Hello everyone, this is Klaus.
Recently, many people have been asking when the CCP will collapse.
Of course, many people have always wanted to know the answer.
But recently many bad things have happened to the CCP.
I won’t talk about specifics.
There are plenty of news analyzers on YouTube out there.
The question of the CCP's downfall has been trending lately.
Many people have also made predictions.
But at the same time, there is a very strong voice saying that the CCP will not collapse.
They said that the CCP had been through far worse in the past.
For example, during the Great Famine in the 1950s, tens of millions of people died of starvation,
and people ate people in many places.
During the Cultural Revolution, from the chairman down to civilians,
the whole country was in a state of chaos for a decade.
The Chinese people did not even rebel in those nightmarish days.
Today China can't be worse than it was back then,
so the CCP will not collapse.
Today we will analyze this view from three different perspectives.
I hope you enjoy this video.
First of all, I want to tell you that many people who hold this view are paid trolls.
Their aim is to make anti-communists think that the Chinese people are hopeless.
"Your efforts are in vain. The CCP will not collapse. Just give up."
"Don't waste your time and energy."
I tend to ignore these paid trolls.
However, they have recently gained quite a following.
More and more people agree with them in our comment section.
Many of them are fans of our channel,
who either genuinely believe or have been misled by those trolls,
so I feel obliged to talk about this.
Logic is the core of our channel.
When unfavorable conditions arise and affect the foundation of the CCP’s rule,
we need to see which type of people get affected the most.
For example, when foreign companies withdrew from China, factories closed, and many people lost their jobs,
which type of people were the most affected?
The answer is simple. Of course, people who had had jobs were the most affected.
People who had never had a job in the first place were not affected.
Similarly, when there is a lack of food and supply is reduced,
which type of people are the most affected?
I'll give you two seconds to answer that.
Of course, people who used to have food to eat will be the most affected.
For those who never had food to begin with, how much worse could it get?
Many people living in poor mountainous areas in western China are starving.
They grow crops, but barely have enough food to fill their belly.
Think of those scavengers sleeping on the streets as well.
What does food shortage have to do with them?
After understanding this logic, let's compare the present and the past.
Indeed, many people died in the 1950s and 1960s after Communist China was founded.
But in fact, China was not much different than it had been before.
Before 1949, the warlords had fought each other,
Japan had invaded China, and then there had been a Civil War.
Burial posts were everywhere in China.
Those who survived in the 1950s had seen true tragedies.
Everybody had seen people dying in the past.
They might have seen more dead people than live ones.
During the Great Famine, many people starved to death.
The famished were already used to seeing people around them starve to death all the time.
A famine did not make much of a difference.
In other words, back then most people were unemployed,
and most people slept on the street, scavenged for food, and ate wild grass.
How many people could be affected by unemployment and food shortages?
But time has changed.
Now most people have jobs.
Most people have tasted meat.
When I was a child, my grandma told me that she hadn't eaten meat for decades.
During the Great Famine, people ate grass. If there were to be a famine again, they could go back to eating grass.
But now everyone knows what meat tastes like.
No one in China has eaten grass. It'll be hard to get them to eat grass.
Today's China is different.
Back then, there weren't many people benefitting from the system.
Most people were suffering a lot, and had grown used to it.
If you were to make them suffer now, they would not rebel.
Now most people have tasted the benefits of the system.
Why is it difficult for us to convince Little Pinks?
The key reason is that Little Pinks are vested interests.
They’ve gained benefits from the CCP,
so it’s hard for them to believe that the CCP is bad.
Only those whose houses have been demolished, whose rights have been deprived,
who have been arrested for political incorrectness, are not vested interests.
None of them need any persuasion.
I have heard many people say that over 90% of Chinese people are Little Pinks.
I think that's an exaggeration.
Over 50% is more like it.
Back to our original logic.
We need to see which type of people are affected the most.
Vested interests of the system support the regime.
Therefore, only when vested interests are affected can the rule of a regime be affected.
People did not rebel before because they were not vested interests.
They just went from one misery to the next.
The warlords, the Japanese, the KMT... it didn't matter who was making the people suffer.
Today's China is facing changes at home and abroad.
The majority of vested interests of the regime will be affected.
Therefore, the idea that CCP didn’t collapse in the 1950s and 1960s so it won’t collapse now is wrong.
Now that I've analyzed it from a logical perspective, I will use an economic model to make you understand more clearly.
Look at this graph. This is a company’s stock price change.
50 years ago, this company's stock was 20 yuan a share.
