Speaker 1: There is a fascinating development in the Republican primary for president,
which we've been following closely. I don't want to pretend that I'm coming to you today
and saying Trump is imminently going to lose this thing. Trump is still crushing everybody. But the
case that Nikki Haley is the only person, even theoretically in a position to challenge Trump
is a case that is stronger every passing day. With the polling data that we are seeing. Again,
I think unless Trump dies, he's the nominee. But is Nikki Haley going to be the only person
to even maybe give the guy a run for his money? Not Ron DeSantis. I think that's becoming obvious
at this point in time. Take a look at some of these numbers and let me know what you think. If
we start with the national numbers, just general election, Republican polling, national numbers,
Donald Trump is in a commanding lead now with more than 61% of the vote. Ron DeSantis is still in
second with 13%. But Nikki Haley is now within three points of DeSantis at ten. DeSantis 13,
Haley ten. There was a point in time at which it was the Santos 31 Nikki Haley won. Think about
that. DeSantis 31. Haley won and it is now 13 to 10. But these are the national numbers. As
maybe you know, the primary isn't held all in one day. It goes in order. And if we start with Iowa
in Iowa, Nikki Haley also is surging from behind Ron DeSantis and what was once DeSantis 28, Nikki
Haley, five, is now DeSantis, 13, Haley 14. So in that first caucus where Trump does have a lead,
but it is under 50%, Nikki Haley is basically tied with Ron DeSantis. And depending on how
she does in tomorrow night's debate, depending on what happens between now and when Iowa votes,
it's completely plausible that Nikki Haley ties to Santos in Iowa or actually comes in in second
place. We then move to New Hampshire. In New Hampshire, Nikki Haley is already easily in second
place and is the candidate that is surging the most in New Hampshire. It's Trump 45. Nikki Haley,
19. DeSantis isn't even in third place in New Hampshire. So you could have a situation where
Nikki Haley comes in second in Iowa and then second in New Hampshire. That's already much
better than anybody has been talking about for a long time. We then move to South Carolina. Now,
in South Carolina, the polling is about a month old. That being said, Nikki Haley was already
almost doubling Santas at the end at the middle of November with 19 in South Carolina, two to
Santos's ten. So once again, this is her home state, after all. Nikki Haley looking at a strong
second place in South Carolina. She may even be buoyed further by overperforming in Iowa,
overperforming in New Hampshire. And then finally, this. Then Nets next gets us to Nevada. Now,
the thing about Nevada is we don't. The polling we have is two months old. At that time, DeSantis was
still in second place. Nikki Haley was in third. My guess is if we got accurate polling today in
Nevada, Nikki Haley's doing way better than this early October, late September poll suggests. And
if she does well in Iowa, if she does well in New Hampshire, if she does well in South Carolina,
I only imagine that she will do even better in Nevada. So where does this all get us?
It still gets us to Trump becomes the nominee unless he dies or is imprisoned. And even then,
I think he might still win the nomination from prison. But it tells us that there is at least a
contingent of the Republican Party that realizes the future is not to Santos. Maybe there is an
interest in coalescing around somebody else. And maybe the most important takeaway is if something
were to happen to de Santos, rather, if something were to happen to Trump, Nikki Haley would be the
natural person to become the nominee rather than DeSantis. I don't think it will happen.
I don't think it will happen. But the numbers for Nikki Haley are absolutely fascinating.