73 POINTS UP, 25,400 IS THE
SCORE ON THE DOW.
NOW THIS.
IRAN HAS STARTED NAVAL EXERCISES
IN THE STRAITS OF HORMUZ.
COME ON IN WALID PHARES, FORMER
TRUMP POLICY ADVISOR.
WE'RE REPORTING THAT THEY'RE
THEY ARE NOT FOLK DO DO THAT,
ARE THEY?
>> THEY COULD DO THE ACTUAL
EXERCISE.
THEY HAVE DONE IT BEFORE.
THE QUESTION IS, HOW FAR WILL
THEY GO?
WILL THEY ACTUALLY BLOCK THE
DAMAGE THE INTERNATIONAL
PASSAGE.
OWN CAPACITY.
BRINKSMANSHIP OF CAPACITY WITH
GAMING WITH US.
I THINK THAT THE UNITED STATES
IS VERY MUCH ATTEND TIFF TO WHAT
THEY'RE DOING, WILL RESPOND IF
THE IRANIANS WILL CROSS THE RED
LINE.
STUART: THAT IS RATHER WEAK
THREAT, IF THEY TRY TO BLOCK THE
STRAIGHTS OF HORMUZ AND BLOCK
PASSAGE WITH 18,000 BARRELS OF
OIL A DAY --
ASHLEY: 18 MILLION.
STUART: 18 MILLION, IF THAT
HAPPENS, IRAN'S ECONOMY
ABSOLUTELY COLLAPSES.
IT WOULD BE ECONOMIC SUICIDE IF
THEY ARE DOING WHAT THEY SUGGEST
THEY MIGHT DO?
>> LET'S LOOK AT IT FROM THE
IRANIAN ECONOMY, THEIR ECONOMY
IS GETTING STRIKE AFTER STRIKE,
IN THEIR VIEW WITH
DEMONSTRATIONS TAKING PLACE
INSIDE THE COUNTRY, THEY ARE
COLLAPSING SLOW MOTION.
THIS COULD BE INJECTION, SO THE
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY WOULD
SAY WE DON'T WANT ANY PROBLEMS,
ESPECIALLY THE GULF NATIONS.
THE GULF NATIONS ARE JUST
ACROSS.
THEY ARE VERY CONCERNED ABOUT
ANY IRANIAN ACTION, NOT THE
UNITED STATES.
SO THIS IS A VERY DARING GAME BY
THE IRANIANS, FORCING OR
THINKING THAT THEY COULD FORCE
ADMINISTRATION WILL BUY THAT.
STUART: WALID, DO YOU THINK
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE, I DON'T
WANT TO PUT ODDS ON IT, BUT A
GOOD CHANCE, WITHIN A RELATIVELY
SHORT TIME, MAYBE A YEAR, THE
MULLAHS WILL BE OVERTHROWN BY
THEIR OWN PEOPLE?
>> GREATEST QUESTION OF THE
YEAR.
BUT LET ME TELL YOU THIS, IF WE
DO WHAT WE HAVE TO DO AS U.S.
ALLIES AND OUR ALLIES IN THE
REGION, BUT BACKING POLITICALLY,
JUST POLITICALLY THE OPPOSITION
AND CIVIL SOCIETY, THERE IS A
GREAT CHANCE.
WE'VE SEEN IT IN 2009, IN JUNE
OF 2009 WHEN 1.8 MILLION
IRANIANS WERE DEMONSTRATING IN
THE STREETS OF TEHRAN.
IMAGINE WE WOULD HAVE SAVED
STUART: YES INDEED.
MIKE POMPEO, SECRETARY OF STATE,
MET WITH TURKEY'S, TURKISH
OFFICIALS TODAY.
HE IS PUSHING FOR RELEASE OF THE
AMERICAN PASTOR, ANDREW BRUNSON.
THE ADMINISTRATION SLAPPED
SANCTIONS ON TURKEY, TWO TURKISH
OFFICIALS I SHOULD SAY.
ARE WE GOING TO GET THIS GUY
OUT?
>> YOU KNOW WHAT, STUART?
I'M VERY INTRIGUED.
I AM NEVER INTRIGUED IN GENERAL
BY ISSUES BUT THIS ONE INTRIGUES
ME I HAVE TO UNDERSTAND THE
EQUATION, VALUE OF JAILING THIS
MASS STORE, VERSUS RELATIONSHIP
ON ONE HAND?
AND ON THE OTHER HAND THE FACT
WE PUT THOSE SANCTIONS MEANS
THAT IT IS NOT GOING WELL.
THIS DOESN'T MEAN IT WON'T BE
RESOLVED.
IT WILL BE.
TURKISH LEADERSHIP --
DIRE STRAITS FOR ITS OWN ECONOMY
HAND IS NO POSITION TO HAVE
SANCTIONS PUT ON IT.
>> THE SANCTIONS ARE NOT JUST
ECONOMIC AND NOT JUST ON
LEADERS.
THE REAL IMPACT FOR TURKEY WHICH
IS TRADITIONALLY OUR ALLY IN
NATO IS DOMESTICALLY.
HAVE REAL GOOD RELATIONS THAT
THEY CLAIM WITH THE UNITED
STATES.
THAT IS WHY THE SANCTIONS WERE
VERY NARROW, ONLY DESIGNATE AD
COUPLE PERSONS, COUPLE OFFICIALS
BUT I THINK IN ANKARA, THERE IS
SERIOUS SEARCH TO FIND A
RESOLUTION BUT SAVING THE FACE
AT THE SAME TIME.
STUART: OUR STRONG ECONOMY GIVES