lol what the flick Oscar nominations out today
that Michael its met actually Christy Lemire Alonso was a on a plane the
Sundance and I look like a young republic pricing for its really only a
couple categories I think I can be depicted here
I think Best Actress I the one to beat escape blanche
her right I think that she's gonna walk with that one I i think best supporting
actor I can't imagine anyone taken that away from jail
well let's not let me a so we'll try our best actress for shoulders a lot
first of all it's got the on a
you're right like offshore accounts what mattered and your where it matters okay
pledge at 129
you are one hundred dollars in Cape Lecce got about 900
to 100 chatterbox second choice exactly reversed
921 so Cate Blanchett hard to believe
yeah you know the guy only guy who you know couple years back
the a Colin Firth ended up as I got closer of the time he was about 12 40
it about four thousand dollars to 100 while Colin Firth that eligible favorite
he was white
and whitewater was a fun tibet look for in an hour to get
one to get you are making it virtually be crazy to do in a sense but I mean if
you're that sure
I'll take a hundred dollars like you got a lot of money managers gonna give me a
hundred dollars you could put it up
you know at Berklee just like you feel confident so whatever so maybe you are
is nine thousand dollars and think
I'm gonna wear 2002 doesn't want two thousand dollars I don't have that kinda
whatever
up almost 10 percent return on your money it's about public is the second
pic Amy Adams 12 the one Judi Dench 21 Meryl Streep 33
that on the day that was easy Supporting Actor us morning and you're ready to go
126 for Jay Leno $600 to $1,200 on on Jay Leno he's a prohibitive favorite
yeah he's won all the critics group he wanted the Golden Globes in
idyllic Medical Branch little perm curlers that and that's better I B
the two-time Oscar nominee Joe Hill happy for tonight
25 21 and Bradley Cooper I can't wait to see
food commercials the the ads for 22 Jump Street
yeah time Oscar nominee don't think they should pull the two outcry 22
I before we will stick this on that clip we do it for that which it should we
talked about how great the best actor category is
I that's the most competitive race between edgy for
m/a-com hate you look at all the sites and edgy forma con hate
they're pretty close to even money both the hedgie pours a
edge affords a slight favorite right now but I think I hate when
that at the Globes indicated that he could win this
and Leo's 621 I at Brewster
41 Christian Bale 66 21 I can imagine between Mecca kinda hey
in 2002 and you for and and Leo like that
look so tight I came in it could be any the mail so it's only January
16 yes it is again the lot now like I right again plunges to buy we're gonna
bet Leo I bet it now
on the theory that is that movie gets as much publicity as we know it's gonna get
that might
trick up a little bit i buy were a betting man I am
I would put a little fun money on Brewster because again it's an
opportunity to give it to a guy who's totally respected
who's out there hustlin to sort of
drum up support for this movie and you want to pay 41 out figure
fun out there have fun I'll take a fun shot at that but I think it's a
basically you're probably given your money weight problem I think it's
eighty-four
conde right hander a two-person race
and into his supporting-actor doing is putting after CS
Supporting Actress a again we talked about Oprah
being left out that's a two-person race that's a dead heat between
repeat in the ongoing Jennifer Lawrence they're both even money I would say look
at any
I would go back yeah based on that Jennifer Lawrence has just won an Oscar
I'd love to go I you know it's random so we went back to back now I wanna
I don't underestimate her star power everybody loves Jennifer Lawrence
but it could be will be in the others here I can't I go on when I would you
know I go on a show where they talk about
highbrow movies they talk about how much they love Jennifer or so I go on to
Artie Lange show he talks about how much you love general want to add to your
point there's like a
right doesn't matter where you come in these movies from everybody let's find
out she's a serial killer her her at the Love Machine the youngest person ever to
receive
this may Oscar nomination said she had worked way too 23 now and she has three
Oscar nominations and won when already set out to make
back I do it thank you for putting me on but it's not but the books would tell
you that it's a
by that anybody's Cape about twelve years
best picture or put the odds on that that's your best picture twelve years a
slave
pay a a prohibitive favored
relay yep not gravity 27 got about 70 to win 200 gravity is the third choices
1001
grad American hustle second choice at about three to one
and him so much of a connection is predicting have you guys are all on
trying
watertight 41 picnic it so
heat relief that predicting what we think is best and and what the country
its its planes can land break it's less than six thousand voters
who are a certain age group have a certain ethnicity
a certain agendas that they may not talk about as a group but
stuff to the back in our heads that for all the work for the Academy has died at
last year's
all the high-profile issues about addressing issues of race and the
backlash they got
about being you know old white dudes I think that there's gonna be a lot of
voters were looking at the slight a best pictures
I think we gotta pick twelve years a slave and I'm not saying that that is a
vote about I'm
about the politics of it but I think that there's probably gonna be some fear
that if a pic almost any other movie they're going to look bad
a great right other group they'd like that I don't think so not in they both
the way they want a bow and even possibly affects other people who are
created an opinionated to all say you know what you we got it I don't how do I
know there's group think that her to get every organization is impossible not to
be
so the question is is there enough sort of you know
rugged committed individualism to get beyond it I don't think there is I think
that will
personal well yeah the whisper campaign to 12 years of late by 20
anymore to burying to be swayed by chi-chi I like your logic I do but I
think there's a switch
already naked and killing me get influenced all the time the influence
show your newsletter
it makes people feel better I'm by the way it's also probably if anything done
better
it's also worth the effort it's not like like its it's not
unreasonable decision to come you'll either way I wanna make it sound like
yeah it
yet but I think that what twelve years a slave has going for it almost
about any of these honorees is the message
you know the cabin likes to know acknowledge something
that's you know historically they like to do the important rail
there I don't they don't always do let me I like to do the right thing
let me offer this because I think you're data on it that way of thinking
now can be overcome by your point no question it can because it's not not
you're not gonna get all 6,000
you might not get enough but some people will think that way
if there is a any kind of pushback
against twelve years a slave but you know I doesn't strike me as a movie that
you went
best-picture I think most to these other movies are are better
I but if there's any kind of push back against it whether it comes from gravity
or American house or willful Wall Street that what you should do then
if specially if you're betting it and put as much money as you can
but edgy for because by that same way of thinking people be like
okay I'm not voting for the movie it would be moving toward my senators but I
would give this guy I'm going to honor this movie other
and he definitely let any on Dow and to me he's a much
he's he's more the winning Best Actor then
the movie is a winning Best Picture it but it's all good I suspect the Grammys
more accessible to the larger group as a whole
I am that's why that's why I had a great second time it will change in the bed
there
their high or low have been bad I was about the right timing lactation
and and you should make a lot are betting man yeah I'll come back looking
at 120 prediction of yes
look at what the campaign to bed like what the buzz is like you know we
will see from a campaign strategy who really Paul's a hat