>>
>> WELCOME BACK TO SUNDAY SQUARE OFF.
SQUARE OFF. ADDING CONGRESSIONAL SEATS IS
NOTHING NEW FOR ONE OF THE
FASTEST-GROWING STATES IN THE
COUNTRY.
COUNTRY.
COUNTRY. FOR 30 YEARS AFTER STATEHOOD IN
1912, ARIZONA WAS REPRESENTED BY
JUST ONE PERSON IN THE U.S.
HOUSE.
HOUSE.
HOUSE. BUT BEGINNING IN 1943, THE
POSTWAR YEARS, AND FOR THE NEXT
80 YEARS, ARIZONA WILL HAVE
GAINED AT LEAST ONE NEW MEMBER
OF THE HOUSE, EVERY 10 YEARS,
CULMINATING IN A PROJECTED 10th
MEMBER OF CONGRESS BY 2022.
NOW, TAKE A LOOK AT THIS MAP OF
ARIZONA'S NINE CONGRESSIONAL
DISTRICTS.
DISTRICTS. IN PARTICULAR, THE FIVE
MARICOPA COUNTY DISTRICTS,
FIVE, SIX, SEVEN, EIGHT AND
NINE.
NINE.
NINE. THAT IS WHERE ARIZONA HAS
BOOMED OVER THE LAST DECADE,
ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST, AND A
NEW CONGRESSIONAL SEAT WILL
LIKELY BE CARVED OUT OF ONE OR
TWO OR MORE OF THOSE DISTRICTS.
SO, WHICH POLITICIANS ARE THE
POTENTIAL WINNERS OR LOSERS IN
THIS REDISTRICTING?
THIS REDISTRICTING? MARTIN QUEZADA, I WILL START
WITH YOU.
WITH YOU.
WITH YOU. YOU'VE DECLARED YOU MAY BE
INTERESTED IN A WEST VALLEY
DISTRICT, IF ONE IS CREATED.
SO HOW DO YOU SEE THAT NOT
BEEN CARVED UP?
>> IT'S HARD TO SAY HOW THAT
MAP WILL BE CARVED UP, BUT WHAT
YOU CAN SAY IS HOW LARGE PART
OF THAT GROWTH IN MARICOPA
COUNTY HAS OCCURRED IN THE WEST
VALLEY.
VALLEY.
VALLEY. SO IT MAKES SENSE WHEN THAT
COUNTY IS DIVIDED UP, THERE
WILL POSSIBLY BE A WEST VALLEY
DISTRICT.
DISTRICT.
DISTRICT. BUT THERE ARE SO MANY FACTORS
TO BE CONSIDERED WHEN THESE
MAPS ARE DRAWN, YOU CAN'T
REALLY IDENTIFY NOW AND SAY
EXACTLY WHERE THAT DISTRICT IS
GOING TO BE.
CHANCES ARE, WEST VALLEY IS
LOOKING AT A NEW DISTRICT.
>> INTERESTINGLY, THE LARGEST
GROWTH HAS OCCURRED IN RUBEN
GALLEGOS AND THE WESTSIDE.
DO YOU THINK HE COULD BE
REDISTRICT IT OUT, OTHERS HAVE
SAID GREG STANTON, DEAN NINE AS
A TARGET REPUBLICANS ARE STILL
ANGRY OVER HOW THAT DISTRICT
WAS CREATED, WAS SUPPOSED TO BE
A SWING DISTRICT, IT IS NOT A
THING DISTRICT.
THING DISTRICT. >> CONGRESS IN GALLEGOS
DISTRICT WILL LARGELY BE SAFE,
BECAUSE OF THE VOTING RIGHTS
ACT, YOU HAVE TO HAVE MINORITY
IN THE DISTRICTS.
YOU LOSE THE POPULATION.
WHERE THAT GOES, THAT IS
PROBABLY GOING TO BE A BIG
FIGHT, AS MENTIONED, THERE'S A
LOT OF THAT GROWTH IN THE WEST
VALLEY, DO YOU CREATE ANOTHER
VOTING PROTECTIVE DISTRICT?
YOU TAKE ALL THE DEMOCRATS AND
MOVE THEM INTO, BUMP THEM IN
WITH THE REPUBLICAN AREAS?
LIKE GOODYEAR, LITCHFIELD PARK,
BEING DROWNED OUT BY
REPUBLICANS.
REPUBLICANS. AS YOU MENTIONED, THE PERSON
WHO HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT, I
THINK IT'S GREG STANTON.
THAT WAS THE BIG FIGHT THAT
REPUBLICANS VIEWED KIND OF THE
SHENANIGANS OF THE LAST
COMMISSION AS NEARLY GEARED
TOWARDS CREATING THAT DISTRICT,
COMPETITIVE OR LEFT-LEANING
DISTRICT IN THE MIDDLE OF THAT
AREA.
AREA.
AREA. WHERE DEMOCRAT COULD WIN, THE
TARGETS, THE REPUBLICANS WILL
BE TARGETED.
BE TARGETED. I THINK THAT DISTRICT IS
LARGELY GOING TO BE KIND OF
DRAWN OUT OF EXISTENCE.
