let's bring in kellyanne conway former
counselor to the president good morning
kellyanne good morning
good morning good morning so they're
counting all these ballots we have the
lawsuits what's the president's path
forward
the president's path forward is for
north carolina and georgia to hold and
be called for him that's 31.
you add pennsylvania there but he is way
ahead and we're patiently waiting for
all the votes to
all the legal votes to be counted there
that's 51.
arizona is going the other way i know
you're one of the only
places in the world that called it for
him many of the other networks and
anti-trump papers haven't called it yet
so we i know the campaign feels very
good
about at least the maricopa results
overnight
that the president hit his marks he
needed roughly about 59 57 percent of
those ballots to go his way and indeed
they have
and then of course nevada is still
outstanding alaska still standing three
votes so
that puts the president over the top let
me also say
that we spent three years they spent
three years investigating the president
impeaching the president we can't wait
three hours three days three weeks
to get a result in our great sturdy
democracy as to whom the next president
will be
i mean what is the rush all of a sudden
i think the rushes
there was no blue wave there was no
early night there was no
democratic progressive realignment in
fact the
democratic down ballot disasters carried
all the way to the state legislatures as
well
the democrats did not flip a single
state legislature
and in fact the republicans flipped the
house and senate for example in a place
like new hampshire where they have
a republican governor so that's solid
now they did a similar thing in montana
held on to the governorship the governor
there lost the senate race we held that
and accord the democratic governor and
now we have the the legislature as well
so you know the seven races uh
that were either the seven races that
flipped that are brand new republican
pickups as
leader mccarthy noted as i tweeted
yesterday as others are saying
those were all carried by a woman a
minority candidate and or a veteran
and that means the candidate recruitment
the republicans were doing their message
that that really carried them forward
and nobody was paying attention to that
instead all these phony national polls
were shoved down our throats
biden is up by 10 biden's up by 12.
biden's up by 13. do you know when i
took over his campaign manager in 2016
we did zero let me repeat the number
zero national polls
from that point forward they're not
relevant they tell you trends but they
don't dig into the electoral college map
electability i can tell you whether you
can or can't win
is outdated that's the way republicans
lost the presidential races for years
electoral college is how you do or don't
win and that's why these state polls
were so much more important do you know
where susan collins but even the state
polls kelly
that's right they were wrong but
remember a lot of them are media polls
in academic polls
so we need to hold the same people to
account not a single poll in the state
of maine
showed susan collins ahead she won by
almost nine points she was in his school
joni ernst a very similar situation i
mean just in case you think you think
that kellyanne is overstating it
we put together we got our vcrs out we
put them together we got these cords
and we taped it and we put it into a
montage watch
[Laughter]
president trump is dragging down
republican senators with him for parties
sometimes you're the windshield
sometimes you're the bug and
this year it looks like republicans are
the bug this could be
the year where texas goes blue more
likely as we sit tonight
that joe biden wins a landslide if we
see in those
final polls the type of lead that joe
biden has now
the polls are not going to be wrong yeah
wrong
new york post is from their editorial no
matter who wins the polls the pundits
the press were all wrong
wrong wrong kellyanne you did this for a
living
and i always would you call the campaign
they go our internals say this
but they're selling the public on
something else
that's malpractice now i want to say
something too
the the reason that a lot of reporters
will not cover internal polls
of any candidates let alone a
presidential candidate they'll say well
you're biased you want your candidate to
win
no you can't be biased internally
because you're deploying resources
and the greatest resources we have
donald trump and mike pence
you're putting the money you're deciding
where to run the ads you're deciding
where to beef up the ground game
and so you don't want disingenuous polls
but here is the deal
i said to your chris wallace on january
29th 2017 i was on his fox news sunday
show we had only been here
less than 10 days and he asked me a
question about he said chris
not a single person has lost his or her
job who was chronically wrong about this
election in 2016.
