>>> GOOD EVENING. OFF THE TOP AT 11. WET START TO THE WEEK AS SUB
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE TAKES
AIM AT SOUTH FLORIDA.
PARTS OF THE EAST COAST
ALREADY UNDER A SATELLITE OF
EMERGENCY.
NICOLE MAY BE A HURRICANE WHEN
IT MAKES LAND FALL LATER ON
THIS WEEK.
>> HURRICANE WATCH AND WE HAVE
LIVE TEAM COVERAG.
WE ARE STANDING BY WITH THE
PREPARATION UNDER WAY.
>> WE BEGIN WITH THE BEINGS
AUTHORITY TEAM.
HURRICANE SPECIALIST AND STORM
SURGE EXPERT MICHAEL AND BETTY
DAVIS WITH US AND VERY LATEST
FOR US.
TAKE IT AWAY.
>>Reporter: GOOD EVENING
EVERYONE.
LET’S GET YOU THE LATEST
ADVISORY ON SUB TROPICAL STORM
NICOLE.
WINDS 45 MILES PER HOUR.
SO NOT A LOT OF CHANGE WITH
THE INTENSITY.
MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH WEST
AT 8 MILES PER HOUR.
AND CLEARLY IT’S A SYSTEM THAT
STILL NEEDS TO ORGANIZE IN
ORDER TO ACHIEVE THAT
HURRICANE STRENGTH AND MICHAEL
WILL TALK MORE ABOUT THAT.
IN THE MEAN TIME HERE IS THE
FORECAST CONE ON SUBTROPICAL
STORM NICOLE. NO HUGE CHANGE
HERE MOVING WEST WARD WISHING
THROUGH TUESDAY BASED ON THE
FORECAST.
AND THEN BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
EARLY THURSDAY IT STARTS TO
APPROACH THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA.
HEAD TO LAND FALL AND IT’S
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A
HURRICANE.
THEY ARE SHOWING IT AS
CATEGORY ONE AS IT NEARS THE
HAND FALL.
SO IT MOVES OVER THE NORTH
WEST BAHAMAS AND MAKES A MOVE
ON OVER TOWARD THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA.
NOW AS FAR AS PRECISELY
PINPOINTING WHERE THAT LAND
FALL WILLOW OCCUR, WE CAN’T BE
QUITE THAT DETAILED JUST YET
BUT CLEARLY YOU CAN SEE IT’S
ON A TRACK THAT TAKES IT IN
THE VICINITY OF THE COAST OF
PALM BEACH COUNTY MAYBE NORTH
OF OR MAYBE SOUTH OF AND AS
MENTIONED AS HURRICANE.
SO TRACKING NICOLE.
BIG SYSTEM THAT IT IS WE ARE
GOING TO EXPECT AN INCREASE IN
THE RAINFALL ACROSS OUR AREA.
WE’LL TALK MORE ABOUT THE WIND
RELATED TO THE SYSTEM BUT AS
WE BRING IN MICHAEL WE WANT TO
TALK MORE ABOUT THE COASTAL
IMPACTS MICHAEL.
CAN’T UNDERESTIMATE THAT.
IMPACTS MICHAEL.
CAN’T UNDERESTIMATE THAT.
>>Reporter: YES YOU ARE RIGHT ON THAT. THAT IS SOMETHING THAT WE ARE
VERY CONFIDENT IN.
THIS IS GOING TO BE A BIG WIDE
RANGING COASTAL IMPACT HERE
FOR MOST OF THE THAT COAST
BEHIND.
TAKE A LOOK AT THE END HANSED
SATELLITE PICTURE THIS EVENING
AND WHAT YOU WILL SEE HERE IS
THIS LOOKS LIKE A BIG COMMA
SHAPED WEATHER SYSTEM.
DOESN’T LOOK LIKE THE TYPICAL
VERY CONVENTIONAL LOOKING
TROPICAL STORM.
PALL OF CONVEX RECOMMEND
ASSEMBLE A COMMA HEAD AND THE
STRONGEST WIND WELL AWAY FROM
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
IT’S REALLY THE WIND ONLY 2%
OF TROPICAL OR SUB TROPICAL
SYSTEMS IN THE ATLANTIC HAVE
WINDS AS FAR REACHING AS THIS
ONE.
