IN LESS THAN A MONTH, ON THURSDAY, JUNE 23
THE BREXIT VOTES, THE BIG REFERENDUM ON WHETHER THE
UK IS GOING TO STAY IN THE EU, OR IF IT IS GOING TO BID ADIEU.
WE WANT TO COVER THIS.
ONE, MOST AMERICANS ARE NOT YET CONVINCED THAT THIS IS
SOMETHING THEY SHOULD CARE ABOUT.
AND TWO, DONALD TRUMP MADE CLEAR TODAY THAT HE HAS NO IDEA
WHAT IT IS OR WHAT'S GOING ON.
SO, WE WANT TO EDUCATE HIM A LITTLE BIT.
WE HAVE 12
WEEKS FOR WHICH BOTH OF THE SIDES CAN MAKE THEIR CASE.
WHILE DAVID CAMERON IS FOR STAYING IN THE EU, A LOT OF
MEMBERS OF PARLIAMENT ARE NOT AS WELL AS OTHER LEADERS OF
PARTIES IN BRITAIN.
THE MEDIA HAS BEEN MAKING THE CASE,
WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF THE BREXIT VOTE WAS TO GO TOWARDS
LEAVING THE EU.
WE WANT TO GIVE YOU AN UPDATE.
HERE ARE THE TRENDLINES.
IT IS FAIRLY CONSISTENT, REMAIN IN THE EU IS WINNING BY TWO
PERCENTAGE POINTS IN THE COMBINED TRENDLINE ANALYSIS
BY HUFFINGTON POST.
IF YOU LOOK AT THE INDIVIDUAL POLES, THERE HAVE BEEN
PERIODS WHERE WE HAVE BEEN LEADING, SO IT IS COMPLICATED.
THE DEBATE ABOUT REFUGEES COMING IN HAS LED TO PEOPLE
WANTING THEM TO LEAVE THE EU.
IT'S NOT JUST REFUGEES.
IF YOU ARE A CITIZEN OF THE EUROPEAN UNION, YOU ARE
GUARANTEED EMIGRATION TO ANY COUNTRY THAT IS PART OF THE
EUROPEAN UNION.
RIGHT NOW THERE ARE AS MANY AS 500
PEOPLE FROM OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES GOING TO THE UK.
PEOPLE LIVING IN THE UK WONDER IF THEY HAVE THE RESOURCES
OR ABILITY TO DEAL WITH THE LARGE NUMBERS OF PEOPLE
THAT ARE COMING INTO THEIR COUNTRY.
THE OTHER CONCERN IS THE FACT THAT PEOPLE LIVING IN THE
UK ARE WORRIED ABOUT THEIR SOVEREIGNTY.
WHEN YOU ARE PART OF THE UK, THERE IS A GOVERNMENTAL
BODY THAT COULD OVERRIDE VETOES WITHIN YOUR OWN COUNTRY, SO
PEOPLE IN THE UK ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THAT.
THE FINAL THING IS THE ECONOMY AND PEOPLE ARE CONCERNED
THAT SOME OF THE REGULATIONS IMPOSED ON THE UK BY THE EU
ARE HURTING JOBS OR BUSINESSES.
ANOTHER THING TO TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IS THE UK
LEAVING THE EU COULD LEAD TO A CATASTROPHE FOR THE GLOBAL
ECONOMY.
THERE ARE PROS AND CONS TO BOTH SIDES.
I AM NO EXPERT ON BREXIT.
BUT WE DO KNOW THAT THE UK AND BY EXTENSION ALL OF EUROPE
WAS EXTREMELY DAMAGED BY THEIR POLICIES OF AUSTERITY.
IF YOU ARE GOING TO DO SOMETHING THAT HAS A POTENTIAL TO
REALLY HURT THE UK, WHICH THEY HAVE NOT RECOVERED FROM YET.
THEIR VERSION OF TRICKLE-DOWN ECONOMICS, YOU ARE POURING
GASOLINE ON A NOT YET HEALED SCAR.
