BEEN HEARING THAT, YES,
PENNSYLVANIA, IT’S GOING TO TAKE
THEM 18 YEARS TO COUNT ALL THE
VOTES IN PENNSYLVANIA BUT IT’S
IMPORTANT FOR PEOPLE TO REMEMBER
THAT BY 7:30, ESPECIALLY IF 75,
80% OF FLORIDIANS HAVE ALREADY
VOTED, BY 7:30 WE CAN GO IN AND
LOOK AT A LOT OF THE COUNTIES
ESPECIALLY IN THE MIDDLE OF THE
STATE AND LIKE YOU SAID, ALONG
THE GULF COAST.
IF DONALD TRUMP IS
UNDERPERFORMING BY 10, 15%, WHAT
HE DID FOUR YEARS AGO IN THOSE
FLORIDA COUNTIES, THAT’S NOT
JUST BAD NEWS FOR HIM IN
FLORIDA.
THAT’S BAD NEWS FOR HIM ACROSS
THE COUNTRY.
NOW, IF DONALD TRUMP IS DOING AS
WELL IN THOSE -- EVEN THOSE
SMALL COUNTIES SOME OF WHICH
WILL HAVE 90% OF THEIR VOTE IN
AND WE’LL GET IT BY 7:30 AT
NIGHT ON ELECTION NIGHT F YOU
TAKE SOME OF THOSE COUNTIES IN
THE CENTER OF THE STATE AND
DONALD TRUMP IS HOLDING THOSE
MARGINS, WELL, JOE BIDEN MAY BE
IN FOR NOT JUST A LONG NIGHT, A
VERY LONG FEW WEEKS.
>> WELL, YOU KNOW, LOOK, WE
CAN -- HOW ABOUT THIS.
I’LL CALL THIS UP.
THIS IS WHAT HAPPENED ON
ELECTION NIGHT 2016 IN FLORIDA.
ACTUALLY, LET ME HIT THE BUTTON
RIGHT HERE.
SO AS AN EXAMPLE, TAKE A LOOK.
TAKE A LOOK AT PASCO COUNTY.
THAT’S WHAT I WAS TRYING TO CALL
UP.
THIS IS ONE OF THE COUNTIES I
REMEMBER SEEING EARLY ON
ELECTION NIGHT NORTH OF TAMPA,
GULF COAST.
LOOK AT THE TRUMP MARGIN, 59% TO
37% OVER CLINTON.
LOOK AT WHAT WE WERE COMPARING
THAT TO FOUR YEARS AGO, ROMNEY
WON IT BY SEVEN AND TRUMP WAS
WINNING IT BY THREE TIMES THE
MARGIN MITT ROMNEY WON IT BY.
SO YOU’RE ABSOLUTELY RIGHT.
WHAT WE’LL BE DOING ON ELECTION
NIGHT 2020 IS WE’RE GOING TO
HAVE THE 2020 RESULT RIGHT AND
WE’LL SEE HOW DOES THIS COMPARE?
COUNTY AFTER COUNTY TO FOUR
YEARS AGO AND WAS SAW ALL OF THE
TRENDS YOU’RE DESCRIBING IN
FLORIDA.
HAVE THEY CHANGED IN A WAY THAT
FAVORS THE DEMOCRATS, HAVE THEY
CHANGED IN A WAY THAT FAVORS THE
REPUBLICANS, HAVE THEY CANCELED
EACH OTHER OUT?
BUT YEAH, I JUST EXPECT -- IT
WAS TIM RUSSERT 20 YEARS AGO WHO
SAID FLORIDA, FLORIDA, FLORIDA,
BUT THAT’S MY EXPECTATION FOR
THE EARLY HOURS OF ELECTION
NIGHT 2020.
THERE’S A LOT OF FLORIDA AND A
LOT COMING OUT IN FLORIDA AND
GEORGIA AND OHIO, SOME OTHER
STATES TOO.
IT CAN BE TELLING US SOMETHING
VERY SIGNIFICANT ABOUT THE
NATIONAL RACE.
>> WELL, WILLIE, PASCO COUNTY,
LET’S LOOK AT PASCO COUNTY THAT
STEVE HAD UP ON THE BIG BOARD
RIGHT NOW.
THAT’S ONE OF THE FOUR OR FIVE
COUNTIES THAT I’M GOING TO BE
LOOKING AT, THAT YOU’RE GOING TO
BE LOOK AT AT 7:15, 7:30,
BECAUSE AGAIN THEY’RE -- ALL OF
THE EARLY VOTES UNLIKE
PENNSYLVANIA AND THE OTHER
MIDWEST STATES, FLORIDA IS
COUNTING THE VOTES RIGHT NOW.
THEY’RE COUNTING THE ABSENTEE
VOTES AND COUNTING THE EARLY
VOTES RIGHT NOW.
POLLS CLOSE AT 7:00.
THEY DROP THEM AT 7:15, 7:30 AND
AGAIN, IN A COUNTY LIKE PASCO
COUNTY THEY’RE HAVE COUNTED WILL
ALREADY 90%, 95% OF THE VOTES.
THAT WILL COME AT US VERY
QUICKLY AND IF WE CAN SHOW
STEVE, BY THE BIG BOARD AND SHOW
THE NUMBERS THERE, YOU LOOK AT
WHAT BARACK OBAMA GOT IN 2012
AND SEE THAT HE GOT 46%, HILLARY
CLINTON GETS 37%.
IF WE’RE SEEING A NUMBER FOR JOE
BIDEN OUT OF PASCO COUNTY AT
7:15, 7:30, ON ELECTION NIGHT
AND HE’S SITTING AT 42%, 43%
THAT’S BIG NEWS BECAUSE THAT
MEANS A LOT OF THOSE OBAMA/TRUMP
VOTERS ARE EDGING BACK TOWARDS
JOE BIDEN.
AND THAT MEANS THAT SOME OF
THOSE OLDER WHITE VOTERS ARE
BREAKING AWAY FROM DONALD TRUMP.
IF TRUMP HOLDS HIS NUMBERS AND
BIDEN IS DOWN IN THE 30s IN
PASCO COUNTY AND TEN OTHERS IN
THE MIDDLE OF THE STATE, THEN
GREAT NEWS FOR TRUMP.