SO CAL -- SoCAL, AND MOLLY L
SO CAL -- SoCAL, AND MOLLY N
SO CAL -- SoCAL, AND MOLLY E
SO CAL -- SoCAL, AND MOLLY ,
WE BEGIN WITH BRET BAIER, WHO IS
WITH ME, GOING BE HERE THR
WITH ME, GOING BE HERE THU
WITH ME, GOING BE HERE THH
WITH ME, GOING BE HERE THU
WITH ME, GOING BE HERE THT
WITH ME, GOING BE HERE THE
AIR, OF COURSE, ARE A HOST OF
"SPECIAL REPORT."
I DIDN'T THINK ANYONE THOUGHT IT
WOULD BE WITHIN 100 VOTES.
>> 95 VOTES SEPARATE THESE TWO
CANDIDATES, YOU HAVE PRECINCTS
WHERE THEY ARE CALLING IT, STILL
TWO PRECINCTS OUT IN
WASHINGTON COUNTY THAT HAVE YET
TO BE COUNTED.
YOU HAVE 95 VOTES, YOU HAVE 1200
ABSENTEE BALLOTS IN
WASHINGTON --
>> Ed: IN THAT ONE COUNTY?
>> IN ONE COUNTY THAT WILL NOT
BE COUNTED UNTIL TOMORROW
MORNING, AND YOU HAVE ABOUT 1100
AND ALLEGHENY COUNTY THAT WILL
BE COUNTED WITHIN THE NEXT
14 MINUTES, ALREADY IN THE
COMPUTER AND SUPPOSED TO BE
DOWNLOADED WITHIN THE NEXT
14 MINUTES.
>> Ed: YOU HAVE BEEN REPORTING
ON THIS, SOMEWHERE AROUND 6,000
OR 7,000 TOTAL ABSENTEE ABOUT
MEG BALLOTS IN THESE COUNTIES.
SOME WE WILL SEE, AS YOU SAY, IN
THE NEXT MINUTES OR SO, BUT SOME
WILL ACTUALLY BE TABULATED,
COUNTED, AND REPORTED OUT
TOMORROW.
WE ARE UNLIKELY TO KNOW THE
WINNER TONIGHT.
>> WASHINGTON AND GREENE COUNTY
IS ALREADY SAYING THEY CAN'T GET
THEM COUNTED TONIGHT.
SO YOU'RE PROBABLY GOING TO BE
IN A SITUATION WHERE WE ARE NOT
GOING TO KNOW UNTIL TOMORROW
MORNING IF WE KNOW THEM.
REMEMBER THIS IS NOT A STATEWIDE
RACE, NOT AN AUTOMATIC RECOUNT,
BUT EITHER CAMPAIGN CAN TRIGGER
A RECOUNT BY GETTING THREE
VOTERS IN EACH PRECINCT TO SIGN
A FORM AND SAY, WE WANT A
RECOUNT.
>> Ed: IF THEY'RE WILLING TO
PAY FOR IT, STATE LAW SAYS THERE
WILL BE A RECOUNT.
YOU WOULD EXPECT WITH IT BEING
THIS CLOSE IT WOULD BE LIKELY.
>> HERE IS THE THING, THIS
DISTRICT HAS BEEN REDRAWN, AND
IF IT HOLDS UP IN COURTS, THIS
DISTRICT WILL NO LONGER BE
AROUND BY NOVEMBER.
>> SO THEY ARE SPENDING MILLIONS
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHS
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHD
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHS
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHA
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHD
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHY
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHT
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHI
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHS
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHA
AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON BOTHT
IS BLOWING UP.
WE ARE GOING TO GO LIVE IN A
MOMENT TO THE DISTRICT.
I WANT TO GET THE BIG PICTURE
FROM YOU FIRST, BRET, THIS IS
NOT A FIGHT FOR JUST A SEAT BUT
YOU HAVE DEMOCRATS TALKING ABOUT
A BLUE WAVE.
THERE IS SOMETHING TO BE SAID
FOR THE FACT THAT DONALD TRUMP
CARRIED THIS DISTRICT BY
20 POINTS IN 2016, PLUS HE ADDED
THE TAX CUT AND THE TARIFFS.
PEOPLE HAVE FATTER PAYCHECKS.
THE TARIFFS WERE IN THAT THIS
DISTRICT IN PARTICULAR.
