>>> WELCOME BACK. TO MOST AMERICANS, BREXIT SOUNDS
LIKE THE END OF A TRADE DEAL
ESPECIALLY.
ESPECIALLY. BUT IN EUROPE, IN THE UNITED
KINGDOM, IT IS LOOKING LIKE
BRITAIN WILL LEAVE THE EUROPEAN
UNION WITHOUT A DEAL TO SOFTEN
THE BLOW.
THE BLOW. SCHEDULED TO HAPPEN ON MARCH 29.
BRITISH BUSINESSES AND THE
GOVERNMENT ARE IMPLEMENT INGING
MAJOR CHANGES.
MAJOR CHANGES. BORDER CHECKS WOULD HAVE TO BE
REIMPOSED.
REIMPOSED. THERE WILL BE UNANSWERED
QUESTIONS ABOUT FUTURE RIGHTS OF
EU CITIZENS LIVING OR WORKING IN
THE UNITED KINGDOM AND UK
CITIZENS LIVING OR WORKING IN
THE EU, INCLUDING THOSE WORKING
IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND,
WHICH IS AN INDEPENDENT COUNTRY,
WHICH WILL REMAIN PART OF
EUROPE, THE EU.
TRADE WOULD TAKE A BIG HIT.
WITH BRITISH EXPORTS TO THE EU
FACING NEW TARIFFS AND GOODS
IMPORTED FROM EUROPE INTO THE UK
INSTANTLY BECOMING MORE
EXPENSIVE.
EXPENSIVE. TO QUOTE THE BBC, A NO DEAL
BREXIT COULD BECOME THE BIGGEST
PEACE TIME EMERGENCY IN ALMOST A
CENTURY.
CENTURY. WHEN BIG BEN STRIKES 11:00 P.M.
ON MARCH 29th, THE BRITISH
GOVERNMENT WILL DECLARE A
CRITICAL INCIDENT AND BEGIN 24
HOUR OPERATIONS IN A COMMAND AND
CONTROL MODE.
CONTROL MODE. ALREADY A DEDICATED FORCE OF
4,000 CIVIL SERVANTS IS WORKING
TO PREPARE FOR THE NO DEAL
SCENARIO IN THE UNITED KING DOM.
THE MINISTRY OF DEFENSE HAS
PROMISED ADDITIONAL SERVICE
PERSONNEL TO HELP.
THE UK DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH HAS
STARTED TO STOCKPILE MEDICATION.
FOOD MANUFACTURERS HAVE STARTED
KEEPING A RESERVE OF
INGREDIENTS.
INGREDIENTS. WHERE HOUSES ARE FILLING UP.
CONCERNS OVER PROTESTS HAVE THE
NATIONAL CRIME AGENCY PREPARING
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT-TERM
DISRUPTION ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
AND READYING FOR THE REIMPOSED
BORDER CHECKS, THE BORDER FORCE
HAS PULLED TOGETHER A READINESS
TASK FORCE MADE UP OF 300
OFFICERS.
OFFICERS. AN ADDITIONAL 600 OFFICERS ARE
BEING RECRUITED TO STAFF THE
CHECKPOINTS.
CHECKPOINTS. THIS IS THE BAD SCENARIO.
IF NOBODY COMES UP WITH A PLAN.
>> JOINING US, THE MAN WHO KNOWS
BEST ON BREXIT, NBC NEWS CHIEF
GLOBAL CORRESPONDENT, OUR FRIEND
BILL NEELY.
BILL NEELY. THIS IS SHAPING UP TO BE A
NATIONAL ENERGYMERGENCY FOR THE
BRITISH GOVERNMENT.
BRITISH GOVERNMENT. >> IT LOOKS LIKE WAR.
WHAT YOU’VE JUST OUTLINED, IT
SEEMS LIKE PREPARATIONS FOR WAR.
THIS IS THE BIG ESTGEST CRISIS S
WORLD WAR II.
BECAUSE FOREIGN POLICY CRISIS
SINCE.
SINCE. LET’S PICK THE 1950s, THE SUEZ
CRISIS.
CRISIS. IN THE LAST 24 HOURS, BARCLAY’S
BANK HAS MOVED 200 BILLION
DOLLARS OF ASSETS FROM LONDON TO
DUBLIN.
