matchup week in and week out, we are going to do a little bit
fantasy. Rich fantasy poor essentially the games that
matter, the most for the fantasy world, for good or bad.
And who better join us in Row Two Worlds pack her. A, what's
going on, man?
That's a beast of medical you, right? Yeah,
I am. I am mesmerized. Yeah, we are going to try to put this
into a condensed segment, but definitely get on Rodeo world
and check out all of
Pat's work. And let's start with the Eagles who are five
point favorites at Arizona. So that's a pretty significant
line Jay. When traveling more importantly, the over under
forty eight and a half.
In this game, Pat is the Eagles offensive output right now,
sustainable.
Well, it's interesting because they showed another gear
last week. They show that they can go run heavy, they actually
went quite run-heavy against. Jacksonville hurts did have
a down game but
you know the fact that they have this additional run heavy,
gear is pretty interesting but as you know DJ I think we throw
out a lot from last week you know there was
rainy weather poor conditions.
If you look at hurts even counting last week, he's
the sixth most efficient quarterback in the league,
according to EPA per play. Eighth, most accurate, he's
obviously deadly as a rusher. He now gets a Cardinals
defense.
That just played Baker Mayfield and still does not rank while
they rank 29th. In defensive dvo a they 26 than expected
points, added allowed per drop back 31st in passing success
rate. This is a
passing defense. That the Eagles should be able to take
full advantage of when you look at a fantasy Rich environment,
you want a team. On the other side that's going to be able to
compete a little bit. Maybe the Cardinals need to be pushed to
produce some
fantasy value. I think that you will do their part there,
but the Cardinals showed a little bit of life last week,
Marie was the six, most accurate quarterback. Last
week, they were extremely slow
on offense to start the year. They've picked up the pace
a little bit. You also get an Eagles defense that I think
could be a little bit overrated. They've played Jared
Goff Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz. They did very well
against Trevor Lawrence, but that was obviously in the rain.
I think that you will pass rice.
Might be a Little bit inflated in particular and Maurice been
quite good actually, when in a clean pocket and you also have
dairy slight, he won't has a chance to play in this game but
could be out. So the Cardinals. I
don't think they're going to push and make this game super
fun on their own, but the Eagles should push them to
the air. And then the Cardinals might be kind of surprised at
how well they're doing when they pass the
ball when you hear all that Jay obviously we're looking at this
as a matchup the eagle should control and we know they can
leaned on the ground attack when they control the game.
So what do you take away when you look at Mi? Sanders having
such a really hot start to the season, obviously, a really,
really big week and what that means, a new dimension to
the seagulls offense that the expectations were pretty
tempered. Yeah. The much-maligned mild Sanders who
all of a sudden there's all he does is for juice
and I think you touched on the K, think all of that, which is
that the eagles, they ground out these games. As soon as
they got these Big Lace Arundel. 50 times lost, like
that's just what they do. Jalen hurd's by the ways, third
favorite for MVP,
amazing that it's like he's 52 one before the season, but this
team is It's basically a juggernaut that like even
money, it's get the 1 seed in the NFC. And with, that is
going to come a lot of touchdown opportunities
for Miles Sanders.
I think this line is too small, like, it's five. It's pushing
towards five and a half. Just think about this, like
the Chiefs and week one at Arizona was six and a half Point
favorites. Think Arizona has gotten worse since week one at
least what we
thought of them. And I think that the Eagles were about
the level of the Chiefs, coming into the season. So I think
the slide should be six or six and a half and I think that
the Cardinals who
they were, Most punting on 4th and goal against the Panthers.
Like they are.
All right, they look better. But and they move the ball
against Carolina but I do think there are still some problems
in Arizona. Pat it obviously takes two teams to hit that
over line of 48 and a half. So let's talk about the Cardinals,
a little bit, the offense, obviously
due to get going,
there were big expectations even with the dondre Hopkins,
suspension coming into the beginning. First, six games of
the Season
Hollywood, Brown owning the target share. We saw a rondelle
more last week, are there some reasons to be a little bit more
optimistic going? Going forward. I think so Marquis
Brown has not lived up to the volume that he's getting his
yards. Per Target is lower
than you'd expect based on where he's getting targeted on.
The field is getting targeted. Not super deep down. Field is
average depth of the target is ten point seven which is
consistent with kind of a classic number one option,
but he does have 43 percent of the Cardinals are yards. He's
got a 26 percent, Target, share, Kyler really looking to
him over the last couple weeks. Yeah, I think, if you're
playing this from the Cardinal side, Marquis Browns, got to be
a part of that, okay? All right, fellas.
Let's move over to Bangles at.
Ravens, same point total for this game. Forty eight and
a half. The Ravens are favored by 3, which essentially tells you
it's a neutral matchup because the Ravens are home.