EVEN IF THE REPUBLICANS PULL IT
OUT, IT HAS BEEN A STRUGGLE.
IT MAY NOT BE A GIANT BLUE WAVE,
BUT IT'S DEFINITELY A RIPPLE.
IF A DISTRICT WHERE TRUMP WON BY
20 POINTS AND THEY VOTED FOR
DEMOCRATS.
THIS IS NOT THE DEMOCRATS THAT
YOU HAVE SEEN ACROSS THE COUNTRY
AS FAR AS BEING MORE PROGRESSIVE
AS THE PARTY HAS LEANED TOWARDS
ERNIE SANDERS AND ELIZABETH
WARREN.
THIS IS CAPTAIN MY DEMOCRAT WHO
HAS CAMPAIGNED ON GUN RATES,
PRO-TAX LAW
, WHO IS BASICALLY WITH THE
UNIONS ON TARIFFS, SOMEBODY WHO
RAN AWAY FROM NANCY PELOSI AND D
RAN AWAY FROM NANCY PELOSI AND '
RAN AWAY FROM NANCY PELOSI AND T
RAN AWAY FROM NANCY PELOSI AND W
RAN AWAY FROM NANCY PELOSI AND N
RAN AWAY FROM NANCY PELOSI AND T
RAN AWAY FROM NANCY PELOSI AND A
RAN AWAY FROM NANCY PELOSI AND Y
HOLLYWOOD STARS IN THIS
CAMPAIGN, UNLIKE THAT GEORGIA
RACE WE SAW EARLIER.
>> Ed: BRET, STANDBY, WE'VE
GOT THIS iPAD, LITERALLY
TABULATING VOTES.
I WANT TO GO TO THE HEADQUARTERS
I WANT TO GO TO THE HEADQUARTER
HEADQUARTERS, WE WILL GIVE BRET
A CHANCE TO DIG INTO NUMBERS
WHILE MOLLY LINE IS STANDING BY.
WHAT ARE YOU SITTING ON THE
GROUND, MOLLY?
IS THERE EXCITEMENT AT THE
SACCONE HEADQUARTERS?
NOW HE IS CLOSER THAN HE HAS
EVER BEEN.
>> I THINK YOU MAY BE ABLE TO
HEAR SOME OF THE CHAIRS BEHIND
ME, ED.
THEY REMAIN HOPEFUL HERE AT THE
SACCONE HEADQUARTERS.
WE HAVE BEEN HEARING CHANCE OF
"RICK" THROUGHOUT THE EVENING,
AND WITHIN LAST HOUR, THE
OFFICIALS ON STAGE, CAME WITHIN
A COUPLE OF 100 VOTES, YOU CAN
HEAR A CHEER GO UP AS THOSE
NUMBERS GET CLOSER.
I WANT TO REFER TO WHAT BRET WAS
TALKING ABOUT, THINGS
POTENTIALLY NOT BEING OVER EVEN
AS WE ENTER TOMORROW MORNING AND
INTO THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
HER THAT THINGS MAY WELL TURN ON
ABSENTEE BALLOTS, THERE COULD
POTENTIALLY BE THOUSANDS OF
ABSENTEE BALLOTS.
INTERESTING THAT SOME OF THE
MOST INTERESTING NUMBERS HAVE
COME FROM ADNAN MY
WASHINGTON COUNTY, VERY CLOSE,
AND THAT MAY VERY WELL BE A
PLACE WE COULD SEE ELECTION
LAWYERS GATHERING TOMORROW
MORNING TO GET A CLOSER LOOK
AT THESE ABSENTEE BALLOTS.
YOU KNOW, YOU TALK ABOUT A
NARRATIVE, ED, AND WHAT WE HAVE
SEEN IN THE DISTRICT JUST WITHIN
THE LAST WEEK HAS BEEN AN
INCREDIBLE ALL HANDS ON DECK
APPROACH.
THE PRESIDENT, OF COURSE, MAKING
TWO STOPS HERE IN THE DISTRICT
OVER THE COURSE OF THIS
CAMPAIGN.
CAME ON SATURDAY HOLDING A BIG
RALLY.
ALSO HERE IN THE DISTRICT OVER
THE COURSE OF THE LAST MONTH,
THE VICE PRESIDENT,
VICE PRESIDENT MIKE PENCE, THE
FIRST DAUGHTER, DONALD TRUMP JR.
