the largest study on guns ever
was just completed it was done by Professor Michael Siegel at Boston
University
it's been peer reviewed and is coming out in the American Journal of Public
Health
and what they did is compiled data
on firearm homicides from all 50 states
from the year 1981 in till 2010
the longest stretch of time ever studied
and of course for this particular
subject on me and what they did is look for any
relationship between changes in gun ownership
and murders using guns so since we know
that violent crime rates overall have declined during that time period
this study you something called fixed
affect regression and what that does is
takes into account for any national trend
other than changes in gun ownership so they also employed
the largest ever number of statistical
controls for all other variables and those things included
age gender race and ethnicity
urbanization poverty unemployment income education income inequality divorce rate
alcohol use violent crime rate non violent crime rate
he crime rate number of hunting licenses age-adjusted non firearm homicide rate
incarceration ring suicide rate
all those things were accounted for in other words they sat down they
brainstormed
were all the variables that might affect a
you know deaths from guns
and less make a list a bit now let's find a way to statistically
take those things into account right they accounted for all those things
and since no good data on
national rates have gone ownership exist partly because the NRA stranglehold on
Congress
the authors used the percentage of suicide that involve a firearm as a
proxy
and so the theory that they came up with is that the more guns there are
in any one place the higher the percentage of people
who commit suicide with guns up compared to other ways
so the results are staggering
quote for each one percentage point increase
in proportion of household gun ownership firearm homicide rate increased
by .9 percent that's for what
well one standard deviation change in firearm ownership
shifted gun murders by a staggering
12.98 percent so the conclusion
is inescapable and overwhelming
and this edge to a harvard study which I've given you guys the details on the
show before
more guns equals
more gone der its
whether it's a suicides or homicides just all around here
look whenever the people on the right
use their bullshit argument overall no more going to call for peace
if people look and the reason goes like this:
the majority of people but
that have guns the majority people in general are good people
therefore the more people have guns the more good people have guns
which means the more the good people outweigh the bad people which
disincentive eyes as bad people from using guns everybody protected
how a game theory but on a smaller level and we're just with firearms right
imagine a lot better phiri that's a terrible phiri other words
theoretically speaking it could be truly
could possibly be true of course but how do you verify the yes I just enough to
say it and that's it
you have to test it to see whether or not in that isn't Eric Lee correct or
not
and when you do a test it turns out the opposite is true
more guns equals more gun deaths
that's the other theory by the way the more guns they're floating around the
more we were gonna die. we got
you know and actually Japan is another great example this they have virtually
no guns
they had to gun deaths in the year 2006
to their high was in the twenties
it was a national scandal meanwhile here in the US we have over 300 million guns
in circulation
and we have 30 people on average every David I
every day campaign doesn't have that
for a four-year in their worst year