to play football in
Buffalo this weekend. And we'll get there in a second, but
obviously the Detroit Lions. Now, we'll be hosting the bills
and the Browns game.
Quite a mess up there. In Buffalo thundersnow, fellas.
Have you ever been a part of thunder snow? I have not done
plants. Can easily avoid that? All called of these two teams
apparently had all costs and the Lions while they're
playing. Host also have a important message
here. Please don't break the tables. Yeah,
I like the Tweet port numbers by the phone lock up when You
leave. Please don't break the tables. I'm surprised they also
said, like, listen need you do need you to clean up. Need you
to
wash the watch the laundry, you know, like an Airbnb hosts.
Yeah. You know, like yeah, it's not a hotel hours that you have
to do Detroit's going to finally say
winning football, team playing home games,
what it? What? A dig
at the ones coming
again. Yeah,
it's this way, it's fair enough. Let's I think this is,
I think this is great news just
from a from a fan perspective just Of like watching at home.
Like, it's fun to watch crazy snow game like three minutes.
Right? Right. But like you feel bad for the fans and you feel
bad for the fans and buffalo, just because they're gonna miss
out on a home game. But for,
you know, to the point of the bills, like, you know, for
the safety of the fans involved for the,
you know, for the safety of the players like
they had to move this. So, I'm glad the NFL made the right
decision and for us in the fantasy and betting world. This
is great because now you get Josh Allen in a dome. You get
these two offenses
in a controlled environment and it goes from being a game where
the total, which we talked about yesterday. We said bet
the over when I was 41 and a half because there was upside
that the game might be played in a dime, right? Then it gets
announced. And now the total is going up. Eight points to 49
and a, huh? That's the difference between I fancy poor
and Francie
Rich Gap and with that great transition. J. We welcome in
Roto world's Pat Curran. Pat does a great job writing up
the walk through which you can read on Roto world.com because it is
time
for Fantasy Rich fantasy.
Poor. And of course, we start with the fantasy Rich mattress.
We can week 11 and guys, this did flip, the script has
flipped, this is a fantasy Rich matchup Browns at bills,
the over-under as Jay said, now,
at 49 and a half, because this game is in Detroit.
Pat, welcome in. There's
there's Pat right there at the bar. Yeah. What do we mixing up
for this one? Pat. Yeah, we got a fancy rich cocktail here with
the Browns and the bills. As you guys mentioned, then being
in the dome is a big deal.
I don't have a funnel up here so you guys are going to have
to imagine But Alba. Yeah, I do have a tablet
in case I spill anything. Yeah, but
the Browns defense is a major run. Funnel teams are attacking
this vulnerable defense on the ground, but we saw last week
with the dolphins that you don't have to go that way,
the Browns rank, only 26th in EPA allowed per drop back. I think
the bills are going to play to their strengths. Here, they're
going to not be lured by this Browns,
run funnel defense,
and the bills offense looks to be condensing
Khalil Shakir looks to beginning phase.
Out of the offense which is creating more route
opportunities for the starter. I think we had for numerous
Stars actually the grab a handful of fantasy relevant
players in this game.
On the brown side.
The bills run defense is showing major cracks they're
down to 27th in PFS run defense grades. And with Nick Chubb,
this is a offense that can put up points through the Run game.
They're not just running too, slowly to
slow the game down. This can be a shootout even if the Browns
are run-heavy.
J, we know that if you have Josh out and Stefon Diggs, and
even Gabe. Davis's Barry likes to call Mike Williams East.
I mean, you're starting those guys
over at the fantasy riches. We always go through the guys get
a bump. When you look at Devon Singletary in this game. When
you look at Todd are I said Dawson knocks in this game?
What kind of bump exist for them?
Well, I think for devan's Singletary. It's great. Because
this total going up means is going to be more opportunity
for touchdowns. Yes, you maybe not running as much when out of
the snow but at the same time the increase in touchdown
potential. He finally scored some
touchdowns last week with two of them and going against
the Cleveland run defense. Is a great matchup there. So I think
you're just starting Devin Singletary in every match up,
Dawson knocks. But
just for, for real quickly, I'll just say it. And we talked
about yesterday and the love-hate showing Singletary,
made the Loveless, this week bronze will have the second
most fantasy points to opposing running backs this year. There
have been only two running backs, they've faced 10
this year, they've only two running backs that the Browns
face that have not scored a touchdown, you know, basically
eight of the ten have gotten into the end zone. So
singletary's my running back 14 this week. Yep. And Dolson Knox
who I think has kind of become the evolutionary of
Smith of Smith Goes Down by ankle sprain Dawson, knocks
turns into web Smith takes his place on a different team. He's
going to be a guy who's like, three receptions, 35 yards,
25 percent chance at a touchdown. And this value is
going to come on. Whether he scores that touchdown or not,
maybe there's an opportunity against the Browns of
underperforming Defense, High total. But you know, you're not
feeling great about those and knocks you
can probably do better. You can do worse as well.
