Bitcoin vs Ethereum.
“The only versus in cryptocurrency that matters.
The two king assets are about to go head to head for the rest of the year, as Ethereum
makes it’s big changes!
And that is cause for a conversation called the FLIP!
What is this FLIP!?
Well find out in 10 minutes give or take a few, because it’s time for Chico Crypto!
Well...HELLO Ether!
The days before the BIG london upgrade and Ether is breaking away from grandaddy Bitcoin
& blazing it’s own trail.
Pulling out Bitcoin’s price from Saturday to yesterday, the price dipped from above
$42,000 bucks...back into the crabby range, just above 39k!
A decrease of over 7 percent!
Ethereum over the same time period, has been pumping!
From under $2,450 to basically $2650 as of yesterday...a USD increase of over 8 percent!
This breakaway with ETH while Bitcoin is falling is also making it’s bitcoin ratio number
grow higher and higher.
Crossing .066 for the 1st time in months!
An upwards trend is obviously forming!!
Now I’d like to pull out the ratio chart over the past year, as we can see Ethereum
reached over .08 in Mid May, before Bitcoin crashed and took the markets down!
But in the months before that, like in March the ratio was only .03.
Ethereum and it’s ratio was breaking out versus bitcoin & a certain narrative was forming!!
But BTC had to ruin the party with it’s BIG Crash….
What is that narrative!?
Well in the intro, I called it the Flip...but it’s actually called the Flippening...the
point where Ethereum flips and overtakes Bitcoin by market cap!
Now if you watch my channel at all, I’m a big proponent of the more things change,
the more they stay the same!
Each cycle I’ve been through in these markets are similar, they do have differences, but
the main narratives hodl true.
Now the last cycle in 2017...there was a major narrative that made its way into the markets!
As we can see all the major news outlets were covering it back in 2017.
Coindesk posted this article “The #Flippening: Will Ether ‘Pass’ Bitcoin And What Would
It Mean?” & even outlets like Marketwatch were covering the possibility “How Cryptocurrency
Ethereum looks set to overtake BItcoin-in one chart”
Why was this?
Well going to blockchain centers' flippening watch website, and the chart of the flip,
we can see back in Mid 2017, ethereum got all the way to over 83 percent of the way
to the FLIP!
It only had 17 percent more to go, and in the first time in history, Bitcoin wouldn’t
be the #1 cryptocurrency.
Ethereum would be.
Although the FLIP conversation died when the brutal bear market took over!
Ethereum and it’s ratio crashed!
It took years for Ethereum to recover & start pushing back into this ratio number…
The FLIP conversation DIED out and it died out big time….until this year!
Remember Ethereum reached that .08 ratio number in May, and that ratio number is about 50
percent of the way to the Flip!
So the question you may be asking yourself is was that 50 percent Ether reached the peak
for this year!?
Or was that just a taste of what’s to come!?
Well if you go back to 2017...before the BIG breakout to above 80 percent...there was pre-ether
ratio bull run, where it reached 30 percent...before crashing and dipping back under 20 percent..took
about a month, and then it was off to the races on the way to the high!
Did we just experience the ratio DIP of this cycle, before Ethereum really pushes up and
threatens a bitcoin FLIP!?
Chico Crypto thinks so!!
Because the FLIP is already kind of here!
You just need to know where to look!
Now market cap and price is just a measure of how much people believe in and understand
an asset.
Today Bitcoin is just understood by more people than Ethereum!
The general public, retail and institutions just understand Bitcoin more.
Digital Gold is easy to understand versus Ethereum and it’s smart contracts.
Although the markets are starting to catch on!
Due to on-chain data and metrics which are getting shown to the markets by people like
me!
So like I said the Flip is already here if you know where to look!
So out of Bitcoin and Ethereum, which blockchain do you think is settling more value daily!?
Which blockchain is putting out more economic output!?
Bitcoin or Ethereum?
