The hype train for The Batman is now in full swing, with tickets having been available
for early screenings and release day over the last week.
Early numbers have started coming in for the film and it suggests that the opening
is going to be quite huge for Matt Reeves new film.
But the question on everyones mind is how big?
Well, in this video I'm going to be breaking down all the data we currently have
surrounding The Batman's box office, giving you my thoughts on how much it could actually
make worldwide.
Before I get into it though, if you want to see much more videos on The Batman
leading up to and after it's release, alongside the continuation of my Road To The Batman
series, then don't forget to support this video
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But without further a do, lets discuss the potential of The Batman at the worldwide box
office.
So after DC and Warner Bros announced fan first screenings for The Batman on March the
1st in the US, the tickets were put on sale, and fans were quick to put their money on
the table by immediately purchasing every ticket available
for the IMAX advance previews of Matt Reeves film.
The IMAX screenings are being held at over 350 locations and nearly all of these
locations have currently sold out ahead of the film's March the 4th premiere.
These advance previews are taking place on the same day as The Batman's New York premiere,
and all of the combined hype from both of these events, add
on if it's a great film, will only boost the excitement leading into the general release
of the film.
And with the marketing in full gear, Warner Bros releasing intense TV Spots and
tie-ins to catch quite the attention, everything is quickly building towards a huge box office
opening.
According to Box Office Pro, The Batman is currently estimated to make between $135-180
million domestically during its first three days in theaters.
If this ends up happening, it would have the fourth highest-opening domestic
weekend of the live-action Batman movies, trailing behind The Dark Knight in third place
with $158.4 million, The Dark Knight Rises in second with $160.8 million and Batman
v Superman: Dawn of Justice with $166 million.
And the estimates could be lower than anticipated.
The Dark Knight films of course were also sequels and BvS was a film that had possibly
the two biggest heros squaring up against each other for the first time on the big screen.
That obviously didn't reach a billion at the box office, whereas general word of mouth
for The dark Knight films was continued over time that it pushed it's estimates higher
as the weeks went on, landing up at a billion each.
Another thing going for The Batman that we have to keep in mind, something that could
raise these estimates up closer to $190 million if word of mouth is strong and marketing keeps
building, is that the film is the first Warner Bros tentpole picture since Tenet in 2020
(which also starred Robert Pattinson) to be released exclusively in theaters.
All of WB's 2021 movies were simultaneously made available
on HBO Max for one month.
Really, two of the only big pictures on that list that did well were Godzilla Vs Kong and
Dune.
Additionally, The Batman doesn’t have any major competition
on its opening weekend, let alone the rest of March and the weeks to follow.
It has a lot going for it and if what fans see is as incredible
as the trailers and marketing points towards, then the movie is not just going to have serious
numbers on it's opening weekend, but also serious longevity with the general audience,
potentially being enticed to see a new Batman film as nothing as big would be competing
on theatre screens at the same time.
No Way Home had a similar effect, but again we have to
keep in mind that that was a third film in a series and a film highly benefiting off
of it's nostalgic aspects included.
This is a completely new iteration of one of the world's
famous superheros, one that's grittier, more noir driven and focused on telling a contained
story.
So it's got to win over the audience.
The other few factors going against it are ones like it's three hour runtime, which could
limit the amount of times it's shown per day and also it's rating in Europe is not a pg-13
like it is in the US.
It's actually a 15 in some markets so that rules out certain families
being able to take their kids to see a new Batman film.
At the same time, runtime might not do as much harm, as let's remember, the two
highest grossing films of all time in Avatar and Avengers: Endgame were both around 3 hours
long.
So longer doesnt mean huge losses at all.
But right now, it's clear that The Batman has more working for it than against it, and
as far as its entire domestic total goes, Box Office Pro also predicted that it could
take in anywhere from $340-540 million.
That is huge numbers for a film and that's only in the
US.
Add on worldwide numbers and you might be coming close to the billion mark.
