LASETTE GONZALEZ OBVIOUSLY VERY
BUSY IN WEATHER CONTROL AND HAS
A GUEST.
THAT'S RIGHT.
DR. BRENNAN, I JUST SHOWED THE
COMPUTER MODELS AND WE CAN'T
FOCUS TOO MUCH ON SITE SHIFTS
IN MODELS WE'VE BEEN SEEING
THEM CHANGE WITH EVERY RUN AND
AT TIMES CAN BE MISLEADING OR
CONFUSING.
CAN YOU SAY WHAT THIS TREND TO
THE WEST COULD POSSIBLY MEAN IN
TERMS OF THE EVENTUALLY TRACK
OF HURRICANE IRMA.
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY
AS TO WHERE THE TIMING AND
LOCATION IS GOING TO OCCUR.
YESTERDAY WE SAW MODELS THAT
HAD THE TURN OCCURRING SOONER
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
AND NOW MODELS FARTHER TO THE
LEFT.
WE EXPECT THOSE MODELS TO
CONTINUE SHIFTING AROUND A
LITTLE BIT.
THE TOTAL AREA IN TIME.
THE WIDTH OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA ITSELF.
REGARDLESS OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LAND FALL WE ARE GOING TO
SEE HAZARDS FROM IRMA VERY
LARGE WIND FIELD AND STORM
SURGE OVER A BIG AREA.
WE NEED EVERYBODY WHO IS UNDER
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO
PREPARE AS IF THEY ARE GOING TO
GET THE CORE OF THE MAJOR WINDS
BECAUSE THEY CAN'T TELL WITHIN
A FEW HOURS DIFFICULT TO TELL
EXACTLY WHERE LANDFALL IS GOING
TO OCCUR BECAUSE THEY LIKE TO
WOBBLE AROUND A NICE SMOOTH
TRACK AND A WOBBLE TEN OR 15
MILES ONE WAY OR THE OTHER THEY
MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE WHERE THE
EYE GOES AT THE PRECISE TIME OF
LANDFALL.
THOSE HAZARDS OVER A BIG AREA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ON BOTH
COASTS.
WE HAVE BEEN STRESSING TO
VIEWERS TO AVOID FOCUSING ON
THE CENTER OF THE FORECAST CONE
BECAUSE THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND WELL OUT FROM THE
CENTER.
WE TALK ABOUT THE STORM SURGE
AND THE HIGHEST THREAT ACROSS
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY UP AND DOWN
THE COAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA
LIKELY EXTENDED FOR MUCH OF THE
STATE OF FLORIDA REALLY, RIGHT?
RIGHT.
IRMA HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION SO
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK
MOVING ALONG AHEAD OF THE
CENTER THERE'S GOING TO BE A
LARGE AREA OF STRONG
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GOING TO
BLOW WATER FROM THE ATLANTIC UP
ONTO THE COAST HERE SO THAT'S
WHY WE HAVE THAT STORM SURGE
WARNING IN PLACE FOR THE
BROWARD COUNTY COASTLINE AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY COASTLINE AND
AREAS ALONG THE MIAMI RIVER AND
BAY ARE VERY SENSITIVE TO STORM
SURGE.
YOU CAN SEE HOW FAR INLAND THE
STORM SURGE WARNING GOES.
WE CAN SEE THE FLOODING MOVE
QUITE A WAYS INLAND AS OPPOSED
TO RIGHT ALONG THE BROWARD
COUNTY COAST WHERE IT'S COULD
BE FINED TO THE IMMEDIATE
COASTLINE.
PART OF THE KEYS COULD SEE
STORM SURGE FLOODING FROM THE
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND AS
THE HURRICANE GOES BY THE
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS CAN CREATE
STORM SURGE ON THE GULF SIDE OF
THE KEYS SO TWO SEPARATE ROUNDS
OF SURGE IN THE KEYS AND ALL OF
THOSE AREAS ARE UNDER A STORM
SURGE WARNING WHICH MEANS
EXPECTED TO SEE LIFE
THREATENING INEDITION FROM
STORM SURGE IN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
IT IS FORECASTED TO BE A
LONG DURATION EVENT SO IN
ADDITION TO THE STORM SURGE CAN
YOU TALK MORE ABOUT WHAT FOLKS
CAN EXPECT WITH VERY DANGEROUS
AND DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS THAT WE ARE LIKELY GOING
TO BE SEEING FROM IRMA.
YEAH IRMA IS GOING TO BE
MOVING SEVEN OR EIGHT MILES PER
HOUR SO THEY START DURING THE
DAY SATURDAY IN THE KEYS AND
SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH THE
REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND
MOVING VERY SLOWLY SO NEAR THE
CORE OF IRMA AND ALONG THE
COAST YOU COULD SEE A PERIOD OF
NINE OR TEN HOURS PERHAPS OF
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
THAT CAN CAUSE A LOT OF DAMAGE.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS FOR
MORE THAN 24 HOURS.
CONDITIONS ARE GOING TO START
TO DETERIORATE QUICKLY AS WE GO
THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY.
YOU ARE GOING TO WANT TO HAVE
YOUR PLANS AND EVACUATION DONE
BY THE END OF FRIDAY AND BE
WHERE YOU ARE GOING TO BE TO
RIDE OUT THE STORM TONIGHT AND
EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR YOUR
INSIGHT AND OF COURSE ALL OF
THE INFORMATION THAT YOU'VE
BEEN PROVIDING US TO HELP KEEP