DUBLIN. IN THE LAST 24 HOURS, WE’VE
HEARD THE BRITISH GOVERNMENT IS
STOCKPILING TRAUMA PACKS SO IN
THE EVENT OF A TERRORIST
INCIDENT AFTER MARCH 29th, THE
UK WILL HAVE THEM.
AT THE MINUTE, THEY’RE AT
JOHNSON & JOHNSON HEADQUARTERS
IN BRUSSELS IN BELGIUM.
>> THEY DON’T WANT TO HAVE
PROBLEMS WITH PORT CONTROLS.
>> LOOK, IT’S ALMOST AN
EXISTENTIAL PROBLEM FOR BRITAIN.
IT’S CERTAINLY AN EXISTENTIAL
PROBLEM FOR IRELAND BECAUSE IT
RELIES SO MUCH ON TRADE WITH THE
UK.
UK. BUT IT’S NOT JUST BRITAIN.
THE EU EKCONOMICALLY WILL SUFFER
GERMAN MANUFACTURERS ARE VERY
WORRIED.
WORRIED. FRICTIONLESS TRADE, YOU KNOW,
WILL DISAPPEAR.
WILL DISAPPEAR. WE -- ALL OUR SUPERMARKETS IN
THE U.S. AND UK RELY ON "JUST IN
TIME" DELIVERIES.
TIME" DELIVERIES. AFTER BREXIT, AFTER MARCH 29, IF
IT’S A CRASH OUT, FORGET IT,
THERE WILL BE FRICTION-FULL
TRADE.
TRADE. QUEUE, LINES.
QUEUE, LINES. PORTS, YOU KNOW, WE DON’T KNOW
AIRCRAFT, WILL YOUR PASSPORT
WORK.
WORK. YOU KNOW, FOR MANY BUSINESSES,
THEY MAY COLLAPSE.
>> SO PEOPLE IN THE UK WHO
SUPPORT BREXIT, NOT NECESSARILY
PEOPLE WHO ARE ANGRY ABOUT TRADE
AGREEMENTS, BUT THEY SORT OF
THINK THAT IN THE END, THE UK
WILL DO BETTER OFF WITHOUT
EUROPE AND THE EUROPEAN
EXPERIMENT HASN’T WORKED ALL
THAT WELL.
THAT WELL. SO THE STUFF YOU DESCRIBE SEEMS
TO MAKE LIFE EASIER,
FRICTIONLESS TRADE, GOODS COMING
IN TARIFF FREE, THE MOVEMENT OF
PEOPLE.
PEOPLE. WHY DO SO MANY PEOPLE THINK IT’S
NOT WORKING AND THEY’RE GETTING
OFF THE EUROPEAN SHIP?
>> THERE ARE MANY PEOPLE WHO
SUPPORT BREXIT WHO HAVE A KIND
OF NOSTALGIA FOR ALMOST AN
IMPERIAL PAST WHEN BRITANNIA
RULED THE WAVES.
>> LIKE THEIR EQUIVALENT OF MAKE
AMERICA GREAT?
AMERICA GREAT? >> IF YOU LIKE.
THERE ARE MANY PARALLELS BETWEEN
THE UK AND THE U.S.
LET’S SAY IN SOME FANTASY FUTURE
WE CAN DO GOOD TRADE DEAL WITH
INDIA.
INDIA. THAT’S NOT GOING TO COME CHEAP.
INDIA IS GOING TO SAY, OKAY, WE
CAN HAVE A TRADE DEAL, BUT IT’S
NOT ON OLD IMPERIAL TERMS.
IT COULD BE ON OUR TERMS.
BY THE WAY, WE’D LIKE 100,000
VISAS FOR CLEVER INDIANS TO COME
TO OXFORD AND CAMBRIDGE AND
OTHER UNIVERSITIES.
OTHER UNIVERSITIES. SO IT’S NOT AS SIMPLE AS THE
BREXITEERS THINK.
BREXITEERS THINK. THEY BELIEVE BRITAIN WILL BE
BETTER OFF OUTSIDE THE WORLD’S
BIGGEST TRADING AREA.
WELL, THE REMAINERS SAY LET’S