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so lightfall is fast approaching and the small bits and pieces that were being shown aren't
saying much but I think it's fair to say that we're all looking at a fairly apocalyptic moment
you know it just doesn't have the right vibe we're about a week or two away from getting our end of
season Quest and it's going to involve the war mind Rasputin as we're all aware the last time
we interacted with him he hadn't come up with a solution to civil wrath's trap this has led us
to a rather ominous question is there even a way for Rasputin to be victorious Against The Hive God
of War perhaps more seriously the question has arisen of whether Rasputin can survive or not
the Old Law from Beyond light and the dark future law book in particular has only compounded these
concerns further and so today I wanted to touch on the topic give my two cents and give everyone
an idea of how likely it is that Rasputin is going to kick the bucket also today is the first day of
having my microphone back and actually in working order so that's nice the computer setup is here so
expect more regular content going forward we'll be getting back on the ground of things I know
usually I save updates till the end but here it is and I thought it was important to let you all know
anyway before we go any further let's recap the situation for the season of the Seraph and what
it's led to with this particular moment the whole season we've been moving towards the objective of
helping Rasputin to reclaim the warsat network the warsats are a complicated thing to explain but the
simplest way of doing so is to say that they're part of an orbital satellite array capable of
gathering data from around the system and there are also part weapons system that Rasputin can
fire at Targets I say fire but it's more accurate to say he deorbits them you know this is more of a
rods from God kind of situation big object coming at you from orbit makes big impact on the ground
and I mean I'm pretty sure most of us have been hit by one of these things if we've played Destiny
at least once or twice we've died from them so you get the situation they cause a lot of damage
the point to be made here is that there's a lot of these things floating around the system and
if the hive gain access to the whole network and activate them all against the lost city they could
use them to destroy the entire thing this also is supplementary to New Revelations that the warsats
could potentially contain weapons that Clovis Bray might have used in another time to shoot down the
traveler it's unknown if these weapons would be effective against the traveler but what does seem
clear is that Rasputin considered them a serious enough threat to reach out to us weeks back and
counter clovis's plans all this is to say that the warsats are wmds with some pretty significant
power and we should take them seriously we also discovered this season that the plan of civil or
wrath involved the use of the warsats as well and that no matter which side used them sivu's plan
would be enacted if zevu used them the city would be destroyed if we used them xevu would allow the
use of such a powerful war technique to summon her Army above the Moon and she would begin the
invasion of Earth and accomplish practically the same purpose the end result of the plan would be
to attain control of the warsats and refrain from using them as a result with this in mind Rasputin
would not fire the warsats but instead has been spending weeks recently trying to calculate a
solution to zevu's trap and our current problem but at the time of writing no such solution has
been found so at this point in time there are quite a few different things in Jeopardy we know
that zivu is planning to attack at some point we know we need to continue to rest control of the
warsat network from her and more importantly Rasputin effectively acts as kind of a loaded
gun it's one of those moments at which you know it's dangerous to have Rasputin around and the
warsat network in his control even if he has no intent of using it to ensure that he's able to
adequately defend us that is the problem that Mara solve Ray raised for us in the seasonal cutscene
by the way it all raises our first question will Rasputin survive the coming storm it's a bit of a
non-answer to say that it's too soon to tell but I think you'd definitely be worth explaining why
there's a good reason to suspect that Rasputin wouldn't make it Chief amongst all the evidence
that we can gather is the records of a different timeline that the EXO stranger has experienced
which is found in the dark future law book in this law book The Last City Falls to Aramis savathune
and the witness and Rasputin is one amongst a number of Heroes that after this moment joined
together to face the forces of darkness in the end however they were portrayed from within by none
other than Anna Bray who embraced the darkness and stasis in particular in a critical moment
of the story The efforts of the heroes failed and it's presumed that Rasputin died thanks to
the Betrayal of Anna Bray this assumption is also made because of Rasputin's close ties to Anna and
the idea that her portrayal would have easily led to his downfall in tandem the dark future
law book is really commonly cited whenever anyone considers the fact that we're in big trouble and
whenever someone does cite it I'm quick to remind them of a few things firstly Elsie Bray at the end
of Beyond lights story has told us personally that it's a markedly different timeline that
we exist in from the previous ones that she's relived in other words we are not living in
the dark future timeline that is not a perfect guide secondly it's worth pointing out that we
already know this because there are some pretty extraordinary differences between that timeline
and our current one for starters Eris mourn who in the dark future is actually the main evil
doer she is the antagonist of the entire story she's not turned to the side of the witness and
savathune has left the side of the witness and even gone as far as claiming the light two major
your plot points within this rotate upon that fact and frankly they're so different from the
dark future that they're almost unrecognizable the last City by this point would already have fallen
as well and icora Ray would have been killed by the witch Queen and Zavala would have been
brutally maimed by her The Drifter would have also perished alongside a host of other Heroes and well
questionable characters in the drifter's case that used to frequent the tower there are such Stark
differences between this timeline and our own that it really is worth reminding everyone that this is
an incredibly different series of events that is quite simply not guaranteed to play out there are
some constants though constants that cause a lot of concern and perhaps rightly so Guardians have
not only learned the power of stasis but have also been corrupted by stasis on a few notable
instances The witness's Assault on Earth seems all but imminent and it still holds the allegiances
of both Aramis and the hive albeit The Hive are commanded by sivo or wrath and not savvathun and
last but not least there is still the question of Anna Bray who has been shaken in her conviction
when moments of Doubt offer uncomfortable questions moments where Rasputin has been able
to reassure her but moments nonetheless it's not at all impossible we should see a moment yet again