Looking over on the brown side of things we heard about.
Obviously, by the way, those are the kind of things. They
also say to my wife, when we were downstairs, You can
probably do better, but you could also do worse. Yes. Which
is. That was one of the sell job? Yes, I don't
like floor. I just, yeah, exactly. Almost
always an accurate statement. Yes, let's do. I literally
Patrick mom's.
You can definitely do better. I said, but listen, I'm
a grinder. I'm going to get in the gym. I'm going to look at
the tape. I'm gonna, you know, it's a, yeah,
I know, but she didn't know that
you and I know that, but she didn't know that. So, like
right before the timesheet, by the time, she figured that out
that what a Horrible mistakes. He's made like we got a couple
of kids and then now she's where she goes. No,
there's no bigger favorite in America to Skip Leg days. Imagine
when you're born with these kind of quads,
you don't need to. Why don't I don't
think so man.
Yeah exactly.
So the Browns. Yeah.
Speaking of quads. Yeah. Nick Chubb. Also the quad grandson.
Yeah. But we don't really care about that. Yeah. Because he's
pretty fantasy relevant. Yeah exactly. Gary started him. He's
running backs up. Yeah. That much
is obvious. Cream hunt though. Well, I mean what do you do
with Kareem hunt at this point, where he's
been a pretty reliable Flex for a while,
but lately, especially the season as a whole,
it has just knock on his way. Yeah. I mean, I'm, I'm not
starting cretonne. I mean like honestly like, yeah, I mean,
exactly. I mean, again
the, the the the argument for cream Hunt is that they're
going to be down and throwing and maybe he's the passing down
back, but that just hasn't been the case even when they've been
down. Like it's just been all Nick Chubb. Like he's
he has not been,
he's I've been a good fantasy running back for quite some
time here, right? I mean, in games in which he gets less
than 14 touches
and by the way, 14 times a lot,
right? When he gets less than 14 touches. He's averaging
under six fantasy points per game, I don't see him, getting
14 touches in this game unless something were to happen to
Nick Chubb. So yeah, I mean, I,
you know. No, thank you on
cream on cream hunt. I haven't running back 32,
so I guess if you're truly desperate but like,
no, thank you on a cream hot. I think that more
In conversation. Connor if I may
is Amari Cooper,
Amari Cooper, we word out. We talked about him yesterday we
talked about throughout the week, how down we are in him,
because his road splits for his career
are poor, and especially this season, where he's averaging
again, under six fantasy points per game, you see it there on
your screen.
Whinnies at home,
21 fantasy points per game,
when he's on the road, this year just 5.8 33 receiving
yards per game. He has yet to score a touchdown on the road.
So the question now becomes like well he's not on the road
neutral, it's a neutral site where we do, he's away from
Cleveland
are gonna guys off recognized amongst the guy in the neutral.
Designations change everything is going to be a switch in his
head. All of a sudden, Justin Jefferson who are you? So,
yeah,
I think you're starting him. So, he's my wide receiver 21.
I think you're lowering them a little bit because he's away
from Cleveland. So, it is a road game for him specifically.
But,
but the fact of the matter is, is one of the reasons why we've
talked about him being. Well, we're - on earlier, in the week
is like He also doesn't do well in cold weather
like he has struggled throughout his career in cold weather
and we're like, I was going Buffalo bad weather
but now he's in the dome, he's in Detroit, he's on the turf.
So I actually a much more bullish on Amari Cooper this
week in Detroit that I was on the road at Buffalo
again. Wide receiver 21 for me, borderline wide receiver to
this week and as of this morning guys, still no Tre
Whyte expected to suit up for the bills. So that's
a secondary that there's some holes there. That's a lot of
people expected him back.
As long as he's been activated since Braxton couple weeks ago,
and nothing. Are yet. So, another big note to make this
a fantasy Rich Game by the way, Donovan people's Jones just
real quickly. As long as we're talking about this game,
20 percent Target share since week for he's had at least 70
yards in five of the last six. And so, in a game in which we
think the Browns will be trailing, he comes in at wide
receiver, 34
me this week. All right, one more fantasy Rich environment
in this week's late the Eagles at the Colts.
The Eagles, six and a half Point. Favorites. The
over-under is set at 45 Pat. What are we drinking for this
one?
Yes. This is kind of a middling total, right? It's not
necessarily going to be a shootout, but do I like about
this game? Is it surprised me a little I saw this on the
list and I don't know that it's going to necessarily be all
that high scoring but I think the the points are going to
flow through fantasy relevant players players. You're
actually going to have in your starting lineup, Goddard
obviously, going to miss this game. His absence is going to
open up targets. I think it's important to consider. What
kind of
targets. He's been targeted on twenty, twenty seven percent of
his targets have come from screens. So those additional
screens that are opening up could boost Devante Smith's
value,
he's seen screen.
Green screen targets at nearly three times the rate of AJ
Brown, so we could see things more condensed, that you was
passing game, and only
on the cold side,
the big impact. So far of Jeff, Saturday has been to get
his best players, more involved, Jonathan, Taylor
heading 94% snap share last week, which is off the charts.
The Eagles ranked 31st, and EPA allowed per rush. They can very
much be run on. He has a leet upside back with this coaching
change and Michael Pittman also saw a ton of usage last week,
he saw a first retarded on 33.
Scent of his routes
for any wide receiver to see
a 33 percent Target rate is Elite, but the factor coming on
Matt. Ryan's first, read shows. They're calling plays intending
to get Michael Pittman, the ball. We also saw, plenty of
targets, repairs Campbell Les routes for Alec Pierce.
This offense is condensing to its fantasy relevant players,
a toast to Jeff Saturday. Jay, let's look at the Colts
receivers in this one. Matt Ryan's job Sunday by the ways,
is a special
kind of eat it. Only undefeated coach
the season, he on a per game basis. He's the highest winning
percentage coach in NFL history. I'm
just saying no arguments numbers or mathlete. I mean
again like I just guess
I don't always like to flex and show off but you know, Connors
here cranes. Yeah. Special day. Your new blood last Friday.
It's Friday and we'll get there later. Ted,
you know, just want to
flex. Not just these muscles, not just these guns. But you
know, right. The pythons up here. Yes, the brain python.
Yeah, exactly. Exactly. I boy,
your turn to flex the brand pythons here.
Yes.
It's right up here.
I don't like when you get close
that's why you strategically. Sit over there
little man, her smart. Yeah Michael Pittman Powers
Campbell. That's right. Paul sketches Maddie ice back and
ready to roll Colton. Go to winning record when metatron's
at quarterback and
maths Point, Jeff, satellite mattress, thousand percent
winning record. I think you're starting both of these guys,
particularly Pittman obviously, he's one of the most talented
wide receivers in the game.
We have an ongoing thing where I keep on saying guys or one of
the 15 best wide receivers in the game and then I refuse to
list out the other for 10. But Michael Pittman. Is definitely
on that list and look his targets with Matt Ryan.
Past four games, Ryan has started
86, then 99, he gets a lot of the ball, then Paris. Campbell,
even more impressive, arguably,
Target, count with Matt, Ryan, past three games with Ryan at
quarterback. Eleven twelve nine either what happens in Paris
Campbell but he's discovered something good Alec Pierce
being phased out. I think you're starting both of these
guys
with relative confidence and Pittman certainly with a lot of
confidence, Barry on the eagle side. It's just been a roller
coaster season for fantasy for Devon. A Smith. You really
never know what you're going to get
with a little bit of a boost that environment here. They
have the Colts. Are we, are we buying in a hot Devante Smith
week lukewarm? But
the, but I'm more in than out, I haven't wide receiver 23,
he's had it like he's, yeah, I think he's playable. He's had
at least eight Targets in two of the last three games here.
The Colts are really good against the run.
It is a top ten run defense over the last month and so
Miles Sanders who has no passing game involvement, and
the way they're going to move this ball is So I think through
the air, into your, to your point, it to Pat's point,
but the fact that like hey I think it's on narrow or Target tree
here. It's really going to be AJ Brown and Devante Smith with
no doubts Goddard. We'll see if anyone else emerges, you know,
they've got kind of this three-headed monster at tight
end. So we'll see if anyone else you know. And as they're
kind of, you know, do we get some Quest Watkins looks, you
know this week but I do think Devante Smith is playable as
a high-end wide receiver. Three this week, I'm nervous about
miles Sanders.