SO IT IS REALLY THE ACCIDENT
AND SIZE OF THIS ONE THAT
MAKES US CONFIDENT THIS IS A
BIG COASTAL EVENTS.
WIND FOR THE MOST PART
TROPICAL STORM FORCE OR
HISTORY WE ARE WATCHING THOUGH
THE CONVEX THERE TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF YOUR SCREEN.
RIGHT IN HERE.
TO SEE THIS PERSIST IN THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.
IF IT DOES THAT MAY HELP TO
LOWER THE PRESSURE FOR THE TO
REMEMBER TO ORGANIZE AS OUR
COMPUTER MODEL HAVE FORECAST.
THE STORY HERE THOUGH IS NOT
ONLY THE LOW PRESSURE TO THE
SOUTH BUT ALSO THE HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH.
DIFFERENCE IN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT OF THE HIGH PRESSURE
THAT IS COMING DOWN FROM
CANADA THAT THE NORTHEAST
STATES IS DIAGNOSE TO PRODUCE
THE STRONG LONG STRETCH OF
WINDS ACROSS THE OCEAN AND
THAT’S THE CONCERN HERE IS
THAT PROLONGED WIND OVER LONG
PERIOD OF TIME PUSHING THE
WATER TOWARD THE SHORE CAUSING
ALL SORTS OF COASTAL ISSUES.
THE WAVES RIGHT NOW NOTE TOO
BAD BUT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WE EXPECT THE WIND AND SEA
OFFSHORE TO REACH UP TO 30
FEET.
NOW THIS IS OFFSHORE BUT AS WE
KIND OF GET THAT WEDNESDAY YOU
CAN SEE THE SEAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST LANE HERE 5 TO 10 FEET.
THESE ARE WAVES THAT ARE
BREAKING ON TOP OF STORM
SURGE.
THAT’S THE STILL WATER RISE IN
THE WATER FROM THE STRONG
WINDS AROUND THIS DEVELOPING
TROPICAL SYSTEM.
2 TO FOUR FEET THE STORM SURGE
FORECAST IS FOR PARTS OF
BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTY.
A LITTLE BIT LESS DOWN HERE
BUT WE ARE GOING INTO THE
HIGHEST TIDE OF THE SEASON.
SOME OF THE HIGHEST TIDE OF
THE SEASON HITTING THE FULL
MOON TOMORROW AND THAT IS WHAT
WE ARE GOING TO BE LOOKING
FOR.
HIGH TIDE DURING THE MORNING
HOURS.
TOMORROW MORNING.
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THEN MAYBE EVEN INTO THURSDAY
MORNING WHEREAS THE TIDE COMES
IN AND WE HAVE THE HIGH
TIDES, YOU HAVE THE BREAKING
WAVES THAT ARE RUNNING UP THE
SHORELINE CAUSING THE COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.
CERTAINLY THIS IS NOT A
SITUATION WHERE YOU WANT TO GO
INTO THE WATER AND SURF.
THESE ARE NOT GOOD SURF
CONDITIONS.
SO PLEASE STAY OUT OF THE
WATER.
WE’LL SEACOAST TALL FLOODING.
WIDE SPREAD MINOR MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING IN ALL THE
FAMILIAR SPOTS ESPECIALLY
BISCAYNE BAY.
EVEN THOUGH DOWN HERE IN
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY PARTS OF
BROWARD COUNTY YOU ARE UNDER A
STORM SURGE WATCH, WE ARE IN
THE UNDER A STORM SURGE WATCH
EXPLICITLY WITH THE WAVES.
AGAIN WE EXPECT VERY BAD
DETERIORATING COASTAL
CONDITIONS STARTING TOMORROW.
WORSE ON WEDNESDAY AND THEN
PETTY WILL TALK MORE ABOUT
THIS LATER IN THE SHOW, BY
THURSDAY WE GET THE WRAP
AROUND SIDE TO THE SYSTEM WITH
THE DRIER WEATHER AND THEN
CERTAINLY BY FRIDAY THINGS
CLEARING OUT.
BUT FEW BAD DAYS AHEAD OF US.
SOME REALLY NASTY COASTAL