bills - tournament
upcoming match ups with think about. Like that's that's so
production meeting tomorrow. You know, we need Stephen
D'Agostino on it.
Like Brian Ruben, our producer today be ruses. Laughs, you
know
what shops upcoming match ups. Stephen getting a lot of love
on the sides. Actually invented the law segments as well. That
I can see, you know, like the anti M Night Shyamalan.
That's why I love something.
You want to come on the show. I'm not showing you can come
on, come on, looks like lying to us. What you're thinking of
The Last Airbender explain to us what you're thinking with
every movie about The Sixth Sense. Yeah, exactly.
And the fifth sets, the lesser-known prequel
okay? Bills - great at Raven's.
The total is a juicy 51 and a half. That's very high.
And these are the two MVP favorites right now. Lamar
Jackson and Josh Allen.
Yes, you should start both of them. Yeah, just saw a hashtag
analysis by harms is slightly about ahead of Jackson on MGM
at plus feet 500. But the winner of this matchup
Weighing the bills and the Ravens is going to see their
quarterback as the MVP favorite and also if the Ravens win very
good chance. They get the 1 seed just quickly MVP, just
head to head. Alan Jackson, who do you
like
I like
you know I like Lamar Jackson
Lamar like Lamar Jackson to. I think that's just the better
BET, right? I mean like is Alan sort of the obvious one here
and we've already seen them stumble a little bit. Like,
that's a bad loss at Miami. And
so I feel like I feel like there's a
Better. There's better chances for Alan to quote, unquote,
lose the award, then for Jackson to win it, right?
Jackson is exceeding expectations this year and it's
contract year, whereas Alan was the presumptive favorite for
it. Yep. And so there's nowhere to go but down for Josh
Allen because the expectations are already always so high.
Yeah, everyone's annoying to Josh Allen, he still doesn't
like to throw it up for grabs. He could have had two or three
interceptions against Miami easily. He just got a little
bit lucky. Okay, let's talk about some of
his weapons, Isaiah Mackenzie. So you Flex wide receiver this
week
I don't think so. I'm at wide receiver.
51. I need to see it for like, remember
week 3 had nine targets great, but that was six targets total
in the after six targets. Total the first two weeks we, he has
scored in two or three games, and that's nice. But those are
so fluking hard to count on
again, Gabe, Davis missed one of the games in that stretch here.
I want to see it one more time. Like, MacKenzie should be raw
stirred, but I'm not starting this week unless I'm in
a super-deep league. Speaking of Gabe, Davis,
quiet after a big wake one. You still a Believer. I am. I'm as
a top 20 play so far this week he's Played 96% of the offense
of snap so far this season. We know that Josh and likes to
look at them. When they get in close, he scored in week, 1
against the Rams
that blow it in play in week two,
they didn't really need them in week 3.
I mean, they did. But like that was a, that was a fluke e,
weird game against the Dolphins here.
If I'm starting a Bills, wide receiver, not named Stefon,
Diggs friend of the podcast. Stefon, Diggs Chief ball,
officer Stefon, Diggs,
give me give me Gabriel Davis. Okay, Devon sing. Therapy led
the team in receptions and we're saving odds against
Miami.
See, just the one hit wonder or is he startled in this matchup
and can be viewed as a weapon in the passing game going
forward. I think somewhere in between, so I meant running
back 24. So I'm hedging my bets a little bit here. I am as a
flex play, and I think he's viable as that which is a flex
play, which is, there's an upside there, but there's
certainly some risk, right? First two weeks. The seasoning
saw five targets total. Now, then last week, obviously huge,
right? Career-high and receptions in a single game.
You know, he saw 11 targets, he tied with Stefon Diggs for
the team lead. So he was a massive part, but we just don't know.
Is that was that just a game script thing where the Dolphins
just played back and said, we're taking away Gabriel
Davis,
we're taking the stuff. We're going to give you all the under
enough underneath stuff and so they're just peppering
Singletary. You got into the end zone and that passing
touchdown, as well,
I'm more a Believer than not. Again, I have inside my top 25
this week.
