in divisional. Burning
questions to visual burning questions about the India ink
off.
Yo,
I yelled. I fired. Two people in the in the break but I got
my drink and now it's here.
I think the IFC North is the second best division in
football. After the AFC West mean you could make okay NFC
West as well and if see East. Yeah,
they're CIA stooge of Washington, commanders of
the greatest. He also went to Logan. Thomas, of course hail
victory. Yeah, so we're going to start with the Ravens sugar.
Clear favorite in the division,
particularly post. The Sean Watson suspension. The question
is, what is the ceiling for Rashad Bateman this season?
He's a guy that you've staked your good name too.
What's his ceiling?
I think is, I think his ceiling is, you know,
top 20 wide receiver, sure,
top 50. I mean, like look, it'll come down two touchdowns,
right? And at the moment we expect a lot of those to go to
Mark Andrews and some dies, a likely. But if Rashad Bateman
suddenly gets
a ton of tet a touch.
Sounds like he's got that ability. I mean, so we expect
a massive Target chair,
okay, 26 percent, Target chair for Marquis Brown last year,
145 targets out the door now in Arizona. So that's available in
the fact that they didn't do
the biggest move, they made in free agency or the draft in
terms of wide receivers Demarcus Robinson.
Yes, we're shy. Bateman's the future. Now, again, they're
going to write a lot. They're going to run a lot of 12, and
they going to play two tight ends. And so we just why we
like, likely,
we like Isaiah likely as the third, third option and that
passing game, but
as we talked about in segment, one J, like
we think there's a chance, they start throwing a lot more,
especially with given the the injury status of JK Dobbins and
Gus Edwards and Kenyan Drake, just got there. Mike Davis,
nice pass catcher. Like, I don't think they're going,
they're going to definitely be run.
Higher than they were last year, but I don't think they're
going to be super run-heavy. The way some people think at
least, not at the beginning of the season. So Lamar Jackson
was on pies for almost 4500 passing yards. Lost says, yes
and to go with
around 1,000 rushing yards, but there is the ceiling on Richard
Bateman is that he could be. All he likely will be the most
targeted wide receiver on an elite. Offense Grand,
a division favorite. They could easily get the 1
seed that is going to have lots of opportunities to score,
and it could be more pass heavy than we.
With a quarterback, by the way, who again like
gets was playing for a contract. I get like and also
gets better with a pocket passer every season. I like,
again NFL teams, it's not just a testicle pieces of meat. They
are people like you. And I, and they all have egos and
Ambitions
and, you know, and desires the way everyone does. And I've
never met. I met Lamar Jackson. Once in my life, I interviewed
him when he was a rookie. So, I,
I'm just speaking from afar here, but my belief is that he
sits here and sees The deal that a guy in his own division,
the deal that DeShaun Watson got, who hasn't, you know,
even with the off the field stuff you know hasn't played
football in almost two years MVP right. The more Jackson was
a unanimous MVP and he seems Russell Wilson over the age of
30. Get a quarter of a billion dollars to and Lamar Jackson's
like
where's mine? And so he's a he's a free agent at the end of
the day I mean I think they can franchise tag him but what
he wants to get paid, he wants to be the highest-paid
quarterback in the NFL and you're not getting paid if all
You're doing is handing off. And so
I, you know, Lamar who has obviously the ability to check
out of any play, like I just think they're going to be more
Passive. A I think Lamar is gonna have a monster year.
I know he was your ride or die choice
this year, all in law and Lamar Gollum.
So yes I mean I love Richard. Berman made the Loveless time
in on Lamar. I currently have him
at wide receiver. 31
17th overall, he's going 82nd over on Yahoo so I'm around
higher on him than consensus and the betting Market. He said
at 50 and a half yards, five and a half touchdowns. So,
similar Saison, to what AJ Brown devant. Les Smith,
ironically teammates now. But
to what they did last year, and that's kind of the average
outcome. The we're projecting. So he has upside to go thousand
yards, seven, eight, nine touchdowns. So I think there's
a huge ceiling on a shot babe and he has the talent
as well. I mean, that's the ceiling onto my think. I think,
somewhere in the 20 to 30 range is where he probably Nets out.
I'm at wide receiver 31, but again, higher than consensus.
