutes
There’s an interesting phenomenon
ChatGPT kind of replaces those who have developed ChatGPT
In some universities in the U.S.A
Such as natural language processing, computer vision
And speech recognition
The number of relevant staff no longer increases
Because after the birth of ChatGPT
The tasks left to do are tough issues
Which don’t require much staff
So the posts are canceled
How did ChatGPT rise
Its database is huge
With a size over one billion
It needs enough data to replace a job
If an occupation doesn’t have much public data
It’s safer than other occupations
Like the bank industry
Meteorological departments, the medical industry, and the biological industry
The data of those industries are confidential and will not be published
We cannot apply models on them
Thus there’s no chance for AI
Although AI has developed into a new stage
It’s still hard for it to open a bottle cap
And I think those jobs which require physical work
Such as drivers and nurses
It will be hard to replace them in the next 12 years
Nothing ventured, nothing gained
AI is possibly still the best choice
Now we have a new concept called “AI for Science”
Each industry needs AI experts
Then there will be a large gap
It’s not so difficult to enter into the AI field
Unlike before, you don’t need to master profound knowledge of AI
The important abilities include English proficiency
Mathematics and programming capability
For example in Fudan University
We also have students who majored in Chinese switching to natural language processing
And they do it well
At present, our research is modularized.
When we make models, we are like building blocks
We just copy the codes and run the program
Some people are optimistic
They think we are not far away from the west
It’s said the training of GPT5 has been finished
And within 2-3 months we will be able to catch up to them
While some are pessimistic
They say we need 1-1.5 years
The major difficulty is in calculating capability
ChatGPT is supported by 10,000 A100 graphics card
In December, 2022
The U.S.A. prohibited the sales of graphics cards above A100 to China
Which had some negative impacts
I have been a fan of science fictions since childhood
I began to learn AI in around 1997
There were ups and downs
It was at a low point in the 1980s
When I mentioned I worked in the AI field
I couldn’t get the project
From 2012, it began to soar
But then went down in 2022
In deep learning
Many companies started to reduce their staff
Suddenly in March, 2023, ChatGPT was released
Which made people return to the industry
From a historical point of view
We still have a long way to go before we can fully understand intelligence
The interesting part is in exploring the unknown
And achieving a little progress in the unknown