BUT McCONNELL DID IMPLY HE HAS
HIGHER HOPES FOR THE HOUSE
RACES.
GUY BENSON IS THE HOST OF THE
GUY BENSON SHOW ON FOX RADIO AND
FOX NEWS CONTRIBUTOR AND JOINS
ME TO DISSECT THE WORDS AND
WHAT’S HAPPENING HERE WITH THE
GOP, BECAUSE THE WINDS ARE
SHIFTING HEAR AND PEOPLE WANT TO
KNOW WHAT IS GOING ON.
SO, LET’S START WITH WHAT
McCONNELL SAID.
I BELIEVE WE HAVE A SOUND BITE.
LISTEN TO IT AND ANALYZE.
>> PROBABLY A GREATER LIKELIHOOD
THE HOUSE FLIPS RATHER THAN THE
SENATE.
SENATE ARE STATEWIDE.
CANDIDATE QUALITY HAS A LOT TO
DO WITH THE OUTCOME.
>> Aishah: SO GUY, FIRST OF ALL,
IS IT CANDIDATE QUALITY, IS IT
SOMETHING ELSE, IS IT LACK OF
ENGAGEMENT, IS IT WHAT’S GOING
ON WITH THE FORMER PRESIDENT,
THE CHAOS AROUND HIM, WHAT DO
YOU MAKE OF THOSE COMMENTS, WHAT
DO YOU THINK IT IS?
>> GOOD AFTERNOON.
I THINK MITCH McCONNELL IS A
COOL CUSTOMER.
HE IS NOT PRONE TO HYPERBOLE AND
IF YOU DISSECT EACH WORD HE SAID
IN THAT SOUND BITE IT’S HARD TO
QUIBBLE WITH THE VERACITY AND
THE ANALYSIS OF WHAT McCONNELL
IS PUTTING OUT THERE.
I DON’T THINK HE’S THROWING IN
THE TOWEL, I THINK HE’S LOOKING
AT THE CURRENT SITUATION AND
THERE ARE SOME SENATE RACES
AROUND THE COUNTRY WHERE
REPUBLICAN NOMINEES HAVE SUSPECT
POLLING SUPPORT AT THE MOMENT,
SUSPECT FUNDRAISING NUMBERS, AND
HE’S JUST SAYING THAT’S A
REFLECTION OF THE SNAPSHOT
REALITY RIGHT NOW.
ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THIS,
THOUGH, AND I THINK HE WOULD
TOTALLY AGREE WITH THIS IF YOU
SPOKE TO HIM, THERE ARE
COUNTLESS EXAMPLES IN RECENT
ELECTION CYCLES WHERE THE
POLLING POSITION, ESPECIALLY OF
REPUBLICANS IN RACES LIKE THIS,
IN AUGUST, WERE VERY POOR
REFLECTIONS OF WHERE THINGS
ENDED UP IN OCTOBER AND THEN OF
COURSE IN NOVEMBER, AND WE ARE
LIVING THROUGH AN ELECTION
SEASON WHERE THE DEMOCRATS
SHOULD BE IN REALLY BIG TROUBLE,
JUST LOOKING AT THE FUNDAMENTALS
OF THIS RACE.
PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL, THE
ECONOMY, INFLATION, RIGHT TRACK,
WRONG TRACK, IT’S A BAD
SITUATION FOR THE PARTY IN
POWER.
I’M NOT SURE THAT’S GOING TO
CHANGE BETWEEN NOW AND NOVEMBER
BUT WE’LL SEE, YOU KNOW, IF
THESE TWO ISSUES COLLIDE, WHAT
HE’S CONCERNED ABOUT AND THE
FUNDAMENTALS OF THE RACE, WE ARE
GOING TO FIND OUT WHICH ONE
PREVAILS IN ABOUT TWO AND A HALF
MONTHS.
