TIFIED
METEOROLOGIST BETTY DAVIS IS
RIGHT HERE, THEY HAVE THE LATEST
ADVISORY.
>> HI, EVERYONE.
A VERY BUSY EVENING FOR
EVERYBODY, INCLUDING HURRICANE
HUNTERS.
>> INDEED IT IS.
LET'S TALK ABOUT IRMA, SHOW YOU
WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE.
IT HAS BEEN IMPRESSING US.
THAT HAS NOT CHANGED, YOU CAN
SEE THE EYE STILL WELL DEFINED.
STILL A VERY POWERFUL SYSTEM.
SO LET'S GET YOU STRAIGHT TO THE
STATS.
AT THE END OF THE 10:00, LET'S
NOW GET THE NUMBERS TO YOU.
WE ARE FINDING THAT MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE AT 140 MILES PER HOUR.
PRESSURE 9134-MILLIBARS MANYEM
SO NO BIG CHANGES IN INTENSITY.
IT IS MOVING WEST, THAT CENTER
OF CIRCULATION, 410 MILES EAST
OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SO IT IS
GETTING CLOSER TO THESE ISLANDS.
THE PROJECTED PATH SHOWING THAT
THE CENTER WILL MOVE NEAR OR
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS.
NOTICE PUERTO RICO COULD BE
WITHIN THE SIGHTS OF THIS
SYSTEM, AS IT CONTINUES ITS
JOURNEY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST.
AND THEN ON THURSDAY, AREAS LIKE
HISPANIOLA, AND THEN ALSO THE
BAHAMAS HAS TO KEEP TABS ON THIS
IT IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN IT'S
INTENSITY AS A CATEGORY FOUR.
VERY STRONG, AND THEN ONCE WE
GET AROUND THAT FRIDAY
TIMEFRAME, NOTICE SOMEWHERE
BETWEEN THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA,
AND THE BAHAMAS.
AND THEN COME SATURDAY, LOOK
SOUTH OF MIAMI, RIGHT OVER THE
STRAITS, THAT'S WHERE WE COULD
FIND THE CORE OF THIS SYSTEM.
KEEPING IN MIND, THAT THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY STILL A LITTLE BIT
OF UNCERTAINTY AS WE GO OUT IN
TIME, BUT DEFINITELY SOMETHING
SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD BE
PREPARING FOR.
I WILL SHOW YOU THE LATEST RUN
ON THE FORECAST TRACK MODEL
FINES, AND WHAT THAT LOOKS LIKE.
THE SHORT TERM THERE IS A LOT OF
AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF WHERE THE
SYSTEM IS GOING.
BUT GOING OUT IN TIME, THERE IS
STILL A LITTLE BIT OF SPREAD AND
MAX I KNOW YOU WILL TALK ABOUT
THAT
YOU CAN SEE ON THIS, THAT IT
STILL HAS A VERY WELL DEFINED
EYE.
IT IS VERY EVER KEN CAN SENT
TRICK, THIS IS ONE -- IT'S NOT
REASON TO EXPECT THIS TO WEAKEN.
THE ONLY CHANCE HERE, I THINK,
FOR IT TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY
AND LET'S LOOK AT THESE MODELS
HERE.
THERE'S SCATTERED OUT AROUND
3:00 TO FIVE DAYS THA YELLOW
LINE, THAT TAKES IT OVER
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO, AND
CUBA
IT WILL GET WEAKEN SOMEWHAT, BUT
MOST OF IT IS TO THE NORTH OF
THAT, AND IF YOU LOOK AT THAT
RED LINE, THAT'S NOT FAR FROM
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PORT
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THAT'S
VERY CLOSE TO WHERE THE
HURRICANE CENTER'S FORECASTING
IT.
SO WE ARE CONCERNED ALSO BEYOND
THAT FIVE DAYTIME PERIOD, THIS
IS UNITED STATES MODEL GLOBAL
MOD THAT WILL TAKES IT NORTH
WARD, AND YOU CAN SEE IT OVER
THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA THERE, AT
THAT TIME, AND CONTINUING NORTH
WARD BEYOND THAT, INTO MONDAY,
THAT'S THE U.S. MODEL, NOW A
LOOK AT THE EUROPEAN MODEL THAT
DOES ALMOST THE SAME THING.
UP NORTHEASTERN THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF FLORIDA AND CONTINUING NORTH
WARD BEYOND THAT NOW.
NOW NOBODY CAN TELL YOU WHERE
THAT TURN IS DOING TO OCCUR, AND
IF WE IN FACT THAT'S WHY THE
HURRICANE CENTER HAS THAT CONE.
I ALSO WANT TO SAY THAT THE WIND
FEEL, RIGHT NOW THE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUT 140 MILES PER HOUR
THAT'S FORECAST TO EXPAND OUT TO
MAYBE 200 MILES IN THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.
SO WHEN WE LOOK AT THE CONE
HERE, WE KNOW THAT CENTER CAN BE
ANYWHERE WITHIN THE CONE.
DON'T FORGET THAT THE STORM
FORCE WINDS IF THEY EXTEND OUT
FROM THAT CENTER, WELL THEN, WE
WILL FEEL THE IMPACTS HER
SO.
YOU ARE IN THE KEYING MIAMI DADE
AND BROWARD, WHEN IT COMES TO
IRMA, WE ARE TALKING ABOUT ALL
OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
HERE IS ANOTHER GLANCE, AND YOU
ARE NOTICING THAT SEVERAL ARE
PLACING NIT THE VICINITY OF
SOUTH FLORIDA SATURDAY.
IRMA IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR
HURRICANE, THE POTENTIAL IMPACT
WINDOW FRIDAY INTO MONDAY.
THAT'S WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE RIGHT
NOW.
THOSE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
THEY CAN ARRIVE STARTING LATE
FRIDAY, SO BE READY FOR THAT.
IF YOU ARE HAVING TO PUT UP THE
SHUTTERS YOU WANT THE GET THAT
DONE BEFORE FRIDAY, YOU DON'T
WANT WIND AROUND 39, 40 MILES
PER HOUR, OR OVER THAT AND YOU
ARE OUTSIDE TRYING TO TIE UP
LOSE ENDS.
IT IS TOO SOON FOR SPECIFICS OEN
THE LAND FALL, OR SPECIFICS OEN
THE IMPACT.
BUT YOU SHOULD DEFINITELY HAVE A
PLAN AND BE READY TO ACT AND
TAIJUAN YOU NEED TO GET DONE.