>>> WELCOME BACK. BALLOTS ARE STILL BEING TAB
LATED IN SOME HOUSE DISTRICTS.
BUT THE WEDNESDAY MORNING
QUARTERBACKING HAS ALREADY
BEGUN.
BEGUN. PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS SEVERAL
REPUBLICANS WHO LOST RE-ELECTION
BIDS FALTERED BECAUSE THEY DID
NOT BECOME OR EMBRACE HIM.
>> YOU HAD SOME THAT DECIDED TO,
LET’S STAY AWAY, LET’S STAY
AWAY.
AWAY. THEY DID VERY POORLY.
CARLOS KUR BELLA.
MILE COFFMAN.
MILE COFFMAN. TOO BAD, MIKE.
BARBARA COM STOCK WAS ANOTHER
ONE.
ONE. I THINK SHE COULD HAVE WON THAT
RACE.
RACE. BUT SHE DIDN’T WANT TO HAVE A
EMBRACE.
EMBRACE. FOR THAT, I DON’T BLAME HER.
BUT SHE LOST, SUBSTANTIALLY
LOST.
LOST. PETER ROSCOMB DIDN’T WANT THE
EMBRACE.
EMBRACE. ERIC PAULSEN DIDN’T WANT THE
EMBRACE.
EMBRACE. >> WOW.
>> WOW. UNBELIEVABLE.
UNBELIEVABLE. HE NAMED NAMES.
HERE AT THE BIG BOARD WITH OUR
EXPLANATION WHY DEMOCRATS WERE
ABLE TO NET AT THE MOMENT 28
SEATS IN THE HOUSE.
I DON’T THINK IT HAS TO DO WITH
NOT EMBRACING PRUMPL.
IN THE CASE OF MOST OF THESE
RACES, YOU HEARD THE PRESIDENT
MENTION IT CAME DOWN TO ROCKING
THE SUBURBS.
THE SUBURBS. JOINING ME NOW IS NONE OTHER
THAN NATIONAL MSNBC
CORRESPONDENT PETE KORNACKI
APPARENTLY DIDN’T GET NO SLEEP.
>> MONTANA WAS NOT CALLED.
I’M NOT GOING TO SLEEP.
>> FAIR.
>> FAIR. BY THE WAY, HE NAMED NAMES.
>> YES.
>> YES. >> EVERY TIME YOU THINK HE’S,
OH, HE CAN’T GO THAT LOW.
HE’LL GO.
HE’LL GO. >> EVERY WHITE HOUSE HAS ITS
LIST OF MEMBERS FROM THE SAME
PARTY THEY DON’T REALLY LIKE.
THEY USUALLY DON’T HAVE THE
PRESIDENT BROADCAST IT LIKE
THAT.
THAT. >> NO, TODAY, TOO BAD, MIKE.
>> IT’S DRINKING.
THESE STORIES.
THESE STORIES. >> THESE DISTRICTS REJECTED
PRESIDENT TRUMP TWO YEARS AGO,
23 OF THE 30, HIGHER EDUCATION
LEVELS THAN THE NATIONAL
AVERAGE.
AVERAGE. 20 OF THE 30 PICKUPS, HIGHER
MEDIAN INCOME.
MEDIAN INCOME. THIS IS TURF THE DEMOCRATS
SHOULD HAVE HAD TWO YEARS AGO.
>> THE MINUTE THE 2016 ELECTION
WAS CALLED, YOU COULD CIRCLE
MOST OF THESE DISTRICTS AND SAY
UNLESS TRUMP RADICALLY CHANGES
HIS STYLE, THESE REPUBLICANS ARE
IN TROUBLE IN 2018.
>> THAT’S WHAT HAPPENED.
EVERY SUBURB IN AMERICA FROM SEA
TO SHINING SEA, FROM VIRGINIA
BEACH, THE CALIFORNIA RACES
AREN’T ON HERE YES.
BECAUSE THEY’RE NOT CALLED.
WE KNOW WE ARE GOING.
>> A COUPLE OF THOSE.
>> THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY.
SUBURBS, DES MOINES.
WE CAN GO TO OKLAHOMA CITY.
WE’RE GOING, OH, WHERE DID THIS
COME FROM?
COME FROM? DEPARTMENT THIS FITS THE MODEL
IN OKLAHOMA.
IN OKLAHOMA. >> IT DOESN’T HAVE TO BE A
CLINTON DISTRICT.
CLINTON DISTRICT. A LOT OF THESE WERE WON BY
CLINTON.
CLINTON. FEW GOT A BIG CHUNK OF THE
DISTRICTS THAT’S IN A CITY OR A
METRO AREA WITH A LOT OF COLLEGE
DEGREES, A YOUNGER POPULATION A
MORE DIVERSE POPULATION.
>> THAT WAS ON FIRE OVER THE
LAST TWO YEARS POLITICALLY.
