MIDDAY NEWS >>
NEW.
>> TWENTY TWENTY TWO OLD
FARMER'S ALMANAC >> COMES OUT
WITH A WINTER WARNING THIS
YEAR.
PREPARE FOR A SEASON OF SHIVERS
HERE.
JOING NOW IS ALMANAC EDITOR
JANICE STILLMAN.
JANICE, FIRST QUESTION I GOT TO
ASK YOU SOMEBODY IS ALREADY HAS
ME HERE ON THE ALMANAC.
YOU HAVE A PUNCH HOLE IN THE
CORNER THERE.
WHAT?
WHY DO YOU HAVE THAT UP IN THE
CORNER?
THE PUNCH LINE.
WHAT'S UP FOR >> THE TIME SHOW
IS SO THAT YOU CAN HANG ON A
NAIL IN THE KITCHEN, IN THE
SHED, IN THE BARN, IN THE
GARAGE.
IN THE BATHROOM.
PICK YOUR PLACE.
OH.
NOTHING.
YOU KNOW >> IN THE EARLIEST
EDITIONS WHEN IT WAS MORE OF A
PAMPHLET SIZE 46 PAGES.
YEAH.
THE READERS USED TO PUNCH A
NAIL HOLE IN IT THEMSELVES.
SOMEBODY CAUGHT ON TO THAT A
VERY GOOD IDEA.
AND THEN IN THE INDUSTRIAL AGE
PEOPLE STARTED TO BE ABLE TO
DRILL IT WITH A HOLE AND WE DO
THAT NOW AND IT MAKES TONS
LITERALLY TONS OF PAPER WASTE.
BUT WE WILL.
WE ASKED READERS YEARS AGO WHAT
DO YOU THINK?
SHOULD WE DISMISS THE HOLE?
AND THEY SAY OH, I KIND >> OF
LIKE IT BETTER.
THAT'S HER TRADEMARK IS NOT THE
OLD FARMER'S ALMANAC.
HAVING THAT HOLE UP THERE IT IS
INDEED.
YOU WON'T FIND IT IN HARDCOVER
BECAUSE OF THE SEMIARID COVER.
BUT YOU KNOW >> THE TRADE
PAPERBACK EDITIONS TASK >> I
GET INTO IT HERE.
YOU'RE PREDICTING A COLD AND
SHIVERING SNOWY WINTER, IS THAT
CORRECT?
YES >> INDEED.
IT'S KIND OF AN OLD FASHIONED
WINTER.
THINK OF IT THAT WAY.
BUT CERTAINLY AT BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES NOVEMBER,
DECEMBER, JANUARY, FEBRUARY.
BUT ESPECIALLY BELOW NORMAL IN
DECEMBER.
JAN FAB, WE'RE LOOKING AT
TEMPERATURES NOT GETTING OUT OF
THE 20S FOR THE MOST PART EACH
EACH DAY OF THOSE MONTHS.
WE'RE SEEING BELOW NORMAL
SNOWFALL.
YOU KNOW, CERTAINLY SNOW LAKE
SNOW BUT NORTH OF YOU FOLKS AND
IF YOU WERE TO LOOK AT THE
WEATHER MAP THAT WE HAVE
PUBLICATION OR HERE ON SCREEN
IF THEY BRING IT UP YOU'LL SEE
THAT IT'S SNOWY CONDITIONS JUST
SOUTH OF YOU.
SO THINK OF IT THIS WAY IF THE
SNOWY CONDITIONS MOVE A LITTLE
BIT NORTHWARD, YOU COULD GET
SNOWED UNDER AND IF THEY BLOW
IN FROM THE LAKE YOU ALSO GET
>> BURIED.
I HOPE WE GET BURIED.
I'M A SNOW WINTER LOVER HERE.
HEY, I GOT TO ASK YOU TOO.
HOW COME UP WITH THE OTHER
WINTER OUTLOOK >>?
WE USED THREE SCIENTIFIC
DISCIPLINES.
WE USE SOLAR SCIENCE WHICH IS
THE STUDY OF THE ACTIVITY ON
THE SUN BUT IN PARTICULAR THE
SUNSPOTS.
WE USE CLIMATOLOGY WHICH IS A
STUDY PREVAILING CONDITIONS OF
DECADES AND CENTURIES AND THEN
WE USE METEOROLOGY WHICH IS THE
STUDY OF THE JET STREAM AND THE
OCEAN TEMPS THE LAND TEMPS FOR
VARIOUS OTHER DAILY EVENTS.