MADE A STOP YESTERDAY, ALSO
KELLYANNE CONWAY.
SPEAKS TO THE COMMITMENT THAT
HAS BEEN MADE.
ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE,
JOE BIDEN MADE A STOP HERE, AND
WE'VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT THE
ORGANIZED WAVES AND THE
INFLUENCE OF ORGANIZED LABOR.
IF LAMPPOST OFF A VICTORY OR
EVEN
COMES CLOSE TO PULLING OFF A
VICTORY, IT'S TO BE SEEN IN
DEMOCRATIC CIRCLES AS A MAJOR
WIN REGARDLESS.
SAYING THAT ESSENTIALLY THIS IS
A CLOSE RACE TO WATCH,
BELLWETHER, IN FACT, CONCERNING
A POTENTIAL WIN.
IT COULD BE A TELLING INDICATOR
THAT PEOPLE WANT CHANGE.
SO I THINK AS THE DAYS GO
FORWARD, REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
WE GET A WINNER TONIGHT OR
TOMORROW MORNING OR THE DAY
AFTER, WE MAY HEAR A NARRATIVE
DEVELOPING FROM DEMOCRATS THAT
THIS COULD BE SEEN AS A SUCCESS
FROM THEIR CIRCLE.
ED?
>> Ed: MOLLY, TWO HOURS AGO OR
SO, WE WERE GETTING REPORTS
SUGGESTING THAT SOME OF THE
SACCONE FOLKS WERE GOING HOME,
SOME MIGHT HAVE BEEN
DISAPPOINTED, OTHERS DIDN'T WANT
TO STAY UP ALL NIGHT.
AS YOU SEE BEHIND YOU, THERE IS
EXCITEMENT THERE, ELECTRICITY
FOR THE FIRST TIME.
THEY BELIEVE MAYBE HE DOES HAVE
A SHOT.
TALK ABOUT THAT BUT ALSO, ARE
YOU GETTING ANY INFORMATION ON
THE GROUND ABOUT A TIME FRAME?
IS THIS ALL JUST KIND OF UP IN
THE AIR?
IS THERE A SENSE THAT BY NOON
TOMORROW?
BY 3:00 P.M.?
ANY SENSE?
>> TO THIS POINT I HAVE NOT SEEN
PEOPLE TRICKLING OUT THROUGHOUT
THE NIGHT.
I THINK THE CROWD HAS STUCK
AROUND.
I'VE SEEN CHILDREN LEAVE, BUT
OTHER THAN THAT, THE ADULTS HAVE
STUCK AROUND.
IS THERE STILL SEEM TO BE SMILES
ON FACES, SO I DON'T THINK THEY
HAVE GIVEN UP HOPE IN THE
SACCONE CAMP.
AS FAR AS WHEN THIS COULD BE
OVER, I THINK THIS IS UNLIKELY
TO BE OVER TONIGHT, PROBABLY NOT
TOMORROW.
I POTENTIALLY COULD TAKE DAYS.
THEY SEEM LIKE THEY ARE LOOKING
AT THESE ABSENTEE BALLOTS AND IT
MAY TAKE A LITTLE WHILE TO GET
THE JOB DONE.
ED?
>> Ed: MOLLY, WILL GET BACK TO
IN A MOMENT.
I WILL NOW WANT TO GET IN
CHRIS STIREWALT, FOXNews.com
POLITICAL EDITOR, MAN ABOUT
TOWN.
>> OR SOMETHING.
SOMETHING.
>> MIGHT HAVE GOTTEN THE TITLE
WRONG.
WE ARE GOING WITH IT RIGHT NOW.
THIS IS A WILD STORY TO SAY THE
LEAST.
THE DOCTOR, WHAT SAY YOU?
>> THIS IS WHAT I LIVE FOR.
THIS IS THE BEST.
YOU ARE DOWN TO THE VERY END.
JUST GOT A BUNCH OF BOATS DUMPED
IN, ALLEGHENY COUNTY BOATS.
