police opened up. Okay. So
they’ve got 3 suspects in
custody and maybe more wait
and see. Hey, today, June 1st
start of hurricane season.
It’s also a great reminder to
get prepared if a storm does
head our way. KPRC. 2
meteorologist Anthony Yanez
spoke with Hurricane Specialist
Robbie Berg about the future
of hurricanes and your part in
staying safe.
>> You know, I really think the
future is getting people to
understand their risks. We can
make a perfect forecast, but
people don’t often know what to
do with that perfect forecast.
They don’t know if they live in
a flood zone. They don’t know
if there. I knew you were prone
to storm surge and so it’s not
just the physical science worry
about. It’s also the social
sciences, making sure that
people understand what to do
with that forecast was given
to them.
>> And so I was listening also
admiring their style of from
being honest. Now we know this
place. Houston area, not a
stranger to big storms.
>> How’d you know if you’re
a flood zone? That’s one
question for Anthony and
Carolina. Going help you out
with that more than what?
We’ve got a lot of stuff to
talk about. And of and you
know, my philosophy on whether
we’re a flood zone, all of
Southeast Texas is a flood.
So I need to show a need to
bring in my picture. There was
a topography that was then in
the late 18, 100’s of southeast
Texas. And it shows the
floodplain and it’s all of
southeast Texas.
>> All of Southeast Texas, but
also a lot of our
neighborhoods. It doesn’t take
too much to have a flood day.
Even the last few days we’ve
seen those local streets fill
up. It only takes a few inches
of rainfall.
>> tonight talk a lot about
there are areas that are more
at risk. Obviously some places
that are close to the bayou
and what not. And so there are
higher chances for others.
But honestly, that’s why I
always say all of us need flood
insurance. Carolina are going
to go through a couple graphics
for you already. And we don’t
want to repeat this because we
just talked about it. But we’re
tracking an area in the Gulf
of Mexico. Did you know that
this is the second year in a
row? We did not get a storm.
What, 7 years in a row a named
storm. We didn’t this year.
We didn’t. Last year and the
forecast is for an average
number of storms this year.
But of course, that message
really needs to be stated as
far as its average. But that’s
not him going by. What impact?
>> Not going by impact is also
important to remember this is
not a landfall forecast.
We could have 14 named storms
and none of them could make
landfall. So it only takes one
storm. This is going to be the
official forecast that they’ve
put out the average number of
obese 14 named storms, 7 of
which become hurricanes and
3 become major. And Anthony
this year, the forecast from
NOAA, it really fits into that
range, right? And you have
Colorado State actually below
average and last year going
with what you to be storms.
One of them major hurricanes
with Ian and that hit Florida.
>> Exactly Florida. And so
there are areas there to them.
That was a crazy, busy
hurricane season because some
people are still trying to
recover from this from last
year, which as you can see,
was a fairly a normal season.
So what we have you go over.
El Nino is one of the reasons
why we’re expecting an average
number of storms to form.
So we have so El Nino, I want
to start by talking about what
it is. We have weaker trade
winds this year. So that means
instead of having the warmest
water in the Pacific near Asia,
we actually have it off the
coast of South America. So we
have warm water here.
>> That’s going to heat the
air above it. You’ve got warm,
rising air and this is actually
get a lead to an increased wind
speed pushing into the
Caribbean and say this is not
good for tropical development.
No, but it is good if you don’t
like a lot of storms out in
the Gulf of Maine like their
yes, we like this. And the
reason is to see where the
arrows are, the happy storms
that develop in the go from the
east to the west are going to
the Gulf of Mexico. But what
you now have as an opposing
wind and that really either
weakens a storm or completely
prevents it from forming in the
first place. That high wind
shear.
>> Absolutely. This is going to
really help suppress any
tropical development for weaker
storms. But if we already have
a strong storm, this might not
impacted quite as much. And we
certainly have the possibility
for that.
>> We’ve been seeing rapid
intensification happen more and
more in recent years. We’re
already seeing at the system
near Florida. I went from a
20% chance.
>> So where the discussion was
just doesn’t it’s not
organized. This disorganized
and all this has got a 50%
chance of becoming Arlene.
Our first named storm. My
concern, by the way, if you see
how warm these temperatures are
near the coastline, if you get
a storm like this one that
forms close to land when she
doesn’t have much of an impact
because it can rapidly
intensify. And then he
basically have less than 3 days
to prepare because you’re
having a storm that’s rapidly
intensifying and moving toward
land. And so the wind shear is
really not affecting. It’s
affecting like these storms,
but the ones close to land a
different That’s going to be a
concern with those warm surface
temperatures on the water.
We can see the system’s quickly
intensify. So that’s why we’re
thinking an average season.
>> Audi, Neo and the surface
temperatures kind of balance
out. I thought this was kind of
interesting, by the way, it
might be a below average
season. The last time we had a
below average season, 3 years
in a row, 2013, 2014, 2015,
nearly 10 years or 10 years
ago.
>> But of course, and you’re
mentioning the forecast isn’t
for impact. Ian, last year, it
only takes one storm to
completely change everything.
I think the name is
interesting, especially when
you look at Herald, Harold Mize
Harold, your favorite one.
Well, it’s not my favorite one.
But 6 years ago we have R B.
And so Harvey, of course, was
retired Murray. Also the one
that really affected Puerto
Rico devastated the entire
area. Back at your place by
Margot and then you have a idea
that I do. Your idea. How do
you pronounce that?
>> We will let you know.
I think it’s to do. But they
have the pronunciations.
And of course, you always look
at that. And then you have
Nigel, which is the unnamed
storm that replaces Nate from
6 years ago.
>> So these are going to be
this systems that we’re
watching for. And of course,
we’re going to be talking about
this really all day long.
We’re going to talk about
climate change here in the
08:00AM hour. And we’re just
going to be getting folks ready