THEY’RE GOING TO TURN NEXT. >> Eric: KEEP LOOKING FOR THE VIDEOS AND GET YOU UPDATED ON
ALL OF THE SITUATIONS THIS
MORNING.
HI SOUTH FLORIDA, I’M ERIC
YUTZY.
>> Jacey: I’M JACEY BIRCH.
WE NEED TO GET TO THE
METEOROLOGIST WITH 5:00 a.m.
ADVISORY RIGHT NOW BECAUSE
THAT’S THE MOST IMPORTANT TO
HEAR ABOUT.
WE’VE GOT LUKE DORRIS IN THE
WEATHER AUTHORITY CENTER AND
WE’VE GOT JULIE IN THE STUDIO
WITH US.
LET’S GET STRAIGHT TO US.
EVERYBODY WANTS TO KNOW WHAT
THIS IS SHOWING.
>> Julie: THAT’S RIGHT STILL A
POWERFUL HURRICANE WINDS STILL
AT 165 MILES PER HOUR.
THAT’S NOT CHANGED SINCE THE
EARLIER ADVISORY.
PRESSURE STILL STAYED AT 916
MILLIBARS.
AND UNFORTUNATELY, IT IS STILL
CRAWLING TO THE WEST AT 1 MILES
PER HOUR.
THE NEW LOCATION 40 MILES EAST
OF AT FREE PORT AS IT CONTINUES
ON THE PATH OF VERY SLOWLY.
MORE RAIN, MORE STORM SURGE,
DEVASTATING WINDS FOR PARTS OF
THE BAHAMAS THAT DO NOT NEED ANY
MORE.
LOOK HOW LARGE THE SYSTEM.
THE SYSTEM IS HUGE.
IT IS REALLY ACCOMPANYING MUCH
OF THE BAHAMAS STILL DOWN TO
BIMINI STILL DEALING WITH THE
RAIN AND ALSO OF COURSE ABACO
AND UNFORTUNATELY WHERE WE’RE
SEEING THE SYSTEM, THE WORST OF
THE RAIN BANDS WRAPPING AROUND
THE EYE WALL, THE STRONGEST PART
OF THE HURRICANE, WHERE WE SEE
THE WORST AND THE MOST
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS.
IT IS LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES,
GIVE OR TAKE, OFF OUR COAST FROM
WEST PALM BEACH TO WHERE THE
ACTUAL CENTER IS LOCATED.
AND I BRING THAT TO YOUR
ATTENTION SO YOU UNDERSTAND WHY
WE COULD SEE THE POSSIBILITIES
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCED WINDS
HERE IN BROWARD COUNTY OR
MIAMI-DADE WHERE WE’RE TALKING
TROPICAL STORM FORCED WINDS AS
GUST S
GUSTS, NOT SUSTAINED WINDS,
THAT’S WHY WE’LL NOTICE PART OF
OUR AREA, PART OF OUR COUNTY IS
UNDER THAT TROPICAL STORM WATCH,
WHICH IS BROWARD, FORT
LAUDERDALE, NOT MIAMI-DADE.
HERE’S THE NEW FORECAST CONE OF
IT HAS THE SYSTEM STAYING AS A
CATEGORY 4 HUGGING OUR COASTLINE
GOING INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
REALLY, THAT’S WHEN WE’RE GOING
TO FEEL OUR IMPACTS HERE IN
SOUTH FLORIDA.
TODAY INTO TOMORROW.
BEFORE IT LIFTS MORE TOWARDS THE
NORTH, HUGGING THE COAST,
SOMEWHERE NEAR NORTHERN FLORIDA,
POSSIBLY STAYING OFF SHORE OR
COMING ON SHORE AS A CATEGORY 3
OR 4 HURRICANE.
SO LOTS WE NEED TO WATCH ONCE
THE SYSTEM DOES MOVE NORTH BUT
OBVIOUSLY WE’RE MORE WORRIED
ABOUT OUR IMPACTS HERE IN
FLORIDA.
TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN AFFECT
FOR FORT LAUDERDALE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
WEST PALM BEACH.
A HURRICANE WARNING IN AFFECT
FOR THE BAHAMAS.
NO SURPRISE.
SO WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR US
LOCALLY?
WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR YOU
SITTING AT HOME IN OAKLAND PARK
AND IN DEERFIELD BEACH?
WELL, THERE’S A POSSIBILITY OF
WINDS AS STRONG AS 40 MILES PER
HOUR WITH GUSTS EVEN STRONGER.
THAT’S WHY, ONCE AGAIN, FORT
LAUDERDALE IS UNDER THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH.
FOR YOU IN SUNNY ISLES,
AVENTURA, MIAMI, ALL THE WAY
DOWN TO HOMESTEAD.
