>>> REPUBLICANS HAVE CREATED THE
BEST ECONOMY IN THE HISTORY OF
OUR COUNTRY AND THE HOTTEST JOB
MARKET AS WELL.
TAKE A LOOK.
TAKE A LOOK WHAT'S HAPPENED.
THIS IS THE HOTTEST PLACE
ECONOMICALLY ANYWHERE IN THE
WORLD RIGHT NOW.
LIZ: IT LOOKS LIKE PRESIDENT
TRUMP IS TAKING SPEAKER OF THE
HOUSE PAUL RYAN'S ADVICE.
THERE WERE REPORTS THIS WEEKEND
THAT RYAN HAD CALLED THE
PRESIDENT TO TELL HIM TO PLEASE
FOCUS ON THE ROBUST ECONOMY
RATHER THAN SOMEWHAT DIVISIVE
ISSUES LIKE THE MIGRANT CARAVAN.
PERHAPS DONALD TRUMP WAS
LISTENING, AS RALLIES IN INDIANA
AND MISSOURI WILL SEE HIM AFTER
THIS ONE IN OHIO, BUT ARE SOME
OF THE HOUSE RACES, HE'S AT A
GUBERNATORIAL RACE THERE, SOME
OF THE HOUSE RACES, THE VERY
ONES THAT WILL SPEAK VOLUMES
ABOUT HOW AMERICANS VIEW THE
PRESIDENT.
FOX NEWS' BRET BAIER HAS BEEN
LIVING AND BREATHING JUST ABOUT
EVERY RACE.
YOU JUST RAN DOWN HERE FROM
PROBABLY YOUR 50th APPEARANCE ON
DIFFERENT AREAS OF THIS FLOOR
AND IN THIS BUILDING.
TELL US SPECIFICALLY FIRST THE
BALANCE OF POWER, GIVE US A
SCENE SETTER.
>> FIRST OF ALL, HOUSE SPEAKER
PAUL RYAN WILL BE ON "SPECIAL
REPORT" TONIGHT 6:00 P.M. AND WE
WILL ASK ABOUT THAT PHONE CALL
AND ABOUT HIS ASK ABOUT THE
ECONOMY.
LIZ: THAT WAS ONE OF THE FIRST
THINGS THE PRESIDENT SAID IN
CLEVELAND JUST NOW.
>> I THINK YOU WILL SEE THAT
CLOSING ARGUMENT OVER THE NEXT
HOURS BEFORE TOMORROW.
LISTEN, DEMOCRATS HAVE TO PICK
UP 23.
THEY ARE IN A GOOD POSITION IN
THE HOUSE TO DO THAT, BUT IT'S
NOT A DEFINITE POSITION BECAUSE
A LOT OF THESE RACES ARE REALLY
ONE OR TWO POINTS SEPARATING
THEM, AND AS YOU KNOW, IT'S ALL
ABOUT TURNOUT.
WE HAVE ALREADY SEEN A VERY HIGH
EARLY VOTER TURNOUT ACROSS THE
COUNTRY.
34 MILLION PLUS ALREADY VOTED.
ONE OR TWO POINTS SHIFTING
EITHER WAY CAN CHANGE THE
DYNAMIC AND COULD EITHER HAVE
REPUBLICANS HONESTLY HOLDING ON
TO THE HOUSE, MAYBE DEMOCRATS
PICK UP 19 OR SO, OR THE
DEMOCRATS ROLL TO A BIG MAJORITY
IN THE HOUSE.
DIFFERENT PICTURE, MUCH BETTER
FOR REPUBLICANS.
LIZ: LET'S DIG DOWN INTO SOME OF
THE SENATE RACES YOU FEEL WILL
REALLY SET THE TONE FOR LOOKING
INSIDE VOTERS' MINDS ABOUT
WHETHER IT IS ABOUT THE ISSUES
OF THEIR PARTICULAR STATE, OR
ABOUT PRESIDENT TRUMP.
>> SENATE RACES OR HOUSE RACES?
LIZ: HOUSE RACES.
>> OKAY.
EARLY IN THE NIGHT, KENTUCKY 6,
THREE-TERM INCUMBENT ANDY BARR
IS GOING UP AGAINST A DEMOCRATIC
CHALLENGER, AMY McGRATH, A
LIEUTENANT COLONEL IN THE MARINE
CORPS, ONE OF THE FIRST FEMALE
FIGHTER PILOTS.
SHE'S RUNNING A RACE WHERE SHE
SHOULDN'T BE THAT CLOSE.
LIZ: SHE'S THE DEMOCRAT.
>> BUT IT'S REALLY CLOSE.
AND IT'S AN EARLY BELLWETHER.
SHE'S BEEN RUNNING A RACE ON
HEALTH CARE, PRIMARILY.
HER MOTHER HAD POLIO AND SHE
TELLS IT FROM A PERSONAL STORY,
REALLY HAMMERING THE REPUBLICANS
AND CONGRESSMAN BARR ON HEALTH
CARE.
LIZ: HERE'S AT THE BUSINESS
NETWORK I WAS LOOKING AT THE
COAL STRUCTURE AND COAL
SITUATION IN KENTUCKY.
I LOOKED ON THE KENTUCKY
GOVERNMENT SITE.
THEY SAID THE COAL INDUSTRY,
BOTH EASTERN AND WESTERN, COAL
PRODUCTION HAS CONTINUED TO
DECREASE EVEN AS PRESIDENT TRUMP
SUPPORTS IT.
ONLY UNION COUNTY WAS THE
EXCEPTION THERE.
