THEY ARE THE JUMPING OFF
POINT TO KAUAI.
WE HAVE NOW TO COMPANY THIS
FIGHT, WE HAVE THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BE READY TO
BEGIN THEIR EXPLANATION.
LET'S GO TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE NOW.
WE REALLY WANT TO MAINTAIN
THE MESSAGE TO URGE RESIDENTS TO
REMAIN VIGILANT AND NOT LET
THEIR GUARD DOWN.
DOUGLAS REMAINS CATEGORY 1
HURRICANE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
85 MILES PER HOUR.
DOUGLAS CONTINUES TO MOVE IN
WEST
NORTHWEST MOTION AT ABOUT
16 MILES PER HOUR.
CURRENTLY DOUGLAS IS ABOUT
9 MILES NORTHWEST KAHULUI AND 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU.
FOR THIS LATEST FORECAST
PACKAGE, THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI,
MOLOKAI HAVE BEEN CANCELED.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR OAHU, KAUAI.
WE ARE EXPECTING HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
OAHU THIS EVENING AND ON KAUAI
TONIGHT.
DUE TO THE STEEP TERRAIN OF THE
TERRAIN, CAN CAUSE STRONGER WIND
GUSTS.
THAT CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
AS FOR SURF, WE'VE BEEN SEEING
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY
SHORES OF THE HAWAII IDENTICALS
-- ISLANDS.
SOME OF THE SURFS CAN BE
LIFE-THREATENING.
IT CAN BE VERY DANGEROUS.
WE'RE STILL ANTICIPATING UP TO 2 FEET STORM SURGE ON TOP OF
THESE DAMAGING SURFS.
THAT MAKES IT A PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION.
WE'VE HAD REPORTS OF ROAD
CLOSURES ALONG THE HIGHWAY DUE
TO DEBRIS ON THE ROAD.
AS FOR RAINFALL, WE STILL
CONTINUE TO EXPECT POTENTIALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH DOUGLAS TO
AFFECT ANY PORTIONS OF HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY.
SOME OF THE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
IS UPWARD 3 TO 6 INCHES.
SOME OF THE RAINFALL CAN CREATE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING
AND LANDSLIDES AS WELL AS RAPID
WATER RISES IN SMALL STREAMS.
ANYONE IN LOW LYING AREAS, FLOOD
PRONE AREAS STOWELL STILL REMAIN
VIGILANT THROUGH MONDAY.
THAT IS PRETTY MUCH ALL I HAVE
TO REPORT FOR THE 5:00 P.M.
UPDATE.
WE WILL TURN IT OVER TO ASH
EVANS.
HE'S MY COLLEAGUE WHO WILL BE
TAKING ANY QUESTIONS IF THERE
ARE ANY.
DO WE HAVE ANY?
YES, WE DO.
FIRST QUESTION, WHAT TIME WILL
BE THE HEIGHT OF THE STORMS FOR
HONOLULU?
I THINK YOU TOUCH ON THAT
EARLIER.
RECAP IF YOU CAN.
GOING BACK TO HONOLULU, THE
SYSTEM RIGHT NOW IS ABOUT
60 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU.
ANY TIME THROUGH THE NEXT FEW
HOURS INTO THIS EVENING, AS
DOUGLAS MOVES NORTHWEST, ANY
PORTIONS OF HONOLULU ON OAHU
COULD SEE SOME IMPACTS FROM
POTENTIALLY STRONG WINDS,
OF THE ISLAND, NORTH AND
NORTHEAST SIDE, AS THAT SYSTEM
MOVES WEST, WE COULD START TO
SEE THE WINDS SHIFT OUT TO
SOUTHERLY WINDS AS DOUGLAS MOVES
FURTHER NORTHWEST.
WE CAN EXPECT THESE WINDS TO
AFFECT THE ISLAND THROUGH ABOUT
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
NEXT QUESTION.
IS THERE STILL POSSIBILITY THE
HURRICANE DOUGLAS WILL DIRECTLY
HIT OAHU?
SECOND PORTION OF THAT QUESTION,
COULD IT STILL DIRECTLY HIT
KAUAI?
WE CAN'T RULE OUT THE
POSSIBILITY IT COULD MAKE A JOG
TO THE LEFT OF THE TRACK TO
IMPACT OAHU.
THAT'S WHY WE STILL HAVE
HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR
OAHU THROUGH TONIGHT.
WE WANT TO URGE EVERYONE TO
REMAIN VIGILANT.
WE WANT TO MAKE SURE EVERYBODY
KEEPS ON WATCHING THE FORECAST
AND THE CONDITIONS OUT THERE TO
MAKE SURE THAT THEY REMAIN SAFE.
AS FOR KAUAI, THAT'S STILL NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION AS WELL.
KAUAI IS LITTLE BIT FARTHER
NORTH IN LATITUDE.
COULD STILL FEEL SOME IMPACTS
EVEN IF WE DO NOT GET A DIRECT
HIT FROM DOUGLAS ON KAUAI.
SOME OF THE IMPACTS STILL EXTEND
FAR OUT FROM THE CENTER.
WE DON'T WANT PEOPLE TO REALLY
FOCUS IN ON THE CENTER TOO MUCH.
THAT STRETCH OUT.
WE COULD BE AFFECTED BY THOSE.
NEXT QUESTION.
CAN YOU DESCRIBE THE DIRECTION
THAT HURRICANE DOUGLAS TOOKS A
IT APPROACH MAUI AND MOLOKAI.
WHAT AREAS END UP BEING IF THE
PATH OF THE STORM?
