All right, we won the underdog pick on the Winnipeg Jets yesterday, as they shut out
the Flames 4-0. I'm Professor MJ and I teach statistics to university students in Canada.
I'm super pumped that you have chosen to watch my sports betting YouTube channel, thanks
for being here man!
Do you want a good hockey pick by Professor MJ?
My 10 NHL betting systems are recommending to bet 4 teams today. However, as usual, I
don't bet them blindly as I incorporate more factors into the decision process. One of
them is the odds. I have mentioned before that I tend to stay away from teams whose
money line is greater than +160 in American format, or 2.60 in decimal odds. Do you want
some convincing proof of how badly the betting strategies have done on such big underdogs?
In 2021, we would have placed 118 bets on teams that fit at least one of my NHL betting
system and that also had a money line above +160. If we would have risked just one unit
per wager, we would have lost 17.52 units. That's a horrible return on investment of
-17.5%. So, do you understand better why I'm trying to avoid those big dogs, as much as
I can?
That being said, I'm going to make an exception today, but because of the numbers we just
saw, I highly recommend to proceed with caution. Personally, I placed a smaller bet.
So, my top NHL pick for Thursday May 6 goes to the Vancouver Canucks at +242 odds, or
3.42 in decimal, with the Pinnacle sportsbook.
Remember that I also took them a couple of days, and they lost. Hopefully, the second
time will be a charm. This time, we have 3 betting systems indicating to bet the Canucks:
"The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold versus Hot Team Matchup".
As mentioned two days ago, I also like the fact that Edmonton is pretty much locked into
the number two seed in the North division, so they may not have high motivation and could
already be looking ahead to the playoffs. Granted, they certainly want Connor McDavid
to reach the 100-point plateau.
We also have the revenge factor going our way since the Oilers have beaten the Canucks
on May 3rd and May 4th. Maybe Vancouver can steal a game this time? I guess we'll find
out tonight!
If you have not done it already, subscribe to this sports betting YouTube channel and
turn the notifications "on" so that you are aware when I release new content. Another
quick assignment to you by the professor: did you watch my video called "Stop Doing
Parlays?". Super important stuff in it since a lot of sports gamblers make the big mistake
of betting parlays all the time. This is very detrimental to your bankroll in the long run,
and this video shows you jaw-dropping numbers to convince you. So, subscribe to this YouTube
channel, and go ahead and watch this very informative video. I'm Professor MJ saying
so long!