>>>
>>> A
>>> A WARRIOR HELPED US SO MUCH . SHE DIDN'T WOBBLE THIS AT
ALL.
ALL.
ALL. MARTHA McSALLY.
MARTHA McSALLY. >> I JUST WANT TO SAY I HAVE A
MESSAGE FOR THE LIBERAL HACK
MEDIA IN THE BACK, ARIZONA IS
GOING TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER TO
KEEP AMERICA GREAT AND SEND
PRESIDENT TRUMP BACK TO THE
WHITE HOUSE.
WHITE HOUSE. >> PRESIDENT TRUMP AT HIS RALLY
LAST WEEK PRAISING SENATOR
MARTHA McSALLY BECAUSE SHE
DIDN'T WOBBLE ON IMPEACHMENT.
McSALLY RETURNING THE FAVOR
WITH A FLOURISH.
WELCOME BACK TO "SUNDAY SQUARE
OFF".
OFF".
OFF". VETERANS MEMORIAL COLISEUM WAS
PACKED.
PACKED.
PACKED. ALMOST 40,000 PEOPLE WERE
THERE.
THERE.
THERE. IT
THERE. IT WAS A REPUBLICAN RALLY IN A
STATE THAT IS TURNING PURPLE.
WE HAVE MORE EVIDENCE OF THAT.
A POLL SHOWING McSALLY TRAILING
MARK KELLY BUT ALMOST SEVEN
POINTS.
POINTS.
POINTS. JOINING US TO DISCUSS ONE OF
THE HOTTEST RACES IN THE
COUNTRY, AN ATTORNEY AT BALLAD
STAR.
STAR.
STAR. AND
STAR. AND PAUL BENTZ, HE IS THE
POLLSTER ON McSALLY. WELCOME
BACK TO YOU BOTH.
ROY, YOU ARE DOING ELECTION
WORK FOR DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES.
>> THAT'S RIGHT.
>> PUT THAT UP THERE.
MARK KELLY SUPPORTED BY 46% OF
RESPONDENTS.
RESPONDENTS. MARTHA McSALLY, 39.3%.
ABOUT 12% UNDECIDED OR REFUSED
TO ANSWER.
TO ANSWER. WHAT DOES THAT SAY AND I WANT
TO GET TO THE HIGH NAME
RECOGNITION, MARK KELLY, HE IS
AT 65%?
AT 65%?
AT 65%? >> YES.
>> YES.
>> YES. >> MARTHA McSALLY AT 80%.
WHAT DOES IT SAY WITH THAT HIGH
NAME RECOGNITION CAN'T BREAK
40% IN A POLL?
>> WHAT IT SAYS IS THAT THIS IS
GOING TO BE A LONG ELECTION
CYCLE.
CYCLE.
CYCLE. WE
CYCLE. WE HAVE EIGHT MONTHS LEFT.
ONE OF THE COMMERCIAL BREAKS
TODAY, I'M SURE WE WILL SEE ONE
OF THOSE ATTACK ADS.
ABOUT 35% OF THE ELECTRIC
DOESN'T KNOW WHO MARK KELLY IS.
WE ARE GOING TO SEE A LOT TO
FRAME WHO HE IS OR IS NOT.
>> IS THAT CAUSE FOR DEMOCRATS
TO GO YES, WE'VE GOT THIS?
>> YOU CAN'T TAKE ANYTHING FOR
GRANTED BUT CERTAINLY THE
RESULTS IS REALLY BAD FOR
MARTHA McSALLY.
MARTHA McSALLY. TO THAT NAME RECOGNITION PIECE,
YOU HAVE A HIGH NAME
RECOGNITION AND YOU WERE STILL
DOWN BY SIX POINTS, AT LEAST
FOR ME, THAT SIGNIFIES THAT
VOTERS KNOW YOU ARE AND DON'T
WANT YOU TO COME BACK.
>> WHAT COULD BE THE REASON FOR
THAT?
THAT?
THAT? SHE'S ONLY BEEN IN OFFICE FOR
WHAT, A YEAR NOW?
NOT A VERY LONG TIME.
WHY DOES THAT SHE CONNECT WITH
VOTERS?
VOTERS?
VOTERS? >> SHE LOST.
LET'S REMEMBER THAT.
SHE LOST TO KYRSTEN SINEMA.
SHE WAS APPOINTED TO THE
POSITION.
POSITION.
POSITION. WHY SHE HASN'T APPROVED?
I'M NOT SURE.
FROM MY OPINION, SHE HASN'T
IMPROVED AS FAR AS CONNECTING
WITH PEOPLE.
WITH PEOPLE. ALESSE CHANGES, SHE'S GOING TO
BE IN TROUBLE.
>> YOU DON'T GET A SECOND
CHANCE TO MAKE A FIRST
IMPRESSION.
IMPRESSION. IS THAT TRUE IN POLITICS AS
WELL?
WELL?
WELL? THIS IS A RARE SITUATION.
IS THAT SOMETHING JUST
OVERCOME?
OVERCOME?
OVERCOME? >> ABSOLUTELY.
>> ABSOLUTELY. SHE NEVER REALLY ESTABLISHED
HERSELF IN THE FIRST PLACE
AGAINST SENATOR SINEMA AND NOW
SHE HAS HAD A SECOND CHANCE AND
HASN'T DONE THAT EITHER.
INSTEAD, SHE HAS APOLOGIZED FOR
HER BEHAVIOR OR DEMEANOR AND
POINTED TO HER MILITARY
BACKGROUND AND THEY SHIFTED TO
TRY TO DO FRAME MARK KELLY.
AND WE SEE THIS IN THE POLLING,
YOU HAVE TO MAKE PEOPLE WANT TO
VOTE FOR YOU, NOT JUST AGAINST
YOUR OPPONENT.