i predict it's not going to happen again
after 2020. nobody cares and nobody
wants to cure this problem
uh if this were a real business the
c-suite would be cleaned out the
shareholders would revolt and the
consumers
would vote with their feet they'd go
elsewhere but these polls weren't
they weren't scientific evidence
evidentiary
measures of what was going to happen
they're wishful thinking and here's one
thing i worked on
i was a pollster for decades and here's
i used to give i used to
give paid speeches about polls too and
advice clients one thing we all have to
remember is
it's becoming increasingly difficult to
sample
enough people in each cohort by race by
gender
by age by geography by party affiliation
and you have to wait w-a-i-t
to finish a poll over a series of days
for to be accurate but what's happening
is they're waiting w-e-i-g-h-t
their results so they're getting a small
number of responses
in an individual cohort and
extrapolating that
but where is honestly where is the
consequence
they are so chronically wrong there were
people on tv last night who predicted a
blue wave an early
night a rebuke of the trump agenda the
trump agenda won
up and down the ballot we're holding the
senate we picked up in the house
the state legislatures pelosi's got a
big problem now because the squad that
doesn't do squat except
they're going to make a run they're
going to make a run we're going to make
a run at her
they did last time so they're definitely
going to make a run at her because
all we hear about is she's powerful look
at her mask it matches her dress again
she didn't do anything to build her her
coalition her majority
but leader mccarthy and the trump agenda
did and it was a
real rebuke i also just want to read you
this it's on my twitter thing but let me
just quickly
in south carolina jamie harrison
african-american man they spent 109
million dollars lindsey graham beat him
amy mcgrath 90 million dollars to lose
by mitch
mcconnell by big double digits sarah
gideon the aforementioned maine
she lost to susan collins but not before
69.5 million was spent
mary hager in texas lost to john cornyn
24 million spent
those are female candidates minority
cancer democrats recruit to try to
unseat republican candidates
they lost every single time they did it
we picked up
at least one female u.s senator are you
hearing about that
no and by the way if speaking of female
u.s senators
where's kamala harris joe biden
literally yesterday had her off to the
side
silence as he was saying the voters will
not be silenced i don't want the voters
to be silenced
but why is your vice presidential
running mate about to make history
silenced you know kellyanne you were
talking about all the money that the
democrat side put up against the
republicans and yet the republicans
prevailed you're leaving out michael
bloomberg
he spent like a hundred million bucks to
make sure that donald trump did not
win florida and donald trump won florida
in such a big way
but uh going back to your earlier topic
about
pollstering you know we had this
conversation four years ago
about the the the the trump voter that
was hard to quantify because they didn't
want to say yeah i'm for donald trump
now they refer to it as the shy trump
voter
that is a real thing but those
mainstream media polls simply either
chose not to
quantify it or couldn't figure it out
because it is tough
when somebody is lying to you or being
evasive it's hard to tell what they
really think
well sure and look there are two things
going on i discussed this directly with
the president last week actually
there is this trump uh there the trump
the there is the shy undercover
trump voter that i first talked about in
july of 2016 to international ridicule
and derision
um and then cnn wrote a big article
about this that that we were going to
bank on this hidden trump word you
couldn't see in polls
in august of 2016. and here's the deal
you had the shy trump voters
who just don't want every night to feel
like thanksgiving with the in-laws
they're so tired of arguing with people
in their circle of life
and guess what winning finishes all
these sentences you don't have to get
out there and argue your guy won last
time you just wanted to win this time
but there's also the not so shy and
hidden trump voter this time look at the
rallies
look at the day of turnouts so they were
really they were proud
to be out there um but but here's the
deal we should be concerned about one
thing
we should be concerned sure that the
mainstream media 92 percent against
donald trump the coverage 95
but they're the ones doing the polling
they have unlimited resources to do
polling that they then shove in front of
you
right as facts what concerns me is not
that they don't like the president they
voted against the president we already
knew that
what concerns me is that they didn't
take the last four years to learn
the trump zeitgeist to learn but it's
not over
america to support it but it's not over
at all and i will say this
is that over at all and even though 538
is hardly every
the the pollster unit we already thought
it is this has just come across
nate silver says arizona should be taken
down from the column
he says i don't know i guess i guess if
arizona you forced me to make a pick i
sure as heck
uh don't know i guess it would be in the
buying column but he says it's not a
sure thing anymore
i know we ruled it one way we believe it
but uh for him to move it out
is uh uh if you're a high five and
you're a biden fan maybe you're dancing
before you get in the end zone well i
hope that by
the biden campaign agrees with the trump
campaign that every legal vote should be
counted including in arizona
and our our grievance our beef with
fox having caught fox news having called
arizona early is not that eventually
maybe biden wins it or trump wins is
that
it's three hours behind the east coast a
lot of these states that where the
numbers were clearly in had not been
called yet
other outlets have not called it for a
very simple reason
arizona has a very rich tradition of
mail-in balloting
i've worked on congressional races i
remember representing i won't name him
a candidate years ago in a primary
battle
and i said you're going to do great in
the day of voting but they didn't have
much of a before i got mad they didn't
have much of a plan for the early vote
and he lost this happens because the
maryland ballot is so strong it
particularly was strong
they know how to do it so calling it
that's right they know how to do it but
calling it too
early again i'm just going to repeat
what i said the beginning why are we in
such a rush
they spent three years investigating
impeaching the president and found
absolutely nothing he's still the
president
and why are we in such a rush to finish
this election prematurely
let's be patient let's take a deep
breath let's count every legal vote
i think it's a time to be methodical and
not emotional
right this is what i think and i think
we should be exposing some of the people
who are in charge of this
who have a history of being put but if
you are a poster and you're on a
pre-game show and you're supposed to
highlight and preview a game you would
have been fired on espn in fox sports
they would not take you more than two
weeks but uh just
real quick that was a decision desk
decision and we you know we stand by the
arizona
uh decision but that's done by the
decision desk
right and i see i've seen it be
explained but not very well um but but
look i
look i just want to say this to you um
that it doesn't really matter because
arizona's going to count its votes
pennsylvania's going to count its votes
everywhere it's going to count its votes
alaska's also still outstanding that
will go the president's way and you
mentioned michael bloomberg i have to
give an
early award for 2020. i think the most
brilliant
brilliant political people in 2020 were
clearly the consultants
getting a cut of the michael bloomberg
fortune one billion dollars on this
right don quixote like a presidential
run they got a cut of that
and then a hundred million dollars on
trying to turn texas ohio and florida
blue all of which
everyone in south carolina said what are
you bringing your hollywood dollars into
our state you can't tell us how to vote
or what to do for ourselves that's right
they don't like it
and this is already this that's right
this is a rebuke of the elites i think
in the establishment telling people how
to think what to do
and what your value of a human being is
based on your vote
but wishful thinking doesn't win the
people spoke again let's see what
happens thanks for having me thank you