>> Aishah: GUY, IS THERE A TRUMP
FACTOR, HE KIND OF MADE A DIG AT
THE FORMER PRESIDENT BECAUSE
THEY ARE PRIMARILY TRUMP
CANDIDATES IN THE STATES THAT
COULD FLIP, AND OF COURSE WE
KNOW THAT DEMOCRATS HAVE BEEN
SPENDING MILLIONS OF DOLLARS IN
SOME OF THESE RACES TO TRY TO
PROP UP THE TRUMP CANDIDATES
BECAUSE THEY FIND THEM TO BE
EASIER CANDIDATES IN NOVEMBER.
DO YOU THINK THAT’S A FACTOR?
>> IT COULD BE, AND FOR THE
DEMOCRATS SOMETIMES IT’S BE
CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR.
IF IT TURNS INTO A BIG WAVE, I
SUSPECT IT MIGHT, CERTAINLY ON
THE HOUSE SIDE, SOME PEOPLE THE
DEMOCRATS HAVE BEEN BOOSTING
COULD END UP IN POWER.
SO, CAREFUL THERE.
I THINK THAT ALL THE
PRECRIMINATIONS OF PEOPLE
WINNING AND LOSING BACKED BY
TRUMP OR McCONNELL OR NOT, IT IS
INSANELY PREMATURE.
WE ARE IN THE DOLDRUMS OF SUMMER
IN AUGUST, AND REPUBLICANS
UNDERPERFORMED IN SOME RACES
THEN THE RECRIMINATIONS MAY MAKE
SOME SENSE AND HAVE THAT
CONVERSATION.
I THINK DOING THAT RIGHT NOW
WOULD BE POOR ANALYSIS, WHICH
DOES NOT SAY THERE ARE NO RED
FLAGS FOR THE REPUBLICANS THEY
MAY NOT BE DOING AS WELL AS THEY
SHOULD BE UNDER THESE
CIRCUMSTANCE, IT’S STILL EARLY.
>> Aishah: I WONDER IF YOU WILL
TALK ABOUT THE HOUSE, TOO, A
POLL SHOWS PRACTICALLY A DEAD
HEAT, 41% TO 41% IN TERMS OF
WHERE THE HOUSE COULD LAND THIS
NOVEMBER AND YOU CAN SEE OVER
THE COURSE OF THE SUMMER THAT
MARGIN HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED
FOR THE GOP.
WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THAT?
WHAT’S HAPPENING THERE, GUY?
>> WELL, POINT NUMBER ONE, IF
THERE IS A TIED ELECTORAL
BALLOT, GENERIC BALLOT ON
ELECTION DAY, THAT ALMOST ALWAYS
SHOWS GOOD THINGS FOR
REPUBLICANS.
IF THEY ARE NOT TRAILING
SUBSTANTIALLY, THAT IS USUALLY
GOOD NEWS FOR THE GOP, SO A TIE,
ALL ELSE BEING EQUAL, WOULD
ALMOST CERTAINLY MEAN THE
REPUBLICANS WIN BACK THE HOUSE.
I WOULD ALSO POINT OUT, 41-41,
WE CAN ALL DO THE MATH.
THERE ARE A LOT OF UNDECIDED
VOTERS IN THAT UNIVERSE, AND IF
YOU DIG A LITTLE DEEPER INTO THE
POLLING, THE UNDECIDED VOTERS
HEAVILY CUT AGAINST PRESIDENT
BIDEN AND DISAPPROVE OF HIM
STRONGLY ON BALANCE.
SO IF YOU WANT TO GET A SENSE OF
MAYBE WHERE THE SUPPOSEDLY
UNDECIDED VOTERS MAY NOT BE
DIALED IN YET MIGHT BREAK,
ESPECIALLY AMONG THE LATE
BREAKERS, INDEPENDENTS,
MODERATES, I THINK WE HAVE GOOD
NEWS, POTENTIALLY GOOD NEWS FOR
THE GOP.
REPUBLICANS SHOULD NOT TAKE
ANYTHING FOR GRANTED.
BUT THE DOOM SAYING AND THE BED