CONOR LAMB PUT HIS MARGIN BACK
UP TO ABOUT WHERE HE HAS SEEN
IT, BUT AS YOU GUYS WERE TALKING
ABOUT BEFORE, WASHINGTON COUNTY,
WHICH IS PARTLY SUBURBAN
PITTSBURGH ON THE NORTHERN SIDE,
ON THE EASTERN SIDE, BUT ALSO
HIS CALL COUNTRY, THERE ARE
PLENTY OF VOTES FOR BOTH OF
THESE CANDIDATES IN
WASHINGTON COUNTY.
WHEN THE ABSENTEES GET COUNTED
TOMORROW, AT THIS THING COULD
REALLY, REALLY, REALLY GO EITHER
WAY.
THIS IS PRETTY REMARKABLE WHEN
YOU THINK ABOUT IT.
>> Ed: WOW.
CHRIS, WHAT WAS YOUR SENSE, SOME
OF THE MODELS WE TALKED ABOUT,
THE MONMOUTH UNIVERSITY POLL WAS
SUGGESTING --
>> [BLOWS RASPBERRY]
>> Ed: THAT HAD DIFFERENT
MODELS, THREE DIFFERENT MODELS
OF WHO MIGHT SHOW UP.
WHAT IS YOUR SENSE OF WHO SHOWED
UP?
>> MY FIRST SENSE WAS THAT THEY
SHOULD START PICKING POLLS
INSTEAD OF SAYING IT COULD BE
1 OF 11 DIFFERENT THINGS, AND IF
SOMEBODY WEARS A BASEBALL CAP
AND SOMETHING ELSE, IT IS SILLY
BUSINESS.
THE OTHER THING IS, THIS RACE
IS -- WHATEVER ELSE HAPPENS -- I
CARE ABOUT THIS AS A POLITICAL
NERD.
I CARE ABOUT THESE INDIVIDUAL
THINGS, THESE COUNTIES.
IN THE LARGER MOTIF, IT IS
FITTING INTO A PIECE.
BRET MENTIONED IT EARLIER AND IT
IS TRUE.
THE AVERAGE ADVANTAGE FOR
DEMOCRATS IN RACES COMPARED TO
THE 2016 PERFORMANCE IS
16 POINTS.
THAT IS HOW MUCH DEMOCRATS ARE
DOING BETTER.
THEY HAVE DONE BETTER IN THESE
DISTRICTS AND THESE RACES THAN
HILLARY CLINTON DID AN DEMOCRATS
DID IN 2016, 16 POINTS.
THIS IS 20 POINTS, A 20-POINT
IMPROVEMENT.
THE LARGER, THE MATTER TAKE
AWAY, IT IS MORE THAN A RIPPLE,
IT MIGHT BE A WAY OF, THAT IS A
BIG NUMBER.
>> Ed: LET ME BRING BRET IN AS
WELL.
BRET, HOW NERVOUS WOULD
REPUBLICANS BE THAT EVEN IF THEY
PULL THIS OUT, CHRIS IS TALKING
ABOUT, DEMOCRATS HAVE A LOT OF A
LOT OF ENERGY.
>> IF THEY DO.
IN THIS PARTICULAR DISTRICT, YOU
KNOW, AS FAR AS BEING A
BELLWETHER, I DON'T KNOW IF
THAT'S THE CASE.
BOTH PARTIES SPENDING A LOT OF
MONEY ON THIS ONE RACE.
YOU HAVE A LOT OF FACTORS THAT
COULD CHANGE BETWEEN NOW AND
NOVEMBER, BUT CLEARLY ENTHUSIASM
IS ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE, AND
YOU CAN'T DISCOUNT THAT.
THIS CANDIDATE THOUGH IS
DIFFERENT, AND CONOR LAMB RAN A
REALLY GREAT RACE.
HE OUTFUND RAISED SACCONE.
HE IS A MARINE, HE RAN AWAY FROM
NANCY PELOSI.
THIS IS KIND OF A DIFFERENT
ANIMAL.
>> Ed: ANOTHER FACTOR IS A
LIBERTARIAN CANDIDATE THAT
PRETTY MUCH NONE OF US WERE
TALKING ABOUT, HE IS ON TWITTER
SAYING THAT MAYBE HE IS GOING TO
DECIDE TO THIS RACE.
>> JUST A FEW MINUTES AGO, DREW
GRAY MILLER, "WE ARE ONLY A FEW
HOURS AWAY FROM ME BEING THE
MOST HATED MAN IN AMERICA, SPEED
37."