The big one here. Pat Lamar, Jackson jobber. Oh
yeah, I mean, this is a rematch of the game last year where
burrow through four five hundred twenty-five yards and
four touchdowns. So, you know, I don't know if it'll be that
fantasy rich, but we are looking at a Ravens team, that
is a bit of a pass funnel. This year,
teams are throwing against them at the 6th highest rate Corner
pass rate over expected. They were a massive pass funnel last
year, not quite as big this year but you're still getting
that same effect which is helpful
because the Bengals
are a slightly past first team. They're not like a
aggressively past first team,
but passing is the only thing they're doing well right now,
they cannot run the ball. They're having issues run
blocking as well as pass blocking on the pass blocking
front, you do have a Ravens pass rush that is not
particularly good.
So I think that you're going to have Borough being able to,
you know, he'll get, he'll take a Saxon, he'll make some
mistakes but I also think he's going to have Big day through
the air, which should help push the Ravens.
And the nice thing about the Ravens is that we don't even
need them to be pushed. There are past first team this year,
they were a pass first team last week even in bad
conditions against Buffalo.
So if you look at A Ramos team, that's the fifth most past
heavy team in the league. They might actually be pushing
the Bengals just as much as the Bengals are pushing them. The
Bengals have a good defense
there, good against the run and the pass though. So it's really
up to the Ravens how they want to attack. And they've shown us
this year that they prefer to attack through the air. Yeah,
Jay we knew coming. Coming to the season Jamar. Chase first
rounded, pick, expectations. But T Higgins has been
an absolute star for The Bangles so far which is makes you
buying a little bit more. That burrow is fully back on track,
I think. Yeah, just Zach, Tyler just needs to let him throw
the ball more, instead of
running dry mixing into the line, 42 yards. Every time as
he was in police on against Miami. I do think with this
matchup, like it is hard to carry over like matchup Trends
year-over-year and everything, but
the weakness of this might the this Baltimore secondary has
been spayed. We saw Tyree kill and Jalen waddle did to them in
week 2. Absolutely carve them up. So it to my Chase did to
them both times last year when they played so
that to me is the most interesting thing. Here is
our Chase and Higgins and boy, are they just going to destroy
that Baltimore? Secondary like they did last year and also is
Zach Taylor. Just going to give Joe borrow the chef's hat and
just let him go to work
instead of this obsession with running. Joe Mixon 20 times.
Well, the Ravens find themselves in that situation,
they're going. Have to throw the ball and we know
what Mark Andrews can do. But I think the biggest question
right now guys, is Rashad Bateman's, inconsistency, at
best, the lack of targets. Devin du vernay is the guy that
seems to score the touchdowns. And
the biggest note for me is,
since Bateman's, gotten into the league, it feels like
little injuries, or sometimes even bigger ones have limited
how much he can do leading up to the games and it's carrying
over obviously throughout the game.
Yeah. And he hasn't really run all the routes,
this whole season, and he, and this is before. Dealing with
a foot injury so I would expect him to be out there in
a somewhat limited role. The interesting thing about Bateman
those, he has been a deep threat this year. He's kind of
taken over that role in the offense for Marquis Brown and
so even if he's out there in a limited capacity, I think will
help the offense
because going to draw coverage deep, you want Bateman out
there. If you're playing Mark Andrews. Yeah, Richard Batman,
11 receptions in four games on a pass heavy offense, like
that's just not enough for whatever is is wrong with him
but he's basically become. He's Robbie Anderson at the moment
in terms of Of like, he's a better version of that but it's
boom, or bust. Like yes, a 75 yard or against the Dolphins.
He gets the 55 Yard or against the Jets
outside of that. There's nothing that's it. Yeah. Last
point in this game JK Dobbins is back and we knew this would
be a ramp up for the fact of how they were handling him over
summer. The fact that nobody knew if he'd be active Week, 1,
Lamar kind of slipped that it would be a couple weeks. So
now, he's back. But when do we get to the point that JK
Dobbins is established in your fantasy lineup week in and week
out with trust?
Yeah, I don't think. This week, it could be soon though.
I mean, just as, he'll now dealing with an injury at
believe, a hamstring. So the Gus bus is back though,
that's true. Okay. So
but I think diamonds is going to continue to work up and ramp
up this, I think is probably not the game environment where
he's going to go off, but maybe there's maybe there's some
touchdowns for him to score like we saw last week. Yeah,
I mean 13 calories
for receptions like that's a lot more than I would have
expected from Dobbins last week. Really strong pay f. F
grade as well across the board. So I think Dobbins is back,
it's just Gus Edwards is the
But variable, if you're a Dobbins,
if you have them on your roster,
all right, last fantasy Rich game of the week here, Pat
Falcons at Buccaneers bucks, are nine point favorites, which
is really disrespectful when you think of the Falcons have
seemingly hung around week in week out a nine-point favorite.