YOU COULD BE SEEING WIND GUSTS
OF 40 MILES PER HOUR.
BUT, AGAIN WE’RE NOT EXPECTING
THE SUSTAINED WINDS TO BE THAT
STRONG.
IN MIAMI-DADE AS THE SYSTEM IS
FURTHER NORTH OF YOU.
SO BREAKING DOWN THE TIMELINE,
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY, WE
COULD SEE WINDS 20 TO 30 MILES
PER HOUR FOR YOU IN MIAMI-DADE.
THIS MORNING, WE’RE ALREADY
SEEING SOME GUSTS IN THE 20s.
THAT WILL CONTINUE FOR BROWARD.
THAT WILL GET AS STRONG UP TO 35
PLUS EVEN STRONGER MILES PER
HOUR.
AND OBVIOUSLY MUCH STRONGER WIND
GUSTS EXPECTED HURRICANE FORCED
WINDS FOR WEST PALM BEACH.
WITH THE WIND COMES THE RAIN,
WE’RE EXPECTING 2 TO 4 INCHES
MORE RAIN.
ISOLATED UP TO 6 INCHES FOR
PARTS OF BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE.
AND EVEN WORST FOR OUR FRIENDS
TO THE NORTH.
SPEAKING OF RAIN I’VE GOT MORE
ON THE RADAR I’LL GET TO THAT IN
A MINUTE.
I’M GOING TO TOSS IT OVER TO
METEOROLOGIST LUKE DORRIS FOR
MORE ON THE 5:00 FORECAST.
>> Luke: YEAH, LET’S LOOK AT
THE SATELLITE.
THIS IS WORST POSSIBLE PATH IT
COULD BE TAKING OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
IT WENT OVER ABACO YESTERDAY.
AND THEN IT IS RUNNING RIGHT
ALONG GRAND BOMBA HAMMA.
THE EYE RIGHT IN THE CENTER.
SWEET KAY YOU HAD THE EYE OF
SOME KIND NOW SLOWING DOWN EVEN
FURTHER FROM THERE.
JUST THE ABSOLUTELY WORST PART.
RIGHT OVER HARD ROCK, WE’VE BEEN
DEALING WITH EYE WALL IN THIS
LOCATION FOR -- THIS IS A 12
HOUR LOOP BY THE WAY, WE’RE
LOOKING AT TWO, THREE HOURS, ONE
SIDE HAS JUST BEEN HAMMERING
WITH THE NORTH WIND JUST NEAR
HIGH ROCK.
SO GRAND BAHAMA, YOU’RE TO THE
WEST OF IT.
PULL OUT THE VIEW AT THE
SATELLITE.
SWEET END KAY, YOU CAN SEE OUT
HERE HAMMERED EARLIER TODAY AND
NOW A SECONDARY EYE WALL IS
TRYING TO FORM.
THIS IS THE PRIMARY EYE WALL THE
ONE THAT HAS BEEN THE STRONGEST.
NOW THERE’S A SECOND ONE THAT IS
BUILDING.
THAT IS NOT QUITE AS POWERFUL AS
THE FIRST ONE.
BUT IT IS BRINGING AN EXTENDED
PERIOD OF JUST HORRENDOUS
WEATHER ALL THE WAY AROUND.
SOMETIMES WHAT YOU OFTEN SEE IS
A AWAY FROM THE MAIN EYE WALL,
SIGNIFICANT DROP OFF IN HOW BAD
THE WEATHER IS.
WITH THE SECOND ONE KEEPING IT
TERRIBLE THROUGH GRAND BAHAMA,
FREE PORT IN THE WORST OF IT.
GRAND BAHAMA YOU’VE GOT A NASTY
LINE.
WHAT THIS IS GOING TO DO IS STOP
HERE OR BASICALLY STOP.
AND THEN JUST BARELY NUDGE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.
ALL OF THE WAY THROUGH GRAND
BAHAMA AND THEN FINALLY EXPECTED
TO TAKE THE TURN NORTH OF US.
IF YOU CAN SEE, I KNOW WE HAVE
VIEWERS IN THE BAHAMAS.
IT IS MOVING ITS WAY VERY VERY
SLOWLY WESTWARD AND JUST A
HORRENDOUS STORM.
SO TAKE WHATEVER PRECAUTIONS YOU
CAN.
165 MILES PER HOUR THE CURRENT
ADVISORY MOVING WEST AT
1-MILE-PER-HOUR.
WE’RE GOING TO HAVE IT ALL DAY
LONG HERE.
COMPARE THIS TO WHAT WE HAD
YESTERDAY AND IT HAS DROPPED OFF
BY ABOUT 25 MILES PER HOUR.
IT IS STILL A CATEGORY 5.