IT SHOWED UP IN THESE RACES.
>> LOOK AT THIS, COLORADO 6.
DENVER SUBURBS, MIKE COFFMAN.
HE ALMOST LOST BY TEN POINTS.
>> COMSTOCK TRACKED ALMOST
EXACTLY THE CLINTON RESULT.
CLINTON RAN AWAY, COMSTOCK GOT
BURIED.
BURIED. >> THIS IS A MAJORITY THE
DEMOCRATS HAVE BUILT IN THE SAME
WAY THE REPUBLICANS HAVE A
MAJORITY DURABILITY IN THE
SENATE.
SENATE. >> THE THING THE QUESTION AT THE
TRUMP ERA WAS THIS SHIFT IN THE
SUBURBS.
SUBURBS. THIS MASSIVE SHIFT.
IS THIS GOING TO LAST BEYOND
2016?
2016? THIS CLEARLY IS A PROBLEM FOR
LONG-TERM REPUBLICANS.
LONG-TERM REPUBLICANS. >> LOOK AT THE SHIFT THERE.
IS A QUOTE/UNQUOTE ACCIDENT.
MAYBE, MAYBE MARK SANFORD
DISTRICT.
DISTRICT. BUT I’M NOT SO SURE.
>> REMEMBER THE SOUTH CAROLINA
PRIMARY IN 2016.
TRUMP DID TAKE EVERY CONGRESS AM
DISTRICT.
DISTRICT. HIS WEAKEST, THOUGH, BY FAR WAS
SOUTH CAROLINA ONE.
>> WHY?
>> WHY? COAST.
COAST. CHARLESTON.
CHARLESTON. >> HIGHER INCOME.
>> HIGHER INCOME.
>> MORE COLLEGE DEGREES.
I GUESS FORK ’22.
>> I WAS GOING TO SAY.
>> CAN WE SHOW YOU?
THIS SHOWS YOU.
55-39, THAT WAS THE TRUMP MARGIN
THERE.
THERE. THAT’S PROBABLY THE --
>> TRUMPIEST BUSINESS.
>> EVEN THAT ONE SHE HAD EARLIER
ISSUES IN THE DISTRICT.
THAT’S PROBABLY THE BIGGEST
SURPRISE FROM THAT GROUP TO ME.
>> SO I THINK IT’S ONE OF THESE
THINGS PEOPLE REALIZE THIS
DEMOCRAT MAKE MAJORITY IS NOT
GOING TO BE HARD TO REELECT
UNLESS THERE IS A COLLAPSE ON
THE TOP OF THE DEMOCRATIC TICKET
IN 2020.
IN 2020. >> THE BIG QUESTION THAT’S
EMERGING TO ME AS A NEW
DEMOCRATIC STRENGTH IN THE USH
INTERESTS HERE.
INTERESTS HERE. AS LONG AS TRUMP, HIMSELF, IS
THERE REENFORCING.
THERE REENFORCING. THE QUESTION TO ME IS THE GROUND
THAT REPUBLICANS GAVE BACK IN
THESE RURAL BLUE COLLAR AREAS.
IN THE NORTH, THE MID-WEST, IS
THAT GROUND HE CAN WIN BACK IN
2020.
2020. >> SOMETIMES CAN YOU LOOK AT THE
MAP AND SEE.
RIGHT?
RIGHT? YOU CAN SEE IT IN ARIZONA WHY WE
SEE IT AS A SWING STATE.
DEMOCRATS CAN WIN.
IF YOU WANT TO VISUALIZE IT.
BUT YOU LOOK AT FLORIDALES, YOU
SEE WHY, THERE’S STRONG SUBURBAN
VOTE.
VOTE. >> I FELT LIKE I WAS HAVING DE
JA VU WATCHING THE FLORIDA
RESULTS.
RESULTS. THOSE EARLY RETURNS LOOKED LIKE
THE EARLY RETURNS FOR:AND IT
PIVOTED IN THE SAME COUNTIES AT
THE SAME TIME IN THE SAME WAY
THE THING THAT DIDN’T HAPPEN,
THOUGH, WHEN THAT HAPPENED IN
’16 IT PORTENDED SOMETHING THAT
SWEPT ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
I THINK OHIO AND FLORIDA ARE THE
TWO THAT REALLY SEEMED TO DIG IN
ALONG CLOSER TO THE 16 LINES
YESTERDAY.
YESTERDAY. >> WE HAVE TO CLOSE UP SHOP.
BUT I’LL TELL YOU ABOUT OHIO.
DOES IT BELONG ON THE
PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND?
PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND? THAT’S THE QUESTION.
>> I WOULD THINK NOT IN 2020.
>> THAT WOULD BE MY GUESS.
STEVE KORNACKI.
STEVE KORNACKI. NOW YOU CAN GET SOME SLEEP.