LET US HOPE AND PRAY THIS
IS NOT A PREVIEW OF WHAT IS
COMING FOR US.
TONIGHT THE FLIGHT DIRECTOR OF
THE HURRICANE HUNTERS TEAM SAYS
IRMA IS GETTING STRONGER.
THERE ARE AT LEAST THREE
DEATHS FROM IRMA IN THE
CARIBBEAN.
SO THE NEW ADVISORY FOR THE
FIRST TIME IN A LONG TIME, I
WILL NOT SAY THERE IS NOTHING
BUT BAD NEWS BUT THERE IS NO
GOOD NEWS.
THERE IS NO CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST TRACK.
HERE IT IS.
STILL WAY UP THERE ABOVE THE
THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY FIVE, 185
WINDS, THE PRESSURE IS DOWN
AROUND 916MILLIBARS.
THERE IS THE STORM SIZE UNDER
MY GRAPHIC HERE.
THIS IS THE RADIUS OF THE
WINDS.
IT IS ABOUT 300 MILES WIDE.
HERE IS THE FUTURE TRACK AND
THIS IS INTO THE TIME PERIOD ON
THURSDAY.
STILL A CATEGORY FIVE.
FORECAST STORM SURGE FOR TURKS
AND CAICOS IS 15 TO 20.
HERE IS THE FRIDAY EVENING TIME
FRAME.
IT IS STILL THIS WEST,
NORTHWEST MOTION, MISSING THE
CENTRAL BEHAMMAS ABLY --
BAHAMAS.
THE CONE IS MOVING ALONG AS WE
GO HERE.
NORTH CUBA FOR THE CENTER.
THE IMPACTS REACHING OUTSIDE OF
THE CONE.
HERE WE ARE INTO THE SATURDAY
EVENING TIME FRAME.
STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE AND
CATEGORY FOUR.
IT IS PUSHING A TREMENDOUS
AMOUNT OF WATER WITH IT.
WHEN WE TALK ABOUT FLOODING
POTENTIAL WE ARE NOT TALKING
ABOUT THAT, WE ARE TALKING
ABOUT THE OCEAN COMING INTO THE
LAND AND CREATING STORM SURGE
FLOODING, QUITE DIFFERENT THAN
WHAT WE SAW WITH HARVEY.
THAT'S WHY EVACUATIONS ARE IN
PLACE BECAUSE THEY ARE USUALLY
QUITE DEADLY.
THIS IS AN IN BETWEEN POSITION
HERE BUT THE CATEGORY FOUR
SYMBOL IS STILL OVER MIAMI DADE
AND BROWARD AND FORECAST TIME
IS SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THE CONE TRACKS FOR THE CENTER
THAT CAN BE HERE OR OVER HERE
BUT THE FACT WE HAD THREE
ADVISORIES NOW WHERE THE DON'T
AND THE CENTER -- CONE AND THE
CENTER POINT HAS NOT MOVED
MEANS THE HURRICANE CENTER IS
CONFIDENT IN THIS OUTCOME IS
STARTING TO INCREASE AND THEY
ARE NOT NEEDING TO MAKE ANY
ADJUSTMENTS BECAUSE THE NEW
DATA DOESN'T SUGGEST THEY
SHOULD MAKE ADJUSTMENTS.
IRMA IS PULLING AWAY FROM US
BUT BY MONDAY IT IS IMPROVING.
A THREAT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
THE ENTIRE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
THE WEST COAST HAS THROAT FROM
STORAGE SURGE AND WIND -- A
THREAT.
LET'S TALK ABOUT WHAT WENT IN
TO MAKING THE CONE.
THERE ARE ALL THE MODELS AND
THEY ARE GETTING MORE GROUPS
TOGETHER TONIGHT AND THERE IS
THAT TURN THAT TAKES PLACE LATE
SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.
A LOT OF MODELS ARE NEAR OR
JUST EAST OF US.
THIS IS WITHIN THE AVERAGE
MODEL ERROR, 50 MILES.
IT COULD BE OVER HERE AND HERE
AND THEN THE TWO BIG MODELS,
THE GFS IS A LITTLE BIT EAST
TONIGHT, BUT DON'T MAKE YOUR
THINK IT WILL TREND EAST.
SO PROBABLY SOMEWHERE BETWEEN
SO THAT'S WHY THE HURRICANE
CENTER PUT THEIR POINT THERE.
HERE IS THE WAY THE STORM LOOKS
TONIGHT ON THE RADAR FROM SAN
JUAN.
THAT IS THE PART OF THE STORM
WHERE THE WUSS OF THE WEATHER
-- WORST OF THE WEATHER IS.
THAT'S THE PART WE DON'T WANT
TO GO THROUGH.
THIS OUTER PART HERE IS THE
WINDS PUT THE CORE AND THE EYE
WALL IS THE THING WE HOPE DOES
NOT COME HERE BECAUSE THAT IS
THE WORST SCENARIO IF IT MEANS
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA.
SO TOMORROW STILL A GOOD DAY
FOR PREPARATION.
THERE IS NO INDICATION WE
SHOULD NOT NOT PREPARING.
FRIDAY IS THE LAST GOOD DAY FOR
PREPARATION AS IT IS HOT AND
HUMID.
THE SURGES WILL PROBABLY HAPPEN
ON FRIDAY BUT HAVE YOUR BOATS
SECURED BY FRIDAY BECAUSE
SATURDAY THE WINDS AND THE
SQUALLS INCREASE.
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF