with Jay when to get off the train. Yes. So the idea is is
like because you know, do you? I put this in my love. Hey cam,
I said this about a player that we're actually talking about in
a little bit here. Basically, I'd much rather jump off
the train, a year, early or the bandwagon if you will, whatever
you want to call it a much rather jump off a year earlier
than a year too late. So the question is and you see here
why they're fancy Graphics.
They spent all all weekend.
Creating that graphic, you can see there that was expecting
something to really. I hit my ear and it says, when to get
off the train so G the G and get is capitalized, but off
the oh, and
like, it's really weird capitalization. Right place W.
And when is capitalized House, 2 is lowercase G and get is
capitalized office. Lowercase, D is lowercase.
And then train is capitalized
like yeah.
I feel like that's not grammatically, correct.
But
at least it's a fancy graphic, like crazy stupid. Love, you
know, the film, where all the commas? It's not ads. Yeah,
something. Something's weird Jay. I don't, whatever.
And fairness my producers have a high school education. All
right, here we go.
So when to get off the train Derrick, Henry kicks us off
here, Derrick Henry currently going. It's running back for
and fifth overall on Yahoo. I'm at running back for. I'm 7th
overall slightly lower in the,
in the overall. But I both I we both have them at the
At running back for. So I'll just start with you
last year. He played an eight regular season games with Miss
the rest of the regular season but did play in the postseason.
Yep. Just 62 yards but still he was able to come back.
January 4th he's going to turn 29
at the end of the season
you in or out on. Derrick Henry, is he hitting the wall
for you or you got one more year? I'm out. I'm completely
out on definitely. All right. So I think we're going to
disagree on this but okay, here's the thing. And mactan
your football Outsiders, he wrote a great article on this
but here's my concern with Henry, it's not the injuries
not to
Worry about that, not even the workload. I think he's as much
of an injury risk as anyone else, right? But here's
the problem with his explosiveness. Broken missed tackle
percentage. So twenty nineteen,
twenty one percent of his attempts. He broke a tackle or
he made a guy missed 2020 that was down to 15 percent. Last
year that was down to 9% in the neighborhood of guys like
chubba Hubbard and Miles Gaskin,
we're not Jonathan Taylor, his explosiveness has dropped off,
progressively each year I'm concerned about that. He's
going to face more stacked boxes. Than ever before, it
doesn't have AJ Brown, spacing the field for him,
it's going to be
an uphill battle for Henry, the offensive line is not a late.
I also think they're going to be a worst team the last year
as well. I don't think they're going to float with the 1 seed
and get it like they did. So look, we're at the point where
I think that
in terms of volume, he's going to get that that raises his
floor. I think he's going to produce. He's going to get all
the goal line carries. But look real life. Derrick Henry Bailey
affects the betting line anymore. He
Move it a half point, and in terms of fantasy, I would
rather have someone like Alvin Kamara and even look I would
rather have Henry over Sake One Berkeley, but I think you make
the case for someone who's really high-ups.
I'd like that who offers more in the passing game. So I'm
concerned about Derrick Henry
prior to going down with injury, Derrick Henry was
single handily winning people, there are leagues. Well yeah,
the fact that he was able to come back and you know, look
what are we got? 62 yards against Cincinnati Bengals.
Really good run defense.
You're everything you're saying
and I'm not gonna sit here and argue about his explosiveness
that I
Want to wear and tear. I get it. My Pro Derrick Henry.
Argument does not a ton of stats to it. It's this
guy's built differently than every other human being on
the planet. Literally, every other human being on the planet is
one way and then Derrick Henry is just different. He had
a built different, his DNA's put together in a way that you and
I can only dream of
he is going to you even acknowledge. He will get the volume.
He's going to, he's going to get massive volume.
He is I don't know what the what the line is on him to lead
the league and Rushing touchdowns but I guess it's not
like a crazy bet. I would say, he S 5 upon Jonathan Tyla.
I would make Derrick
Henry the favorite to get the most rushing attempts of anyone
this season neck-and-neck with Jonathan, Taylor. And then it
would be a drop-off to, to Nick chubbin and the rest. So, there
you go. I mean, so again, he may not be the most efficient
and you're right. Maybe we don't see as many like crazy.