More importantly, for this game, the over-under asset at
48. There's the theme these
Point totals than the fantasy Rich games. Hover
close to the 50-point, Mark,
Brady looked right with this weapons back last week, he deal
comfortable. That that translates again against I am.
Yeah. And in terms of fantasy Rich were grading on a curve
here with the Falcons,
we know that they want to be extremely run heavy.
They were extremely run heavy. As you guys talked about
earlier. Last week, you know, when you look at teams that
have been that run-heavy, we're talking about teams like
the Browns, like the Bears.
Now the Buccaneers, I don't think they're going to let them
get away with that. The Buccaneers were extremely past
heavy last week, finally, with all the weapons back, they're
going to be pushing the Falcons on that. Maybe the Falcons play
ball control while the games close, but I think And
with that point spread,
we do expect the Buccaneers to be playing from ahead.
Brady now facing a Falcons defense. That has a bottom to
pass rush so he's gonna be able to sit back and pick this
defense apart. I think they'll be volume
on the buccaneer side with that set up. I think we're going to
see a lot of receptions from the Buccaneers. You know you
want to play your Buccaneers pass catchers for sure. And
then maybe
maybe we get something from Kyle pits Drake London on
the other side as they're forced to the are
in the second half,
what? A world, we're living in with lost weight, the Dolphins.
Hard. The Falcons supported three running backs in one game
all having Fantasy Valley, great cameras, ball roll,
Patterson got involved as well as shock help Huntley and Tyler
out Geo. So I don't think that's going to happen again.
I don't think they got to be able to support to either, but
I mean, I do think that
that box game against the Chiefs to me,
I came out of that gambling was feeling better about the box
for the rest of the season. Just because of how they move
the ball on offense. Like, yes, they gave up 41 points. But
it's more like 34, because of the fumble on the kickoff
and then like we know the Bucks. Fans will be good. It's
been good for 34 years but the fact that they were able to
move the ball so well and more importantly, the fact that
Chris Godwin just was Chris
God. When I got ten targets
I do think that we're going to go back to a world of that
the Box just being a blockbuster offense and that's why Tom
Brady plus 1800 to lead the league in passing. I think is
imply what
one last thing I'm watching. This game is definitely
the usage of Rashad. Why you had to be a little patient before he
got on the field but we know Leonard fournette always
dealing with little injuries, the Bucks, maybe, finally
playing with some big lead.
They get Rashad white going,
we'll see how the game script goes. But Pat looking at
the other backfield J hinted at the Falcons backfield Cordarrelle,
Patterson on the IR. Caleb Huntley comes out of nowhere.
Tyler algae. Rookie running back that there were some
expectations for.
How do you see the usage shaking out between these two
guys is quarter. L goes to the IR. So it looked like Huntley
might be the goal line back, based on the way they were used
to believe. You had three carries inside the RedZone
scored touchdown.
And so, and before that, it was Algeria. Who got them. Into
scoring range. So
that's kind of my lean. And then maybe Algiers, you know,
in passing Downs a bit more. But if Algeria has a passing
Downs, then makes me more interested in him this week,
because, again,
I'm banking on the Buccaneers to push the Falcons to pass
a little bit. Absolutely. Alright, time to do
the fantasy. Poor matchups, we start with the fun, right? It's
get the good news out of the way. First, you go to the bad
news
week 5 is fantasy, poor matchups were kicking off with Cowboys
at Ram's. Rams, only four and a half Point favorites against
another. Week of Cooper Rush did not look like the Rams
could get anything going on prime time this week
the over-under only set at 43.
Pat is there any reason to believe that Matthew Stafford
in this Rams offense gets back on track. This is a tough spot
for them. I think they're going to be trying to score, just as
many points as they have to,
to win this game.
I don't know that they'll need to score all that many though.
Because when you look at the Cowboys, they've been
consistently run first, All Season, kind of, regardless, of
matchup.
The Rams are very strong.
Against the run. So you
you know it makes sense for the Cowboys to move to the past
year but I don't think they're going to do that with Cooper
rush. I don't think that they're going to be aggressive
with him under Center and so what you're likely looking at
from the Cowboys
is a attack this probably bit more unhappy than it should be
and is inefficient. So on the other side, if the Rams are
looking at the Cowboys kind of struggling against their
defense, I think they're also going
to be pretty conservative. They've tried to get their run
game going all year they have not been able to do that but
teams are running against the Cowboys and very high rate. The
Cowboys aren't great
The runt, they're not terrible. The reason that teams are going
against them on the ground at such high rates because they
don't want to deal with the pass rush. And I think that
getting that the Rams
ranked 32nd, MP ffs
pass blocking grades right now that they're going to want. No
part, no, part of this pass rush, Feast Michael Parsons.
