FRANK RIECK: Hello.
This last part of the business course is about connectivity,
or internet of things.
This makes automotive mobility affordable--
not a cost, but an income.
Driving empty is a waste of cost, of course.
And the occupants per passenger car is dropping to 1 and 1/2,
while there are five seats.
And near half of the trucks are driving empty,
like this one, that says empty container trucking on the back.
And the question is, can you earn money?
No.
And the question is, can we improve this?
Yes, by connectivity.
Really, should we own a car?
We can hire a car, we can share a car, or we can even share a surface.
Examples are, for instance, car2go, where you get a bonus for charging.
And a lot of young people in Amsterdam are using this.
And a taxi's a skip hole where foreigners can experience
a durable driving in a Tesla.
And very new and successful is the picnic service,
where we share our shopping service, which is
distributed with an electric vehicle.
Due to this sharing, there will be an overcapacity in vehicles.
In theory, according to Tony Seba, we could do with 20% of the vehicles
and still increase with 50% to useful kilometers.
In practice, a lot of private cars will get obsolete in the future.
And why should a car be so expensive, even
more expensive than a house, while it's parked for about 95% of the time?
We could do better.
We should, for instance, shared the fixed cost, which is more than 50%
of the cost.
We can do that was a lot of other uses and only
pay for the used favorable cost.
In the professional business, they always
look to the total cost of ownership.
And surprisingly, the first prototype eco truck for office waste,
it had a lower TCO as a functional unit for the total cost of ownership.
But that functional unit was collecting waste, office waste, in Rotterdam
for 10 years.
And then, we already had 200,000 cost advantage at the end.
And remember, this was a quite expensive prototype.
And what do you like to maintain, the BMW or the Tesla, with the same power.
The combustion engine has 2,500 parts and is
designed for 10,000 hours, which is about half a million kilometers.
The electric engine has three moving parts.
It's designed for 50,000 hours and about 2 and 1/2 million kilometers.
And remember the example of the early Volt that
still drove with the same brake pads.
EVs will break even soon because of economies of scale
in the battery production and supply chain for the parts.
And this is expected in 2022.
EVs will have about the same showroom price as an internal combustion engine
vehicle.
Adding to this is the renewable energy storing capability.
[INAUDIBLE] the vehicle [INAUDIBLE] it could make the vehicle earn its money.
Certainly, if we use the virtuous circle of electric vehicles, automatic driving
vehicles, and car sharing, like in the example of [? Bridner, ?]
which has a smart EV city distribution, with electric trucks in Rotterdam--
and they are switching the cargo space at the border of the city
and driving the last mile electrically, cheaper than they did before.
In this picture, it's the same.
It's about to break even of the sticker price around 2022.
However, there are still used internal combustion engine cars, which then
are about half the kilometer price.
For that, we need the electric mobility as a service
because there, the cost of driving will be approaching zero.
[INAUDIBLE]
To summarize, we have seen three disruptions--
the electrification, automation, and connectivity--
with six zeros connected to it.
Zero emission.
Zero energy.
Zero congestion.
Zero accidents.
And zero empty.
And zero cost.
But remember that this was already foreseen by the Dutch professor
Sibrandus Stratingh with the scale model combining
the invention of [INAUDIBLE] and Tesla.
However, he didn't know it was a car.
Thank you very much for attending the EV business introduction.
More will be explained in the business MOOC coming up soon.