And coming back to that point of the R Rating in European markets, we have to keep in mind
that it was only a few years ago that another movie which was also made for $100 million
dollars, actually made a billion at the box office.
And that was none other than Todd Phillips Joker.
That film has probabaly a similar level of hype going in and word of mouth and
reactions only bolstered it's longevity, ending it's run at $1.074 billion worldwide.
The Batman is argubally just as popular as the Joker with the general audience, and with
the film being marketed and catching attention with
it's potrayal of a quite damaged Bruce Wayne, I think you can see why many people are interested.
Let's just say this, if it is as successful or around the level of success of Joker, which
I think it could potentially replicate, then it's going to be a bigger success then most
would imagine, and that's because like Joker it
can multiply it's budget and marketing by a lot.
So, how much could this be and does The Batman have a chance of making over a billion at
the box office?
I honestly think it does, and this will all come through word of mouth.
Even for a film on a budget of $100 million, Joker
prooved this was possible and since people will flock up to watch their favourite characters,
like seen with No Way Home just a few months ago, what's to say people won't do something
similar come a new Batman film, especially if it's really good.
But that's the key point.
If it's say Dark Knight or even Batman Begins level good and a majority of audiences our
loving what Reeves, pattinson and company have done, then I think it's going to have
a big impact in the long term box office projections.
And let's not forget The Batman doesn't really have that much competition from other movies
at the box office for quite a while, similar to No Way Home.
It's essentially got everything set up for it to be a box office success,
as long as the movie is of a high quality and reecieves that word of mouth.
There's for one the popular IP, if not one of the most popular
when discussing comic book characters over the last 50 years.
Then there's a new take that's been associated with that, which would clearly help viewers
identify that this isn't connected to previous iterations if they weren't
too keen on them.
And then there's plenty of time for it to collect numbers long term.
Add on extremely strong marketing, which caused tickets to sell out in hours with early screenings
and there's a lot of positives to tick off.
So how much do I think it will make?
Honestly, The batman was only made for $100 million,
and if you add on probabaly an extra 100 for marketing, then it would need to make anywhere
over $550 to $600 million dollars to be completely safe profit wise.
It should definitely clear that if we look at Batman's onscreen
history at the theatres.
And again, if the film is good, there's nothing stopping it from reaching just under or over
a billion at the global box office, especially if we tie in the previously
cited examples of Joker and No Way Home.
But honestly, my final prediction for the box office is just north of a billion.
I may be reaching but I think the optimism surrounding
this movie is being felt by film fans and early anticipation from general moviegoers.
And if it can achieve those numbers, then that would
be huge for the start of this new trilogy.
Imagine the numbers it would then make on the sequels if this movie is good and is successful.
The Dark Knight films only went up after Batman Begins, which brought in around $800
million worldwide and that was almost a decade after the release of Batman and Robin.
So yeah, I think $800 million at the least and
$1 billion as a main prediction for this new Batman film.
For all we know it could do lower or even higher than a billion and it is quite unpredictable
with it being a new trilogy and starting point.
But this is Batman after all, and a Batman film that looks quite incredible.
And the studio is only going to be ramping up that marketing campaign even more so over
the next few weeks.
Time will of course tell, and it could go either way, but right now, I'm excited and
I can feel the excitement by other movie goers as we lead into a potentially big
opening for The Batman.
But they were my thoughts on whether The Batman can hit a billion at the global box office.
Again, I think if it's a great and the word of mouth carries past that opening weekend
then yes it's got a good chance of making a big
amount of money come it's final run.
But I do think that if the movie is at least decent then it should make around the $700
million plus range.
Everything we've seen or heard about the film has looked great and if it delivers on top
of an already great start to it's presales, then we could be looking at some huge numbers
come it's release.
But I'm intrigued to hear what you guys think towards the potential box office of Matt Reeves
Batman film, and what estimate do you think it has the capability of
making at the global box office.
Let me know down below in the comments section.
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