where Anna betrays us as weakness reaps in and someone particularly persuasive is able to ply her
we know that it's happened in a different timeline we just have to hope that the conviction of Anna
is stronger this time that her friends and family are able to appropriately prop her up something
that was missing in the other timeline but in spite of all these differences and similarities
it's still pretty difficult to see whether or not Rasputin Will Survive based on the dark future law
book alone I mean it goes badly there but who's to say it won't go badly now here in our timeline
okay I grant you it's a lot harder to say that knowing that the expansion we're about to get in a
month is called lightfall but you know hear me out I think if we're going to ask the question about
whether Rasputin Will Survive or not I think we should look at it from a logistical and tactical
standpoint as much as one that refers to the Old Law and I think oddly enough the major question
about Rasputin's survival breaks down into three individual questions first of all what is going
to happen to the helm in lightfall secondly how much of Rasputin's systems can be placed purely
within the EXO frame and it's accompanied onboard systems within the helm and thirdly if lots of his
systems need to be found in the warsat and their attached Hardware how easily can they be moved
the first question is less about the helm and more about where Rasputin's frame is located if
the frame is destroyed then Rasputin is once again confined to any systems that
hold fragments of his data suffice to say if the helm Falls then it seems much more
likely that the rest of Rasputin's systems will fall too and he will probably die thereafter
the second question is a sort of addendum to the first one if all of Rasputin is contained within
the helm then we can perhaps leave the system or at least leave Earth and the war mind will still
be intact this dramatically increases Rasputin's chances of survival finally that third question if
we can't contain all of the warmind's data within the helm and the EXO frame then we need to see how
easily that Hardware could be moved if it contains Rasputin's data it needs to be saved not all of it
perhaps but most of it for it to be considered all of him even in this moment where he's been
moved into the exo-frame and the submind data has been used to reactivate him Rasputin admits that
he's not the same as he used to be but regardless saving bits and pieces of his data no matter where
they are is important to this question and so it makes you wonder is there Rasputin data contained
on serif station what about the warsats floating throughout the system how easily can all of these
things be moved and taken with us if we have to leave Earth it's hard to imagine that something
like serif station is mobile but that's not impossible given that it is an orbital station
and with the right technology which is not out of the scope of the Golden Age it could be de-orbited
and given free reign of flight in space at which point all you'd need is the appropriate
amount of RCs and thrusters in different locations and you could move the thing around
again though that's a much trickier question than could you move warsats which I imagine
you most certainly could I think it's much more likely that Rasputin will survive if he's able
to keep his assets mobile have you ever heard of a military Doctrine from the U.S Air Force known as
agile combat employment yeah I I'm assuming that's a no but just in case you haven't essentially it's
a operational scheme that allows you to maneuver a bunch the idea is that if you have all your assets
stacked up in one place then you know you're not necessarily going to be able to maneuver them out
of the way immediately if danger strikes there this is one of those immediate moments where you
can sit and realize that keeping Rasputin's assets mobile allows you to not only more
effectively strike with them if you could use the warsats and you find an opening in the enemy's
armor but also more importantly it means you can keep them out of danger agile combat employment
revolves around this theory that if you keep your assets mobile it's a lot harder to locate
them and therefore it's a lot harder for them to be destroyed you can also more effectively punch
holes in opportunistic lines and maintain your combat presence so a Mobile serif station mobile
warsats and a mobile Helm are key to Rasputin's survival it's also worth noting that all these
questions assume that if sufficient War mind data is collected from any Source then the war
mind can be considered to be alive but it's also possible that just a small amount of data could
compile into something that by our definitions would be alive the real question is would that
still be a war mind and that matters because well the data that we've gathered over this season has
dramatically changed Rasputin by the measuring stick of is the Old Rasputin alive the answer is
still actually no by the measuring stick of is this new Rasputin alive then technically
yes thanks to the old data but any one piece of that data doesn't necessarily make up Rasputin
it's a bit like the ship of Theseus you know if you replace all the old Parts is it still the same
ship in the end it's kind of hard to tell I think Rasputin would say yes in his current state but
might protest and say no if the metaphorical ship was reduced to a few planks and a sail
point is we don't know what life technically looks like for Rasputin and we don't know how much of
him could be destroyed for him to technically be called alive but what do I think personally
of this I think that Rasputin's Place Bound in the helm means that unless the exo-frame
gets legs and is physically placed in danger it's much more likely that the warmind will survive at
least Beyond lightful but if we're gonna look into Rasputin's future Beyond lightfall Things become a
whole lot murkier I would fear not the threat of civil Warth but the threat of the witness
and the black Fleet previously in the season of Rivals it took but a wave of the witness's hand
for the black Fleet to Snuff out the war mind in a second who's to say that couldn't happen again
for all we know lightfall will ultimately just be us getting crushed and if we Guardians are in
trouble I imagine the war mind and the civilians inside the Lost City certainly Fair even worse but
that's all from me for now if you enjoyed today's video go ahead and leave a like and also remember
to leave your thoughts Down Below in the comments section you can of course also hit subscribe and
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moment we are less than 3 000 subscribers away from a million I'm really excited for the end
of that journey and the start of a new one but regardless of where that Journey takes us we're
going to go into lightfall and Come Out Swinging with some great content I'm really excited for
the future there are things I'm planning for the next year or so which I'm sure some of
you will already have seen me talking about on Twitter if you are excited for them then please
go ahead and keep following because it's going to be a big year regardless know that as per usual
your viewership is quite enough for me and that in the meantime my name has been my name is beef
I'll see you starside [Music] foreign
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