WE WANT TO BREAK DOWN ONE OF THE OTHER THINGS THAT COULD
BE AFFECTING POLITICIANS.
THIS IS A BREAKDOWN IN THE DIFFERENCE OF VOTES FOR THE
DIFFERENT PARTIES.
THE UK IP WHICH IS ñ
IT IS MASSIVELY SHOOTING UP IN THAT TIME PERIOD.
A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE SAYING ONE OF THE REASONS FOR THAT
COULD BE THE PUSH TO LEAVE THE EU.
THE FEAR AMONGST PEOPLE AND PARTIES COULD BE THAT IF
THEY CONTINUE ALONG THIS PATH AND DON'T PUSH FOR LEAVING
THE EU, THEY COULD END UP LIKE THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY AND
LOSE A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF VOTES IN THE GENERAL ELECTIONS.
THIS IS STRETCHING BACK MORE THAN 50 YEARS.
IT IS RAISING MORE RECENTLY.
IF THAT WASN'T THE CASE YOU WOULD SEE A CLEAR
PREFERENCE FOR LEAVING THE EU.
ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS ARE ONE OF THE FOREMOST IN PEOPLE'S
MINDS.
WEATHER YOU HAVE OPTIMISTIC OR PESSIMISTIC OUTLOOK ON THE
FUTURE, IF THEY WERE TO LEAVE IT IS GOING TO HURT THEIR ECONOMY.
IT'S EASY FOR THE PEOPLE WHO ARE PUSHING FOR INDEPENDENCE TO
SAY WE ARE PAYING THE EQUIVALENT OF THESE DUES, WE HAVE
HIGHER REGULATION COSTS.
BUT YOU ARE ALSO GETTING SOMETHING FOR THOSE COSTS.
A LOT OF STATES DON'T REALIZE THAT THEY ARE GETTING MORE
FROM THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT THAN PAYING.
ONE OF THE MAJOR POINTS OF THE EU IS TO LOWER SOME OF
THESE TARIFFS AND MAKE IT EASIER FOR THE 23 STATES TO TRADE.
IT WON'T JUST BE HURTING THE UK, IT WILL BE HURTING THE EU
AS WELL.
THE WORLD'S LARGEST ECONOMY COULD BE DAMAGED.
THERE WAS A POLL THAT LOOKED INTO PEOPLE LIVING IN THE
UK ABOUT THEIR PERSONAL FINANCES AND WHAT THEY THINK BREXIT
WOULD DO TO THE UK'S ECONOMY.
THEY DON'T THINK IT WOULD PERSONALLY IMPACT THEM, BUT
IT CERTAINLY WOULD.
THAT SHOWS A FAILURE IN THE MEDIA EDUCATING THE PUBLIC
ABOUT WHAT THE PROS AND CONS WOULD BE ABOUT LEAVING THE EU.
BUT ALSO,
43% OF THE UK'S EXPORTS GO TO EUROPEAN COUNTRIES.
THAT WOULD OBVIOUSLY HURT THEM AS WELL.
THESE ARE ALL THINGS THAT THE VOTERS SHOULD TAKE INTO
CONSIDERATION.
I BELIEVE IN DEMOCRACY AND I THINK THE REFERENDUM IS THE
RIGHT WAY TO GO ABOUT THIS.
IT'S IMPOSSIBLE AT THIS POINT TO SAY WHERE IT'S GOING TO GO.
THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY OF A DEAL BEING STRUCK BEFOREHAND.
IT'S IMPOSSIBLE TO NOT SEE A REFLECTION OF WHAT IS
HAPPENING IN THE US.
INDEPENDENCE SOUNDS AMAZING.
IT'S A WORD THAT HAS UNAVOIDABLE POSITIVE CONNOTATIONS, BUT
IT HAS NEGATIVES AS WELL.
I AM NOT AN EXPERT ON BRITAIN OR THE EU, I HAVE BEEN TRYING
TO EDUCATE MYSELF, I REACHED OUT TO EMMA WATSON, SHE HAS NOT
REACHED BACK YET.