IT CONTINUE TO TAKE THAT
WEST-NORTHWEST PATH AS IT
APPROACHED MAUI AND INTO NORTH
OF OAHU.
WE'RE GOING TO CONTINUE TO
EXPECT THAT TO HAPPEN.
LUCKILY WE'VE BEEN ON THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM.
WHICH REALLY BRING THE FULL
POTENTIAL IMPACT THAT.COULD
HAVE.
EVEN THOUGH IT WAS STILL CLOSE
TO THE ISLANDS.
WE WERE REALLY PLAYING WITH A
REALLY FINE LINE, RAZOR THIN
LINE BETWEEN WHAT WE'VE
EXPERIENCED TODAY, COMPARED TO
WHAT WE COULD HAVE EXPERIENCED
JUST A FEW 20 MILES OFFSHORE
WITH ALL THE POTENTIALLY
DAMAGING WIND ASSOCIATED WITH
DOUGLAS.
I THINK YOU POSSIBLY TOUCHED
ON THIS EARLIER, IS IT POSSIBLE
THAT IT MAY CROSS OVER PART OF
OAHU?
WE TOUCH ON THAT LITTLE BIT.
IT'S STILL REMAINS A POSSIBILITY
THAT IT COULD HAPPEN IF WE TAKE
-- IF DOUGLAS TAKES A SMALL JOG
THAT OAHU REMAINS IN THAT
HURRICANE WARNING THROUGH
TONIGHT.
WE DON'T WANT PEOPLE TO LET
THEIR GUARD DOWN.
WE WANT PEOPLE TO REALLY PREPARE
FOR THE WORST CASE SCENARIO.
THAT INCLUDES POTENTIAL LEFTWARD
INTO OAHU.
THERE'S AN ADDITION TO THAT
QUESTION.
IF SO, WHICH PARTS OF OAHU WOULD
BE MOST AFFECTED?
THAT'S ALL GOING TO DEPEND
TAKES.
IF IT DOES.
YOU CAN START TO SEE CONTENTIONS
DETERIORATING FROM THE NORTH
SHORE TO THE WINWARD SIDE FIRST
AS THAT DEEP CONVECTION MOVINGS
-- MOVES OVER THAT PART OF THE
AREA.
THOSE AREAS ALONG -- WE CAN
START TO SEE THOSE CONDITIONS
DEDETERIORATE FIRST.
WE COULD SEE SOME OF THOSE
CONDITIONS MOVE OVER AND
POTENTIALLY INTO THE CENTRAL
OAHU AND MAYBE INTO THE DOWNTOWN
AREA.
IT'S STILL NOT OUT OF THE REALM
OF POSSIBILITIES.
WE WANT PEOPLE TO REALLY REMAIN
DISCRIVIGILANT AND STAY PREPARED.
NEXT QUESTION, ANY INDICATION
THAT THE HURRICANE DOUGLAS WILL
DEVIATE FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
DIRECTION?
AT THIS POINT, THE DOUGLAS
HAS BEEN FAIRLY WELL BEHAVED.
WE SAW IN THE PAST FEW DAYS SOME
OF THE SMALL JOGS THAT IT TOOK,
NORTH AND SOUTH.
FOR THE MOST PART, IT'S BEEN
FAIRLY CONSISTENT ON THIS
TRAJECTORY TOWARDS WEST
NORTHWEST.
BELIEVE THAT IT WOULD DEVIATE
SIGNIFICANT FROM THAT TRACK.
AS IT ENCOUNTERS MORE WIND
SHARE, AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHWEST, THE SYSTEM CAN
CONTINUE TO WEAK BE WHICH WOULD
BE CONTROLLED BY LOW LEVEL FLOW.
THAT COULD POSSIBLY BRING THE
SYSTEM FURTHER TO THE SOUTH IF
THAT WERE TO HAPPEN.
THERE'S THAT REALM OF
POSSIBILITY THAT IT IS THERE AS
IT WEAKENS YOU CAN YOU CAN SEE
SOME MOVEMENT TO THE SOUTH.
YOU MENTIONED THAT THERE WAS
A RAZOR THIN BETWEEN THE ACTUAL
IMPACTS AND WHAT WE COULD HAVE
EXPERIENCED.
WHAT FACTORS IMPACTED THE STORM
AND PREVENTED IT FROM BECOMING
WORSE THAN IT ACTUALLY WAS AND
WILL BE
TYPICALLY, IN TROPICAL
CYCLONES, THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
IS USUALLY NOT AS BAD AS THE
NORTHEAST ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF
THE EYE.
WE WERE FAIRLY LUCKY THAT WE
WERE THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
PRETTY MUCH IN THAT SOUTHWEST
SQUADRON.
THE SYSTEM DIDN'T TAKE TOO MUCH
OF A JOG FURTHER SOUTH.
THAT RAZOR THIN LINE, WE'RE
TALKING 20 TO 30 MILES THAT
COULD HAVE MADE A REALLY BIG
DIFFERENCE IN WHAT WE COULD HAVE
SEEN OVER THE LAST 24 TO 48
HOURS TO DEPENDING ON THAT RAZOR
THIN LINE.
I THINK WE CAN REALLY FEEL
FORTUNATE THAT IT TOOK THE PATH
THAT IT DID AND THINGS WERE NOT
THE LIST AND THEN I'LL CHECK THE
OPERATIONS.
CAN YOU RESTATE YOUR NAME AND
POSITION TITLE FOR THE AUDIENCE?
MY NAME IS ERIC LOUGH, I'M A
METEOROLOGIST WITH THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.