INTERESTING FIGHT AT FOX NEWS.
ERIC BOLLING LOVES DONALD
TRUMP SO HE DOESN'T WANT TO BELIEVE THE POLLS.
WHY, WHAT DO
THE POLLS SAY?
THEY ARE NOT GOOD.
UPI --
LET'S GO TO THE MORNING CONSULT, THAT MIGHT BE BETTER?
NOT BETTER --
NBC SURVEY MONKEY WORSE --
MAYBE REUTERS --
SO WHAT DOES ERIC BOLLING HAVE TO DO?
CONVINCE YOU THAT THE
POLLS AREN'T REAL.
WHAT IS INTERESTING IS THAT SOME FOX ANCHORS DISAGREE.
BREITBART HAS DONE WELL LATELY, TRYING TO FIND ONE POLL
THAT WILL DISAVOW EVERY OTHER ONE THAT IS OUT THERE.
THESE POLLS, WE HAVE TO STOP WITH THESE POLLS.
JUST LOOK
WHAT'S GOING ON.
LOOK AT A TRUMP RALLY AND THERE IS 12 OR 15,000
-- 10,000 PEOPLE.
ERIC, THAT IS --
THEN YOU HAVE 1500 OR 2000.
THAT IS A REAL DISSERVICE TO --
TO WHOM?
TO LIE TO HIS SUPPORTERS THAT THE POLLS DON'T MATTER.
YOU
CAN'T TAKE 12,000 SUPPORTERS THAT WILL SHOW UP AT THE
CAMPAIGN AND SAY THE POLLS ARE WRONG.
HERE IS WHY POLLS SHOULDN'T MATTER.
YOU PICK UP THE PHONE
AND SAY WHO ARE YOU GOING TO VOTE FOR?
THE PERSON SAYS I'M
GOING TO VOTE FOR HILLARY.
THEY ARE NOT OF THEIR VOTING.
BUT THE
PEOPLE WHO GO OUT TO A RALLY ARE THE ONES WHO GO HEAR SOMETHING,
GO SAY SOMETHING.
YOU ARE SAYING THEY ARE MOTIVATED?
I'M SAYING THE SIZE OF CROWDS ARE MORE INDICATIVE.
THAT'S WHAT WE SAID IN 2012, PEOPLE SAID THE POLLS ARE WRONG,
ROMNEY IS GOING TO WIN, THEY ARE MAD AND DISAPPOINTED.
THEY STOPPED WATCHING BECAUSE WE THOUGHT THEY LIED TO THEM.
BECAUSE YOU HAD.
THAT IS INTERESTING.
FOUR FOX NEWS ANCHORS SAYING,
KNUCKLEHEAD, THE POLLS ARE RIGHT.
WE ARE GETTING OUR ASS
KICKED.
AND BOLLING SAYING, SCIENCE?
POLLS?
I DON'T BELIEVE
IN SCIENCE.
FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO ARE SKEPTICAL OF POLLS,
THAT'S WHY YOU LOOK AT A COMBINATION OF POLLS.
IGNORING THE POLLS HAS FAMOUSLY NOT WORKED OUT FOR EVERYONE WHO
HAS DONE IT.
IN THE PRIMARIES THE POLLS SHOWED DONALD TRUMP
WAS WINNING.
PEOPLE IGNORED IT, IT CAN'T BE TRUMP.
WHAT DID WE
TELL YOU ON THE YOUNG TURKS?
IT WILL PROBABLY BE TRUMP BECAUSE
THE POLLS AREN'T USUALLY WRONG.
FROM TIME TO TIME THEY ARE, AND
I CAN PINPOINT WHY.
IN MICHIGAN, IN THE PRIMARY, THE POLLS WERE
QUOTE UNQUOTE WRONG, THEY HAD BERNIE SANDERS LOSING BY A LOT,
INSTEAD HE WON.
THERE WAS ABOUT AN 18 POINT DIFFERENCE, THAT WAS
ONE OF THE MOST FAMOUS CASES OF POLLS BEING WRONG.
WHY?