Like he breaks through the line
of scrimmage on the 15 yard line of his own and runs 85
yards for a touchdown, a stag, King Henry, King Henry, right.
We've seen some of that, but my, I don't know that. I agree
that the
Titans offense will be
significantly worse from last year.
I get the concerns on AJ Brown,
agent Burns also missed a lot of time. Yes.
And so, they've managed to work through that.
The thing that gives me
hope, I think here for Derrick Henry is, I think about last
year when Deonte Foreman like the ante Foreman but Deonte
Foreman like literally a month before he got signed by
the Titans was sitting on his couch, hoping for an NFL gig
and he came in there
and he was really productive.
I think the way that scheme is
and
They still have Ryan Tannehill under Center. I like Robert
Woods more than you do.
I don't know. I'm in on. Derrick Henry again.
For me,
since 2019 in fantasy points per game, he's the second best
running back in fantasy. Christian McCaffrey leads all
running backs
with 26 and a half fantasy points per game.
We're all out on McCaffrey at to some people are taking him
at one, so
I don't know. Poor for me. I think just the talent,
the volume of the touchdown opportunity. To me,
makes the makes the argument here over
over any concerns of like a,
you know, Lack of explosiveness here because we still think
it's pretty good again. He's good. He's definitely good and
he does move the lon. Not many running backs. Materially move
the line Henry still does.
And look, I think the betting Market is a lot higher on Ryan
Tannehill. Then everyone else we would prefer if they were
throwing the ball more sure. Tannehill is really good but
that also helps Henry because Tannehill can move the ball.
He still has Robbie's got Robert Woods. Now there are
other options trial on Burks has some upside so definitely
can they added Austin? Hooper's a nice pass catching?
Tight end and they're starting to use Henry Moore in
the passing game, so maybe we get more creative. They're like
there's no results I'd come. Right, right. So again
the premise is like basically are you bailing on Derrick
Henry this year, you know is it time to get off the train for
me? No I think one more year at least with Derrick Henry as
an elite rb1. Okay, let's move to
Travis Kelce. Who turns 33 and six weeks. Are you concerned at
all about, mr. Kelsey, I'm not again. Another guy that sort of
seems to be built different, like I sort of feel like
Most players in the NFL
sometimes they just immediately hit a wall
but most players you see a gradual decline. You know, run
Roethlisberger is a perfect example but like he was Elite
and then he was good and it was like, okay and then I was like
oh man, you know, I mean like it just like there's a there's
a downward trajectory but it's slow.
Last year to me, Travis Kelce still was the elite at
the position. He still had a monster year last year. He was
the second best Titan in Fantasy last year. He was
second in the points per game basis
and now with Tyree kill gone.
I think I haven't tied into this here, but you can make
an argument that among all tight ends that he leads the NFL and
receptions assuming Health. He leads the NFL and receptions
this year because Mahomes is going to be looking for him.
Obviously on third down quite a bit, 100 or more Targets
in seven straight years.
Yeah. Second longest streak among all tight ends and wide
receivers. Mike Evans has eight straight Seasons, but I think
he's about as sure thing in fantasy as you can get. And
sometimes a high floor because his contacts gives him that.
Hi. Floyd got Patrick my arms as you called it back and he
read
Flies a really good offensive line,
he's going to produce if he's healthy and
in the history of the tight end position, like
you can produce and have a late seasons in your early 30s.
So guys, like Rob Gronkowski, Antonio Gates, Tony Gonzalez.
They had really strong season, we G. Yeah, exactly. So
yeah, we've got Kelsey and for
1,050 and a half yards, eight and a half touchdowns.
That's perfectly fine. And I think he has some upside
potentially, even to get to double digit touchdowns. So I'd
be still in on Travis Kelce. See. Yeah, I agree there. And
by the way, even in reduce snaps thing,
when Kelsey's on the field, he's running a route. Yep. They
bring in Kelsey into block. So, you know, some of the anti
Kelsey arguments are like, well, he's running reduced
routes, he's not running like, it doesn't matter. He's also
not Randy Moss. He's not dependent on his Spade. It's
hunting space. It's his size. And yes, he
is quick for his position, but I don't think he's going to
fall off the cliff. Correct. We agree. They're all right. Fine.