WHAT WE HAD YESTERDAY TIES AS
THE STRONGEST HURRICANE TO EVER
MAKE LANDFALL AND BE MEASURED.
SO THERE HAVE BEEN STRONGER
STORMS BEFORE, BUT THEY’VE BEEN
OUT OVER THE OCEAN.
THEY HAVE ONE MEASURED AT LAND
FALL IS THIS ONE AND THE LABOR
DAY HURRICANE OF 1935.
THIS HIGH PRESSURE IS PUTTING A
FLOW OUT OF THE EAST ON IT.
THAT’S WHY IT IS MOVING
WESTWARD.
THAT IS BASICALLY DONE.
HIGHS NO LONGER TAGGING ON IT.
A LOT OF WANT TO KNOW WHEN IS IT
TURNING TURNING NORTH AND WHY.
IT STOPPED BECAUSE NOTHING IS
PUSHING ON IT.
YOU SEE THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW
THAT WILL GRAB IT BY TUESDAY
MORNING.
TUESDAY MORNING THAT WILL TUG IT
OFF TO THE NORTH.
LET’S LOOK AT THE MODELLING
HERE.
THIS IS SPAGHETTI MODELS WITH
EUROPEAN OVER TON TOP OF IT.
THEY ALL AGREE IT WILL TURN
NORTHWARD.
THE CONSENSUS IT GETS TO THE
WEST SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA AND
STARTS THE NORTHWARD TUG.
EVEN THE EUROPEAN IN AGREEMENT
NOW.
YESTERDAY THAT WAS THE ONE WE
WERE A LITTLE BIT CONCERNED
ABOUT.
IT IS A VERY CLOSE SHAVE ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA.
HERE WE ARE UP NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL, NOTICE THE HURRICANES
CENTER FORECAST OFF SHORE, A
COUPLE OF THESE TOO CLOSE FOR
COMFORT, THIS WOULD BRING
IMPACTS REGARDLESS.
BUT THE CENTER OF THE STORM VERY
CLOSE.
ESPECIALLY WITH THE BLUE MODEL
YOU SEE.
THAT IS WHAT WE CALL A H WHARF A
HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL THAT OTHER
MODELS DON’T.
THE QUESTION IS, HOW STRONG WILL
THE STORM BE?
IF IT IS A STRONG STORM IT CAN
TAP INTO THE GULF STREAM AND
REMAIN A VERY DEEP AND TALL
STORM, THEN IT IS LIKELY THAT IT
WILL STAY OUT OVER JUST OFF
SHORE.
BUT IF IT IS A LITTLE BIT WEAKER
BECAUSE IT IS MOVING SO SLOW AND
IT IS PULLING UP COLDER WATER
FROM BELOW, THEN IT WON’T BE
QUITE AS TALL AND THEN IT IS
MORE LIKELY TO HAVE A WESTWARD
PUSH ON IT AND THAT’S WHAT THIS
MODEL IS TRYING TO DISPLAY.
SO CAPE CANAVERAL COULD BE VERY
VERY CLOSE TO IT.
REGARDLESS, IT IS JUST OFF SHORE
OR FLIRTING WITH THE LAND FALL
ALL THE WAY UP INTO THE
SOUTHEAST.
SO WE GO PAST JACKSONVILLE,
SAVANNA AND EVEN TOWARDS CAPE
HATTERAS AS WE GO TO THURSDAY.
BUT IT IS MOVING AWAY FROM SOUTH
FLORIDA, JUST MOVING VERY VERY
SLOWLY AT THE IMPACT.
I KNOW WE HAVE THE IMPACT OF THE
RAIN BANDS, JULIE IS WATCHING
THEM ON RADAR.
>> Julie: THAT’S RIGHT THROUGH
BROWARD COUNTY AND THE KEYS.
MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION.
IS RIGHT OVER BOCA RATON AND
PUSHING OFF SHORE.
THAT’S THE WRAPPING AROUND THE
BANDS THAT WILL AFFECT OUR LOCAL
FORECAST.
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN RIGHT NOW
OVER MARATHON KEY, HEADING FROM
THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST.
SO MORE PRECIPITATION FOR YOU IN
GRASSY KEY AS WELL.
SO DEFINITELY HAVE TO DEAL WITH
THE IMPACT OF THE OUTER BANDS OF
THIS SYSTEM BRINGING US HEAVY
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY.
AND FOR YOU IN THE KEYS, WE
DEFINITELY NEED TO KEEP AN EYE
ON YOU, YOU’LL BE SEEING THE
OUTER BANDS TOO AND WITH THE
WINDS IT COULD BE PRETTY
DANGEROUS.
IF YOU LOOK AT THE FORECAST,
HIGHS TODAY REACHING THE LOWER
90s.
I’M GOING TO BREAK DOWN THE