>> YOU WOULD SAY THE ECONOMY AND
THOSE NUMBERS, THAT JOBS REPORT
OUT, WAS JUST SPECTACULAR.
LIZ: FABULOUS.
>> EVEN JIM BERNSTEIN, VICE
PRESIDENT BIDEN'S OLD ECONOMIC
ADVISER, SAID YOU COULDN'T ASK
FOR A BETTER REPORT BEFORE AN
ELECTION.
BUT IN RECENT RACES IT'S REALLY
TIGHT SO EARLY ON, THIS ONE,
KENTUCKY 6.
LIZ: WHAT ABOUT VIRGINIA?
>> THREE RACES ARE VERY TIGHT
BUT TWO WE ARE LOOKING AT.
VIRGINIA 2, SCOTT TAYLOR, IT'S A
VERY TIGHT RACE.
IT SHOULDN'T BE CLOSE, IT IS.
THE DEMOCRAT THERE, ELAINE
LORIA.
AND DAVE BRATT, REMEMBER HE TOOK
OUT ERIC CANTOR, THE GIANT
KILLER DOWN THERE, HE'S REALLY
IN A TIGHT RACE.
ABIGAIL SPANBERGER IS -- IF
VIRGINIA 2 AND VIRGINIA 7 ARE
REALLY TIGHT OR GOING TOWARDS
THE DEMOCRAT, IT COULD BE A VERY
LONG NIGHT FOR REPUBLICANS.
LIZ: I'M GOING TO BE ASSIGNED
NEW JERSEY.
SENATOR MENENDEZ VERSUS BOB
HUGIN.
THAT'S A HUGE SENATE BATTLE.
THERE ARE SOME KEY RACES ON THE
HOUSE SIDE.
THE DEMOCRAT WHO IS ANOTHER
VETERAN OF THE MILITARY, NAVAL
HELICOPTER PILOT, ALSO FORMER
PROSECUTOR, MOTHER OF THREE,
SHE'S THE DEMOCRAT UP AGAINST
JAY WEBER, WHO IS A STATE
ASSEMBLYMAN.
PRESIDENT TRUMP HAD TWEETED ON
JAY WEBER'S BEHALF.
SHE'S OUTRAISED MONEY BY A LONG
SHOT FOR HIM.
WHAT DOES THIS SAY ABOUT THAT
COUNTY WHICH INVOLVES WEST
ORANGE?
TRUMP WON IT BY JUST ONE POINT.
>> I THINK THAT THAT'S ANOTHER
BELLWETHER, REALLY, BECAUSE IF A
DEMOCRAT PULLS OFF THAT RACE, IF
MENENDEZ AS POLLS NOW SUGGEST
WIDENS HIS LEAD OVER HUGIN, I
THINK THAT THAT COULD BE AN
INDICATOR OF WHAT WE SEE LATER.
ON THE FLIPSIDE, IF IT'S REALLY
TIGHT AND REPUBLICANS PULL OUT
THE EARLY RACES, THAT COULD MEAN
THAT WE ARE IN FOR A LONG NIGHT
AND REPUBLICANS HAVE A SHOT TO
RETAIN CONTROL.
LIZ: HE IS NOT ON THE BALLOT,
BUT IS PRESIDENT TRUMP THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT SORT OF GHOST ISSUE
ON THE BALLOT?
HE'S ONSTAGE RIGHT NOW, AS YOU
CAN SEE, LIVE IN CLEVELAND.
HE'S TURNING OUT HUGE CROWDS.
BUT WHAT WILL HIS PEOPLE
DETERMINE IF IT'S A BLUE WAVE
WITH THE HOUSE?
>> IT WILL DETERMINE THAT THIS
IS A PUSHBACK ON THE 2016
ELECTION, THE FIRST TIME THAT
THE SO-CALLED RESISTANCE IS ABLE
TO VOTE AND --
LIZ: IT'S ACTUALLY NORMAL AFTER
MOST PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS,
BLUE OR RED.
>> EXACTLY.
BUT THIS PRESIDENT HAS MADE IT
ABOUT HIM.
SPECIFICALLY, HE'S GONE OUT
THERE AND MADE IT ABOUT HIM.
NOW, THIS ECONOMY IS BETTER THAN
MANY MIDTERMS WE HAVE SEEN IN
THE PAST.
THE SITUATION FOR TRUMP'S
SUPPORTERS ON JUDGES,
REGULATIONS, A LOT OF POSITIVES
ON THE THINGS THAT ARE DONE, BUT
THE PRESIDENT IS FOR HALF OF THE
COUNTRY, VERY DIVISIVE, AND IT
COULD MOTIVATE A LOT OF
DEMOCRATS.
LIZ: WE ARE MOTIVATED TO WATCH
YOU AND THE NEW POLLING SYSTEM
THAT FOX NEWS HAS PUT THROUGH
WITH THE ASSOCIATED PRESS.
IT WILL BE VOTER ANALYSIS VERSUS
OLD EXIT POLLS WHICH WERE WRONG.
>> RIGHT.
THAT'S BECAUSE WE HAVE FIVE DAYS
OF DATA, MORE THAN 125,000
INTERVIEWS, AS OPPOSED TO ASKING
PEOPLE WHEN THEY MOVE OUT.
LIZ: BRET BAIER, THANK YOU SO
MUCH.
I HOPE TO SEE YOU, BECAUSE I
WILL BE ON THE STATE OF NEW
JERSEY.
>> WE WILL COME TO YOU.
LIZ: FOX NEWS AND FOX BUSINESS.
GREAT TO HAVE YOU.
THANK YOU SO MUCH.
HE WILL BE DRINKING DIET COKE
ALL NIGHT.