FRONT. >>> LOOK WHO IS STANDING BY AT
THE TOP OF THE HOUR.
OUR FRIEND STEVE AT THE BIG
BOARD.
BOARD. WHAT DO YOU HAVE?
>> WE CAN TAKE YOU THROUGH WHY
THIS CALL WAS MADE IN
MISSISSIPPI, WHY THE
CHARACTERIZATION WAS MADE IN
MISSOURI AND WHAT WE CAN ALREADY
TELL US YOU AS A RESULT OF THE
DELEGATE RACE, ALL-IMPORTANT
DELEGATE RACE.
DELEGATE RACE. WE SET THIS UP.
MISSISSIPPI WILL HAVE THE
HIGHEST SHARE OF BLACK VOTERS OF
ANY STATE TO VOTE THIS CYCLE.
HERE’S WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE.
JOE BIDEN 84% OF THE BLACK VOTE
IN MISSISSIPPI.
IN MISSISSIPPI. THIS IS TWO-THIRDS OF THE
ELECTORATE.
ELECTORATE. BERNIE SANDERS WITH 13%.
IF YOU WENT BACK IN TIME TO 2016
WHEN BERNIE SANDERS HAD SO MUCH
TROUBLE WITH BLACK VOTERS, HIS
SHARE IN MISSISSIPPI BACK THEN
WAS 11%.
WAS 11%. IN FOUR YEARS OF TIME, HE WENT
FROM 11 TO 13 IN MISSISSIPPI,
BASICALLY NO IMPROVEMENT THERE
FOR HIM.
FOR HIM. TAKE A LOOK AT THE BLACK VOTE IN
MISSOURI TONIGHT.
MISSOURI TONIGHT. AGAIN, THIS IS A LITTLE BIT LESS
THAN ONE IN FIVE VOTES OUT OF
MISSOURI.
MISSOURI. FROM BLACK VOTERS, YOU CAN SEE A
75 TO 22 BIDEN MARGIN.
MISSOURI AGAIN, TOO EARLY TO
CALL WITH BIDEN AHEAD.
THIS IS ACTUALLY WORSE FOR
SANDERS IN THIS EXIT POLL IN
MISSOURI THAN HE FARED WITH
BLACK VOTERS THERE FOUR YEARS
AGO.
AGO. FOUR YEARS AGO, I’M JUST LOOKING
AT THE NUMBERS RIGHT HERE.
I HAVE IT WRITTEN DOWN.
>> 32.
>> 32. >> HE WAS AT 32.
HE’S TEN POINTS WORSE.
WE SET THIS UP A MINUTE AGO.
WHITE COLLEGE, WHITE
NON-COLLEGE.
NON-COLLEGE. MISSOURI AND MICHIGAN IN
PARTICULAR, THESE GROUPS LOOM
LARGE.
LARGE. THESE GROUPS WERE IMPORTANT FOR
SANDERS.
SANDERS. NON-COLLEGE ESPECIALLY FOUR
YEARS AGO.
YEARS AGO. TAKE A LOOK HERE.
WHITE NON-COLLEGE IN MISSOURI.
THIS IS A GROUP SANDERS WON FOUR
YEARS AGO IN MISSOURI.
TONIGHT HE IS LOSING THIS GROUP.
HE IS TRAILING THIS GROUP 53 TO
40, A 13-POINT ADVANTAGE FOR JOE
BIDEN.
BIDEN. THERE HAS BEEN A LOT OF TALK
ABOUT SANDERS SLIPPING WITH
NON-COLLEGE WHITE VOTERS.
PERHAPS BECAUSE SOME WHO FAVORED
HIM IN ’16 WERE MORE VOTING
AGAINST HILLARY CLINTON THAN FOR
BERNIE SANDERS.
BERNIE SANDERS. PERHAPS BIDEN A MORE ACCEPTABLE
CANDIDATE THAN HILLARY CLINTON
TO THIS GROUP OF VOTERS.
A 13-POINT ADVANTAGE IN THE EXIT
POLL FOR BIDEN OVER SANDERS.
WE SAY, WHAT DOES WHAT WE JUST
WENT THROUGH MEAN FOR THE
ALL-IMPORTANT DELEGATE RACE?
WE CAN SHOW YOU RIGHT HERE
ALREADY THE NUMBERS IF YOU’VE
BEEN PAYING CLOSE ATTENTION.
THEY HAVE CHANGED SINCE YOU
TUNED IN.
TUNED IN. SO FAR FROM MISSISSIPPI AS A
RESULT OF THAT POLL TIME CLOSE,
21 DELEGATES HAVE BEEN ADDED FOR
JOE BIDEN.
JOE BIDEN. THERE ARE 36 UP FOR GRABS.
21 OF THOSE 36, AT LEAST, ARE
DECISION DESK SAYS JOE BIDEN
WILL WIN.
WILL WIN. YOU CAN EXPECT THAT NUMBER TO
RISE.
RISE. IT IS VERY SIGNIFICANT THAT AS
WE ALLOCATE 21 OF THOSE 36, AT
LEAST 21 OF THOSE 36 TO BIDEN.
SO FAR AT POLL CLOSING TIME,
ZERO HAVE BEEN ALLOCATED BY OUR
DECISION DESK TO BERNIE SANDERS.
WHAT DOES THAT MEAN?
IT MEANS, BASED ON THAT EXIT
POLL, OUR DECISION DESK IS NOT
COMPLETELY CONFIDENT THAT BERNIE
SANDERS WILL HIT 15% IN
MISSISSIPPI.
MISSISSIPPI. YOU HAVE TO HIT 15% STATEWIDE TO
TAP INTO THAT STATEWIDE DELEGATE
POOL.
POOL. BASED ON THAT EXIT POLL, HE
CERTAINLY COULD.
CERTAINLY COULD. HE DID LAST TIME.
HE DID LAST TIME BY A POINT.
HE GOT 16% IN MISSISSIPPI IN
2016.
2016. HE’S GOING TO HAVE TO HIT 15, 16
AGAIN THIS TIME.
WE ARE NOT YET CONFIDENT THAT
THAT’S GOING TO HAPPEN.
IT COULD.
IT COULD. WE WANT TO SEE THE RESULTS COME
IN.
IN. SO, AGAIN, YOU CAN EXPECT FROM A
DELEGATE STANDPOINT THAT JOE
BIDEN IS GOING TO END UP WITH
THE LION’S SHARE OF THOSE 36
DELEGATES FROM MISSISSIPPI.
WHAT DOES THAT MEAN JUST IN
TERMS OF THE RAW DELEGATE RACE,
BY THE WAY?
IF BIDEN WERE TO GET 30 OUT OF
MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT, IT MEANS
THAT EVEN IF BERNIE SANDERS WON
MICHIGAN TONIGHT, WHERE THERE
ARE 125 DELEGATES, IF SANDERS
WON MICHIGAN BY A POINT OR TWO,
HEED PROBABLY NET 5, 6, 7
DELEGATES, SOMETHING LIKE THAT
OUT OF MICHIGAN.
A NARROW WIN, HEED NET 5 TO 10
DELEGATES PROBABLY.
DELEGATES PROBABLY. HE’S GOING TO LOSE PROBABLY A
NET OF ABOUT 25 OR SO, MAYBE
MORE OUT OF MISSISSIPPI.
THIS LANDSLIDE, THIS ABSOLUTE
LANDSLIDE VICTORY FOR JOE BIDEN
IN MISSISSIPPI FROM A DELEGATE