Well, good afternoon.
I'm meteorologist Ryan Sharptail
with another tropical update.
It is Wednesday, September 7th, 2022.
Keep in mind, 3 days from now is the
climatological peak of hurricane season.
Early to middle September marks the
busiest time in the Atlantic and
Pacific Ocean for tropical activity.
Matter of fact, take a look,
we have four systems out there,
two named storms and two areas of interest.
And you'll see Earl is out there a category
one hurricane in addition to Danielle,
which is also a category one,
both of which just want to start out.
And put your mind at ease
are no threats to land.
They're both going to stay out in the
Atlantic Basin with the exception of
the potential for invest 95 L and you'll
see that it has a pretty good chance of
developing in the next two to five days.
As a matter of fact,
the Hurricane Center gives it a high
chance at Tropical cyclone formation
through Friday and ultimately this
weekend as it enters a more conducive
and more favorable environment in the
central and eastern Atlantic Ocean.
And we'll zoom in on each of
these to give you a closer look.
Now, by and large,
it looks like.
Role is the most classic looking
system and when we mean by that
is it looks very symmetrical.
You have a lot of thunderstorms erupting
around the sensor of circulation.
It's not too lopsided and it's,
you know, spinning pretty quickly.
Matter of fact,
winds are at around 80 miles
an hour for Hurricane Earl,
just NE of the Caribbean Sea and
east of the Bahamas as well.
In addition to that we have
Hurricane Daniella category one.
But take a look,
compare Earl structure to this right here
satellite presentation not too impressive.
Matter of fact,
upper level winds,
the shear and the North Atlantic
Ocean is really taking a pretty
good toll on the look of Danielle.
And you can see how lopsided it is.
A matter of fact,
you can see the low level center
of Hurricane Danielle almost
exposed compared to where all the
moisture and all the thunderstorm
development is away from its center.
So not too impressive.
That'll continue to enter an
environment which is not too
favorable for Hurricane Danielle.
And then lastly,
invest 95 L What is an invest?
Short for investigative area and it's
dubbed the name 95 L just based on
how many areas and tropical waves
are out there at this moment in time.
And you can see on satellite and also
in Fred imagery, it's not too great.
I mean you have a few thunderstorms
on that northern side,
but compared to Danielle and
Earl's not great, right.
It's going to enter a better
environment in the next couple of days,
but you can see right now that's
just a tropical wave and compared
to Hurricane Earl,
the structure is a lot to a lot different.
Matter of fact,
here's hurricane.
Earl, here are the stats on it.
Winds are at 85 miles an hour as of the last
update at 1:00 PM from the Hurricane Center.
It's moving N at 8 central pressure
down to about 974 millibar,
so it is strengthening.
It's in a pretty good environment,
very favorable conditions for this system.
And take a look how against
some metrical it is.
It is very circular.
A lot of thunderstorms are inside
its center around the eye wall.
It's trying to form an eye,
but you can see how pretty
impressive it looks based on what
you're seeing on visible imagery.
From our geostationary satellite and space,
again a low end category one.
So it for it to be a category two,
it needs to reach winds of
96 miles an hour to 110.
That's the ranging for a category two and
then so on and so forth for a category three.
Category four.
And then once it reached
155 mile an hour winds,
that's a Category 5 hurricane
which is considered major.
Now look at what we're
seeing on infrared imagery.
Very impressive as you can see.
And here's the forecast, Cohen for Earl.
It's going to stay away from Lamb.
That's the good news.
However, it will strengthen.
It will enter a very conducive environment,
strengthening into potentially our
first major hurricane of the year.
We've seen a couple of hurricanes,
including Earl and Danielle,
but no major hurricanes
category three or stronger,
but it will enter the North Atlantic
or the forecast calls for a category
four hurricane through Friday and
Saturday and later on this weekend.
But once again,
to put your mind at ease,
this is moving away from land and away from
the Caribbean Sea in the United States.
So look at this five named.
Forms this year,
three tropical storms and two
Category 1 hurricanes and Earl may
get as strong as a category four.
We'll have to watch Earl very closely.
Now you saw invest 94 L that is forecast
to become at least a named storm in
the next two to five days if it were named.
Next name on the list is Fiona
and then guest Tom and then Ian,
Julia,
Karl and then wrapping up
the season with Walter.
So this is a look at how many storms
we've seen and the next names on the
list up to bat for the hurricane season.
Lastly,
look at this so far 5 named
storms for the Atlantic.
Take a look at the scoreboard for the
Pacific Ocean up to 12 named storms.