BECAUSE
POLLS LOOKED AT WHAT THEY CONSIDERED TO BE LIKELY VOTERS,
BUT NEW VOTERS WERE SHOWING UP FOR BERNIE, ONES WHO WERE NOT
NECESSARILY IN THE SAMPLING THEY DID BASED ON OLD VOTING
HABITS.
SO THERE IS A SCIENTIFIC REASON WHY THOSE POLLS WERE
WRONG.
YOU CAN GET INTO THE MINUTIA OF THOSE POLLS BUT ON A
MACRO SCALE THEY ARE USUALLY RIGHT FOR UNDERSTANDABLE AND
EXPLAINABLE REASONS.
BUT ERIC BOLLING DOESN'T OPERATE ON LOGIC
-- I SAW A BIG CROWD THERE.
YEAH, THE OTHER SIDE ALSO HAS
BIG CROWDS.
BERNIE SANDERS ALSO HAD BIG CROWDS IN THE PRIMARY,
HE DIDN'T WIN EVERY STATE.
HE HAD MUCH LARGER CROWDS IN ALMOST
EVERY STATE AND HE LOST MORE THAN HALF OF THE STATE.
IT IS
NOT JUST THE PEOPLE WHO GO TO RALLIES WHO VOTE.
THAT IS
ELEMENTARY TO UNDERSTAND.
CROWDS SHOW YOU SOMETHING -- FOR
EXAMPLE IF YOU RUN A PRIMARY AND MARTIN O'MALLEY DOESN'T GET MANY
PEOPLE AT HIS EVENTS AND ALL OF A SUDDEN BERNIE SANDERS GETS
12,000, YOU GO THAT GUY HAS SOME MOMENTUM, THEN YOU SEE THAT SHOW
UP IN THE POLLING.
BUT JUST TO SAY, SCIENCE, MATH, ME AGAINST
IT -- DOESN'T TELL YOU ANYTHING.
PERINO WAS SO AGAINST THIS, SHE
SAID --
I LIKE THE WAY SHE KEEPS IMPLYING THAT BOLLING IS LYING.
SHE GOES ON TO SAY --
A PERSON WHO DIDN'T FALL FOR THAT WAS, ONCE AGAIN, ME.
I
KNOW, I'M A LITTLE UNBEARABLE.
THE REASON IS, I SAID LOOK AT
THE COMBINATION OF POLLS IN FLORIDA, AND IMPORTANTLY IN
2012, OHIO.
REPUBLICANS WOULD SAY, A LOT OF PEOPLE SHOWED UP
AT A ROMNEY EVENT.
THAT IS DUMB, A LOT OF PEOPLE ALSO SHOWED UP
AT AN OBAMA EVENT.
BUT THE POINT IS, WHAT IS THE AGGREGATE
NUMBER?
WHEN YOU LOOK AT ALL OF OHIO, HOW WILL THEY VOTE?
YOU
COULD MAKE AN ARGUMENT THAT THE POLLING IS SKEWED BECAUSE OF X
OR Y OR Z -- THAT IS NOT WHAT REPUBLICANS DID IN 2012.
GUYS
ARE NOT SOPHISTICATED, THEY DO THIS ALL THE TIME.
CLIMATE
CHANGE, I BROUGHT IN A SNOWBALL.
MY EYES SEE SNOW, NO CLIMATE
CHANGE.
BOLLING IS ON FOX NEWS NOT BECAUSE HE IS BRIGHT, BUT
BECAUSE HE'S NOT THAT BRIGHT.
THEY WANT A KNUCKLEHEAD TO GO
OUT THERE AND SUPPORT POLICIES THAT ARE NOT SUPPORTABLE.
THE
ONLY THING THAT IS SURPRISING IS THAT THE OTHER HOSTS ARE LIKE,
NOT BUYING IT.
PERINO COULDN'T HELP HERSELF, SHE GOES ON --
GUYS, KEEP IT REAL, POLLING IS LARGELY CORRECT, IT'S NOT
ALWAYS 100% RIGHT, BUT LOOK AT IT WITH A SCIENTIFIC EYE,
NOT BASED ON WHAT YOU WANT
TO HAPPEN.