But I want to emphasize that the
national that the hurricane season
begins on Monday and the National
Hurricane Center is monitoring an
area in the Bay of campaign now.
Here's a look at the season forecast
NOAA calling for 13 to 19 named storms,
6 to 10 hurricanes,
three to six major hurricanes,
Colorado State University 16,
eight and four.
All of these numbers represent
an above average season,
so there's a look at the
Gulf of Mexico right now.
A big plume of moisture out
there from the Bay of Camp AJ
all the way up into the coastal
Plains of Texas and Louisiana.
And it's this.
Area of low pressure,
the remnants of Tropical Storm Amanda
that made landfall in Guatemala this
morning will work its way across
Central America and eventually emerge
into the Gulf of Mexico and the
National Hurricane Center right now,
giving us about a 50% chance of
redevelopment over the next five days.
Right now,
here's the very latest information we've got.
35 mile an hour winds moving to the
North now at 9 mph that pressure
holding steady at 1006 millibars.
So there's a look at what the
Hurricane Hurricane Center is looking.
Looking at development here in
the Southern Gulf of Mexico
and a lot of computer models.
Want to bring a system.
North into the northwest Gulf.
So here's a look at the European model.
And you'll notice by the
time we head into Wednesday,
it is trying to develop a system
down there in the Bay of campaign,
and then it pushes it up North East,
out towards the coastal areas of Louisiana.
So South of Grand Isle South of New Orleans,
South of the Mississippi coast.
Now this particular model wants
to hook it hard to the left.
Let me see if I can go back
to that here just a second.
And it may not let me so give me
just one second here. And lips.
Cancel that.
And I want to go back to that
particular computer model.
OK. So you can see.
That this particular model,
the European model, wants to take
this to the Northeast just to the
South of Grand Island in New Orleans,
and then hook it hard to the
left out towards the Texas coast.
But I want to emphasize that this is
1 computer model run of 1 computer
model and this is going to change
over the course of the next 5 to 7
days and this takes us into Monday,
so any tropical system or any
tropical threat to our coast or the
Louisiana coast is likely going to be
towards the back half of the upcoming
weekend and into the early part of.
Next week, so we're talking about June 8th,
so we still have about 7 to 8 days
to watch this again anywhere from
Brownsville to the western tip of
the Florida Peninsula will have
to or the Florida Panhandle.
I should say we'll have to watch.
This.
Looks like all areas could see a
landfalling tropical system of unknown
strength as we get into the end of next week.
So again,
the hurricane season starts on Monday.
We have seen tropical systems make landfall
in the first week of the hurricane season.
You think back to Allison in
2001 that hit just six days in?
To get to the 2001 season so
something we're going to monitor.
June storms are typically very weak,
and they're typically lopsided,
meaning that the center of
circulation may be here,
but all the rain would be
displaced well to the East,
so it remains to be seen exactly
what's going to come up this system.
But something that we're going to
want to watch again carefully over the
course of the next couple of days.
You can see already a lot of
moisture out there.
There's a lot of vorticity in the atmosphere.
Vorticity is just a fancy way of
saying there's a lot of spinning
motion in the atmosphere and that spin.
May try to consolidate over the
southern Gulf over the next week
and then move northward.
So again,
everybody from the Western Florida
Panhandle all the way down into
northern Mexico needs to be watching
this very carefully because at this
time there's no system right now,
so it's hard to know exactly
where it's going to end up.
It's computer models are just sort
of throwing a dart out there.
I've seen computer models showing Florida
I've seen computer models showing Louisiana,
and I've seen a number of computer
models showing in Upper Texas coast
strike as we get into the next seven days,
so.
A tropical storm looking pretty good.
Like a pretty good bet as we head
into the next week or so.
Again once again 35 mile an hour winds
moved in the North at 9 that pressure
holding steady at 1006 millibars again.
If we see any development at all,
likely going to be in the Southern
Basecamp HA and then where it goes
from there remains to be seen,
but obviously could have a huge impact
on somebody's forecast as we head
into the upcoming weekend and what I
mean by that is going from a chance
of rain 20 to 30% to obviously much
heavier rain and some gusty winds,
so no need to worry about it right now.
Something we're going to continue to monitor,
but certainly we're going to
check on this system.
Today as we head into the upcoming week.