>> I’M CUTTING IN -- I
APOLOGIZE.
STEVE KORNACKI IS BACK AT THE
BIG BOARD WITH A P PENNSYLVANIA
UPDATE.
>> THE EFFECT HAS BEEN BIDEN’S
LEAD GOES UP AGAIN.
16,784 IS THE STATEWIDE LEAD.
THESE CONTINUOUS INCREMENTAL
CLIMBS FOR JOE BIDEN.
AS THIS VOTE COMES IN FROM PARTS
AROUND THE STATE.
UP TO 16,784 RIGHT NOW.
>> STEVE, THAT WOULD BE AT 16 K.
THAT’S THE HIGHEST THIS EARLY IN
THE HOUR.
THAT WOULD BE THE HIGHEST MARGIN
BIDEN HAS HAD IN PENNSYLVANIA
YET.
>> YOU CAN EXPECT IT LIKELY TO
GET HIGHER.
CONSIDERABLY.
THE TREND HERE OF WHERE THE OUT
STANDING VOTE IS WHERE THE OUT
STANDING MAIL VOTE IS.
THE ABSENTEE.
THAT CONTINUOUS STREAK OF THE
BEING HEAVILY PRO-BIDEN.
THE OTHER QUESTION THAT WE HAVE
BEEN TALKING ABOUT IS THE
CATEGORY OF THE PROVISIONAL
BALLOT IN PENNSYLVANIA.
A TOPIC THAT MIGHT BE
COMPLICATED THIS YEAR THAN THE
PAST.
IT USED TO BE A SMALLER NUMBER
TRADITIONALLY OF PROVISIONAL
BALLOTS.
THERE MIGHT BE SOMETHING IN THE
NEIGHBORHOOD OF 100,000.
THAT’S VASTLY MORE THAN NORMAL.
FL
IN AN ELECTION.
THERE’S A POSSIBILITY.
THERE MIGHT BE DELAY IN FOLKS
OFFICIALLY DECLARING WINNERS IN
PENNSYLVANIA.
I THINK THERE’S A DESIRE TO SEE
SOME OF THE PROVISIONAL VOTE
COME IN AND SEE IF THE PATTERN
WOULD HAVE TO BE WHEN THESE
PROVISIONALS COME IN IT WOULD
HAVE BEEN EXTREMELY LOPSIDED
PROTRUMP.
THERE’S SOME REASON HERE TO
THINK THAT THIS PROVISIONAL VOTE
MIGHT BE MORE REPUBLICAN THAN
YOU WOULD NORMALLY GET WITH
PROVISIONAL BALLOTS.
WE CAN GET INTO WHY.
BUT IT NEEDS TO TAKE THE, BIDEN
RUNNING UP THE SCORE WITH THE
MAIL BALLOTS IT WILL PUT TRUMP
IN A POSITION HE HAS TO WIN
PROVISIONALS IN LOPSIDED
LANDSLIDE
LANDSLIDE FASHION.
IN DEMOCRATIC AREAS.
SO IT’S ONE OF THOSE THINGS
WHERE YOU CAN SEE AN ADVANTAGE
HERE FOR BIDEN.
YOU CAN KIND OF SEE OKAY,
THERE’S A COMPLICATED SET OF OUT
STANDING BALLOTS.
BUT LET’S BE CLEAR, IT WOULD
TAKE SOMETHING EXTRAORDINARY IN
THE PROVISIONALS FOR TRUMP ERODE
WHAT BIDEN IS BUILDING.
>> VERY CLEAR.
WHEN YOU’RE PLAYING WITH FEWER
VOTES LEFT, THE MARGIN YOU WOULD
NEED "OUTFRONT"
NEED OUT OUT OF THAT REMAINING
BATCH.
THIS WAS A BIG NEWS.
STAY WITH ME.
I’LL BRING IN COLONEL BELCHER.
I WANT TO GET YOUR REACTION.
AND THEN STEVE WILL GIVE US
FURTHER ANALYSIS.
WE HAVE HIM AT THE BIG BOARD.
16,000 LARGEST MARGIN TO DATE IN
A MUST WIN STATE FOR TRUMP.
AND A STATE THAT WOULD PUT BIDEN
OVER THE TOP.
BUT DOESN’T HAVE TO WIN IT.
>> IF NIRPI WERE IN A WAR ROOM
LOOKING AT THAT MAP AND THE REST
OF THE VOTE IS STILL OUT
STANDING, I FEEL FAIRLY
CONFIDENT.
THAT MY LEAD IS NOT OVER TAKEN.
TO THE POINT THE X FACTOR IS
PROVISIONAL.