Higher than Where he's going on Yahoo. So. So now, the next
question is on the Cincinnati Bengals and on the quarterback
who I think that
most people would say, is the best quarterback in
the division, over the unanimous MVP of 2019 and let's go borrow
now. Do you think drawbar? Joe burrow is being overdrafted.
I do? I mean look, he's my QB 10. He's currently going as qb5
on Yahoo right, I am an eighty seventh overall, Yahoo has them
at 63rd overall. So obviously
look he made my hate list and it's not that I think he's
It. He's not that I think he's a bad quarterback. I think he
is a I think he's a very good NFL quarterback.
I think it'll be a good fantasy quarterback. I don't think
he'll be a top five fantasy quarterback as you see, my
quarterback rankings on the screen here. Josh Sean Patrick
Mahomes Justin Herbert Jalen hurts it for
Lamar Jackson at five.
Brady comes in at 6:00 Kyler's at 7:00,
Dak Prescott at 8:00 Russell Wilson at 9:00 and then Joe Borough
comes in at 10. Those are my quarterback rankings. Here's my
concern
on Joe burrow and some of these things.
As I wrote about in my love-hate, which is available for free,
on a rotor world.com, NBC Sports edge.com. I'm a company
man.
Three of his games last year week 16 against Baltimore week,
17 against Kansas City. And then the earlier game at
Baltimore week 7, so, two games against the Ravens and that
crazy week, 17, game against the Chiefs,
those three games
combined for 32% of Joe Broz fantasy points. Last year,
those three games, what happened with Joe. And so, last
year,
prior to those last two games, those that, that week 16 week
17 game
he had like, he had six straight games of like, less
than two touched. Passes like
there. I'm worried about the inconsistency with him
and I'm worried that what he had such a magical year last
year. Kenny repeat it get this
last year. Joe Borough had a 70 percent completion rate. He had
over 500 pass attempts
and he had at least a tear yards per 10,
just that's a lot of numbers that I just threw it you but
just on break it down in essence. He threw it. He threw
a ton.
He threw a ton deep and he completed an insanely high
amount of passes since the year. 2000. The only other
quarterbacks that have done that
over seventy percent completion rate over 500 pass attempts, at
least, 80 yards for Target,
DeShaun, Watson, and Drew Brees,
and neither of them and neither of them
repeated. They've each of those guys did it once since the year
2000. So now you're like, well, Drew Brees is super highly
efficient, right? But like he started thinking and dunking,
it was like Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara and, you know,
just really close to the line of scrimmage stuff.
Joe, Broz got Jamar Chase. Yeah,
you got D Higgins. Yeah,
got Tyler boy. Nice player like
I don't know. I just
it's gonna have a good year. Yes. Is it going to have a top
five fantasy quarterback year especially when you consider he
doesn't run.
The way that Lamar or Kyler or the guys going to act or Jalen
hurts guys that are going after him do.
I do not understand Joe Borough going top, five among
quarterbacks on Yahoo. That makes no sense to me at all,
and I like jobber. Oh, yeah.
From abetting perspective,
The Bangles and borrow their difficult time to
figure out because there are so many push and pull factors where
last season, they had an incredibly easy schedule of
Defense. He had almost 1,000 yards just in those two games
against the Ravens, but a really bad secondary and a so
golden NFL secondary
by that week 17 game. Now we have the second hardest
schedule of Defense has in the entire league. So that hurts
also they're not going to be he's not going to complete as
many 80-yard bombs. The jamaat chase against just not gonna
happen. There's not gonna be another 200 66-yard
three touchdown game against the Chiefs for Jamar Chase,
most Clay on the other side,
he wasn't fully healthy the first half of last season in
particular. He had to go into the season and then it was only
in the second half and the playoffs. Well, they really
gave him the keys and the chef's hat and kind of just let
Joe cook.
So is there going to be more of that? They have a better
offensive line. Jamar Chase is in his second year.
Theoretically, he should be better. Which seems difficult
to process. Was, he was so good last season, but
just like Justin Jefferson
wouldn't expect that late last year. Either necessarily
Jamar chose mine.