Well Luckily there is a website that tracks this metric: money-movers.info & as we can
see, Ethereum is settling over 3x the value of Bitcoin, basically 22 billion for Ethereum
versus Bitcoin’s 6.7 billion!
If we look back, it has been like this throughout the entire year too, Ethereum’s economic
activity has been higher than BTC, with it getting its widest in May!
Obviously Ethereum is facilitating much more economic activity on it’s chain!
Due to DeFi, NFTs and the combination of the two!
Bitcoin doesn’t have this, so all of that activity goes on the Ether chain!!
Ethereum has flipped, and is staying flipped in this category!
More economic activity, more value being settled on the chain!
You would think since Ether has Bitcoin beat in this category, then transactions would
be higher on the Ether chain.
Aka Ethereum has flipped Bitcoin in daily transaction count!
Well if you said yes, that this is the case...you are correct!
As we can see from the Block’s data, Ethereum has over 1.25 million transactions going through
it on average daily.
Bitcoin has about 238 thousand.
Ethereum is just outputting 425 percent more transactions daily than Bitcoin.
ANd as we can see, Ethereum has flipped and beat bitcoin in this category since July of
2017, going on over 4 years strong!
More transactions equals more transaction fees!
Looking at this data from the block, Ether has Bitcoin flipped in this category too!
Although this FLIP has only been confirmed for the past year, Bitcoin in 2020 and before,
was actually beating Ethereum for the most part!
Soo, the FLIP has actually taken place in 3 important categories.
#1 Overall Blockchain settlement value, #2 Number of transactions, and #3 Transaction
Fees.
AKA Ethereum is flipping bitcoin in activity categories!
But there are other categories getting ready to be flipped soon as well!
Active addresses aka, the number of people who are active on the chain, transacting back
and forth.
Ethereum addresses are used over and over again, while bitcoin addresses are usually
used a lot less, like one and done... thus this category is a much tougher flip!
But back in Late June, Ethereum actually flipped it for the very first time, having more active
addresses than BTC.
It was short lived, but it did happen & this is just proof of a trend.
I wouldn’t doubt we get the official FLIP of active addresses, where it will stay there
too, within the next couple of months!
Definitely by the end of the year!
So, I can say what I want about the Flip...but I’m just Chico Crypto!
I’m not as involved in the industry as some others, who have protocols which are involved
with Both Ethereum and Bitcoin.
And some people in that industry are doing just that: calling for the Flip too!
Actually saying it’s already happened on their platform.
Let’s listen to CEO of Celsius, Alex Machinsky, and what he
had
to say just last month about the FLIP!
Celsius, which allows both Ethereum and Bitcoin deposits...for the first time in early July,
had higher value held in Ethereum over BTC.
The Flip had already taken place on Alex’s own platform!
He said that this would ripple out to the broader market, and the actual Ethereum flip
of marketcap would take place in the next year or two!!
And I fully agree with that notion, of the actual FLIP coming in a year of two!
Yes, Ethereum has flipped the categories we talked about above, but switching back to
blockchain center, we can see it has a lot of headway to make in other categories.
Active addresses, average transaction volume, and trading volume are in the yellow, meaning
it’s getting close...but there is still work that needs to be done!
Then scrolling down...node count isn’t where it needs to be & the big one...google search
interest is the lowest…way far from the FLIP!
But that doesn’t mean we aren’t going to have a flip narrative build this year!
It really depends on how EIP 1559 rolls out later this week, but if it's a smooth as butter
rollout, that starts burning a good amount of ETH...this will start putting ETH on the
path upwards in dominance.
I mean its already beginning pre-fork!
I do think the EIP is going to go smoothly, and then I do think the Merge, the move to
proof of stake is going to come sooner than people think too!
It’s going to come before the end of the year & that is when Ethereum could be 80 percent
of the way to the FLIP once again!
Cheers!
I'll see you next time!