Once it fell to 10 yuan, and the company almost went bankrupt and didn't.
50 years later, the company's stock has risen to 100 yuan.
Recently, the company is experiencing internal and external difficulties, and the stock price is falling.
Some people are worried (or happy) that the company will go bankrupt.
But others say, "It’s okay. Don’t make a fuss.
The company has been through worse before.
The stock price once fell to 10 yuan, but the company kept going.
So, now the stock price has to fall below 10 yuan for the company to go bankrupt."
I think I don't need to explain any further.
Let's take a step further.
Let's analyze it from the perspective of social psychology.
Let's forget about eating grass for now.
If China's situation gets worse,
it will need to disconnect the Internet to maintain social order and stability.
Do you think those second generation rich people who need to show off their wealth every day can live without the Internet?
The Chinese have lost their faith. Of course, some people say that the Chinese believe in communism.
That statement is also wrong.
In fact, the Chinese simply don’t believe in communism.
If they did, then why hadn't they emigrated to North Korea yet?
Most people just follow the Communist Party to make money, namely, those vested interests.
China is a country and society supported solely by blind faith and ego,
in other words, the GDP that Little Pinks are proud of,
as well as China's pseudo-high technology,
and the fact that they can make money, show off, and massage their ego.
When all of that is gone, do you think they will be satisfied just by having enough food?
When the ego of a system's vested interests is hurt, the regime is over.
In fact, economics and psychology are also related.
Stock prices are directly determined by supply and demand.
This theory was explained in the first video of our channel.
But at the end of the day, investors' confidence is everything.
When investors have confidence in the company, its stock price will rise.
Otherwise, the stock price will fall.
But how much price drop would make the company collapse?
I'm sorry. I don't know either.
If you have come to hear me predict when the CCP will collapse,
I'm sorry. This channel is only about logical thinking skills.
Okay, time to hear your comments.
In our last video, we talked about why the CCP succeeded in seizing power.
We mainly compared the CCP with the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom.
The biggest difference between the two is that the CCP had help from external forces.
Of course, there were many reasons why the Communist Party defeated the KMT.
If you think other reasons are more important, let's agree to disagree.
Through logic, we just found a reason that is easily overlooked.
Netizen Gary Wang said Mao Zedong was a true Machiavelli.
Machiavellianism is " to achieve goals by any means necessary".
Netizen Yuanyuan talked about the official policy of the Chinese Communist Party during the Anti-Japanese War
called the 721 policy, "10% fight, 20% fake, and 70% grow in secrecy".
Netizen Xia Yujie said that people on both sides of the strait are eager for reunification, just not by military means.
People on both sides hope to be unified in a democratic and peaceful society.
Let us pray for that.
Netizens CCP Virus Empire and WHL said the CCP is a regime installed by foreign forces.
We talked about this in our last video.
The CCP in its early days advocated independence of the provinces,
and turned a blind eye to Soviet-Russian seizing a large area of ​​Chinese territory and burning and looting in the Northeast.
The CCP established the first Western foreign regime in Chinese history, the Soviet Republic of China,
which totally fit the definition of violation of the National Security Law.
Netizen pipi liang said that the Chief Accelerator President Xi did not master the diplomatic strategy of the ancestors,
but inherited the arrogance of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom
I couldn't agree more.
When the CCP started, its diplomacy was really successful.
After Xi Jinping came to power, China's relationships with Taiwan, Hong Kong, the US, Japan, Europe,
and his relationships with the reformist faction, the prince fraction, the Youth League Faction, etc., all failed.
Xi is really worthy of the nickname "chief accelerator".
Netizens Fiona H and Enterprise Belfast
told us why Mao Zedong persecuted intellectuals:
Simply because they knew the truth.
Netizen cynic, Roller Rellet, He Weiyu said,
"The CCP is like Liu Bang." It makes sense.
Liu Bang was not like Xiang Yu who was a descendant of a famous general.
Xiang Yu stuck to principles.
Xiang Yu's god-father Fan Zeng offered to get Liu Bang killed at the Hongmen Banquet.
But Xiang Yu felt that such conduct was unbecoming to a gentleman,
so he spared his biggest enemy, which led to his downfall.
If Liu Bang were in his shoes, he would kill Xiang Yu without hesitation.
Last but not least, thank you so much for your help.
Recently, many friends took the initiative to help us promote.
Thank you all.
Klaus will remember your support and encouragement every time.
Okay, that's it for this video.
This is Klaus. See you next time.