Hey everybody, 13 news now meteorologist
Craig Moeller here with a look at
our chances for snow coming up
Friday night into early Saturday,
we do have a winter storm warning that
will run through 10:00 AM Saturday.
They just want to talk to you
about kind of the latest model,
guidance how things are looking
as we go through the day.
Notice the winter storm warning
it includes the Eastern Shore,
the peninsula,
Southside Hampton Roads all the way out
through Franklin and Southampton into
NE North Carolina in the entire North
Carolina part of our viewing area.
Under the Winter storm warning.
So we are monitoring for this
snow and that's the reason this
winter storm warning is posted
for that potential for snow.
And it looks like we're going
to wake up to a nice blanket of
white across most of the region,
and it's not going to be the
heaviest snow we've ever seen,
but a good chance.
I think widespread 2 to 5 inches
of snow across much of the area.
We may see a little bit heavier amount of
snowfall in some locations down to the South.
I'm seeing at three to 7
inch range down that way.
Lesser amounts.
North and West because the moisture
is just kind of a hard time
spreading that far north and West.
I think most of our more significant
snowfall will be confined to the coast
and maybe down just to the South.
We'll get into the models here
in just a moment before we do.
Remember we had that cold front
come through yesterday.
We got the rain, then the transition.
The mixing up in the peninsula
that was yesterday afternoon.
All that worked out perfectly
with the forecast.
Saw the mixing across the South side.
We knew that was going to happen.
We got some snow.
Overnight wasn't a ton,
but we weren't expecting a ton.
The ground is still pretty warm.
That cold air was transitioning
kind of coming and settling in.
Now the cold air is in place.
Look at these wind chills throughout the day.
Air temperatures will climb to get
close to about 31, maybe 32 degrees.
That's it.
Winds are coming in from the
north and dusting,
and we're going to see those
winds gusting up around 3035 mph,
so that's going to make those
wind chills stay in the teens.
Sustained winds.
15 to 25 gusting to 3035,
so it is going to be a windy
and cold day today.
We're getting a break from the snow.
There is still a few just very
light snow showers down around
the Albemarle Sound and back
over towards the Outer Banks,
but we've seen this trend kind
of winding down and again,
this was in the forecast that we
would catch a break this morning.
We're getting that break,
but we're going
to pick up our futurecast and
talk about what's going to
happen later this afternoon.
Clouds filling back in and down to
the South. We're going to see some moisture.
Being brought into this cold air is
going to be waves of energy that
move along that stalled front down
to our South, into the southeast.
And that's going to throw some
moisture back into the region.
So I suspect by late afternoon we're
going to be tracking snow showers
pushing north from coastal sections of
North Carolina up into the colder air.
It'll fall as snow,
and by the early evening the snow
should become more widespread.
I expect heavier periods of snow overnight.
In early tomorrow morning it'll be moving
out so you see again the snow there.
That's at 3:30 in the morning Saturday
by 4-5 o'clock. It'll be pushing
out now, how much snow we get going
to depend how much moisture comes in.
Is it going to be deep moisture
overriding that cold air?
Is it going to push back a
little farther to the West,
or is it going to stay closer to
the coast or even farther east?
If that moisture doesn't come in as far,
we're going to get much
lighter amounts of snow.
If it comes in farther to the West.
It'll be heavier at the coast,
and we'll see even some
higher amounts inland.
But again, general thinking right
now based on the guidance 2 to
5 inches for most of the area.
Maybe some higher amounts down
to the South by Saturday.
It moves out.
We might see some lingering
snow showers or flurries,
but things will be improving as we go along.
Let's take a look at some of the models.
These are the global models,
the European and the GFS.
Both of these back down from where
they were previously, and that's OK.
We're still looking with the euro
around 3 to 4 inches in Norfolk.
For Virginia Beach,
a little bit more chest peak and then
slightly higher down into North Carolina.
the US model the GFS.
This one comes in two to three inches.
Norfolk VA Beach and Chesapeake,
again slightly higher,
four to five inches for Elizabeth
City and didn't and so again
the models backing off a little
bit from where they were.
But these are the global models when
we look at our more rapidly updating
high resolution models like the man here,
you'll notice it's still producing 4 1/2.
To five even 6 inches across parts
of the South side with heavier
amounts into North Carolina.
So again, we've got that range two to five,
generally, maybe 3 to 7.
Some of these areas down to the
South just kind of taking into
account the possibility that we
get some deeper moisture in.
Not a guarantee,
but there's a good chance we are
going to see maybe some locally
higher amounts down South.
Let's take a look at one other model.
This is the graph model and we don't
put a tremendous amount of stock in this,
but this one again.
Showing those snowfall potentials a
little bit greater Norfolk VA beach.
This particular model brings that
moisture farther West and you can
see some of these higher amounts.
I think this one is off a little bit.
I think this should be probably a
little bit lower out to the West and
kind of in this range closer to the coast,
but again just another model showing
you a different look at the potential.
What we know today is going to be
cold temperatures staying in the
low 30s wind chills in the teens as
we'll see some gusts around 30 mph.
Tonight's lows near 27 snow is
going to be very, very likely.
It could be heavier at times,
specially to the South southern
parts of Hampton Roads into NE North
Carolina will be watching that.
Snow moves out very early
tomorrow 35 the high.
We'll see mostly cloudy skies, maybe a
few breaks late in the day after that.
Temperatures do warm a little
bit for Sunday back up to 40,
staying there Monday,
and another chance for some rain
showers on Tuesday. Big news?
Accumulating snow tonight.
We will keep you updated at 13 news now.
Be sure to check out 13 news.now.com
and of course all of our social
and digital outlets will be
keeping those updated as well.
Thanks for watching and
stay tuned for updates.