OUR FRIENDS AT FIRST READ HAVE A HANDY VIEWER’S GUIDE FOR ALL US
JUNKIES, WHEN IT COMES TO
POLITICS, WHOSE AET NERDIEST OF
ALL?
ALL? CHUCK TODD.
CHUCK TODD. >> HAPPY SUPER TUESDAY.
IT IS A PRETTY EXCITING DAY, A
LOT OF UNKNOWNS.
>> A LOT OF UNKNOWNS.
SANDERS FOLKS WERE TAKEN BY
SURPRISE CLEARLY.
SURPRISE CLEARLY. MIKE BLOOMBERG UNDER PRESSURE TO
GET OUT BECAUSE HE IS NOT THE
CONVENTIONALLY UNDERSTOOD TO BE
POSSIBLE CONTENDER TO TAKE DOWN
DONALD TRUMP, AND YOU KNOW, IT
IS A COMPLETELY NEW PRIMARY.
>> NOT SINCE JOHN McCAIN ’08
HAVE WE SEEN A TURNAROUND
LITERALLY FROM WHERE YOU THOUGHT
THE CANDIDACY IS NOT RECOVERING
TO FRONTRUNNER STATUS.
NOT SAYING JOE BIDEN IS A
FRONTRUNNER YET, TOOK JOHN
McCAIN A FEW -- HE HAD TO WIN
MARCH.
MARCH. IT IS A SIMILAR PERIOD.
IT WAS NEW HAMPSHIRE THAT
RESCUED HIM, THEN SOUTH CAROLINA
REINFORCED IT.
REINFORCED IT. SOUTH CAROLINA RESCUES JOE,
LET’S SEE IF THIS REINFORCES IT.
LOOK, I THINK YOUR OVER, UNDER
NUMBER FOR BERNIE SANDERS IS
600.
600. IF HE HAS 600 OR MORE TONIGHT,
THAT’S A BIG DEAL.
THAT MEANS HE IS CLOSE TO HAVING
50% OF DELEGATES AVAILABLE
TONIGHT.
TONIGHT. THE HIGHER OVER 600, THE BETTER
IT IS.
IT IS. THE MORE APPROPRIATE WOULD BE TO
CALL BERNIE SANDERS THE
FRONTRUNNER.
FRONTRUNNER. IF HE CAN’T BE OVER THE NUMBER
600 TONIGHT OR AFTER CALIFORNIA
COMES IN, AND WE KNOW THAT WILL
BE IN PLAY, ESSENTIALLY A LOT OF
US WILL BE ABLE TO FIGURE THAT
CALIFORNIA NUMBER OUT BEFORE IT
IS OFFICIAL.
IS OFFICIAL. IF HE’S THE FAR UNDER 600 HE IS,
THE MORE IT TIPS INTO BIDEN’S
FAVOR.
FAVOR. LOOK AT THE BIDEN, BLOOMBERG
COMBINED DELEGATE TOTAL.
IF IT IS GREATER THAN BERNIE’S,
THAT’S A RED FLAG FOR BERNIE.
IF IT IS NOT, A YELLOW FLAG FOR
BIDEN.
BIDEN. SOME SYMBOLIC PLACES WE’RE
WATCHING, TEXAS, SYMBOLICALLY.
I THINK THE SURGE WILL BE GOOD
ENOUGH, PROBABLY A FAIRLY EVEN
SPLIT OUT OF TEXAS.
WHAT IF SANDERS NETS ZERO OUT OF
TEXAS, WHAT IF BIDEN IS THE GUY
THAT WINGS TEXAS BY A POINT OR
TWO.
TWO. >> IS IT CONCEIVABLE SANDERS
WOULDN’T REACH 15%?
>> NOT JUST THAT, JUST BECAUSE
BIDEN DOES WELL ENOUGH AT THE
END OF THE DAY, THEY SPLIT IT
AND SANDERS DOESN’T GET THE BIG
HAUL FROM TEXAS HE EXPECTED.
THAT’S A SYMBOLIC PLACE TO LOOK.
NORTH CAROLINA IS ANOTHER TO
LOOK WHO WINS THERE, THEN
ANOTHER QUESTION WE HAVE, WHO’S
GOING TO MAKE THE THRESHOLD IN
MORE STATES, BLOOMBERG OR
WARREN.
