>>> ALL RIGHT, WE’VE BEEN
TALKING ABOUT THIS FOR A FEW
WEEKS NOW BECAUSE THIS HAS BEEN
THE STORY FOR A FEW WEEKS NOW,
AT LEAST A FEW WEEKS NOW, MORE
THAN A FEW WEEKS.
JOE BIDEN LEADING DONALD TRUMP
IN THE NATIONAL HORSE RACE POLLS
FOR THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE.
WHAT YOU’RE LOOKING AT HERE,
THIS IS THE AVERAGE OF ALL THE
POLLS THAT ARE OUT THERE RIGHT
NOW.
WE HAD AN NBC ONE THAT CAME OUT
A LITTLE WHILE AGO, FOX,
QUINNIPIAC, MSNBC.
IF YOU AVERAGE THEM ALL TOGETHER
RIGHT NOW, THIS IS WHAT YOU GET,
JOE BIDEN IN THE LEAD OF NINE
POINTS OVER DONALD TRUMP.
A LOT CAN HAPPEN IN POLITICS, WE
KNOW THAT.
THIS IS NOT TO SAY THIS WILL
HAPPEN ON ELECTION DAY.
BUT IF THIS REMAINS STEADY, IF
JOE BIDEN IS ABLE TO LEAD OVER
PRESIDENT TRUMP, IT WILL SCOURGE
THE MAP A LITTLE BIT.
WHEN YOU GET ONE CANDIDATE WITH
A BIG LEAD NATIONALLY, YOU START
TO SEE IT IN THE STATES, TOO.
LET ME SHOW YOU WHAT WE’VE
GOTTEN THE LAST COUPLE DAYS
HERE.
THIS IS PENNSYLVANIA.
LAST TIME PRESIDENT TRUMP WON
PENNSYLVANIA, THE FIRST
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT TO DO THAT.
YOU LOOK AT THE MOST RECENT
POLL.
THIS IS FOX NEWS.
THIS CAME OUT LAST NIGHT.
THERE IS JOE BIDEN WITH AN
11-POINT ADVANTAGE IN
PENNSYLVANIA.
IF BIDEN IS LEADING BY CLOSE TO
10 NATIONALLY, YOU’LL SEE SWINGS
LIKE THAT IN THE STATE LEVEL.
THAT’S WHAT YOU’RE SEEING ON FOX
IN PENNSYLVANIA.
FLORIDA, A STATE TRUMP CARRIED,
BIDEN LEADING, A 14-POINT LEAD
OVER TRUMP IN FLORIDA.
THE LAST TIME A DEMOCRATIC
CANDIDATE WAS AHEAD BY DOUBLE
DIGITS, 13 YEARS AGO.
TRUMP WANTED BY NINE IN TEXAS.
BIDEN UP BY A POINT IN TEXAS.
BIG SWING THERE.
YOU SEE IT IN MICHIGAN.
TRUMP WON MICHIGAN BY .3 OF ONE
POINT IN 2016.
THAT WAS THE CLOSEST OF THE
THREE MIDWEST STATES TRUMP WAS
ABLE TO FLIP.
NOW NINE POINTS FOR BIDEN.
MINNESOTA, BY THE WAY, THIS WAS
NOT A TRUMP STATE IN 2016.
IT’S ONE OF THE STATES TRUMP HAS
TALKED ABOUT MAKING A TRUMP
STATE IN 2020.
IT’S ONE OF THOSE STATES WHERE
HE THIS FEEL THEY CAN FLIP FROM
BLUE TO RED.
LAST NIGHT FOX NEWS POLL, NOT A
CLOSE RACE IN THAT POLL, THOUGH.
BIDEN LEADING BY 13 POINTS IN
MINNESOTA.
LET’S SHOW YOU THE ROAD TO 270
MAP.
WE’LL BE USING THIS THING A LOT
IN THE COMING WEEKS, COMING
MONTHS.
THIS IS WHAT THE MAP LOOKED LIKE
IN 2016.
YOU CAN SEE THE MOST DIRECT PATH
IS TO WIN BACK THOSE THREE
MIDWESTERN STATES THEY HAD WON
FOR DECADES AND TRUMP TOOK IN
2016.
IF BIDEN WAS ABLE TO GET
PENNSYLVANIA, IF HE WAS ABLE TO
GET MICHIGAN.
WE DON’T HAVE A NEW WISCONSIN
POLLS BUT WE’VE SEEN WISCONSIN
POLLS WITH BIDEN AHEAD.
YOU PICK UP THOSE THREE STATES
FOR BIDEN, THAT’S IT.
UNLESS TRUMP FLIPS IN MINNESOTA,
BIDEN WILL GET THE LEAD.
HE DID NOT HIT
IF HE DID NOT HIT IN WISCONSIN,
AND HE WON THE OTHERS, HE’S
STILL LEADING.
WHAT IF HE GOT FLORIDA?
THERE ARE A LOT OF
POSSIBILITIES.
THERE ARE ENDLESS POSSIBILITIES,
ALMOST, FOR JOE BIDEN.
FOR DONALD TRUMP, WE’VE BEEN
TALKING ABOUT THIS POLLING, HE’S
GOT TO TIGHTEN THAT RACE
NATIONALLY.
HE’S GOT TO GET THIS DOWN TO
FIVE POINTS OR LESS, THEN WE CAN
START TALKING ABOUT AN ELECTORAL
MAP TRUMP COULD HANG ON HERE.
THAT REALLY COMES INTO PLAY WHEN
YOU’VE GOT FIVE, FOUR, THREE
POINTS IN THE NATIONAL RACE.
AT NINE POINTS YOU START TALKING
ABOUT A LOT OF POSSIBILITIES
THERE FOR JOE BIDEN TO FLIP THE