It certainly. If you're starting a Bills running back,
it's going to be Devon Singletary. But I'm just I'm
not sure.
That this is definitely he's a big part of the passing
offense, yet. Yep. Now the running back on the other side
JK Dobbins who makes his season debut. Last week plays, 26,
snaps doesn't really do too much. But I mean, what do you
make of him
in this matchup, in particular, you starting JK Dobbins or we
need to see more. I need to see more else. I don't love
the fact that he's going against Buffalo Bills of
the second-best run defense. So far in the NFL this year Dobbins
played 43% of the offensive snaps look he's not even
playing half the snaps,
you know and majority of a snaps came on early down so
he's not involved. The passing game yet. As well, you have
your three point. Three yards per carry like little bit of
rust so you've got
your, not sure if there's gonna be any passing down usage,
you're not sure how much work he's going to get. And, oh, by
the way, he's playing the bills so I have it running back 35
this week. He's outside my top 30
ideally, you're not starting JK Dobbins this week.
Yep, longer-term ply. Okay, let's get into the next game. Jags
countless had my bags because I'm wearing the Atlanta Falcons
jersey, but they all my Jaguars, you great call on
fantasy football, pregame on Sunday morning. You took
the Jag's to win outright at plus money.
You made a lot of people money on that bet. Nice job there
with a call. I think you can call them your Jaguar. Yeah. My
jog, your they are your, the swag Wars 100%. You know what?
The best bet in football at the moment on bed,
MGM, the Jacksonville Jaguars to win the AFC, South 2 plus
220. That's too big. That should be more like plus 120.
They're the best team and that division right now that he
spent five years of his life setting lines for a major
Casino. So you know
your lines if your tongue
It's a good bet. I'm I'm gonna do that, right? You take over
the hell's a go. Y'all. Its choice of? Yeah, but I'm
jamming. So we've got the Jags that plus six and a half Point
dogs and told to do it in the commercial break. All right,
what do we got? Jack's plus six and a half at the Eagles.
That's come down from Seven, the shops love the Jags,
the over/under is 48. Now, Trevor Lawrence, who aren't month?
I don't think he's going to win, MVP, but he's 35 2 Y is
long. He's got long odds and he's is stock is Rising. By
the wake. Is he a number one quarterback in
Fantasy. Honestly, if I'm going to bet on the Jags to do that,
like, I love your bed of them, winning, the AFC South. I'd
rather bet on Doug, Peterson for Coachella. Yeah, yes,
I think that's a really good bet as well, become the first
arianny. If the,
if the Jags make the playoffs,
I don't know, how Peterson isn't the coach of the year
given the disaster that they were last year under Urban
Meyer's? So, Trevor Lawrence most fantasy points in his
career on the road at 10 at 10, Diego at the Chargers, I should
say at the Los Angeles
Chargers
and tied for the most passing touchdowns, Is game in a single
area three. Having said that, this is the Eagles
and the Eagles are legit. As much as it, pains me to say,
this is commanders fan, I make you be 16. So, I think he's
a mid-tier qb2 on this one. I think better days are ahead for
Trevor Lawrence.
He's very much a much. Like we talked about Carson Wentz early
in the show, as somebody who's going to be very useful down
the stretch. I'm a believer of Trevor Lawrence but maybe not
this week against Philadelphia.
They are there for real, they're the best thing in
the NF say right now. They are now with the Jacks thing that is
this. Now, the James Robinson show or is Travis And still
pliable it not only is it is it? Now it has been. It has
been
since the start of the Year James Robinson was on my
preseason. Love with we talk about this how look Doug
Peterson likes, use multiple running backs, guys. James
Robinson is going to be the early down back. He's gonna get
the
goal line stuff. And that's what's happened.
He's had over 20 touches the last two games.