>> SO IT'S NOT JUST A MATTER OF
FLIPPING CORN OR GETTING A
DARTBOARD OUT BUT YOU DO HAVE
SOME SOME SCIENTIFIC FACTS
BEHIND >> THAT.
OH, IT'S ALL SCIENTIFIC INDEED.
WE USE SATELLITE TECHNOLOGY AND
THE LATEST WEATHER DATA AND
LIKE THAT.
BUT IT'S THE MIX.
IT'S THE CALCULATION THAT WE
MAKE AND WE ALSO INCLUDE BY THE
WAY, YOU KNOW, THE ATMOSPHERE
IN TERMS OF CARBON AND
GREENHOUSE GASES AND WE WE WE
INTRODUCED THAT THAT
CALCULATION IS THE FORECAST.
I DON'T DO IT.
WE HAVE A METEOROLOGIST
THIS
YEAR JUST >> HAVE ONE
METEOROLOGIST OR HAVE A BUNCH
OF WE WE >> HAVE ONE THESE SAME
FELLOWS SINCE NINETEEN NINETY
FIVE.
AND HE CALCULATE.
I WONDER.
I WANT TO SOMETIME I GOT TO ASK
THIS QUESTION I'M GOING TO RUN
OUT OF TIME.
HOW ACCURATE HAS YOUR WINTER
PREDICTIONS BOUND OVER THE
YEAR.
TRADITIONALLY >> FOR CANCER 80
PERCENT ACCURATE.
THAT MEANS THERE'S A 20 PERCENT
CHANCE WE'LL BE WRONG FOR THOSE
OF YOU WHO DON'T WANT A COLD
WINTER.
BUT LAST YEAR WE WAS 75 PERCENT
ACCURATE.
THE TEMPERATURE WAS OFF A
LITTLE BIT ON THE COASTS.
BUT IN THE CENTER OF THE
COUNTRY ARE PRETTY ACCURATE.
THE PRECIPITATION AND SNOWFALL
WAS VERY ACCURATE.
SO IF WE CAN COME IN CLOSE TO
80 PERCENT WE FEEL LIKE WE'VE
GOT A WINNER.
EIGHTY >> PERCENT MEAN THAT I'M
A FORECASTER MYSELF BUT 80
PERCENT I'LL TAKE THAT ANY TIME
BACK.
I TAKE 20 PERCENT ACCURACY IN
MY FORECAST OR WHERE IT GOES
BUT 80 PERCENT.
THAT'S RIGHT.
YEAH, WE'RE >> HAPPY WITH IT
AND YOU KNOW, FOLKS ARE PLEASED
.
YOU COULD GET A FORECAST ON
YOUR VACATION TIME OR SOMETHING
.
DOESN'T AGREE WITH WHAT YOU
REALLY WANT TO SEE HAPPEN.
AND YOU KNOW YOU DIDN'T SAY
THAT.
THAT'S AN INACCURATE >> OR
WRONG OR.
BUT MOST PEOPLE ARE VERY PLEASE
.
IT GIVES THE TREND ANYWAY.
>> YEAH.
REPORT YOUR WEB SITE.
CAN YOU GIVE THAT TO US AND WE
GOT TO GO >>.
CERTAINLY OMNICOM JOIN THERE
ANYTIME.
GET SIGNED UP FOR THE
NEWSLETTER.
JOIN US ON SOCIAL MEDIA ALL THE
FAVORITES.
SEE THE WHOLE >> COLLECTION OF
OUR PART OF THE COLLECTION
PUBLICATIONS THAT WE DO HERE A
NEW ALL FARMER'S ALMANAC THE
KIDS OVER MY SHOULDER TIGER ON
THE COVER.
KIDS CAN'T PUT IT DOWN.
PARENTS CAN'T WAIT TO PICK IT
UP.
>> YES, I APPRECIATE THAT.
AND I'M GOING TO HOLD ON TO HER
.
I'M LOOKING FORWARD TO A COLD
AND SNOWY WINTER.
I WANT WRITE THIS DOWN AND
WE'LL WE'LL TALK TO YOU NEXT
YEAR.
SEE HOW THIS TURNS >> OUT.
I HOPE SO.
YEAH, RIGHT.