Good Sunday evening.
I'm meteorologist Francis
Payton from 13 News.
Now with your tropics update.
Today is the peak of hurricane
season and we have two named
storms currently in the Atlantic.
We're going to start off the first
with travel storm Margo because there
isn't much to talk about Margo likely
becoming your next named hurricane
in the Atlantic between 11:00
tonight and early Monday morning.
But as far as any impact from Margo,
we're still going to see it again.
Circulate within the central Atlantic
doesn't pose a threat to land.
But Lee is very interesting.
We've seen a lot of developments with Lee.
You'll notice yesterday it wasn't doing
too well in terms of its organization.
We saw this pretty much this
white BLOB right here.
We didn't see this pretty of this
well defined southwesterly area.
But as of today,
you'll notice we're starting
to get that eyewall back.
The southwesterly portion
of the storm is filling in.
So what we can gather from this
satellite image is that wind shear
that we were seeing yesterday
that helped weaken the storm.
Unfortunately,
we're starting to lose that wind shear.
So what that means is we're going
to watch Hurricane Lee start
to strengthen as of 5:00.
It's already re strengthened to
that major hurricane status as a
category three as far as days it
could reach the US coast that's
anywhere between 6:00 to 8:00.
But in terms of impacts to the US
coast that's going to hover around I'd
say the four to six range in terms of days.
Let's put a tracker with this system as
I mentioned we're losing that wind shear.
So that's going to allow
the system to redevelop,
reorganize and strengthen likely becoming
category 4 status tomorrow afternoon.
But as it starts to curve northward as it
enters the cooler waters of the Atlantic,
it will begin to weaken.
I will say,
though still maintaining its category one
status by late this upcoming work week,
what that means for Bermuda.
We're watching those outer rain bands,
and Bermuda could likely deal
with tropical storm force winds,
heavy rainfall and dangerous waves.
What I do like about this though,
it does remain off our coastline
here in Hampton Roads.
Something that has changed though has
been updated from yesterday into today,
the European and the GFS ensembles.
As we're looking beyond day 6:00 and 7:00,
we're now looking later next week
what we expect to see and starting
to see a bit more agreement with.
I'll say this could make landfall for
parts of New England or Nova Scotia
or even impacting New Brunswick.
In agreement with that,
the European was already ahead
of the GFS model.
The GFS is now agreeing
with the European model.
So with that,
again,
we're seeing that system likely staying
off our shore at least for here at home,
but could have a decent impact for
parts of New England and again the
New Brunswick area and Nova Scotia.
What I really like about this
model is what I'm showing you
comparing the GFS and the European,
I'm showing the you the Isobars.
So stopping this at Tuesday afternoon,
this is still going to be a major
hurricane with these Isobars,
you're seeing the pressure.
So basically we're seeing
how the tighter bars,
the stronger and the healthier
the system's going to be.
So as a category four,
you're seeing a lot of Isobars there on the
map between the GFS as well as the European.
But as that system again turns northward,
these are going to become a bit wider and not
as compact because that system is weakening.
The European again was ahead of the
GFS yesterday in terms of taking it
closer towards parts of New England.
But we're starting to see now that GFS take
it even closer section took a big swing,
I'd say closer towards the coastline
for this following weekend.
So we're going to continue to
monitor that and what that
actually will mean for those areas.
I still think it's going to be
a similar impact for us here at
home in terms of rip current risk,
seeing some strong winds and dangerous ways.
The only thing that's going to
be particularly different is if
it does make landfall,
we're expecting to see some flooding
and a lot of rainfall for those
regions there and even stronger
wind gusts bringing the impacts.
Though for here at home in Hampton Roads,
nothing's really changed in
terms of our impacts.
Again, strong rip current risk,
dangerous waves, tidal floodings.
We're going to remain relatively
minor and I expect to see wind
gusts anywhere from 20 to 30 mph.
The only thing that has changed is
basically the timing of the system.
So we do have a front that's going to
kick through Hampton Roads between
late Wednesday into Thursday that
keeps us relatively protected on the
surface level from this system or from
Hurricane Lee, I should actually say.
But what I would like to note or
what I would like to mention is the
timeline of us dealing with these
effects will pretty much extend
from Thursday into Saturday.
So if you do have some beach
plans the following weekend,
please be cautious if you do plan
on entering the waters and continue
to stay with 13 News now as we do
watch the development of Hurricane
Lee as well as Margo.
Thanks for seeing with 13 News now.