Exactly. So I think that you're going to be looking at a Rams
team. That's trying to hide
their offensive line for Michael Parsons.
You know, I still think they'll get the win here but this could
devolve into kind of a slugfest. Yeah, as you see
Matthew Stafford, Stafford's last for the first four games
of the season. So far
man, guys. It is not been pretty. You see these six
interceptions has only thrown four. Touchdowns has not thrown
a touchdown in the last two weeks J.
It has been wildly
disappointing from the Super Bowl champs Super Bowl hangover
at its best. Yeah, exactly. Really, really drowsy
the following morning, too much Boone's Farm. Yeah. Matthew
Perry is not that good. A beverage I had never heard of
its called. Yeah, well familiar with us
that liquid.
Look, I think with the Rams, I mean, they didn't didn't have
a 20-yard past the 20, odd play
in the entire game against the Niners, and
it's not so much that.
Yeah, they couldn't block Nick Bowser. And that - defense is
the best in the league. I think I do think that the big concern
though in a way is that they just seemed horribly managed
in that, like, why are they huddling up with four and
a half minutes left? And snapping with three seconds left on
the play clock?
When they're down two scores, why are they throwing a ball to
Cooper cup with 40 seconds? Left in a meaningless game.
Like it's just seemed everything was wrong. Why can't
Jalen Ramsey, tackle any more in the open field? What's wrong
with him?
Like it's just right now it's just Carpenter and Donald and
there's nothing else on that Rams team. So I mean yeah
I would have guessed that the total on this game before
the season would have been almost like a touchdown higher but
obviously Cooper rush and this Rams offense was just bout at
the moment
so they'd want to get it right? This week, only going down from
here. Packers, eight and a half Point favorites against
the Giants. The three wind Giants are eight and a half
Point underdogs in
London, the over-under is set at 41 and a half. Obviously
not huge expectations for the Giants that have had
quarterback woes in terms of injuries, although SE Kwang
Berkeley has had an incredible year but let's start with Green
Bay feels like Romeo Dobbs. The last two weeks is the guy that
everybody hoped for over summer
and even Christian Watson and out with the injury behind him
is starting to get involved. Yeah. And you know that's
exciting but if you think about the offensive volume here for
the Packers, it could be
Very low. They've been firmly. Run, first this year, that this
is a team that's typically been a very past first team. They've
kind of transitioned here with the wide receivers working in
and gone run first,
and the Giants aren't very good against the run. So I think
the Packers, they might be eyeing. This matchup up is one where
they establish Aaron Jones, they establish AJ Dylan.
They're not super worried about a, an injured, Daniel Jones, or
maybe not Daniel, Jones playing well. We'll have to see
and, and they kind of just grind out a win here. I think,
even if the Packers do have some success On and get in
the end zone. Hopefully, with dubbed.
They're still probably going to Salt away this game. Pretty,
pretty quickly. And then you look at the giant side of this,
I mean, they really have no choice. They have to rely on
segment Berkeley. That's their only option.
He might have to throw and
he might have a one growing. Yeah
yeah. Take one about yeah
but you know you look at the Packers. They are run funnel
team to run against them at a high rate. So this actually
sets up, okay, for the Giants, I think the Packers they should
try to get the Giants Off Script. They should be trying
to be aggressive because
because the Giants
they're not going to have a counter punch but
the Packers have played slow consistently. Now for three years,
they're starting to go run heavy. I don't think they're
going to do that. I think that I play into the matchup that
the Giants defense presents and go run heavy here.
I know this is an extremely low total
but I could see this going under.
Yep, 41 and a half it is very low but I would also skewed to
the owner if I had to pick a side, I do think with Romeo
dubs like if he just catches that touchdown at the death
then he's probably favorite for offensive Rookie of
the Year and we're talking about him as the next guy in
Green Bay and Doesn't hold onto it,
which is a part of the rookie receiver experience in that
happens as Aaron. Rodgers knows all too well with Christian
Watson and week one as well. Dropping the 75-yard walk-in
touchdown
with say Quan. I do think that
the Packers have shown their rushing defense that even if
they know that you're rushing it every single time. They
still can't stop you guess what? David Montgomery did
against them. And what remind Ray Stevenson and Damien Harris
did. So, I would not be worried about Sake. One at all, despite
being an eight
and a half Point, doc. Yeah, despite
It drafted investments in that front seven this offseason. The
Packers run defense has really, really struggled. So if you
could feel anything good about the Giants in London, it is
still sick. Want
d..
Just want to. Thank you so much for watching, what you just
watched or at least being too lazy to click out of it. After
the, you know, autoplay just kept it going. So either way,
thank you so much for just letting it scroll by your screen.
And now I'd like to ask you respectfully, respectfully,
respectfully. Okay, respectfully,
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