You got one right and you got wrong? Yeah. Okay. The other
one, I think I'm going to get it wrong by your books to
explain an Alan.
They go off the train.
I am He made the hate list this year and it's not it's
it's a little bit of a flawed premise here. Like I have to
pick yes or no. And so, since he's on my head feels like
I still think he now it's gonna have a really good year. I mean
like I haven't wide receiver 14 but
considering he's going at wide receiver 12 and some people
have them as a borderline top-10 play. Obviously, I'm low
on consensus than him
and you look at my list here on your screen. I am just ahead of
Michael Pittman, Allen Robinson, deante Johnson.
I could see all those guys
having better years
than Keenan Allen. My concern really about Keenan Allen is
less about the talent because I still think he's really good.
He's still played pretty high at a pretty high level, right?
My concern here is about roster construction,
right? And and that is that,
I think that Mike Williams
takes the step for I think Michael. This is the year that
Mike wins becomes the one and he becomes the two like we saw
it with Justin Jefferson. Adam thielen, Adam thielen was
the one
Justin Jefferson's rookie year.
Justin Jefferson was the to thielen was the one. And then
over the course that year like up now it's reversed.
And so I think that
obviously those guys are at different stages of their career but
my expectation here is that Mike Williams.
There's a reason they signed into the big deal in the offseason.
Mike Williams becomes the one for this offense that we think
is going to have a really big year with the Chargers and we
think Alan becomes the number two. You know, my concern is is
again,
he's had six touchdowns in four straight years,
right? 2020, had eight, but three of the last four years,
he's had
at least six touchdowns.
Literally not more than six touchdowns like
in three of the last four years. He's on the wrong side
of 30,
I don't know, I just might concern on him is, you know?
Again, he's such a, he's a possession receiver
and we're talking about Yahoo where it's half Point. PPR, so
the massive volume doesn't help as much.
So,
here's what I'm saying, I'm jumping on the bandwagon at
current ADP, not in terms of product.
Like, I think he'll be a productive wide receiver for
real life and fantasy this year. But I'm jumping off
the bandwagon at current ATP as a, as a wide receiver one.
I think I'm a bit higher on Keenan. Allen overall, we
talked about him last week relative, to Mike Williams, and
I'm with you there, I'd much rather have Mike Williams our
current ADP. But last year, canal and dropped, nine passes,
that was fourth most in the NFL, the three years
before that, total, he dropped 10
combined. So I think that's, that's fluky. That's noise that
will come back. You don't think it's because he's old as
a drawbridge and I can't catch passes. Any more thing is, is
that five years ago, he dropped 11 passes, right? So, just out
of it, just has these random drops A's and so I think that
will come down be random
drops his ass here. That and also, the main reason that I'm
high on Alan is that very high on the charges in general,
extremely high on Justin Herbert, got something to say
about Justin have it, but I think I'm going to save it for
the next segment when we talk about
him more specifically you broadcast professionals T but
let's jump into Russell Wilson.
And the question posed is will Rust cook in Denver or will
the Broncos offense? Fall below, expectations. He will cook.
Okay
yeah. Not worried about the the chefs at Mont kind of falling
off. Let's ride. Okay, let's try doing. Yeah,
yeah, yeah.
First off, I mean, as we've seen with, you know, the guy in
Tampa Bay, quarterbacks can play
to a very old age,
an elite level, like Russell Wilson still, isn't that old in
quarterback years, right? So, maybe there's, I think there's
a concern with Russell Wilson in terms of his rushing. Maybe
he doesn't run as much as he did early in his career. And
I understand that for his fantasy value, which is why he's
a lower in qb1 than at the higher end with the
Lamar's and the Kyler's and the Josh sounds of the world. We
get that but he still an elite fantasy quarterbacks till last
You're part of the thing with him writing, look at them
leading. Look at it without shoulder pads. Look at him
lateral, quickness, that
fast? Yeah. No one's. Yeah, we're showing footage. We are
the Kings.
