WE -- I'M GOING TO ZOOM IN JUST
A LITTLE CLOSER HERE.
MY POINT IS THAT WE NOW HAVE --
REMEMBER WE WERE TALKING ABOUT
WEAKENING AND IT IS TOUGH TO SAY
THAT WORD WHEN YOU ARE TALKING
ABOUT MAJOR HURRICANE.
BUT WHAT WE WERE GOING TO SEE
WAS THE WEAKENING AS THE
CATEGORY ENTERED OUR WATERS AND
THEN FALL TO CATEGORY THREE.
THIS IS 8:00 IN THE MORNING, NOW
CLOSER TO THE 8:00, 10:00
TIMELINE WE HAD FOR THIS
TIMELIN
TIMELINE.
THIS ENTIRE TRANSITION NOW BASED
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST IS GOING
TO BE A CATEGORY FOUR STORM
OFFSHORE.
THE OFFSHORE LINE CONTINUES.
SO NOW LET'S CONSIDER THAT TO
THE TRACK THAT WE HAD THIS
MORNING AND WHAT YOU ARE GOING
TO SEE IS THAT MOVING -- AND
AGAIN, IT IS JUST ABOUT
IDENTICAL TO WHAT WE HAD IN THAT
FORECAST TRACK WHERE IT MOVES
ACROS
ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY.
IT STARTS TO TURN NEAR SAINT
JOHN'S AND JACK'S BEACH, BUT
WITH THAT STRENGTHENING, ALL OF
IT IS GOING TO HOLD TRUE, BUT WE
ARE GOING TO POTENTIALLY SEE
MORE OF IT.
THAT IS MORE WIND, MORE RAIN,
AND ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
OF THAT STORM SURGE.
HERE IS THE UPDATED MODEL WITH
THIS ONE AS WELL.
IT IS THE SAME IDEA.
LOOK AT THAT.
PERFECT TIMING.
THIS IS WHERE I WANTED TO PAUSE
SO I CAN ADJUST THE MAP A BIT
HERE.
THAT IS PERFECT.
I WANTED TO GO IN
IF THERE IS GOOD NEWS HERE IT IS
THE FACT THAT THE CURRENT RUN,
THE ONE TAKING IT ON SHORE, NOW
IT IS OFFSHORE SO IT KIND OF
REDUCES AT LEAST THE POTENTIAL
FOR TORNADIC ACTIVITY.
THIS IS GOING TO BE THE OTHER
SIDE OF THIS STORY SO GOOD NEWS,
BAD NEWS.
I MEAN, THE BAD NEWS IS
EVERYTHING THAT WE HAVE BEEN
TALKING ABOUT AS I EXPLAINED IS
GOING TO CONTINUE AND GOING TO
CONTINUE TO RAMP UP, BEING THE
WIND, BEING THE STORM-DRIVEN
RAINFALL AND EVEN THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE TIDAL SURGE IS NOW THIS
CLOSE AND ON A CATEGORY FOUR
STORM, WE COULD SEE THAT
EXACERBATED AND AS IT MOVES YOU
HAVE AND MAKES THE TURN UP.
SO NORTH OF BRUNSWICK AND BEYOND
IS WHERE WE'LL SEE THE HUGE
IMPACT.
WE'LL SEE HOW IT COMPARES NOW TO
RAINFALL.
HERE WE ARE, IT IS THURSDAY, IT
IS 11:00, STILL TO THE SOUTH.
8:00 IT IS STILL AROUND BREVARD
COUNTY.
WE SHOULD SEE FIRST THING
TOMORROW MORNING, THE OUTER
BANDS COMING THROUGH, UPPING
RAINFALL TOTALS.
HERE IT COMES PASSING BY OUR
AREA, RAINFALL RATES STEADILY
INCREASING.
HERE IS WHERE THEY ARE TELLING A
BETTER STORY.
BEACHES ARE GOING TO SEE
RAINFALL RATES CLOSER TO ABOUT
EIGHT INCHES.
NOW WITH THE WAY THAT IS
STACKING UP IT COULD BE UPWARDS
OF 8 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
WHAT WE' DO IS WE SHOULD HAVE
SO STORM SURGE POTENTIA
UPDATES FOLLOWING NOW THAT WE
HAVE UPDATES.
IT MAY CHANGE A LITTLE BIT.
THERE IS RACETRACK ROAD HEADING
TOWARDS ST. AUGUSTINE AS YOU
DROP SOUTH THERE ALONG THE
RIVER.
WE ARE ALSO GOING TO SEE
INCREASING WATER HERE AS WELL.
AND INTO -- THIS HASN'T CHANGED
AT ALL.
I WAS USING THIS AS A LITMUS
MORE COMPARING THE MODEL DATA.
IT STILL SHOWS THAT RIGHT UP TO
THE CENTER PART OF THE CHANNEL,
YOU COULD SEE 6 TO 9, OTHERWISE
3 TO 6 FEET ON THAT SURGE,
PUSHING IN FROM WHAT WOULD BE
TOWARD THE BEACHES IN THAT STORM
SURGE.
NOW SEEING LOOKS LIKE THAT IS
GOING TO CONTINUE.
WITH THE WIND, LET'S SEE IF THIS
HAS INCREASED.
THIS IS THE SAME MODEL WE WERE
JUST SHOWING THERE.
HERE IS THE WIND.
THIS IS FRIDAY MORN
ING, 9:00 IT
IS SITTING NEAR BREVARD COUNTY.
JACKSONVILLE DOWNTOWN GUSTS
UPWARD OF 36.
WITH AN EYE THAT CLOSE WE ARE
LOOKING AT GUSTS THAT COULD TAKE
US INTO THE TRIPLE-DIGITS.
EVEN OUR INLAND AREAS ARE SEEING
SIGNIFICANTLY STRONG WINDS AT
62.
THESE ARE GUSTS, NOT SUSTAINED.
77, 71.
THERE IS 91 THAT BRIEFLY POPS IN
AS THAT CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE
AWA
AWAY.
WE'LL SEE IF WE CAN FIND ONE
THAT BETTER MATCHES HUGGING THE