WARREN. THE MORE STATES BLOOMBERG MAKES,
BETTER FOR BERNIE.
MORE WARREN MAKES THRESHOLD IN,
BETTER FOR BIDEN.
YOU ASSUME BLOOMBERG IS HURTING
BIDEN, WARREN IS HURTING
SANDERS.
SANDERS. >> HOW MUCH CAN BLOOMBERG
BENEFIT BY THE EARLY VOTING IN
THAT HIS REAL PROBLEMS WITH THE
TWO DEBATES.
TWO DEBATES. >> THE PLACE I’M MOST CURIOUS
ABOUT IS TENNESSEE BECAUSE
TENNESSEE WAS BASICALLY ONE OF
THE STATES THAT NOBODY ELSE
REALLY TARGETED UNTIL VERY LATE.
>> AND HE WAS THERE.
>> HE WAS THERE ALL BY HIMSELF,
OKLAHOMA IS ANOTHER, ARKANSAS IS
ANOTHER.
ANOTHER. ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE IN
PARTICULAR.
PARTICULAR. IF YOU WANT TO TEST THE EARLY
VOTE ISSUE, HOW MUCH OF IT
MATTERED, I ASSUME BLOOMBERG
MAKES THRESHOLD IN A PLACE LIKE
TENNESSEE FOR SURE SIMPLY
BECAUSE OF THAT.
>> TENNESSEE HAD THIS TREMENDOUS
TORNADOES, 52 PEOPLE DEAD, HAD
TO CLOSE SOME POLLING STATIONS,
STATE CAPITOL IS CLOSED.
>> THAT’S THE BIGGEST PART OF
THE STATE, NASHVILLE.
THAT COULD HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACT ON NUMBERS.
WE KNOW STATES WHERE THE EARLY
VOTE IS MORE DOMINANT IN VOTE
TOTALS, THAT’S USUALLY BETTER
FOR BERNIE.
FOR BERNIE. >> ONE OF THE THINGS I HAVE BEEN
TOLD IS THAT LOOK, MIKE
BLOOMBERG RATIONALE FOR GETTING
IN WAS JOE BIDEN WAS TOO WEAK TO
TAKE ON DONALD TRUMP.
HE DOESN’T LOOK WEAK NOW.
IF BIDEN DOES WELL, RATIONALE --
AND BLOOMBERG DOESN’T, RATIONALE
IS GONE.
IS GONE. THEN YOU EXPECT BLOOMBERG WOULD
THROW HIS SUPPORT AND MONEY
CRITICAL TO BIDEN.
>> I ASSUME HE WOULDN’T FINISH
THE WEEK.
THE WEEK. IF HE STAYED IN THROUGH MARCH,
HE WOULD START HELPING BERNIE.
IF HE STAYS IN IN FLORIDA,
PARTICULARLY MARCH 17 STATES OF
OHIO, ILLINOIS, ARIZONA,
FLORIDA, IF BLOOMBERG IS STAYING
IN, THAT’S A BIG HELP TO BERNIE,
DOES TAKE A CHUNK OUT OF BIDEN.
IF BIDEN IS AS STRONG AS BIDEN
PEOPLE THINK THEY’RE GOING TO
BE, AND FRANKLY THEY DON’T KNOW,
NOBODY KNOWS, THE ONLY PEOPLE
TRACKING MAY HAVE BEEN TEAM
BLOOMBERG, EVEN THEN, THESE
NUMBERS ARE SHIFTING AND MOVING
SO FAST.
SO FAST. WE SAW DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
HOLDING THEIR BALLOT.
THERE’S A REASON WHY AMY
KLOBUCHAR WENT FROM 0 TO 20
BASICALLY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE AFTER
A DEBATE PERFORMANCE.
WE SAW IT WITH BIDEN.
NOTHING WILL SHOCK ME TONIGHT ON
BIDEN’S PERFORMANCE.
BIDEN’S PERFORMANCE. >> STAY TUNED.
BE WITH US.
WATCH US ALL.
>> 2:00 A.M.
ARE YOU READY?
>> I AM READY.