Another gear. He might be the best wide receiver in
the league and it's not out of the realm of possibility that Joe
borrow is just not fantasy wise,
but football wise is just the best quarterback in the league
that's in play. It's not likely, but it's in play. So,
there's a lot of push and pull with the Bangles. And I think
where you end up is
I might have them slightly higher than you, but not that
much. I definitely have him after Jalen hurts. And those
type of guys.
Yeah, I just again, NFL quarterback skills, get Sills,
NFL, quarterback skill set
and fantasy. Skill, set are two different things. Yes,
Joe is. Eight Franjo is no question a franchise
quarterback. A guy you can build around and he has that he
has. That it Factor. He is that you know guys you know,
we're down six. There's a minute 45 left to go, we got no
time outs, we're on our own 10-yard line. I don't care.
Let's go, I'm putting you on my back and we're getting, we're
driving down the field and scored a touchdown. We're
winning this game.
He's got that I get that asked and answered
I just I don't know man. Like
with that better offensive line. Did they go More? Bounce
to they One more we expect a big ear from Joe Mixon with
a better defense to they get in a shootout here
every defensive coordinator that has the Bangles on their
team that on their schedule. This year spent the offseason
going like. All right, how do we slow down Jamar Chase
last year? They didn't know how he was going to be used. He'd
been out of football for a year. You know, I hadn't played
the year before
at LSU and so I think you know he caught a lot of defensive
coordinators by surprise. There's only so much you can do
in season during the week
but trust me every defensive coordinator. This offseason is
Like are we got Jamar Chase week, whatever.
But it like this? They're figuring out.
I still have two more. Jason wide receiver three.
Yeah, he's awesome. He's gonna have a monster year.
I just, I am. I am concerned
at quarterback 5.
You are baking in every potential piece of profit there.
There's the you have very little room to earn anything
and lots of chances to go down. He needs to have a Brady or
Rogers like season from last year to earn quarterback five.
If he's going ahead of,
he's going ahead of guys, like, you know,
Kyler and Lamar. And we
we've got his over onto set in the range of 4,500 yards, 30,
40 days and you know, two guys who could easily to be clear by
the way, Lamar, I just want to clean this up. Lamar Jackson is
going
Ahead of him on. Yahoo
Lamar is going for Burrows, going five, but it's going
ahead of Kyle amuri. Going ahead of Jalen hurd's, going
ahead of Tom Brady.
I mean I don't care if somebody I'd also relative to a day pay
you know those over and is 4,500 yards,
34 touchdowns I think Derek Carr and Kirk Cousins could put
up those type of numbers is are going outside the top ten,
okay, Cleveland Browns. Now this is somewhat of
a rhetorical question Stafford to, by the way. I'm Stanford
Stanford and Rogers both going way, way later going five or
six rounds later.
Then burrow and I don't think Joe burrow fantasy wise is five
or six rounds better,
then Aaron Rodgers
or Matthew Stafford or,
you know, and he's definitely, I don't think he's seven or
eight rounds better than Derek Carr or Kirk Cousins. It's what
he's doing on Yahoo, right? Absolutely, okay. Next
question, is a little bit of a
rhetorical question. Okay.
What are your expectations for the Browns offense on
the Jacobi Brissette? I would guess that they are low.
Yeah, I mean my expectations for the Browns often termed.
Co-presenter are
well? Have an offense. Yes, yes. That would vote. And
I don't like right you know the ball will get snapped and you
go over set will hold every man on the field. Yeah, so we man
on the field
like they'll play the sport of the plans of the football it
will be recognizable to fans, things will happen as well.
What I would say,
I don't have high expectations. I think that they are going to
like first off
outdoor outdoor stadium. Like the way they're built in
the way stefanski run. This offense just in general we expect
slow pace of play.
Going to run the ball a lot, you know, they're going to try
to play good defense are going to try to grind it out that was
with Baker Mayfield,
right? And now now there, you know,
nothing of Jacoby per set, like who is a downgrade from Baker
Mayfield? So
I think it is, I think it will be a again, a slow-paced
run-heavy offense.
I think they'll Target the tight end, a decent amount.
I think the Plaid try to take some deep shots to
and set up play action. Try to take some deep shots to Amari
Cooper and Donald people Donovan. Both Jones and
you know I kind of I kind of like Anthony Schwartz from
a dynasty perspective but ultimately
I don't think this is an exciting offense. I think for
Nick Chubb to return his current value, he's currently
going
as running back, nine
on Yahoo High 15th overall I'm at running back 1628 overall.