Our show is the king of knowing footage of like, guys, and like
shorts is happy with. Yeah, he's very happy with that one.
No one's like. Look at him. High-fiving people, really
good. Some are really good for morale is good. Yeah, come on.
Let's run both laugh. Right.
He's mr. On this
limited. Here's what I would say
is that that Russell Wilson had the ability to stay in Seattle.
He had a no-trade clause.
So he like he was able to basically dictate where he
went. There are obviously a lot of teams in the NFL that
wanted, Russell Wilson,
Denver made the pitch.
He he signed on for that
Nathaniel Hackett coming from you know another
shall we say Mercurial quarterback in Aaron Rodgers
obviously and Aaron Rodgers MVP season. Russ is like hey man
I want to cook. Yeah I
one of the reasons I want to get a Seattle's because they
keep making me. And off, let's open this thing up. And
I assure you
that you don't bring in Russell Wilson to just hand off to
Javonte Williams. Like he got away with it in Seattle because
he's so efficient Pete. Carroll got away with it in Seattle,
because Russell Wilson was so efficient. But
I think
if Russell Wilson winds up as a top five fantasy quarterback
this year, is anyone shocked? No, it was anyone's fault if he
wins the MVP know exactly. So
I think again, the only reason he's going where he is in terms
of ATP is because of because of,
you know, the The lack of potential, rushing upside, but,
and it's a new team, whatever. But
they're going to be a lot of shootouts.
I'm in, on Russell Wilson this year. Yeah, I think
the question with Russell Wilson kind of holistically is, why
wasn't he allowed to cook in Seattle? Is it something with
his game that we just haven't seen that? They needed to run
the ball or is it more that Pete?
Carroll feels this like ethical obligation to run the ball
because it is football mindset. I definitely land the ladder.
I think the cowl just kind of locked the kitchen because he's
Pete, Carroll
and it was to the detriment of the team and they Should have
been throwing more. I think the Carol is one of the luckiest
coaches in NFL history. Yeah. Wow
is just my sort of take yes. If not for the butler kind of
catch in the end zone, he would really be the luckiest of all
time, but I think this division is be careful, admitted himself
be careful at the at the Press coverage is
like, you know, without Russell Wilson, I'd probably been fired
long ago. Yeah, well, he wasn't that actually crack. Yes,
I think that with this is a West Division, which is brutal. It's
clearly the best division in football. Yeah, that's good for
Russell. Wilson's fantasy value is going to be throwing a lot.
Lat and this offensive line is not a late, but it still might
be the best offense. Simple, and the Russell Wilson has ever
played with and he's got weapons in Sutton going. Oh,
you like Jerry Judy? I know your lower on,
but he has posted a nasty wise, but he's a good wider here.
Good NFL wide receiver handlers nice, you know, Albert like
they've got nice weapons, and it's also, by the way, it's not
going to be a one-dimensional offense between Javonte
Williams. Melvin Gordon.
They're going to be able to run the ball. They're gonna be able
to set up play action. Like, I think there's, I think it's
gonna be a really interesting to see how Denver place.
While this year, but
I'm in on Russell Wilson. Yep.
The other thing to be a little bit concerned about is he
wasn't that good last year and the same way that like Lamar
Jackson, wasn't that efficient now, I would just write those
off as kind of weird seasons for both of them, and I fully
expect both will turn it around, but it
is just another little thing to be worried about that. Maybe
Russell Wilson, who was starting Seasons the top three,
for favorite for MVP. Maybe he's not in that tier anymore.
With Mahomes, with Brady with Rogers, I think he can still
get there, but it's still just
one thing too. Watch. I think which is one of the reasons why
by the way he's going
outside the top seven or eight among quarterbacks not inside
the top five but I think if you left your fantasy draft, if you
waited on quarterback and you left your fantasy draft with
Russell Wilson as your quarterback,
I think you're doing
just fine.
d.com.
Just want to. Thank you so much for watching, what you just
watched or at least being too lazy to click out of it. After
the, you know, autoplay just kept it going. So either way,
thank you so much for just letting it scroll by your screen.
And now I'd like to ask you respectfully, respectfully,
respectfully. Okay, respectfully,
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