You know, if there's a positive here
there's a Floor 72% of the running back carry so far this
year.
He has had to have five rushing touchdowns in the last six
games. But really bad game. Last week.
No passing game usage. And again, as I said over the last
month called 7th best run defense in the NFL, he's always
a
risk to be vulture at the goal line by Jaylon hurts. He comes
in at running back, 24 me.
So a Lo + rb2 still start of. Oh, but
you know, not as optimistic, as you might be another weeks,
the fantasy poor matchup of the week, the ram.
Alms the Super Bowl champion Rams at the New Orleans. Saints,
the Saints are favored in this game by three points. The
over-under at 39, Karina feels like, this is the bottom shelf
area of the bar. This is the dollar beer section. What are
we cooking up? Yeah, I'm very familiar with that. It really
it away at the bar. Yeah, you're real liquor drinks here.
It's pretty simple for the Rams losing. Cooper cup is really
going to hurt this offense. Obviously, the offensive game
plan on the ramp side was designed to go through Cooper
cup but defensive game plans were designed to take him away.
He's been double-teamed on 30%.
Routes this season, that's tied with Jamar, Chase
and Davante Adams for the highest rate in the league.
But the crucial thing was that cup was still succeeding to
fight despite that additional defensive attention. He had
an elite 2.15 yard yards per route. Ron,
when double-teamed
without cup you're going to see a ton more defensive attention
to the other Rams Receivers I think that's going to more than
cancel out the additional targets. They might see Saints
are going to feel like they have an extra Defender this
week and then on the st. Side. Andy Dalton's play has really
dropped off over the last,
A couple weeks he ranks just 30th and EPA / play / that span
and that's been against middling pass defense has
the Steelers the Ravens they are not all that strong against
the pass. Gets another middling Rams pass defense here but
the Rams are very strong against the run.
So the Saints offense could be one-dimensional.
We have that mixed with
declining play from Dalton
that's mixed with a low scoring offense on the other side.
I do not recommend this cocktail.
Let me throw this to you
Super Bowl champion team,
do they have a fantasy relevant player in this game with
Cooper? Cup sidelines? No,
no,
no. I mean, it's it. You see it there in screen there. The
highest-ranked guy I have, I guess what
would be Allen? Robinson at wide receiver 31?
I mean, I've got Higby at Titan, 12 Stafford at QB 19,
but like Robinson's probably the quote unquote, most viable
I guess Higby is a top 12 tight end just because it's so awful.
But like
the, the sense of allowed one touchdown to a tight in this
entire year, one like they're really good against tight ends.
Only one Titan has over 40 yards against the Ain't
this this this year. So it's sort of shocking. The Run game
is a mess.
We don't know how the Cooper cup targets are going to be
distributed among all those guys,
you know? So it is,
I mean,
say to the second-best past events in the NFL over the last
four weeks. Like no, thank you. Like any of these guys? You're
starting your truly desperate.
It's insane to think a Super Bowl champion. Team coached by
John McVay doesn't have any fantasy relevant players on it,
but they don't it's crazy. Jay on the Saint side of things.
We're digging deep in this one, fellas. I mean, that's what
we're down to you right now,
jajuan Johnson. He's been
you know, consistently scoring touchdowns that's just about
it. Jarvis Landry is there. Is there anything he or is it
avoid at all cost? So much? There's not much. Yeah, this is
a far cry from the
NFC Championship. 2018 days when these
two teams were having
high scoring without sauce, the matchups and Kohlrabi Coleman
was killing bodies, right? Look I think that Jarvis Landry,
there's some outside chance. Like he had six targets last
week coming off the injury, maybe he gets
more of a workload. He did have 47 for 114 game but that was
back in week one with a different quarterback. So
that's really not coming back. Jajuan Johnson. Yes, I think
he's viable as again in the earth Smith. Moldova guy who's
going to be 34 35 and
probably has a better chance of touchdown and or sandbox is
based on his touchdown Equity lately but you're not feeling
good about anyone. All right,
you're starting a lobbying Camaro.
Yes, that's it. Yeah, pretty simple.
d.com.
Just want to. Thank you so much for watching, what you just
watched or at least being too lazy to click out of it. After
the, you know, autoplay just kept it going. So either way,
thank you so much for just letting it scroll by your screen.
And now I'd like to ask you respectfully, respectfully,
respectfully. Okay, respectfully,
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