HISTORICALLY THEY HAVE BEEN
SOMETHING THAT YOU SEE MINORTIES
CAST.
AND ESPECIALLY BACK TO GEORGIA.
WHERE THE PREVIOUS ELECTION
CYCLE MINORTIES CAST THOSE
BECAUSE SOMETHING WAS GOING
WRONG AT THE ELECTION PLACE.
THIS TIME AROUND WE DON’T KNOW.
THERE MAYBE MORE REPUBLICANS
DOING IT.
IF I LOOK AT THE BIG BOARD AND
SEE THE REST OF THE VOTE IS
COMING FROM.
I THINK IT’S A STRETCH TO SAY
TRUMP CAN MAKE THIS UP.
WE HAVE TO STAY CAUTIOUS.
>> ON THAT POINT.
WE SAY IT’S A STRETCH, THAT’S
FORWARD LOOKING.
LET’S LOOK AT HISTORY AND
PRECEDENT.
HAVE YOU SEEN A TIME THT MODERN
ERA IN THE LAST 50 YEARS WHERE
THE KIND OF COUNTIES THAT STEVE
IS TRACKING TURNING IN BALLOTS
OF WHATEVER NATURE, WOULD COME
BACK 60, 40.
70, 30 REPUBLICAN. >> NO.
>> NO.
BUT WE’RE IN A DIMPT TIMEFFERENT
HISTORY.
THERE WAS A REPUBLICAN SURGE ON
ELECTION DAY.
WE HAVE TO BE CAUTIOUS.
DID IT CHANGE THINGS IN THE
PROVISIONAL.
WE DON’T KNOW YET.
>> WALK US THROUGH BEFORE I LET
YOU GO TO THE SPECIAL COVERAGE
AND JOY REID AND EVERYTHING
COMING UP.
FINAL QUESTION IN THIS HOUR, WHY
IS JOE BIDEN’S LEAD GOING UP IN
PA AND STILL TOO CLOSE TO CALL?
>> IT CONTINUES TO GO UP BECAUSE
WE CONTINUE TO GET REPORT RS OF
THE MAIL VOTES AND TALLYING THEM
UP AND IN PHILADELPHIA, WHERE
PITTSBURG IS.
AS YOU SAW HERE, IN NORTH
HAMPTON COUNTY.
THE VOTES THAT BIDEN GOT A
MINUTE AGO TO PUT HIM UP 16,000.
HE WAS WINNING 73% THERE.
OF THE MAIL IN VOTE.
ENTIRELY CONSISTENT WITH WHAT WE
HAVE SEEN EVERYWHERE.
BIDEN IS DOING EXTREMELY WELL.
EVERY TIME THEY OPEN UP MAIL IN
BALLOTS.
AND WE HAVE A CONSIDERABLE
NUMBER OF MAIL IN BALLOTS YET TO
BE REPORTED OUT HERE.
BIDEN LEAD OF 16874 JUST WHEN
YOU GET THE REMAINING BALLOTS
IT’S CLEAR HE’S WINNING THAT.
HE’LL PAD THE STATEWIDE LEAD.
AND THE PROVISIONAL BALLOTS AND
HOW TO THINK ABOUT THOSE.
IT’S A COMPLICATED WEEDY
QUESTION.
THERE ARE ABOUT 100,000 OF THOSE
PROVISIONAL BALLOTS OUT THERE.
YOU CAN MAKE AN ARGUMENT FOR A
SOLID DEMOCRATIC CONTINGENT.
OR MIGHT BE MORE REPUBLICAN THAN
USUAL.
I THINK IF BIDEN IS BUILDING THE
KIND OF LEAD IT LOOKS LIKE HE’S
BUILDING, WITH THE MAIL BALLOTS
AND ABSENTEE, THAT PROVISIONAL
BALLOT IF IT’S IN BETWEEN GOOD
NOR DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS
THAT WOULDN’T BE GOOD ENOUGH FOR
TRUMP.
BECAUSE TRUMP WOULD BE FIGHTING
TO ERODE A BIG LEAD AT THAT
POINT.
IT NEEDS TO BE OVERWHELMINGLY
FOR TRUMP.
>> YOU MAKE IT CLEAR.
I KNOW YOU’RE ALWAYS FOCUSSED ON
THE BIG BOARD AND THE WORK.
NOT THE PERSONAL.
I HOPE YOU PERMIT ME TO SAY I
DON’T THINK I’M THE ONLY
AMERICAN RIGHT NOW THAT YOU WERE
ABLE TO NAP THIS AFTERNOON.
YOU’LL BE BUSY TONIGHT.
>> THANK YOU.