WATER, BUT IT'S CLEAR THAT
SOUTH FLORIDA IS GETTING THE
MESSAGE THAT NOW IS THE TIME TO
PREPARE.
WE WILL HAVE TEAM COVERAGE ON
ALL OF THAT BUT FIRST LET'S
CHECK IN WITH OUR CHIEF
METEOROLOGIST.
NEW ADVISORIES AND UPDATES
TO THE FORECAST TRACK.
FIRST OFF, WE ARE BREAKING ROCK
-- RECORDS IN THE WAY WE DON'T
WANT TO, AND THAT'S IN THE
DEPARTMENT OF HURRICANE
INTENSITY. YOU HARDLY EVER SEE
THIS HERE ON CBS4.
MOST OF THE THINGS WE TALK
ABOUT HER IN THE GULF.
WINDS -- ABOUT HERE ARE IN THE
GULF.
WINDS ARE SUSTAINED AT 185 WITH
GUSTS WELL OVER 200 MILES AN
HOUR.
THAT PUTS IT WELL INTO CATEGORY
FIVE WITH PRESSURE FAIRLY LOW.
THE HIGHER THE WIND, THE LOWER
THE PRESSURE. RIGHT NOW LOOKING
AT 180 MILES EAST OF ANTIGUA,
MOVING WEST AT 15 MILES AN
HOUR, SO IT'S ABOUT EIGHT HOURS
AWAY FROM THE CENTER PASSING
VERY CLOSE TO, IF NOT FOR --
RIGHT OVER, BARBUDA AND ANTIGUA
. WE SHOW YOU THIS ORANGE
GOLDISH AREA.
THAT'S THE STORM -- IRMA
CONTINUES TO GROW AS WELL AS
INTENSIFY.
HERE'S THE FUTURE TRACK AS WE
GO THROUGH TIME HERE.
THIS IS 2 PM ON WEDNESDAY, SO
IT'S IN THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND 2 PM ON WEDNESDAY.
WEDNESDAY EVENING, IT'S PASSING
VERY CLOSE TO OR JUST NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO.
THEN HERE WE ARE IN THE
THURSDAY TIMEFRAME AND THE
FORECAST IS CATEGORY FIVE
THROUGHOUT THIS TIME PERIOD
HERE.
SO JUST NORTH OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC, OR NEAR, IF NOT ON
THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC, AND THEN FURTHER
NORTH, TURKS AND CAICOS AND
SOUTHEAST PECOS -- HERE'S THE
TIMEFRAME, AND THIS IS WHERE
CHANGES ARE STARTING TO TAKE
PLACE IN THE FORECAST COHEN.
THE HURRICANE CENTER HAS MOVED
THEIR FOR DAY.-- FOUR DAY POINT
A LITTLE TO THE -- BRINGING THE
CENTER OVER CUBA. WE WOULD
EXPECT DISRUPTION TO THE
STORM'S INTENSITY, PROBABLY NOT
THE OVERALL STORM, BUT THAT
MIGHT BRING THE INTENSITY DOWN
JUST A BIT.
IF IT STAYS OVER THE WATER,
IT'S LIKELY TO STAY VERY VERY
HIGH IN CATEGORY FOUR AND THEN
SUNDAY IN THE 2 PM FRONT --
TIMEFRAME, THIS IS ALSO A
CHANGE BECAUSE THE PREVIOUS
POINT WAS VERY CLOSE TO THIS
POINT AND NOW BASICALLY WE ARE
LOOKING AT A SLOWING STORM AS
IT'S MAKING THE TURN.
THE CONE -- TOWARD THE CENTER,
NOT THE WHOLE STORM.
SO REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE EVEN
NEAR THE STORM HERE YOU WILL
FEEL THIS STORM.
YOU CAN SEE, THERE'S A PRETTY
GOOD GROUP IN HERE.
IT IS SPREAD OUT A LITTLE BIT,
MEANING THAT WE ARE GETTING A
LITTLE BIT MORE UNCERTAIN WITH
THE EXACT TRACK.
SOME OF THE MODELS TAKE THIS
OVER TOWARD CUBA AND SOME JUST
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF US AND THEN
HERE COMES THE TURN.
THIS IS THE SUNDAY TIME PERIOD,
SO THIS IS THE TURN TO THE
NORTH THAT STARTS TO TAKE PLACE.
THIS IS VERY FAR TO THE SOUTH.
VERY BAD APPROACH FOR SOUTH
FLORIDA.
THE EURO MODEL BRINGS THIS
NORTH OF THE KEYS AND JUST TO
THE WEST HIM OF THE GFS TAKES
IT RIGHT UP ALONG THE COAST.
OBVIOUSLY SOME POSITION IN THE
MIDDLE IS PROBABLY A REASONABLE
ASSUMPTION, BUT NEITHER OF
THESE IS GOOD FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THERE'S REALLY NO GOOD WAY
TO DO THIS.
BOTH OF THESE ARE PRETTY BAD
FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
FURTHER TO THE NORTH, IT RUNS
UP AND YOU SEE THE DIFFERENCE
IN TIMING HERE WITH THE GFS A
LITTLE FASTER THAN THEM -- THAN
THE EUROPEAN MODEL.
THERE IS IRMA.
WOW, THERE IS THAT -- LOOK AT
THAT. YOU CAN SEE THE EYEWALL
THERE AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
TO THE WEST, BEARING DOWN ON
BERMUDA AND ANTIGUA. AND THEN
THE BIGGER PICTURE WITH RICK --
WITH RESPECT TO SOUTH FLORIDA,
THERE WE ARE LOOKING BACK TO
THE SOUTHEAST. THE TIMELINE IS
BASICALLY UNCHANGED. TOMORROW
AND THURSDAY THE WEATHER MADE
-- REMAINS GOOD.
NO PROBLEMS WITH PREPARATIONS.
I STILL THINK FRIDAY IS OUR
LESS GOOD WEATHER DAY FOR
PREPARATIONS BECAUSE THE STORM
GETS CLOSE TO US, AND THEN IT
SLOWS DOWN, SO THE WEATHER IS