>>> Our politics lead for
2024.
A new CNN poll showing that
former president Donald Trump
is increasing his lead over the
Republican . This was taken
after the debate.
52%.
Among Republicans.
That is 34 points ahead of Ron
Desantis who was in second
place.
The rest are in single digits.
We will take further deeper.
But let us start in new
Hampshire.
The first primary state.
Many candidates are listening
to the voters.
>> To catch up to drop is a big
climb.
>> Reporter: Bob Tilton has a
front row seats to the
presidential contest.
He likes a few options.
But he loves former president
Donald Trump.
His wife, crystal does not.
>> I think that his head is
tied.
There is a lot of controversy
over it.
>> Reporter: The disagreement
brings to life a monumental
divide inside the Republican
party.
>> They were attacking him,
constantly.
How can anybody do a good job?
And he did.
He was constantly impacted.
>> Reporter: In New Hampshire.
A summertime campaign has given
way to a fight for survival.
In a race dominated by the sign
of the strength of trump.
They insist that the GOP
contest is still competitive.
>> We do not believe this
primary has impacted it.
>> Not even close.
Was it over when Clinton was
leading Barack Obama by 20
points in 2008?
Nobody could beat the Clinton
machine.
Not at all
.
>> Reporter: They believe that
trump will not be able to win
the white house for
Republicans.
He points to the general
election in New Hampshire.
In 2016, he fell short by 3000
votes.
But four years later, he lost
to Joe Biden by nearly 60,000
votes.
A big reason, he believes his
independent voters turning away
from former president Donald
Trump.
In New Hampshire, this will be
a big role.
>> Reporter: In a campaign the
spot.
For Mike pence.
We introduced himself as one of
those independent voters.
>> I was a Republican for the
first day that I could vote.
Many years later.
I still went independent.
>> Reporter: Later he told us
that he's looking for a
candidate that can turn the
page from trump.
>> I'm waiting for somebody to
step up.
So I can feel comfortable
voting for someone.
Not against someone.
>> Reporter: Chris Cristi is
taking his candidacy entirely
on New Hampshire.
>> This is the state that can
get it.
>> Reporter: Is Republican the
challengers are also urging
voters to keep their mind open.
Today Mike pence had this ready.
>> You can never tell by the
odds according to Indiana
Jones.
>> Reporter: There sizing up
the field in hopes of finding a
fresh face.
>> I like the thought of the
sentence.
Something that is younger.
>> Reporter: Trump is not your
first choice?
>> Everything was great when he
was here.
But now there is so much
baggage with them.
And they do not like trump.
We do not need that.
>> Reporter: So trump lives
large in this race.
But Jake, speaking to
Republican voters.
They see this as far more than
a one-man race at this point.
Nikki Haley, she will be
arriving here shortly. Many
voters also want to hear what
she has to say.
Of course she had a strong
showing at that debate last
month.
More than five months before
the New Hampshire voters weigh
in here.
Conversations with many of
them.
They are still keeping the mind
open.
>> They are independent.
Just like we like them.
Thank you.
And with our new political
director, let us dig into the
numbers.
The trump lead is big and
growing.
>> It is. This snapshot of a
national poll.
And obviously we do this for
mass delegates.
By the way, this is showing that
he is the dominant front-runner
of this race.
52%.
To 18% for the sentence.
Everybody else's in single
digits.
And I hear that nobody is going
to look at those numbers and
said that at thipoint in this
time.
>> There doesn't see seem to be
some shuffling in the back.
>> Yes.
We did see some movement after
that first debate.
If you look at the numbers from
our poll from June.
Trump went up by five points.
The sentence went down 8%.
And Nikki Haley went up a
couple.
Vivek Ramaswamy is up by 5%.
But what are we talking about?
We are talking about people
that are still in the single
digits.
Donald Trump is a majority.
You can add up every other
number.
But you still do not get as
many as what Donald Trump has.
>> Let us look at some of the
other fun factors in the poll.
Because I want to get your
reaction.
Let us bring in the rest of the
panel.
Reactions.
And before that, showing the
impact of what the criminal
cases that trump is facing.
>> Right.
In addition, went to get a
sense of how people responded
to these criminal charges.
We asked whether or not they
are seriously concerned that
the criminal charges might
impact trump's ability to serve
a full term.
Or govern effectively.
Take a look.
The story here, Jake.
If you look at the overall,
American population.
The majority are seriously
concerned that these legal
troubles could impact him. To
serve a full term.
Or be effective as president.
60%.
That is on the left.
If you look at the small, red
bar that is a Republican T the
leaders.
They just do not buy it.
They do not get that his legal
troubles are going to impact
his ability to serve. And what
about his ability to win in
2024?
And Republicans, 56%.
So a majority say no. His legal
troubles will not be impacting
his ability.
But 44%, four in 10 leaders
believe that this will impact
his ability to win.
This is why you hear somebody
like Nikki Haley make an
argument.
Or others on the campaign
trail.
There were some market share
for that.
But again the majority
position.
They not impact.
>> Let us bring in our
political experts.
Let me get to will - your
reaction.
10% of Republicans believe that
he is facing criminal charges.
Because of his own actions.
And also 60% of Republicans say
that he faces charges because
of political abuse of the
justice system.
How do you see those numbers?
Do you think Republican voters
are out of touch of reality?
Or is that reality?
>> Yes.
They are completely out of
touch with reality.
These indictments are valid.
These are not weapons of the
department of justice.
This is not an abuse of the
system.
Many people are saying that
this is criminalization of the
department of justice.
These are valid causes, without
a doubt.
But also on those questions
that were asked.
Clearly, Republicans believe
that he is a target of a witch
hunt.
But if you look at the
independent and the Democrats.
Those are important numbers.
Trump faces many criminal
charges because of his own
actions.
Independence, they believe that
it is because of his own
actions.
Democrats, 83%.
But an interesting look.
He faces so many criminal
charges because of the abuse of
the system.
25% believe this is a
weaponization of the doj.
Even if the independents are
arguing that this is not valid.
The actions on the part of
trump.
Those are important things to
keep track of.
But we are seeing in these
reports and others.
His numbers are getting just
stronger.
And Republican voters are more
focused on the issues and not
the indictments.
Focusing on our they see him as
a president, the economy,
crime, education, immigration.
They are looking at these
issues.
The indictments are not swaying
them.
>> Chris Murphy, suggested that
trump being the nominee will
make it easier for Democrats to
keep the white house.
I do not know if these numbers
make that case?
>> I do not, either.
But what keeps me up at night.
The candidate that could eat
into the majority from Joe
Biden.
Democrats have averaged 51% in
everyone of the last four
presidential elections.
Popular of the seven of the
last eight.
The majority of Americans want
a Democrat in the white house.
Trouble get to 45, no sweat.
Nationally.
Already 53%.
But he will get to 45.
His climb is insurmountable.
But he can win, 45.
If Joe Biden's majority is
eaten in.
And also maybe some others