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The person who was about to bring Tabdilli to the country is now about to have tabdili brought to him
Imran khan’s government is in big trouble this week, after a no-confidence motion was tabled in the national assembly(equivalent of Lok Sabha)
This has been moved by Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) president and opposition leader Shahbaz Sharif(the brother of ex-PM Nawaz Sharif)
Khan has been accused of mismanaging the nation’s economy.
Pakistanis be like: Economy? What kind of bird is that?
A no-confidence motion is a floor test taken to determine if the executive has a majority in the parliament and has a right to power.
If the no-trust resolution is passed against the prime minister, he ceases to hold office and his cabinet is dissolved.
The opposition needs 172 Votes out of 342 to replace Niazi
Khan came to power in 2018 with 176 votes. He now requires votes from 172 lawmakers to remain in power.
His Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf Party (PTI) has 155 members in the 342-member National Assembly.
the party had the support of 23 members belonging to at least six political parties.
Although a no-confidence motion was tabled against two prime ministers in Pakistan before, no premier has been removed through the motion in the country’s history till now.
But in the last few weeks, Imran Khan has been losing national Assembly members like BJP losing party workers in Bengal
Along with the opposition, a rebellion has risen in Pakistan's ruling party itself, with around two dozen lawmakers of the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) coming out against PM Khan
Major coalition partners have also quit
Balochistan Awami Party declared support to the opposition
Now MQM has also left
Which means that the opposition has enough votes(177) to defeat Imran Khan’s government in the no confidence vote
Remember that the opposition needs 172 Votes to defeat the government in a no-confidence vote.
Whereas Imran Khan is left with 164 seats
So his political position is under real threat as his govt loses majority
His wife, Pinky peerni needs to work some serious magic
no PM has ever completed a 5 year term in Pakistan
Completing a 5 year term in Pakistan is as difficult as difficult as having freedom of speech in China
Imran Khan obviously did not expect this, and he is trying everything in his power to either hold on to power or threaten to create a civil war situation in Pakistan if he does lose power.
He has gone on a full out attack against the opposition in his rallies
Wow the new host of Comedy Nights with kapil has a lot of Potential
he even Attacked the army when the army said that they will be neutral between Imran Khan and opposition
he has even praised Indian army to attack Pakistani army
"I salute India, the Indian army is not corrupt and they never interfere in civilian govt"
Imran Khan talked about a “foreign hand” and the “man in London”, referring to Ex-PM Nawaz Sharif
who is trying to remove his government and destabilise the country
He has even tried to intimidate the opposition
On 10 March, police in the capital had stormed the parliamentarians’ apartments and detained two Opposition MPs.
Four days later, Federal Minister Ghulam Sarwar Khan threatened to “blow up the Opposition in a suicide attack,”
Last week, Imran Khan took out a massive rally to show that people of Pakistan still supported him
Although his supporters are claiming that there are 1 million people
videos suggest there aren’t more than 50K
To get more support, he talked about Riasat e pudina, Islam, he has been bringing up the issue of Kashmir to build support
Even though he will not talk about Uighurs Muslims who are actually facing g3nocide
But, according to foreign Policy and Pakistan experts, That the entire government machinery is being used to ensure a huge crowd is a ploy that has been used earlier by other rulers on their way out.
In response to Khan’s Sunday rally, an opposition alliance held a mammoth anti-government rally
They call themselves Democratic. Pakistan has ruined the meaning of Democratic the way India has ruined the meaning of secularism
So now the question becomes, What is behind this drama? Why are Imran Khan’s allies leaving him? How did he reach a position of losing the no-confidence vote?
Pakistan's Opposition has claimed that Khan’s government is responsible for the economic crisis and the rising inflation in the country
But Pakistan, like an 18 year old college student, is always on the verge of Bankruptcy.
But according to Pakistan experts, the real reason could well be that Khan has lost the faith of Pakistan's Papa, i.e., the Army
It is believed by pakistan experts that you can only become PM in Pakistan with the support of the Army
It was also the case with Imran Khan. In 2018, Khan was installed in office in an election marked by the intimidation of his opponents, the misuse of the criminal justice system and outright rigging
And It was believed that Imran Khan would stay in power as long as the army was happy with him
But his relationship has soured with the Army
Imran Khan began a protracted, and ill-advised, battle against army chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa, when Questions were asked about his extension as Chief of Army Staff in 2019.
The second was Niazi refusing to sign on to the replacement of Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) director-general, Faiz Hameed, with Lieutenant-General Nadeem Anjum
Lt Gen Hameed is believed to have been instrumental in securing Khan’s election in 2018
this is why Niazi didn't want the previous ISI chief removed
Even though, eventually. Pakistan army chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa revealed both his military clout and political maturity in getting his ISI candidate Lt Gen Nadeem Anjum appointed as head of Pakistan’s ISI.
and what did Niazi get?
Khan’s recent remarks against the European Union t have triggered controversy in Pakistan.
The military leadership may not like Khan’s frenzied statements against the West,
so it is believed that the Army now back Niazi's opponent, Shahbaaz Sharif
If Imran Khan does get removed after the no confidence vote, what might happen is that a new government might be formed under Opposition leader Shahbaz Sharif
if he can prove his majority in the national assembly. He can be PM till 2023 when the new elections will be held.
The new prime minister can, however, call a general election immediately, without waiting until 2023.
But either way, we are seeing three possibilities. First, Imran Khan’s days might be numbered.
He came to leave India behind but it looks like Pakistan will leave him behind
Secondly, it proves the old theory that Pakistan is democratic the same way CWC is democratic
Pakistan Army owns pakistan
Finally, what does it mean for India
Well, seeing as the Pakistani army has been in control of the country for the last 60 years, and the new PM will be under army control as well, India-Pakistan relations won’t change much.