He rushed for 100 yards for the sixth time in his career, he's
out snapping Travis etn, he's had 49 percent of the carry so
far. I've been running back 18, it's not a great match of
a Philadelphia but he's got the much better chance at
a touchdown.
Here
and yeah he's getting a lot of volume. The concern on James
Robinson coming to the season was volume and health. While
he's answered the health question, you know, the fact
that he's obviously back in getting this massive workload.
And and honestly the opportunity is there. Now
the Jaguars have been tied or leading in most games so far
this year. So they haven't been in neutral or negative game
script or they've had to pass a lot and etn. Is there passing
down back? But
again, either way, Jake
Doug Peterson has been
clear as as I'll Get out throughout his NFL career, he
likes multiple running backs
and so James Robinson is as between the tackles Thunder
between the tackles Thumper, I will say that if ever there was
a week for etn because we expect them to be down
like they're almost a touchdown Underdog to the Eagles here.
If ever there was a week, Travis CTN. This is the week
just quickly. The most famous I have outside my top. 30 just be
clear, I'm starting Robinson, every 10 to me. The most
interesting thing in the NFL right now is that tames
applying to high safety and quarters coverage more than
they have
ever before. So there's never been
Better time to run the ball efficiently,
Doug Peterson, think he definitely understands that 91
carries for the Jags through three weeks. All right, last
game Patriots at Packers firstly we've got some sound
from Mac Jones.
Like I said, just,
you know, it is what it is. And I'm just going to focus on
day by day and get my treatment and do what I do and,
you know, the play, it's football, it's physical. So
feel good about it.
And like I said, if you have any more specifics, you And
talked to Coach Belichick about it.
It was nothing specific. I just I didn't have to ask Bill. I'm
just wondering how it felt.
Awesome. Thanks.
He's learned well from his coach Bill Belichick - awesome.
Thanks Now
quickly, the market
in terms of the market is doing on this game. The line is pack
is minus 9 and a half home to the Patriots, the over/under is
40. Now, the lookout line on this was only - six and a half.
So the market is saying, is only
a 3-point difference between Mac Jones and Brian Hoyer
to me. That's not enough. I think this line gets up to 10
and a half. Maybe 11 thing is more of a fire, four to five
point gap. But
what do you think? The Patriots quarterback situation does
today mean Harrison Armando Stevenson this week?
I think it increases their usage, right? I like, so,
I mean, I think both guys are very flexible. I mean, like so,
you know, I have, I have Stevenson inside my top 30.
I've Harris just outside my top 30, but both guys are going to
get a bunch of work in. And what's already a run-heavy
offense
and with Brian Hoyer under Center
whose fine Brian Hoyer is he he's fine he's fine guys. Okay,
what they need to do like
You're not start cold pocket park or anyone else. But my
point is is that I think both Stevenson and Harris in that
order are,
you know, they're touched on dependent a little bit, but
they are Flex viable. Again, Stevenson 16 for 101, in
the touchdown, on Fourth else, had four targets
Harris. 1346 got two Targets,
he also scored last week as well. Remember the Packers
allowing five point, four yards per carry to opposing running
backs. You can run on Green Bay that through three weeks is
the 18th. Worst run defense in the NFL like they're in the bottom,
half a league, you can run on Green Bay and
My expectation of what they want to do
with Hoyer under Center and Rogers on the other side.
I think the Chicago our grain bag and was instructive Way Green
Bay near Chicago, is running every single time and still
couldn't stop them. I think it's going to be similar
situation this way, against the Patriots.
So I think that I would even lean the under 40 as low as
that is just because the Patriots going to be running
the ball so much bleeding clock and I think that our Green Bay,
they still have some questions about their offense as well.
We're going to go to break when we come back. You like
the Packer you like betting, the Packers you think the line
should that bread? Even your Like the package, modest not
and a half when we come back. We're going to talk about your
growing Bromance, with the Denver Broncos
and the AFC West Market. I believe
Let's Ride.