OF COURSE IT'S GOING TO GO ONE
WAY OR THE OTHER, IT DOESN'T
MATTER.
>> Ed: SO IF HE IS NOT IN THE
RACE, THOSE 1300 VOTES GO TO THE
TWO WITHIN 1300 VOTES WITHIN ONE
ANOTHER, SO THE LIBERTARIAN
CANDIDATE, DID YOU SEE HIM
COMING?
>> [LAUGHS]
WE WERE ATTRACTING HIM, A BOGEY
ALL THE WAY IN.
THE THING TO REMEMBER ABOUT
THIRD PARTY VOTES IS, THEY DON'T
BELONG TO EITHER SIDE.
IF YOU ARE WILLING TO GO OUT AND
FOUL WEATHER IN WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, IF YOU'RE WILLING
TO GO OUT AND GO VOTE FOR A
LIBERTARIAN CANDIDATE, YOU
PROBABLY MEANT TO GO DO THAT.
YOU ARE PROBABLY NOT AN
AVAILABLE VOTE TO EITHER PARTY.
>> AL GORE FOR MANY YEARS WAS
ANGRY AT RALPH NADER GOING BACK
TO THE 2000 CAMPAIGN.
BUT RALPH NADER, AND STATES LIKE
FLORIDA, HELPED TILT THE BALANCE
AND PULLED VOTES FROM AL GORE.
THIS CANDIDATE, OUT OF NOWHERE,
MAY THROW A RACE THAT IS SEEN AS
A BELLWETHER, WHETHER IT IS OR
NOT.
>> IT IS ALL ABOUT THE
NARRATIVE, THE SPIN.
REPUBLICANS, THEY HAVE REASONS
TO BE JITTERY BECAUSE OF THE
TURNOUT HERE FOR THE DEMOCRATS.
BUT IF THEY WIN, IT IS LESS SO.
IF THEY LOSE, IT IS GOING TO BE
HEINOUS.
IT'S NOT GOING TO FEEL GOOD.
DEMOCRATS ARE GOING TO RUN FOR
THE RACES AND SAY THIS IS AN
INDICATION OF WHAT NOVEMBER IS
GOING TO SHOW.
SO FAR, ALL THE ALLEGHENY
ABSENTEES COMING IN, THAT MEANS
THERE IS ROUGHLY ABOUT 3200
ABSENTEES LEFT, AND AS WE
MENTIONED, WASHINGTON AND GREENE
COUNTIES, PLACES WHERE SACCONE
SHOULD DO BETTER, BUT THEY ARE
SMALLER PRECINCTS.
SO WHETHER THE VOTES EQUAL THE
NUMBER IS REALLY THE QUESTION.
>> Ed: BRET, IN TERMS OF THIS
WHOLE IDEA, ON THE OTHER HAND,
DEMOCRATS CAME CLOSE BUT NO
CIGAR IN FOUR AT SPECIAL
ELECTIONS FOR HOUSE SEATS,
GEORGIA, KANSAS, ET CETERA, OVER
THE LAST YEAR OR SO, THAT MAY
HAPPEN AGAIN.
THE REPUBLICANS HAVE ANY HOPE OF
COMING OUT OF THIS SAYING, YOU
KNOW WHAT, IT WAS TOUGH, FACING
THESE POLITICAL HEADWINDS.
WIN OR LOSE, SACCONE, WHO PEOPLE
WITHIN THE WHITE HOUSE TOLD ME
IN THE LAST 48 HOURS, HORRIBLE
CANDIDATE, NOT RAISING MONEY, IS
THERE SOME MEASURE OF VICTORY,
WIN OR LOSE, THAT THE PRESIDENT
WENT IN THERE AND HELP TIGHTEN
THIS RACE BIG TIME?
HE WAS DOWN, 6, 8 POINTS.
>> IF HE WINS, IT MAKES IT MUCH
EASIER NARRATIVE DETAIL.
BUT IN A DISTRICT WHERE THE
PRESIDENT ONE BACK BY 20, -- WON
BY 20, AT THE LOCATE IT AND SAY
YIPPEE.
BUT THEY CAN LOOK AT A CANDIDATE
THAT IS NOT THE TRADITIONAL
DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE AND SAY THE
EQUATION IS GOING TO POINT OUT
THAT NANCY PELOSI WAS NOT A
FACTOR FOR THIS CANDIDATE, AND I