>> SO, STANTON DRAWN OUT OF HIS
SEAT, YOU THINK?
>> VERY WELL COULD BE.
>> THAT WAS KRISTEN SIMOES IN
2012.
2012.
2012. >>
2012. >> LOOK WHERE THAT GOT THE
REPUBLICANS.
REPUBLICANS. THEY HAVE A U.S. SENATOR THING
NOW.
NOW.
NOW. >>
NOW. >> MEMBER, NUMBER ONE CRITERIA
IN ARIZONA, CRITERIA IS
FOLLOWING THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT.
SO THAT HIS PRIMARY.
THAT IS GOING TO CREATE MORE OF
A MARICOPA COUNTY PIE, WHERE
EVERYTHING EMANATES OUT FROM
THE CENTER OUT, BUT I AGREE
WITH SENATOR MARTIN QUEZADA,
WHERE THE WEST VALLEY IS GOING
TO PROBABLY SEE A DISTRICT MORE
FOCUSED OUT THERE AND WE WILL
SEE SOME CONTRACTION IN THE
EAST VALLEY, FAR NORTH EAST
VALLEY, AND DOWNWARD IN
DISTRICT 5, WE WILL SEE
CONTRACTION.
CONTRACTION. DISTRICT 9 IN THE MIDDLE, I
AGREE WITH JEREMY, THAT IS
GOING TO BE INTERESTING TO SEE
HOW THAT PLAYS OUT, JUST
BECAUSE OF ITS GEOGRAPHY, SOUTH
SCOTTSDALE, ETC.
SCOTTSDALE, ETC. >> TALK ABOUT JUST THE
CHALLENGES OF DIVIDING UP VISA
DISTRICTS, BASED ON THE
GUIDELINES, THERE ARE SIX
SEPARATE GUIDELINES THEY HAVE
TO MEET.
TO MEET.
TO MEET. ARIZONA IS IN AN UNUSUAL AREA,
WE HAVE ONE CONGRESSIONAL
DISTRICT THAT IS LARGER THAN
SEVERAL STATES.
SEVERAL STATES. >> CORRECT.
>> CORRECT. >> TALK ABOUT THE CHALLENGES
PICK
PICK
PICK >>
PICK >> FOLLOWING THE VOTING RIGHTS
ACT IS NUMBER ONE.
AND IT SAYS YOU MUST ALSO KEEP
WITHIN COMMUNITIES OF INTEREST.
THAT MEANS, DON'T YOU KNOW,
DIVVY UP A PARADISE VALLEY INTO
FOUR DIFFERENT DISTRICTS,
BECAUSE AT THE COMMUNITY OF
INTEREST.
INTEREST.
INTEREST. DENNIS IS LOOK AT GEOGRAPHICAL
AREAS.
AREAS.
AREAS. WHAT MAKES SENSE YOU KNOW?
THROUGH LITERALLY MOUNTAIN
PASSES AND VALLEYS, ETC.
THEN AT THE VERY LAST THING, IT
SAYS, LOOK AT COMPETITIVENESS.
>> THAT'S ONE OF THE TOUGHER
ONES HERE.
ONES HERE. WE HAVE TWO MAJORITY LATINO
DISTRICTS, LIKELY THOSE WILL
STAY IN PALEY'S, OR ARIZONA
COULD GAIN ANOTHER MAJORITY
LATINO DISTRICT.
LATINO DISTRICT. >> WE WILL HAVE AT LEAST TWO
LATINO DISTRICTS TO REPRESENT
LATINO COMMUNITY.
LATINO COMMUNITY. BUT WITH THE GROWTH OF THE
POPULATION, A LOT OF THAT WILL
BE DETERMINED BY THE CENSUS,
THAT COULD CREATE ANOTHER
VOTING RIGHTS ACT DISTRICT.
THE MAJORITY MINORITY DISTRICT.
SPECTRAL QUICKLY, JEREMY, ONE
BIG CHANGE WE HAVE AN ADDRESS,
THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT, UP UNTIL
A FEW YEARS AGO, ARIZONA WAS
SUBJECT TO PRECLEARANCE,
DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE HAD TO
FIND OUT EVERYTHING THEY DID
ELECTION RELATED, TO MAKE SURE
IT PROTECTED THE VOTING RIGHTS
OF MINORITIES.
OF MINORITIES. WE KNOW PRECLEARANCE WAS RULED
UNCONSTITUTIONAL BY THE U.S.
SUPREME COURT, THAT COULD BE A
MAJOR FACTOR IN WHAT HAPPENS IN
THE NEXT DISTRICT.
>> I WILL AT THIS, SPEAKING TO
AN ELECTION LAW LAWYER INVOLVED
IN 2010, HE SAYS THE ARIZONA
CONSTITUTION WILL LIKELY TRUMP
THE U.S. CONSTITUTION, IN THIS
CASE, BECAUSE ALL OF THIS IS
BUILT INTO HOURS.
>> LASTLY, ONE IMPORTANT THING,
OUR CONSTITUTION SAYS IN THE
IRC ACT, IS THAT YOU CANNOT,
THE COMMISSION CANNOT