I mean this is a guy who doesn't catch passes who is
very, who is,
who is volume and touched on dependent
and I believe that because of Brissette under Center,
they're not going to have as many first down.
Owns their drives home sustained as long
and you're going to, you're going to want to run the ball
a lot to protect against Brissette. So you're going to
see, not just Nick Chubb, but you're going to see Kareem hunt
and do Jonas Johnson and
Nick Chubb. Is obviously going to get his, he's going to get.
But like, if he doesn't get to 12 touchdowns, you know,
I don't know how he gets that number.
You know, I mean, and he may need more than that.
I mean, look at the betting Market is projecting Cleveland
as you would expect as a bottom 10 offense in the same range as
Carolina. Unveil kind of like both of those offenses more
than Cleveland right now. Okay another time of this is just
for where he's going and Nick Chubb. I'll just say this
last thing real quickly.
He had six games last year where we had under 10 fantasy
points. He's just I think from a skill set but standpoint Nick
Chubb is one of the best actual running backs in the NFL. Like
he's a phenomenal running
back but he just he doesn't catch passes in that offense
and he's he's too touched on dependent to be going ninth and
a bottle, running backs in a bad offense. Again,
he is when He doesn't score touchdowns
like it's not always pretty, and for a guy that you're using
your first round. Pick on
gets a little dicey, even be a lot of Jacobi preset, throwing
ink and plate on Third and seven. Yeah, the Steelers.
Another thing that's going to be throwing you like in joke.
Ooh, I do like in Joker late. That's the only
Cleveland offensive player that I sort of like it is on your
list. Yeah. In terms of ATP, in terms of where those all
the bronze players are going according to ADP and joke is
actually the only player that I'd be like, all right. Yeah,
I don't mind cream Hunty.
But
yeah, not so much. Okay. Any concerned Knology Harris is to
volume dependent, I'm concerned, he's he
a little bit I'm actually more concerned about his passing
game usage. Okay, so a last year, seventy four receptions,
467 yards, three touchdowns.
It was the seventh best running
act on a points per game basis, that was last year.
So, you know, you look at this
in terms of last year, running backs with over 200 touches
Now, as you Harris, ranked 21st out of 26 running backs
in yards per Rush
of qualified running backs.
21 out of twenty six,
thirty three point, nine yards per carry right
through yards per Russia. Should say
among running backs with 200 more touches,
nausea Harris with 22nd
out of 26 in yards per reception.
It's again, he was last year. He was, he was driven by
Insane, volume, right? I mean, he had over
almost 400 touches last year,
so just in Same volume
and huge passing game, usage again, seventy four receptions.
And
as we've talked about many times on the show Jay I don't
think
Mitsubishi is going to dump off nearly as much as Big Ben
little too risky is an upgrade Teddy pick. It is an upgrade
from Big Ben last year who last year
had to dump off a lot because he just he couldn't throw deep
and he's so immobilo to Biscay is more likely to, you know,
and even pick it a little bit. You know, if the coverage
breaks down to I run a little bit more as opposed to dumping
it off
hair. Still gonna be involved in the passing game but like,
I think 40. Receptions 50 receptions is much closer than
the 74. He's going to get. So he was volume and passing game,
usage, dependent last year and I'm nervous that he doesn't
get.
He's still going to get a lot of work. Make no mistake. And
we think this offense will be better than it was last year.
But
given the fact that you know,
we're excited about Chase, Claypool out of the slot. We're
excited out of, we're excited about George Pickens, second
year, fryer Muth,
I'm a little nervous at his ATP. It currently he's going
his running back 6th. 9th overall. I'm at running back,
seven slightly lower
but 12th overall. So I just
I think he's more of a
top of the 2nd round guy than
middle of the First with that offensive line and that context
with the quarterback and maybe the upgrade or save room. Don't
things any path to efficiency phonology Harris but the volume
is what you want and what you
.
Just want to. Thank you so much for watching, what you just
watched or at least being too lazy to click out of it. After
the, you know, autoplay just kept it going. So either way,
thank you so much for just letting it scroll by your screen.
And now I'd like to ask you respectfully, respectfully,
respectfully. Okay, respectfully,
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