YOUR OPPONENT. >> AND SHE IS STARTING OUT BY
DEFINING KELLY BEFORE SHE
INTRODUCES HERSELF AGAIN.
>> A LITTLE BIT.
PART OF HER CHALLENGE IS SHE IS
WELL KNOWN BUT NOT PARTICULARLY
WELL LIKE.
WELL LIKE. MARK KELLY IS 35% THAT DON'T
KNOW WHO HE HAS.
THEY ARE TRYING TO BRING HIS
NUMBER DOWN AND THAT AT SOME
POINT, HOPEFULLY, BRING HER
NUMBER UP.
NUMBER UP. >> SHE IS PRETTY MUCH LEADING
THE WAY ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
WE ARE SEEING THIS ELSEWHERE IN
WRAPPING YOUR DEMOCRATIC
OPPONENT IN A BURNING BEARHUG.
THE ATTACK AD WITH MARK KELLY,
BERNIE SANDERS. HE ANSWERED A
QUESTION IF HE WOULD SUPPORT
SANDERS.
SANDERS.
SANDERS. HE SAID HE WOULD SUPPORT THE
DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE.
DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE. HOW TOUGH IS THAT FOR DEMOCRATIC
CANDIDATES LIKE MARK KELLY AND
CANDIDATES ACROSS THE COUNTRY?
>> WE DON'T HAVE A NOMINEE YET.
WE WILL SEE WHAT HAPPENS.
WE DON'T KNOW THAT YET.
THAT BEING SAID, I THINK MARK
KELLY HAS SAID IN HIS ADS THAT
HE IS LOOKING TO BE AN
INDEPENDENT VOICE.
INDEPENDENT VOICE. I THINK WHAT HE IS GOING TO
SAY, AND WHAT HE HAS SAID, HE'S
NOT ALWAYS GOING TO AGREE WITH
SENATOR SANDERS OR MAYBE NOT
ALL OF THE NOMINEES.
I WOULD FLIP THIS AROUND AND
SAY WE HAVE A PRESIDENT WHO WAS
HISTORICALLY UNPOPULAR AND I
HAVE NEVER SEEN SENATOR McSALLY
DISAGREE WITH PRESIDENT TRUMP
ON ANYTHING.
ON ANYTHING. IS SHE GOING TO BE ABLE TO
DEMONSTRATE INDEPENDENCE?
DEMONSTRATE INDEPENDENCE? >> HOW TOUGH IS THAT SAME
QUESTION I ASKED ROY?
HOW TOUGH IS IT FOR KELLY AND
OTHER DEMS TO GET BERNIE
SANDERS OFF THEIR BACK?
>> I THINK IT IS A BIG
CHALLENGE.
CHALLENGE. YOU LOOK AT THE EVE THAT THE
PRESIDENT IS IN TOWN, YOU HAD A
VERY DIVISIVE AND CONTENTIOUS
DEMOCRAT BRINKLEY DEBATE. HE
WAS BEING VERY CONTENTIOUS.
I THINK THAT IS GOING TO BE A
CHALLENGE FOR MARK KELLY TO
OVERCOME.
OVERCOME.
OVERCOME. YOU LOOK AT EVERYBODY FROM THE
SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE, THE
PRESIDENT, THE GOVERNOR, ALL ON
THE STAGE TOGETHER VERSUS A
VERY DIVIDED -- AND PROBABLY A
BROKERED CONVENTION HERE,
THAT'S GOING TO BE TOUGH.
HE'S AN ASTRONAUT.
HE HAS A LOT GOING ON FOR HIM.
HE HAS TO TAKE A PAGE OUT OF
SENATOR SINEMA'S BOOK AND BE
ABOVE THAT DEBATE IF HE WANTS
TO WIN.
TO WIN.
TO WIN. >> THE THEORY IS IT IS ALL
ABOUT TURNOUT AND TURNING UP
MORE REPUBLICANS, THOSE THAT
DIDN'T VOTE IN 2016 OR 2018 AND
MAYBE NEW VOTERS AS WELL.
IS THAT THE WEIGHT TO WIN FOR
THEM?
THEM?
THEM? >>
THEM? >> I THINK IT IS THE WAY TO WIN
FOR EITHER SIDE.
EITHER SIDE YOU ARE FOCUSED ON
THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE.
I THINK THERE IS GOING TO BE
ENORMOUS TURNOUT IN NOVEMBER.
WITH SOME EXCEPTIONS, MAYBE THE
SENATE RACES ONE, THIS IS
LARGELY GOING TO BE A
REFERENDUM ON TRUMP. A LOT OF
PEOPLE HAVE STRONG OPINIONS.
I THINK THE TURNOUT WILL BE
HIGH REGARDLESS.
HIGH REGARDLESS. >> REFERENDUM ON TRUMP?
>> A LITTLE BIT.
I THINK WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST
TURNOUT IN ARIZONA STATE
HISTORY.
HISTORY.
HISTORY. THE DIFFERENCE IS UNAFFILIATED
VOTERS.
VOTERS.
VOTERS. MARK KELLY HAS A SIZABLE
ADVANTAGE AMONG THOSE FOLKS
RIGHT NOW.
RIGHT NOW. IF YOU CAN HOLD ONTO THAT, HE
WILL WIN.
WILL WIN.
WILL WIN. THERE WAS 195,000 VOTERS THAT
VOTED FOR KYRSTEN SINEMA AND
DOUG DUCEY.
DOUG DUCEY. THAT'S A SWEET SPOT FOR EITHER
OF THESE CANDIDATES.
TURNOUT IS NOT GOING TO BE
ENOUGH